(MEDP) Medpace Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Clinical Trial Services, Regulatory Support, Data Management, Laboratory Analysis
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 60.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -13.73% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.19 |
| Alpha | 63.56 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.483 |
| Beta | 1.011 |
| Beta Downside | 1.012 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.38% |
| Mean DD | 13.10% |
| Median DD | 8.40% |
Description: MEDP Medpace Holdings November 03, 2025
Medpace Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: MEDP) is a contract research organization that delivers end-to-end clinical development services-including trial design, central lab coordination, regulatory affairs, monitoring, data management, pharmacovigilance, and post-marketing support-to pharmaceutical, biotech, and medical-device clients across North America, Europe, and Asia. Its portfolio spans Phase I through Phase IV studies and encompasses ancillary capabilities such as bio-analytical labs, human pharmacology, imaging, and ECG read-outs.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 revenue reached $1.06 billion, up ~7 % YoY, driven by higher enrollment volumes in oncology and rare-disease trials; the CRO industry is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~6 % through 2028, reflecting sustained biotech financing and accelerated drug pipelines; and Medpace’s operating margin improved to 12.5 % as it leveraged a “full-service” model to capture higher-value regulatory and data-analytics fees. A material driver of future performance is the U.S. FDA’s emphasis on real-world evidence, which could expand demand for Medpace’s post-marketing and pharmacovigilance services.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of MEDP’s valuation relative to sector peers, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth exploring.
MEDP Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 16,656m |
| Sub-Industry | Life Sciences Tools & Services |
| IPO / Inception | 2016-08-11 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 68.2% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.33 of 5 |
MEDP Dividends
Currently no dividends paidMEDP Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | 39.01% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.99 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 2.98 |
| Current Volume | 219.1k |
| Average Volume | 264.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 9.0
| Net Income (433.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 141.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.40 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 14.43pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -23.18% (prev -0.42%; Δ -22.76pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.41 (>3.0%) and CFO 711.2m > Net Income 433.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-141.4m) to EBITDA (520.8m) ratio: -0.27 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.57 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (29.7m) change vs 12m ago -7.41% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.11% (prev 29.69%; Δ 1.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 122.9% (prev 99.37%; Δ 23.56pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 64.22 (EBITDA TTM 520.8m / Interest Expense TTM 7.88m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.81
| (A) -0.31 = (Total Current Assets 737.3m - Total Current Liabilities 1.28b) / Total Assets 1.75b |
| (B) -0.34 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -596.2m / Total Assets 1.75b |
| (C) 0.26 = EBIT TTM 506.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.92b |
| (D) -0.41 = Book Value of Equity -601.6m / Total Liabilities 1.46b |
| Total Rating: -1.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 95.21
| 1. Piotroski 9.0pt = 4.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.26% = 2.13 |
| 3. FCF Margin 29.83% = 7.46 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.49 = 2.38 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.27 = 2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 73.89)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 91.88% = 2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 96.49% = 7.24 |
| 9. EPS Trend 90.01% = 4.50 |
What is the price of MEDP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.09%, over one month by +8.41%, over three months by +27.49% and over the past year by +91.04%.
Is MEDP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MEDP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 538.3 | -8.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 538.3 | -8.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 804.7 | 36.3% |
MEDP Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025
P/E Trailing = 41.409
P/E Forward = 37.4532
P/S = 7.0627
P/B = 57.3262
P/EG = 3.7905
Beta = 1.43
Revenue TTM = 2.36b USD
EBIT TTM = 506.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 520.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 119.1m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 24.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 144.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -141.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 16.52b USD (16.66b + Debt 144.0m - CCE 285.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 64.22 (Ebit TTM 506.3m / Interest Expense TTM 7.88m)
FCF Yield = 4.26% (FCF TTM 703.6m / Enterprise Value 16.52b)
FCF Margin = 29.83% (FCF TTM 703.6m / Revenue TTM 2.36b)
Net Margin = 18.36% (Net Income TTM 433.0m / Revenue TTM 2.36b)
Gross Margin = 31.11% ((Revenue TTM 2.36b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.84% (prev 29.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.42 (Enterprise Value 16.52b / Total Assets 1.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.48% (Interest Expense 7.88m / Debt 144.0m)
Taxrate = 22.19% (31.7m / 142.8m)
NOPAT = 393.9m (EBIT 506.3m * (1 - 22.19%))
Current Ratio = 0.57 (Total Current Assets 737.3m / Total Current Liabilities 1.28b)
Debt / Equity = 0.49 (Debt 144.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 293.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.27 (Net Debt -141.4m / EBITDA 520.8m)
Debt / FCF = -0.20 (Net Debt -141.4m / FCF TTM 703.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 471.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 24.70% (Net Income 433.0m / Total Assets 1.75b)
RoE = 91.88% (Net Income TTM 433.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 471.3m)
RoCE = 85.76% (EBIT 506.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 471.3m + L.T.Debt 119.1m))
RoIC = 83.58% (NOPAT 393.9m / Invested Capital 471.3m)
WACC = 9.69% (E(16.66b)/V(16.80b) * Re(9.74%) + D(144.0m)/V(16.80b) * Rd(5.48%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.74% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -3.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.13% ; FCFE base≈636.4m ; Y1≈785.1m ; Y5≈1.34b
Fair Price DCF = 599.8 (DCF Value 16.90b / Shares Outstanding 28.2m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 90.01 | EPS CAGR: 24.35% | SUE: 1.41 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 96.49 | Revenue CAGR: 20.62% | SUE: 0.77 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for MEDP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle