MGNI Stock Analysis: Magnite | NASDAQ

Advertising Agencies | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 3.488m USD | 12M Return: 7.6% | US55955D1000 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

CTV Advertising, Programmatic Platform, Header Bidding, Supply Side Platform
Total Rating 55
Safety 67
Buy Signal 0.93
Advertising Agencies
Industry Rotation: -4.3
Market Cap: 3.49B
Avg Turnover: 50.0M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility61.4%
VaR 5th Pctl9.46%
VaR vs Median-5.32%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.35
Rel. Str. IBD95.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group88.5
Character TTM
Beta1.947
Beta Downside1.519
Hurst Exponent0.582
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD57.77%
CAGR/Max DD0.79
CAGR/Mean DD2.11
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MGNI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.11, "2021-09": 0.14, "2021-12": 0.26, "2022-03": 0.08, "2022-06": 0.14, "2022-09": 0.18, "2022-12": 0.24, "2023-03": 0.04, "2023-06": 0.09, "2023-09": 0.12, "2023-12": 0.29, "2024-03": 0.05, "2024-06": 0.14, "2024-09": 0.17, "2024-12": 0.34, "2025-03": 0.12, "2025-06": 0.2, "2025-09": 0.12, "2025-12": 0.34, "2026-03": 0.13, "2026-06": 0.15,
EPS CAGR: 19.18%
EPS Trend: 89.2%
Last SUE: 2.58
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of MGNI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 114.541, 2021-09: 131.871, 2021-12: 161.286, 2022-03: 118.075, 2022-06: 137.78, 2022-09: 145.815, 2022-12: 175.399, 2023-03: 130.15, 2023-06: 152.543, 2023-09: 150.085, 2023-12: 186.932, 2024-03: 149.319, 2024-06: 162.88, 2024-09: 162.003, 2024-12: 193.968, 2025-03: 155.771, 2025-06: 173.332, 2025-09: 179.494, 2025-12: 205.356, 2026-03: 164.371, 2026-06: 192.823,
Rev. CAGR: 7.03%
Rev. Trend: 99.5%
Last SUE: 0.63
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Tailwinds

Rs Leader
Idiosyncratic Leader

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +3.9% 5
Feb +11.9% 18
Mar -11.2% 43
Apr +1.9% 8
May +4.7% 13
Jun +6.6% 42
Jul -1.9% 5
Aug -0.5% 2
Sep -6.1% 56
Oct -7.3% 30
Nov +11.4% 15
Dec +2.8% 28

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MGNI Magnite

Magnite, Inc. (MGNI) operates an independent omni-channel sell-side advertising platform that connects publishers controlling digital ad inventory with buyers such as advertisers, agencies, and demand-side platforms. Headquartered in New York and founded in 2007, the company is a notable player in the ad-tech sector, with a particular focus on monetizing inventory across Connected TV (CTV) channels, apps, and websites. The platform also functions as an independent marketplace facilitating transactions between buyers and sellers. Magnite was originally known as The Rubicon Project before rebranding in July 2020.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • CTV revenue growth accelerates as streaming ad spend scales
  • Competition intensifies against Google and Amazon in ad tech
  • Macro ad spend softness pressures sell-side platform take rates
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 166.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -3.21 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 5.75% < 20% (prev -1.23%; Δ 6.98% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.05 > 3% & CFO 160.2m > Net Income 166.9m
Net Debt (163.2m) to EBITDA (169.8m): 0.96 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.03 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (147.2m) vs 12m ago -0.73% < -2%
Gross Margin: 64.78% > 18% (prev 62.33%; Δ 2.46% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 24.90% > 50% (prev 23.40%; Δ 1.50% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 3.87 > 6 (EBIT TTM 116.1m / Interest Expense TTM 30.0m)
Altman Z'' 0.29
A: 0.01 (Total Current Assets 1.75b - Total Current Liabilities 1.70b) / Total Assets 3.03b
B: -0.16 (Retained Earnings -492.8m / Total Assets 3.03b)
C: 0.04 (EBIT TTM 116.1m / Avg Total Assets 2.98b)
D: 0.45 (Book Value of Equity 936.3m / Total Liabilities 2.10b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.29 = B
Beneish M -2.99
DSRI: 0.98 (Receivables 1.38b/1.30b, Revenue 742.0m/685.1m)
GMI: 0.96 (GM 62.33% / 64.78%)
AQI: 1.05 (AQ_t 0.37 / AQ_t-1 0.35)
SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 742.0m / 685.1m)
TATA: 0.00 (NI 166.9m - CFO 160.2m) / TA 3.03b)
Beneish M = -2.99 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of MGNI shares?

As of August 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 24.58 with a total of 2,680,026 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.07%, over one month by +20.43%, over three months by +90.40% and over the past year by +7.62%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 23.30 (which is 5.2% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is MGNI a buy, sell or hold?

Magnite has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.62. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MGNI.

  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MGNI price?
Analysts Target Price 22.5 -8.6%
Magnite (MGNI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 08 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 3.49b (3.49b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 19.6129
P/E Forward = 20.1207
P/S = 4.8274
P/B = 3.0113
P/EG = 0.0892
Revenue TTM = 742.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 116.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 169.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 347.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 27.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 495.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 78.8m
Net Debt = 163.2m USD (calculated: Debt 495.8m - CCE 332.6m)
Enterprise Value = 3.65b USD (3.49b + Debt 495.8m - CCE 332.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 3.87 (Ebit TTM 116.1m / Interest Expense TTM 30.0m)
EV/FCF = 46.66x (Enterprise Value 3.65b / FCF TTM 78.3m)
FCF Yield = 2.14% (FCF TTM 78.3m / Enterprise Value 3.65b)
FCF Margin = 10.55% (FCF TTM 78.3m / Revenue TTM 742.0m)
Net Margin = 22.49% (Net Income TTM 166.9m / Revenue TTM 742.0m)
Gross Margin = 64.78% ((Revenue TTM 742.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 261.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 67.83% (prev 63.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.20 (Enterprise Value 3.65b / Total Assets 3.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.06% (Interest Expense 30.0m / Debt 495.8m)
Taxrate = 24.18% (6.18m / 25.5m)
NOPAT = 88.0m (EBIT 116.1m * (1 - 24.18%))
Current Ratio = 1.03 (Total Current Assets 1.75b / Total Current Liabilities 1.70b)
Debt / Equity = 0.53 (Debt 495.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 936.3m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.96 (Net Debt 163.2m / EBITDA 169.8m)
Debt / FCF = 2.09 (Net Debt 163.2m / FCF TTM 78.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 896.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.60% (Net Income 166.9m / Total Assets 3.03b)
RoE = 18.62% (Net Income TTM 166.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 896.1m)
RoCE = 9.34% (EBIT 116.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 896.1m + L.T.Debt 347.7m))
RoIC = 6.67% (NOPAT 88.0m / Invested Capital 1.32b)
WACC = 11.80% (E(3.49b)/V(3.98b) * Re(12.83%) + D(495.8m)/V(3.98b) * Rd(6.06%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 12.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 55.36 | Cagr: 2.47%
[DCF] Terminal Value 61.38% ; FCFF base≈114.7m ; Y1≈100.6m ; Y5≈81.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 4.68 (EV 834.8m - Net Debt 163.2m = Equity 671.7m / Shares 143.4m; r=11.80% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 89.17 | EPS CAGR: 19.18% | SUE: 2.58 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 99.52 | Revenue CAGR: 7.03% | SUE: 0.63 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.27 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=7
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=1.11 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+18% | GrowthEPS=+27.1% | GrowthRev=+12.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=1.24 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=+30% | GrowthEPS=+11.8% | GrowthRev=+9.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +23% (up=12, down=7)