(MGNI) Magnite - Ratings and Ratios
Sell-Side, Platform, CTV, Streaming, Ad-Server
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 64.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 88.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -16.98% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.31 |
| Alpha | -32.23 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.34 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.503 |
| Beta | 1.855 |
| Beta Downside | 2.183 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 57.95% |
| Mean DD | 25.16% |
| Median DD | 23.85% |
Description: MGNI Magnite January 12, 2026
Magnite Inc. (NASDAQ: MGNI) runs an independent, omni-channel sell-side platform that helps publishers-such as CTV operators, app developers, and website owners-monetize digital inventory, while providing advertisers, agencies, and DSPs a marketplace to purchase that inventory. The company, formerly The Rubicon Project, rebranded in July 2020 and is headquartered in New York, operating sales teams globally.
Key recent metrics: Q4 2023 revenue was $158 million, down about 5 % YoY, reflecting broader ad-spend pressure; however, CTV eCPM grew ~12 % YoY, underscoring the sector’s shift toward video-first formats. Magnite’s share of the U.S. sell-side market is roughly 10 %, and its fill-rate on premium inventory remains above 85 %, indicating strong demand for its programmatic solutions despite a macro-economic slowdown in advertising budgets.
For a deeper, data-driven view of Magnite’s valuation dynamics, you may find ValueRay’s analyst dashboard useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (58.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 42.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.49pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 1.77% (prev 24.16%; Δ -22.39pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 222.4m > Net Income 58.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (143.1m) to EBITDA (150.7m) ratio: 0.95 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.01 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (153.2m) change vs 12m ago 3.01% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 62.30% (prev 60.51%; Δ 1.79pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 24.83% (prev 24.15%; Δ 0.68pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 3.19 (EBITDA TTM 150.7m / Interest Expense TTM 29.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.78
| (A) 0.00 = (Total Current Assets 1.73b - Total Current Liabilities 1.71b) / Total Assets 2.92b |
| (B) -0.22 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -639.6m / Total Assets 2.92b |
| (C) 0.03 = EBIT TTM 94.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.83b |
| (D) -0.30 = Book Value of Equity -641.1m / Total Liabilities 2.11b |
| Total Rating: -0.78 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.34
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.67% |
| 3. FCF Margin 23.42% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.77 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.95 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -3.49)% |
| 7. RoE 7.51% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 59.53% |
| 9. EPS Trend -2.37% |
What is the price of MGNI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.68%, over one month by +1.58%, over three months by -8.06% and over the past year by +3.61%.
Is MGNI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 9
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MGNI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 26.9 | 66.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 26.9 | 66.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 15.8 | -2.1% |
MGNI Fundamental Data Overview January 12, 2026
P/E Forward = 14.1844
P/S = 3.3062
P/B = 2.8749
Beta = 2.349
Revenue TTM = 702.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 94.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 150.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 348.1m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 228.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 625.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 143.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 2.47b USD (2.32b + Debt 625.2m - CCE 482.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.19 (Ebit TTM 94.4m / Interest Expense TTM 29.6m)
EV/FCF = 14.99x (Enterprise Value 2.47b / FCF TTM 164.5m)
FCF Yield = 6.67% (FCF TTM 164.5m / Enterprise Value 2.47b)
FCF Margin = 23.42% (FCF TTM 164.5m / Revenue TTM 702.6m)
Net Margin = 8.25% (Net Income TTM 58.0m / Revenue TTM 702.6m)
Gross Margin = 62.30% ((Revenue TTM 702.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 264.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 61.36% (prev 62.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.84 (Enterprise Value 2.47b / Total Assets 2.92b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.26% (Interest Expense 7.90m / Debt 625.2m)
Taxrate = 4.23% (885.0k / 20.9m)
NOPAT = 90.4m (EBIT 94.4m * (1 - 4.23%))
Current Ratio = 1.01 (Total Current Assets 1.73b / Total Current Liabilities 1.71b)
Debt / Equity = 0.77 (Debt 625.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 808.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.95 (Net Debt 143.1m / EBITDA 150.7m)
Debt / FCF = 0.87 (Net Debt 143.1m / FCF TTM 164.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 771.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.05% (Net Income 58.0m / Total Assets 2.92b)
RoE = 7.51% (Net Income TTM 58.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 771.6m)
RoCE = 8.43% (EBIT 94.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 771.6m + L.T.Debt 348.1m))
RoIC = 6.81% (NOPAT 90.4m / Invested Capital 1.33b)
WACC = 10.30% (E(2.32b)/V(2.95b) * Re(12.75%) + D(625.2m)/V(2.95b) * Rd(1.26%) * (1-Tc(0.04)))
Discount Rate = 12.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 3.21%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 72.00% ; FCFF base≈165.7m ; Y1≈184.2m ; Y5≈241.0m
Fair Price DCF = 18.84 (EV 2.85b - Net Debt 143.1m = Equity 2.71b / Shares 143.6m; r=10.30% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 12.88% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -2.37 | EPS CAGR: -40.83% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 59.53 | Revenue CAGR: 2.89% | SUE: 0.81 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=-0.058 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.04 | Chg30d=-0.083 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+19.2% | Growth Revenue=+10.0%
Additional Sources for MGNI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle