(MLCO) Melco Resorts - Ratings and Ratios
Casino, Hotel, Entertainment, Resort, Gaming
MLCO EPS (Earnings per Share)
MLCO Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 46.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 73.8% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.79 |
| Alpha Jensen | 21.20 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.700 |
| Beta | 0.647 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.96% |
| Mean DD | 38.90% |
Description: MLCO Melco Resorts November 08, 2025
Melco Resorts & Entertainment Ltd (NASDAQ: MLCO) develops, owns, and operates integrated casino-resort complexes across Asia and Europe, including flagship properties such as City of Dreams, Altira Macau, and Studio City in Macau, as well as City of Dreams Manila and a growing portfolio of venues in Cyprus. The business combines gaming tables and slot machines with hotels, dining, retail, and entertainment amenities, and it is a subsidiary of Melco Leisure and Entertainment Group.
Key recent metrics show FY 2023 total revenue of US$ 4.9 billion, a 12 % year-over-year increase driven primarily by a rebound in Macau’s gaming turnover and higher occupancy rates (≈ 86 % across its Macau hotels). Adjusted EBITDA margin improved to 31 % as non-gaming revenue-particularly from food-beverage and retail-expanded by roughly 15 % YoY, reflecting the company’s diversification strategy. The sector’s performance remains highly sensitive to Chinese outbound tourism, regulatory caps on gaming tables, and macro-level consumer confidence in the Greater China region.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find the ValueRay platform’s detailed financial models and scenario analyses useful.
MLCO Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 3,373m |
| Sub-Industry | Casinos & Gaming |
| IPO / Inception | 2006-12-19 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 24.4% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.93 of 5 |
MLCO Dividends
Currently no dividends paidMLCO Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 6.99% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.10 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.18 |
| Current Volume | 2079.8k |
| Average Volume | 2414.3k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (104.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 303.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.47pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 2.61% (prev 4.74%; Δ -2.13pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 626.7m > Net Income 104.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (6.15b) to EBITDA (1.09b) ratio: 5.62 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.08 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (131.6m) change vs 12m ago -69.54% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 36.30% (prev 31.87%; Δ 4.43pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 62.88% (prev 56.80%; Δ 6.08pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.18 (EBITDA TTM 1.09b / Interest Expense TTM 473.8m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.45
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 1.72b - Total Current Liabilities 1.58b) / Total Assets 8.10b |
| (B) -0.48 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -3.89b / Total Assets 8.10b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 560.3m / Avg Total Assets 8.05b |
| (D) -0.43 = Book Value of Equity -3.94b / Total Liabilities 9.06b |
| Total Rating: -1.45 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 64.04
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.42% = 1.71 |
| 3. FCF Margin 6.43% = 1.61 |
| 4. Debt/Equity -5.82 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.62 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.95)% = 7.44 |
| 7. RoE -7.73% = -1.29 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 77.44% = 5.81 |
| 9. EPS Trend 75.19% = 3.76 |
What is the price of MLCO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +11.98%, over one month by +20.13%, over three months by +4.49% and over the past year by +44.20%.
Is Melco Resorts a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MLCO is around 8.75 USD . This means that MLCO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -3.53%.
Is MLCO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the MLCO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 10.9 | 20% |
| Analysts Target Price | 10.9 | 20% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 9.3 | 2.9% |
MLCO Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 32.6923
P/E Forward = 14.4092
P/S = 0.6665
P/B = 105.5218
P/EG = 0.1509
Beta = 0.647
Revenue TTM = 5.06b USD
EBIT TTM = 560.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.09b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.14b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 510.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 7.63b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.15b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 9.52b USD (3.37b + Debt 7.63b - CCE 1.48b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.18 (Ebit TTM 560.3m / Interest Expense TTM 473.8m)
FCF Yield = 3.42% (FCF TTM 325.5m / Enterprise Value 9.52b)
FCF Margin = 6.43% (FCF TTM 325.5m / Revenue TTM 5.06b)
Net Margin = 2.06% (Net Income TTM 104.1m / Revenue TTM 5.06b)
Gross Margin = 36.30% ((Revenue TTM 5.06b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 38.83% (prev 34.40%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.17 (Enterprise Value 9.52b / Total Assets 8.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.47% (Interest Expense 112.2m / Debt 7.63b)
Taxrate = 1.34% (845.0k / 62.9m)
NOPAT = 552.8m (EBIT 560.3m * (1 - 1.34%))
Current Ratio = 1.08 (Total Current Assets 1.72b / Total Current Liabilities 1.58b)
Debt / Equity = -5.82 (negative equity) (Debt 7.63b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -1.31b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.62 (Net Debt 6.15b / EBITDA 1.09b)
Debt / FCF = 18.89 (Net Debt 6.15b / FCF TTM 325.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -1.35b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.29% (Net Income 104.1m / Total Assets 8.10b)
RoE = -7.73% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 104.1m / Total Stockholder Equity -1.35b)
RoCE = 9.68% (EBIT 560.3m / Capital Employed (Equity -1.35b + L.T.Debt 7.14b))
RoIC = 9.53% (NOPAT 552.8m / Invested Capital 5.80b)
WACC = 3.58% (E(3.37b)/V(11.00b) * Re(8.40%) + D(7.63b)/V(11.00b) * Rd(1.47%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 8.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -45.14%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.29% ; FCFE base≈338.8m ; Y1≈418.0m ; Y5≈713.1m
Fair Price DCF = 28.99 (DCF Value 11.32b / Shares Outstanding 390.4m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 75.19 | EPS CAGR: 508.1% | SUE: 0.56 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 77.44 | Revenue CAGR: 63.80% | SUE: 0.77 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for MLCO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle