(MELI) MercadoLibre - Ratings and Ratios
Marketplace, Payments, Credit, Shipping, Ads
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 40.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 62.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -6.00% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.18 |
| Alpha | -6.64 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.19 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.521 |
| Beta | 0.889 |
| Beta Downside | 0.834 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.31% |
| Mean DD | 7.96% |
| Median DD | 6.98% |
Description: MELI MercadoLibre December 02, 2025
MercadoLibre Inc. (NASDAQ:MELI) runs an integrated e-commerce and fintech ecosystem across Brazil, Mexico, Argentina and other Latin-American markets. Its core offerings include the Mercado Libre Marketplace (web and mobile), the Mercado Pago payments suite, and ancillary services such as Mercado Fondo (investment), Mercado Credito (lending), Mercado Envios (logistics), Mercado Classifieds (vehicles, real estate, services), Mercado Ads (advertising) and Mercado Shops (subscription-based storefronts).
Key recent metrics underscore the platform’s momentum: FY 2024 net revenue rose ~28 % YoY to $9.6 bn, driven by a 35 % increase in gross merchandise volume (GMV) to $45 bn; active buyers reached 82 million, up 22 % year-over-year; and Mercado Pago contributed ~45 % of total revenue, reflecting deeper fintech penetration. Growth is further supported by macro trends-rising internet penetration (≈75 % in Brazil and Mexico), expanding middle-class consumption, and a regional shift toward digital payments accelerated by the COVID-19 pandemic.
For a deeper, data-rich view of MELI’s valuation dynamics, you might explore the analytics platform ValueRay to see how these drivers translate into forward-looking price scenarios.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (2.08b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.57b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.22 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -4.44pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 16.31% (prev 18.50%; Δ -2.19pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.25 (>3.0%) and CFO 9.05b > Net Income 2.08b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-7.16b) to EBITDA (3.32b) ratio: -2.16 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.17 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (50.7m) change vs 12m ago 0.00% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 45.14% (prev 46.28%; Δ -1.14pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 88.32% (prev 83.89%; Δ 4.43pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 16.35 (EBITDA TTM 3.32b / Interest Expense TTM 158.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 1.98
| (A) 0.12 = (Total Current Assets 28.80b - Total Current Liabilities 24.52b) / Total Assets 36.69b |
| (B) 0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 5.25b / Total Assets 36.69b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 2.58b / Avg Total Assets 29.66b |
| (D) 0.16 = Book Value of Equity 4.76b / Total Liabilities 30.47b |
| Total Rating: 1.98 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 81.90
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.61% |
| 3. FCF Margin 30.30% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.33 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -2.16 |
| 7. RoE 39.03% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 99.68% |
| 9. EPS Trend 83.57% |
What is the price of MELI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.26%, over one month by -10.23%, over three months by -14.52% and over the past year by +4.10%.
Is MELI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 15
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MELI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 2847.4 | 37.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 2847.4 | 37.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 2224.2 | 7.6% |
MELI Fundamental Data Overview November 29, 2025
P/E Trailing = 49.7509
P/E Forward = 30.2115
P/S = 3.9356
P/B = 16.5783
P/EG = 1.0001
Beta = 1.415
Revenue TTM = 26.19b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.58b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.32b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.34b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.39b USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.04b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -7.16b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 92.21b USD (103.08b + Debt 2.04b - CCE 12.91b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 16.35 (Ebit TTM 2.58b / Interest Expense TTM 158.0m)
FCF Yield = 8.61% (FCF TTM 7.94b / Enterprise Value 92.21b)
FCF Margin = 30.30% (FCF TTM 7.94b / Revenue TTM 26.19b)
Net Margin = 7.93% (Net Income TTM 2.08b / Revenue TTM 26.19b)
Gross Margin = 45.14% ((Revenue TTM 26.19b - Cost of Revenue TTM 14.37b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 43.31% (prev 45.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.51 (Enterprise Value 92.21b / Total Assets 36.69b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.72% (Interest Expense 35.0m / Debt 2.04b)
Taxrate = -89.21% (out of range, set to none) (-215.0m / 241.0m)
NOPAT = unknown (EBIT/Op.Income or Taxrate missing)
Current Ratio = 1.17 (Total Current Assets 28.80b / Total Current Liabilities 24.52b)
Debt / Equity = 0.33 (Debt 2.04b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.22b)
Debt / EBITDA = -2.16 (Net Debt -7.16b / EBITDA 3.32b)
Debt / FCF = -0.90 (Net Debt -7.16b / FCF TTM 7.94b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 5.32b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.66% (Net Income 2.08b / Total Assets 36.69b)
RoE = 39.03% (Net Income TTM 2.08b / Total Stockholder Equity 5.32b)
RoCE = 29.84% (EBIT 2.58b / Capital Employed (Equity 5.32b + L.T.Debt 3.34b))
RoIC = -346.8% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT 2.58b / (Assets 36.69b - Curr.Liab 24.52b - Cash 12.91b))
WACC = 9.11% (E(103.08b)/V(105.12b) * Re(9.29%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 9.29% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.00%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.50% ; FCFE base≈7.12b ; Y1≈8.78b ; Y5≈14.99b
Fair Price DCF = 4006 (DCF Value 203.10b / Shares Outstanding 50.7m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 83.57 | EPS CAGR: 110.1% | SUE: -1.59 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.68 | Revenue CAGR: 39.42% | SUE: 0.73 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=12.61 | Chg30d=-0.512 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=62.00 | Chg30d=-3.071 | Revisions Net=-14 | Growth EPS=+53.2% | Growth Revenue=+28.2%
Additional Sources for MELI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle