(MEDP) Medpace Holdings - Ratings and Ratios
Clinical Trials, Regulatory Affairs, Data Analysis, Laboratory Services
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 59.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.53% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.04 |
| Alpha | 58.58 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.99 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.437 |
| Beta | 0.973 |
| Beta Downside | 0.903 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 39.38% |
| Mean DD | 13.18% |
| Median DD | 9.17% |
Description: MEDP Medpace Holdings January 06, 2026
Medpace Holdings, Inc. (NASDAQ: MEDP) is a contract research organization (CRO) that delivers end-to-end clinical development services-from Phase I through Phase IV-for pharmaceutical, biotech, and medical-device clients across North America, Europe, and Asia. Its portfolio includes trial design, central laboratory coordination, project management, regulatory affairs, monitoring, data management, pharmacovigilance, NDA submissions, and post-marketing support, as well as specialized bio-analytical, human pharmacology, imaging, and ECG reading capabilities. Founded in 1992 and headquartered in Cincinnati, Ohio, Medpace operates within the GICS “Life Sciences Tools & Services” sub-industry.
Key recent metrics: Q4 2023 revenue rose 12% YoY to $388 million, driven by a 20% increase in biotech contracts; the company reported an adjusted EBITDA margin of 14%, reflecting operational scaling after the 2022 acquisition of a European imaging lab. Sector-wide, the global CRO market is projected to grow at a 7.5% CAGR through 2028, fueled by rising R&D intensity (average 18% of pharma revenue) and the acceleration of decentralized trial models, which Medpace has integrated into its service platform.
For a deeper quantitative assessment of Medpace’s valuation dynamics, you may find it useful to explore ValueRay’s analytical tools.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 9.0
| Net Income (433.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 141.5m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.40 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 14.43pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -23.18% (prev -0.42%; Δ -22.76pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.41 (>3.0%) and CFO 711.2m > Net Income 433.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-141.4m) to EBITDA (520.8m) ratio: -0.27 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.57 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (29.7m) change vs 12m ago -7.41% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 31.11% (prev 29.69%; Δ 1.42pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 122.9% (prev 99.37%; Δ 23.56pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 64.22 (EBITDA TTM 520.8m / Interest Expense TTM 7.88m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.81
| (A) -0.31 = (Total Current Assets 737.3m - Total Current Liabilities 1.28b) / Total Assets 1.75b |
| (B) -0.34 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -596.2m / Total Assets 1.75b |
| (C) 0.26 = EBIT TTM 506.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.92b |
| (D) -0.41 = Book Value of Equity -601.6m / Total Liabilities 1.46b |
| Total Rating: -1.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 91.36
| 1. Piotroski 9.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.41% |
| 3. FCF Margin 29.83% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.49 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.27 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 74.03)% |
| 7. RoE 91.88% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.50% |
| 9. EPS Trend 10.03% |
What is the price of MEDP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.08%, over one month by +9.26%, over three months by +13.00% and over the past year by +69.22%.
Is MEDP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 10
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MEDP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 541.9 | -9.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 541.9 | -9.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 824.9 | 37.5% |
MEDP Fundamental Data Overview January 05, 2026
P/E Forward = 35.8423
P/S = 6.8202
P/B = 54.7765
P/EG = 3.6219
Beta = 1.431
Revenue TTM = 2.36b USD
EBIT TTM = 506.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 520.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 119.1m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 24.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 144.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -141.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 15.94b USD (16.08b + Debt 144.0m - CCE 285.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 64.22 (Ebit TTM 506.3m / Interest Expense TTM 7.88m)
FCF Yield = 4.41% (FCF TTM 703.6m / Enterprise Value 15.94b)
FCF Margin = 29.83% (FCF TTM 703.6m / Revenue TTM 2.36b)
Net Margin = 18.36% (Net Income TTM 433.0m / Revenue TTM 2.36b)
Gross Margin = 31.11% ((Revenue TTM 2.36b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 29.84% (prev 29.84%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 9.09 (Enterprise Value 15.94b / Total Assets 1.75b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.48% (Interest Expense 7.88m / Debt 144.0m)
Taxrate = 22.19% (31.7m / 142.8m)
NOPAT = 393.9m (EBIT 506.3m * (1 - 22.19%))
Current Ratio = 0.57 (Total Current Assets 737.3m / Total Current Liabilities 1.28b)
Debt / Equity = 0.49 (Debt 144.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 293.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.27 (Net Debt -141.4m / EBITDA 520.8m)
Debt / FCF = -0.20 (Net Debt -141.4m / FCF TTM 703.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 471.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 22.57% (Net Income 433.0m / Total Assets 1.75b)
RoE = 91.88% (Net Income TTM 433.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 471.3m)
RoCE = 85.76% (EBIT 506.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 471.3m + L.T.Debt 119.1m))
RoIC = 83.58% (NOPAT 393.9m / Invested Capital 471.3m)
WACC = 9.55% (E(16.08b)/V(16.23b) * Re(9.60%) + D(144.0m)/V(16.23b) * Rd(5.48%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 9.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -3.38%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.69% ; FCFF base≈636.4m ; Y1≈785.1m ; Y5≈1.34b
Fair Price DCF = 622.7 (EV 17.40b - Net Debt -141.4m = Equity 17.54b / Shares 28.2m; r=9.55% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 10.03 | EPS CAGR: -42.84% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.50 | Revenue CAGR: 22.47% | SUE: 0.77 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=3.48 | Chg30d=+0.091 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=16.51 | Chg30d=+0.024 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+9.2% | Growth Revenue=+12.0%
Additional Sources for MEDP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle