MNRO Stock Analysis: Monro Muffler Brake | NASDAQ

Auto Parts | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 517m USD | 12M Return: 10.6% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Tires, Brakes, Mufflers, Alignments

Total Rating 25

Safety 57

Buy Signal -0.90

Auto Parts
Industry Rotation: -13.0

Market Cap: 517M
Avg Turnover: 17.6M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility48.0%

VaR 5^th Pctl7.84%

VaR vs Median-0.74%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio0.39

Rel. Str. IBD33.2

Rel. Str. Peer Group47.2

Character TTM

Beta1.386

Beta Downside1.814

Hurst Exponent0.546

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD68.07%

CAGR/Max DD-0.32

CAGR/Mean DD-0.54

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -37.36%
EPS Trend: -92.6%

Last SUE: -0.95
Qual. Beats: -1

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -4.20%
Rev. Trend: -98.2%

Last SUE: -1.65
Qual. Beats: -1

Warnings

P/E Ratio 551.3

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Choppy

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.1% 13

Feb -0.9% 14

Mar -1.8% 29

Apr +2.1% 27

May -4.2% 27

Jun +0.3% 0

Jul +2.8% 6

Aug -6.0% 28

Sep -1.2% 19

Oct -7.1% 10

Nov +4.5% 34

Dec +3.8% 34

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MNRO Monro Muffler Brake

Monro, Inc. (NASDAQ: MNRO) operates a chain of retail tire and automotive repair stores across the United States, primarily serving passenger cars, light trucks, and vans. Its service offering covers replacement tires, tire-related services, routine maintenance, and undercar repair work, including brakes, mufflers and exhaust systems, steering, drive train, suspension, and wheel alignment.

The company runs a multi-brand retail model, operating stores under several banners such as Monro Auto Service and Tire Centers, Tire Choice Auto Service Centers, Mr. Tire Auto Service Centers, Car-X Tire & Auto, Tire Warehouse Tires for Less, Ken Towerys Tire & Auto Care, Mountain View Tire & Auto Service, and Tire Barn Warehouse. Founded in 1957 and headquartered in Fairport, New York, Monro has been publicly traded since 1991.

The U.S. automotive aftermarket, in which Monro competes, is highly fragmented and consists largely of regional and independent operators alongside national chains. Demand for the companys services is tied to vehicle miles driven, average vehicle age, and discretionary consumer spending on maintenance and repair rather than new vehicle sales.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Tire pricing and commodity costs swing quarterly gross margins
Aging US vehicle fleet drives demand for repair services
EV adoption pressures long-term tire and brake service revenue

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 2.5

Net Income: 2.17m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.04 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.94 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -24.30% < 20% (prev -20.65%; Δ -3.65% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.04 > 3% & CFO 70.4m > Net Income 2.17m
Net Debt (897.2m) to EBITDA (90.1m): 9.96 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.46 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (30.0m) vs 12m ago 0.19% < -2%
Gross Margin: 35.02% > 18% (prev 34.94%; Δ 0.08% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 72.10% > 50% (prev 72.81%; Δ -0.70% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.65 > 6 (EBIT TTM 28.4m / Interest Expense TTM 17.2m)

Altman Z'' 0.79

A: -0.18 (Total Current Assets 236.6m - Total Current Liabilities 517.8m) / Total Assets 1.57b
B: 0.37 (Retained Earnings 581.7m / Total Assets 1.57b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 28.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.60b)
D: 0.61 (Book Value of Equity 591.5m / Total Liabilities 976.5m)
Altman-Z'' = 0.79 = B

Beneish M -2.63

DSRI: 1.33 (Receivables 45.4m/35.2m, Revenue 1.16b/1.20b)
GMI: 1.00 (GM 34.94% / 35.02%)
AQI: 1.25 (AQ_t 0.58 / AQ_t-1 0.47)
SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 1.16b / 1.20b)
TATA: -0.04 (NI 2.17m - CFO 70.4m) / TA 1.57b)
Beneish M = -2.63 (Cap -4..+1) = A

What is the price of MNRO shares?

As of July 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 16.81 with a total of 573,043 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.32%, over one month by +18.30%, over three months by +4.55% and over the past year by +10.63%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 15.80 (which is 6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is MNRO a buy, sell or hold?

Monro Muffler Brake has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.40. Therefore, it is recommended to hold MNRO.

StrongBuy: 1
Buy: 0
Hold: 4
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MNRO price?

Analysts Target Price	23.4	39.1%

Monro Muffler Brake (MNRO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 10 July 2026

Market Cap USD = 516.8m (516.8m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 551.3334
P/E Forward = 59.5238
P/S = 0.4466
P/B = 0.9098
P/EG = 3.9586
Revenue TTM = 1.16b USD
EBIT TTM = 28.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 90.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 60.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 76.5m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 911.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 425.9m
Net Debt = 897.2m USD (calculated: Debt 911.8m - CCE 14.6m)
Enterprise Value = 1.41b USD (516.8m + Debt 911.8m - CCE 14.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.65 (Ebit TTM 28.4m / Interest Expense TTM 17.2m)
EV/FCF = 20.07x (Enterprise Value 1.41b / FCF TTM 70.4m)
FCF Yield = 4.98% (FCF TTM 70.4m / Enterprise Value 1.41b)
FCF Margin = 6.09% (FCF TTM 70.4m / Revenue TTM 1.16b)
Net Margin = 0.19% (Net Income TTM 2.17m / Revenue TTM 1.16b)
Gross Margin = 35.02% ((Revenue TTM 1.16b - Cost of Revenue TTM 751.9m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 33.92% (prev 34.89%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.90 (Enterprise Value 1.41b / Total Assets 1.57b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.89% (Interest Expense 17.2m / Debt 911.8m)
Taxrate = 29.90% (927k / 3.10m)
NOPAT = 19.9m (EBIT 28.4m * (1 - 29.90%))
Current Ratio = 0.46 (Total Current Assets 236.6m / Total Current Liabilities 517.8m)
Debt / Equity = 1.54 (Debt 911.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 591.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.96 (Net Debt 897.2m / EBITDA 90.1m)
Debt / FCF = 12.74 (Net Debt 897.2m / FCF TTM 70.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 600.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.14% (Net Income 2.17m / Total Assets 1.57b)
RoE = 0.36% (Net Income TTM 2.17m / Total Stockholder Equity 600.7m)
RoCE = 4.30% (EBIT 28.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 600.7m + L.T.Debt 60.0m))
RoIC = 1.79% (NOPAT 19.9m / Invested Capital 1.11b)
WACC = 4.77% (E(516.8m)/V(1.43b) * Re(10.86%) + D(911.8m)/V(1.43b) * Rd(1.89%) * (1-Tc(0.30)))
Discount Rate = 10.86% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -2.22 | Cagr: -3.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈84.5m ; Y1≈74.1m ; Y5≈59.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 2.04 (EV 960.8m - Net Debt 897.2m = Equity 63.6m / Shares 31.2m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow -15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -92.62 | EPS CAGR: -37.36% | SUE: -0.95 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -98.16 | Revenue CAGR: -4.20% | SUE: -1.65 | # QB: -1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.03 | Chg30d=-87.42% | Revisions=-57% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.16 | Chg30d=-30.67% | Revisions=-57% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=0.33 | Chg30d=-49.85% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=-20.5% | GrowthRev=+0.4%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=0.62 | Chg30d=-32.97% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+85.6% | GrowthRev=+3.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -82% (up=0, down=14)