(MGPI) MGP Ingredients - Ratings and Ratios
Distilled Spirits, Branded Spirits, Food Ingredients
MGPI EPS (Earnings per Share)
MGPI Revenue
Description: MGPI MGP Ingredients
MGP Ingredients, Inc. is a global supplier of distilled spirits, branded spirits, and food ingredients, operating through three distinct segments: Distillery Solutions, Branded Spirits, and Ingredient Solutions. The companys diversified product portfolio and robust operational capabilities position it for long-term growth and profitability.
The Distillery Solutions segment is a critical component of MGPs business, producing food-grade alcohol and distillery co-products from grains such as corn, barley, and wheat. The segments offerings cater to various applications, including bourbon, rye, and other whiskeys, as well as grain neutral spirits. Additionally, the company provides warehouse and blending services, generating revenue through value-added activities.
In the Branded Spirits segment, MGP offers a wide range of premium and value-branded spirits, including bourbon, tequila, vodka, and gin, under various brand names. The companys extensive brand portfolio and strategic marketing efforts enable it to capitalize on growing demand for premium spirits. Furthermore, the company supplies private label products, expanding its customer base and driving revenue growth.
The Ingredient Solutions segment provides specialty wheat starches and proteins, as well as gluten-free textured pea proteins, to the food industry. MGPs ingredient solutions cater to the growing demand for clean-label and gluten-free products, positioning the company for long-term growth in this segment. The companys commodity wheat starch and protein offerings also provide a stable source of revenue.
From a technical analysis perspective, MGPs stock price has been trending near its 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages, indicating a potential stabilization phase. The 14-day Average True Range (ATR) is 3.53%, suggesting moderate volatility. With a 52-week high of $90.96 and a low of $26.41, the stock is currently trading near the lower end of its 52-week range, potentially presenting a buying opportunity. Using the
Based on the
MGPI Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 588m |
Sub-Industry | Distillers & Vintners |
IPO / Inception | 1988-10-20 |
MGPI Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | -73.6% |
Fundamental | 42.8% |
Dividend Rating | 29.4% |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -71.8% |
Analyst Rating | 4.50 of 5 |
MGPI Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 1.60% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 1.28% |
Annual Growth 5y | 0.00% |
Payout Consistency | 77.3% |
Payout Ratio | 11.5% |
MGPI Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | -55.7% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -86.6% |
Growth Correlation 5y | -11.5% |
CAGR 5y | -36.72% |
CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.47 |
CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -1.16 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -1.56 |
Alpha | -80.51 |
Beta | 0.690 |
Volatility | 38.47% |
Current Volume | 139.3k |
Average Volume 20d | 168.4k |
Stop Loss | 26.8 (-4.2%) |
Signal | -0.63 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
Net Income (-6.91m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 36.6m TTM) |
FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.85pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 56.06% (prev 58.59%; Δ -2.53pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 129.1m > Net Income -6.91m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (291.6m) to EBITDA (40.8m) ratio: 7.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 2.91 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (21.3m) change vs 12m ago -3.51% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 39.71% (prev 38.66%; Δ 1.05pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 43.22% (prev 54.94%; Δ -11.72pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 2.99 (EBITDA TTM 40.8m / Interest Expense TTM 7.97m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.18
(A) 0.25 = (Total Current Assets 520.2m - Total Current Liabilities 178.6m) / Total Assets 1.39b |
(B) 0.41 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 570.2m / Total Assets 1.39b |
(C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 23.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.41b |
(D) 1.06 = Book Value of Equity 577.1m / Total Liabilities 545.9m |
Total Rating: 4.18 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 42.83
1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
2. FCF Yield 6.81% = 3.41 |
3. FCF Margin 9.70% = 2.43 |
4. Debt/Equity 0.35 = 2.44 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 7.29 = -2.50 |
6. ROIC - WACC -4.76% = -5.95 |
7. RoE -0.81% = -0.13 |
8. Rev. Trend -74.84% = -3.74 |
9. Rev. CAGR -11.11% = -1.85 |
10. EPS Trend -50.69% = -1.27 |
11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
What is the price of MGPI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.48%, over one month by -1.13%, over three months by -5.55% and over the past year by -66.64%.
Is MGP Ingredients a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MGPI is around 22.32 USD . This means that MGPI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -20.2%.
Is MGPI a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MGPI price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 39 | 39.4% |
Analysts Target Price | 39 | 39.4% |
ValueRay Target Price | 24.3 | -13.2% |
Last update: 2025-09-12 04:40
MGPI Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 17.3m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 10.2145
P/S = 0.9647
P/B = 0.7181
P/EG = 1.1291
Beta = 0.34
Revenue TTM = 609.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 23.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 40.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 290.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.40m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 297.1m USD (Calculated: Short Term 6.40m + Long Term 290.7m)
Net Debt = 291.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 867.7m USD (587.9m + Debt 297.1m - CCE 17.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.99 (Ebit TTM 23.8m / Interest Expense TTM 7.97m)
FCF Yield = 6.81% (FCF TTM 59.1m / Enterprise Value 867.7m)
FCF Margin = 9.70% (FCF TTM 59.1m / Revenue TTM 609.4m)
Net Margin = -1.13% (Net Income TTM -6.91m / Revenue TTM 609.4m)
Gross Margin = 39.71% ((Revenue TTM 609.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 367.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.50 (Enterprise Value 867.7m / Book Value Of Equity 577.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.64% (Interest Expense 1.90m / Debt 297.1m)
Taxrate = 49.64% (34.0m / 68.4m)
NOPAT = 12.0m (EBIT 23.8m * (1 - 49.64%))
Current Ratio = 2.91 (Total Current Assets 520.2m / Total Current Liabilities 178.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.35 (Debt 297.1m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 841.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.29 (Net Debt 291.6m / EBITDA 40.8m)
Debt / FCF = 5.03 (Debt 297.1m / FCF TTM 59.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 854.7m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -0.50% (Net Income -6.91m, Total Assets 1.39b )
RoE = -0.81% (Net Income TTM -6.91m / Total Stockholder Equity 854.7m)
RoCE = 2.08% (Ebit 23.8m / (Equity 854.7m + L.T.Debt 290.7m))
RoIC = 1.04% (NOPAT 12.0m / Invested Capital 1.16b)
WACC = 5.79% (E(587.9m)/V(885.0m) * Re(8.56%)) + (D(297.1m)/V(885.0m) * Rd(0.64%) * (1-Tc(0.50)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -65.65 | Cagr: -0.37%
Discount Rate = 8.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.46% ; FCFE base≈49.3m ; Y1≈52.8m ; Y5≈64.2m
Fair Price DCF = 47.80 (DCF Value 1.02b / Shares Outstanding 21.3m; 5y FCF grow 7.88% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -74.84 | Revenue CAGR: -11.11%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -22.42
EPS Correlation: -50.69 | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -80.55
Additional Sources for MGPI Stock
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