(MGPI) MGP Ingredients - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US55303J1060

Distilled Spirits, Branded Spirits, Food Ingredients

MGPI EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of MGPI over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-03": 0.5745890125133, "2020-06": 0.49902065790486, "2020-09": 0.6095751535465, "2020-12": 0.68342474821505, "2021-03": 0.90270557655955, "2021-06": 0.91186173100877, "2021-09": 1.0782395865558, "2021-12": 1.3744611319705, "2022-03": 1.6880636315265, "2022-06": 1.1518288913937, "2022-09": 1.0625854746995, "2022-12": 1.0158222030927, "2023-03": 1.4076919940378, "2023-06": 1.4510585057611, "2023-09": 0.5902642807676, "2023-12": 1.4076383193704, "2024-03": 0.93192667428406, "2024-06": 1.4505497486347, "2024-09": 1.0714997734481, "2024-12": -1.9307964846087, "2025-03": -0.14168911795713, "2025-06": 0.67592831205341,

MGPI Revenue

Revenue of MGPI over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-03: 99.082, 2020-06: 92.56, 2020-09: 102.964, 2020-12: 100.915, 2021-03: 108.323, 2021-06: 174.939, 2021-09: 176.611, 2021-12: 166.847, 2022-03: 195.235, 2022-06: 194.982, 2022-09: 201.146, 2022-12: 190.995, 2023-03: 201.01, 2023-06: 209.001, 2023-09: 211.624, 2023-12: 214.888, 2024-03: 170.563, 2024-06: 190.805, 2024-09: 161.461, 2024-12: 180.796, 2025-03: 121.653, 2025-06: 145.494,

Description: MGPI MGP Ingredients

MGP Ingredients, Inc. is a global supplier of distilled spirits, branded spirits, and food ingredients, operating through three distinct segments: Distillery Solutions, Branded Spirits, and Ingredient Solutions. The companys diversified product portfolio and robust operational capabilities position it for long-term growth and profitability.

The Distillery Solutions segment is a critical component of MGPs business, producing food-grade alcohol and distillery co-products from grains such as corn, barley, and wheat. The segments offerings cater to various applications, including bourbon, rye, and other whiskeys, as well as grain neutral spirits. Additionally, the company provides warehouse and blending services, generating revenue through value-added activities.

In the Branded Spirits segment, MGP offers a wide range of premium and value-branded spirits, including bourbon, tequila, vodka, and gin, under various brand names. The companys extensive brand portfolio and strategic marketing efforts enable it to capitalize on growing demand for premium spirits. Furthermore, the company supplies private label products, expanding its customer base and driving revenue growth.

The Ingredient Solutions segment provides specialty wheat starches and proteins, as well as gluten-free textured pea proteins, to the food industry. MGPs ingredient solutions cater to the growing demand for clean-label and gluten-free products, positioning the company for long-term growth in this segment. The companys commodity wheat starch and protein offerings also provide a stable source of revenue.

From a technical analysis perspective, MGPs stock price has been trending near its 20-day and 50-day simple moving averages, indicating a potential stabilization phase. The 14-day Average True Range (ATR) is 3.53%, suggesting moderate volatility. With a 52-week high of $90.96 and a low of $26.41, the stock is currently trading near the lower end of its 52-week range, potentially presenting a buying opportunity. Using the , a forecast of the stock price could be: if the SMA20 and SMA50 are converging, it might indicate a breakout; with the current ATR, we can expect a 3.53% fluctuation, making the potential target price range between $30.83 and $28.73.

Based on the , MGPs market capitalization is approximately $607.74 million, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 58.31 and a forward P/E of 13.19. The companys return on equity (RoE) is 1.24%, indicating a relatively low return on shareholder equity. However, the forward P/E suggests that the market expects significant earnings growth in the future. By analyzing the and together, a forecast for MGPs stock could be: if the company can maintain its current earnings growth trajectory, the stock price could potentially reach $35-$40 in the next 6-12 months, driven by a combination of improving fundamentals and technical breakout. However, this forecast is contingent on various factors, including the companys ability to execute its business strategy, navigate industry trends, and manage market volatility.

MGPI Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 588m
Sub-Industry Distillers & Vintners
IPO / Inception 1988-10-20

MGPI Stock Ratings

Growth Rating -73.6%
Fundamental 42.8%
Dividend Rating 29.4%
Return 12m vs S&P 500 -71.8%
Analyst Rating 4.50 of 5

MGPI Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m 1.60%
Yield on Cost 5y 1.28%
Annual Growth 5y 0.00%
Payout Consistency 77.3%
Payout Ratio 11.5%

MGPI Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m -55.7%
Growth Correlation 12m -86.6%
Growth Correlation 5y -11.5%
CAGR 5y -36.72%
CAGR/Max DD 3y -0.47
CAGR/Mean DD 3y -1.16
Sharpe Ratio 12m -1.56
Alpha -80.51
Beta 0.690
Volatility 38.47%
Current Volume 139.3k
Average Volume 20d 168.4k
Stop Loss 26.8 (-4.2%)
Signal -0.63

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0

Net Income (-6.91m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 36.6m TTM)
FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.85pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 56.06% (prev 58.59%; Δ -2.53pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.09 (>3.0%) and CFO 129.1m > Net Income -6.91m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (291.6m) to EBITDA (40.8m) ratio: 7.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 2.91 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (21.3m) change vs 12m ago -3.51% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 39.71% (prev 38.66%; Δ 1.05pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 43.22% (prev 54.94%; Δ -11.72pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 2.99 (EBITDA TTM 40.8m / Interest Expense TTM 7.97m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 4.18

(A) 0.25 = (Total Current Assets 520.2m - Total Current Liabilities 178.6m) / Total Assets 1.39b
(B) 0.41 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 570.2m / Total Assets 1.39b
(C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 23.8m / Avg Total Assets 1.41b
(D) 1.06 = Book Value of Equity 577.1m / Total Liabilities 545.9m
Total Rating: 4.18 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 42.83

1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0
2. FCF Yield 6.81% = 3.41
3. FCF Margin 9.70% = 2.43
4. Debt/Equity 0.35 = 2.44
5. Debt/Ebitda 7.29 = -2.50
6. ROIC - WACC -4.76% = -5.95
7. RoE -0.81% = -0.13
8. Rev. Trend -74.84% = -3.74
9. Rev. CAGR -11.11% = -1.85
10. EPS Trend -50.69% = -1.27
11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0

What is the price of MGPI shares?

As of September 15, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 27.97 with a total of 139,271 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.48%, over one month by -1.13%, over three months by -5.55% and over the past year by -66.64%.

Is MGP Ingredients a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, MGP Ingredients (NASDAQ:MGPI) is currently (September 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 42.83 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MGPI is around 22.32 USD . This means that MGPI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -20.2%.

Is MGPI a buy, sell or hold?

MGP Ingredients has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.50. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MGPI.
  • Strong Buy: 4
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MGPI price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 39 39.4%
Analysts Target Price 39 39.4%
ValueRay Target Price 24.3 -13.2%

Last update: 2025-09-12 04:40

MGPI Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 587.9m (587.9m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 17.3m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 10.2145
P/S = 0.9647
P/B = 0.7181
P/EG = 1.1291
Beta = 0.34
Revenue TTM = 609.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 23.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 40.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 290.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.40m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 297.1m USD (Calculated: Short Term 6.40m + Long Term 290.7m)
Net Debt = 291.6m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 867.7m USD (587.9m + Debt 297.1m - CCE 17.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.99 (Ebit TTM 23.8m / Interest Expense TTM 7.97m)
FCF Yield = 6.81% (FCF TTM 59.1m / Enterprise Value 867.7m)
FCF Margin = 9.70% (FCF TTM 59.1m / Revenue TTM 609.4m)
Net Margin = -1.13% (Net Income TTM -6.91m / Revenue TTM 609.4m)
Gross Margin = 39.71% ((Revenue TTM 609.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 367.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.50 (Enterprise Value 867.7m / Book Value Of Equity 577.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.64% (Interest Expense 1.90m / Debt 297.1m)
Taxrate = 49.64% (34.0m / 68.4m)
NOPAT = 12.0m (EBIT 23.8m * (1 - 49.64%))
Current Ratio = 2.91 (Total Current Assets 520.2m / Total Current Liabilities 178.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.35 (Debt 297.1m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 841.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = 7.29 (Net Debt 291.6m / EBITDA 40.8m)
Debt / FCF = 5.03 (Debt 297.1m / FCF TTM 59.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 854.7m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -0.50% (Net Income -6.91m, Total Assets 1.39b )
RoE = -0.81% (Net Income TTM -6.91m / Total Stockholder Equity 854.7m)
RoCE = 2.08% (Ebit 23.8m / (Equity 854.7m + L.T.Debt 290.7m))
RoIC = 1.04% (NOPAT 12.0m / Invested Capital 1.16b)
WACC = 5.79% (E(587.9m)/V(885.0m) * Re(8.56%)) + (D(297.1m)/V(885.0m) * Rd(0.64%) * (1-Tc(0.50)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -65.65 | Cagr: -0.37%
Discount Rate = 8.56% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.46% ; FCFE base≈49.3m ; Y1≈52.8m ; Y5≈64.2m
Fair Price DCF = 47.80 (DCF Value 1.02b / Shares Outstanding 21.3m; 5y FCF grow 7.88% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: -74.84 | Revenue CAGR: -11.11%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -22.42
EPS Correlation: -50.69 | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -80.55

Additional Sources for MGPI Stock

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