(MIRM) Mirum Pharmaceuticals - Ratings and Ratios
LIVMARLI, Cholbam, Chenodal, Volixibat
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 55.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 81.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.01% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.78 |
| Alpha | 84.23 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.07 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.550 |
| Beta | 0.782 |
| Beta Downside | 0.869 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 32.52% |
| Mean DD | 10.20% |
| Median DD | 8.52% |
Description: MIRM Mirum Pharmaceuticals November 10, 2025
Mirum Pharmaceuticals (NASDAQ:MIRM) is a U.S. biotech that develops and commercializes oral, minimally absorbed therapies targeting rare and orphan diseases, most notably its FDA-approved IBAT inhibitor LIVMARLI for cholestatic pruritus in Alagille syndrome patients.
Beyond LIVMARLI, the firm markets Cholbam (cholic acid) for bile-acid synthesis disorders and Chenodal (chenodiol) for gallbladder radiolucent stones, while advancing Volixibat in a Phase 2b trial for adult cholestatic liver disease and pursuing a Phase 3 study of Chenodal for cerebrotendinous xanthomatosis.
As of its latest Q2 2024 filing, Mirum reported cash and cash equivalents of approximately $85 million, giving it an estimated 12-month runway at current burn rates; its market capitalization hovered around $250 million, reflecting a price-to-sales multiple near 12× for its niche rare-disease portfolio.
Key sector drivers include the U.S. Orphan Drug Act’s 7-year exclusivity and tax credits, which historically boost rare-disease biotech valuations by ~30 % versus non-orphan peers, and a projected CAGR of 11 % for the global orphan-drug market through 2030, driven by increasing diagnostic capabilities and payer willingness to fund high-impact therapies.
For a deeper, data-driven dive into Mirum’s valuation nuances, you may find ValueRay’s analytical tools useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (-41.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 28.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 9.72pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 78.47% (prev 88.22%; Δ -9.76pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 44.7m > Net Income -41.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 3.31 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (57.0m) change vs 12m ago 19.28% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 79.92% (prev 72.68%; Δ 7.24pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 64.94% (prev 45.97%; Δ 18.97pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -2.67 (EBITDA TTM -5.49m / Interest Expense TTM 11.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.34
| (A) 0.47 = (Total Current Assets 530.6m - Total Current Liabilities 160.4m) / Total Assets 785.1m |
| (B) -0.84 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -661.8m / Total Assets 785.1m |
| (C) -0.04 = EBIT TTM -29.7m / Avg Total Assets 726.5m |
| (D) -1.34 = Book Value of Equity -661.8m / Total Liabilities 493.1m |
| Total Rating: -1.34 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.49
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.36% |
| 3. FCF Margin 9.39% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.09 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -6.70 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -13.96)% |
| 7. RoE -16.47% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 83.52% |
| 9. EPS Trend 85.34% |
What is the price of MIRM shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +26.47%, over one month by +12.29%, over three months by +9.66% and over the past year by +94.27%.
Is MIRM a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MIRM price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 98 | 20.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 98 | 20.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 133.5 | 64.7% |
MIRM Fundamental Data Overview December 17, 2025
P/E Forward = 39.6825
P/S = 7.022
P/B = 11.5032
Beta = 0.424
Revenue TTM = 471.8m USD
EBIT TTM = -29.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -5.49m USD
Long Term Debt = 309.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.04m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 318.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 36.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 3.26b USD (3.31b + Debt 318.8m - CCE 375.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.67 (Ebit TTM -29.7m / Interest Expense TTM 11.1m)
FCF Yield = 1.36% (FCF TTM 44.3m / Enterprise Value 3.26b)
FCF Margin = 9.39% (FCF TTM 44.3m / Revenue TTM 471.8m)
Net Margin = -8.78% (Net Income TTM -41.4m / Revenue TTM 471.8m)
Gross Margin = 79.92% ((Revenue TTM 471.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 94.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 80.80% (prev 81.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 4.15 (Enterprise Value 3.26b / Total Assets 785.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.11% (Interest Expense 355.0k / Debt 318.8m)
Taxrate = -9.91% (negative due to tax credits) (-262.0k / 2.64m)
NOPAT = -32.7m (EBIT -29.7m * (1 - -9.91%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 3.31 (Total Current Assets 530.6m / Total Current Liabilities 160.4m)
Debt / Equity = 1.09 (Debt 318.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 292.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = -6.70 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 36.7m / EBITDA -5.49m)
Debt / FCF = 0.83 (Net Debt 36.7m / FCF TTM 44.3m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 251.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -5.28% (Net Income -41.4m / Total Assets 785.1m)
RoE = -16.47% (Net Income TTM -41.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 251.5m)
RoCE = -5.30% (EBIT -29.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 251.5m + L.T.Debt 309.4m))
RoIC = -5.83% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -32.7m / Invested Capital 560.2m)
WACC = 8.13% (E(3.31b)/V(3.63b) * Re(8.90%) + D(318.8m)/V(3.63b) * Rd(0.11%) * (1-Tc(-0.10)))
Discount Rate = 8.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 10.45%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 66.67% ; FCFE base≈44.3m ; Y1≈29.1m ; Y5≈13.3m
Fair Price DCF = 4.40 (DCF Value 227.5m / Shares Outstanding 51.7m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 85.34 | EPS CAGR: 61.31% | SUE: 0.91 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 83.52 | Revenue CAGR: 171.6% | SUE: 0.36 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.07 | Chg30d=-0.041 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.01 | Chg30d=-0.391 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+96.2% | Growth Revenue=+19.9%
Additional Sources for MIRM Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle