MNRO Stock Analysis: Monro Muffler Brake | NASDAQ

Tires, Brakes, Mufflers, Alignments

Total Rating 20

Safety 61

Buy Signal -0.71

Auto Parts
Industry Rotation: +3.8

Market Cap: 392M
Avg Turnover: 15.7M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility89.1%

VaR 5^th Pctl14.5%

VaR vs Median-0.85%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio-0.15

Rel. Str. IBD5.2

Rel. Str. Peer Group21.9

Character TTM

Beta1.238

Beta Downside1.890

Hurst Exponent0.530

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD61.56%

CAGR/Max DD-0.39

CAGR/Mean DD-0.76

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: -49.15%
EPS Trend: -88.7%

Last SUE: -1.11
Qual. Beats: -2

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -4.24%
Rev. Trend: -98.2%

Last SUE: 0.09
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Altman Z'' In Financial Distress Zone

Overextended 3d

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -0.2% 16

Feb -0.5% 8

Mar -1.6% 22

Apr +1.8% 20

May -6.1% 33

Jun +0.4% 5

Jul -0.2% 7

Aug -7.4% 39

Sep -1.1% 14

Oct -7.4% 17

Nov +4.5% 38

Dec +3.8% 28

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MNRO Monro Muffler Brake

Monro, Inc. (NASDAQ: MNRO) operates a chain of retail tire and automotive repair stores across the United States, primarily serving passenger cars, light trucks, and vans. Its service offering covers replacement tires, tire-related services, routine maintenance, and undercar repair work, including brakes, mufflers and exhaust systems, steering, drive train, suspension, and wheel alignment.

The company runs a multi-brand retail model, operating stores under several banners such as Monro Auto Service and Tire Centers, Tire Choice Auto Service Centers, Mr. Tire Auto Service Centers, Car-X Tire & Auto, Tire Warehouse Tires for Less, Ken Towerys Tire & Auto Care, Mountain View Tire & Auto Service, and Tire Barn Warehouse. Founded in 1957 and headquartered in Fairport, New York, Monro has been publicly traded since 1991.

The U.S. automotive aftermarket, in which Monro competes, is highly fragmented and consists largely of regional and independent operators alongside national chains. Demand for the companys services is tied to vehicle miles driven, average vehicle age, and discretionary consumer spending on maintenance and repair rather than new vehicle sales.

Headlines to Watch Out For

Tire pricing and commodity costs swing quarterly gross margins
Aging US vehicle fleet drives demand for repair services
EV adoption pressures long-term tire and brake service revenue

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 1.0

Net Income: 8.07m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.26 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -21.09% < 20% (prev -20.87%; Δ -0.22% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 42.0m > Net Income 8.07m
Net Debt (937.7m) to EBITDA (99.9m): 9.39 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.49 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (30.1m) vs 12m ago 0.55% < -2%
Gross Margin: 34.88% > 18% (prev 34.52%; Δ 0.36% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 72.32% > 50% (prev 74.96%; Δ -2.64% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.23 > 6 (EBIT TTM 38.2m / Interest Expense TTM 17.1m)

Altman Z'' 0.97

A: -0.15 (Total Current Assets 231.7m - Total Current Liabilities 472.9m) / Total Assets 1.56b
B: 0.37 (Retained Earnings 570.6m / Total Assets 1.56b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 38.2m / Avg Total Assets 1.58b)
D: 0.60 (Book Value of Equity 582.5m / Total Liabilities 974.0m)
Altman-Z'' = 0.97 = BB

Beneish M -3.04

DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 15.6m/16.0m, Revenue 1.14b/1.20b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 34.52% / 34.88%)
AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.49 / AQ_t-1 0.48)
SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 1.14b / 1.20b)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 8.07m - CFO 42.0m) / TA 1.56b)
Beneish M = -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA

What is the price of MNRO shares?

As of August 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 12.61 with a total of 1,187,981 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +20.43%, over one month by -15.76%, over three months by -12.26% and over the past year by -12.92%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 11.50 (which is 8.8% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is MNRO a buy, sell or hold?

Monro Muffler Brake has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.40. Therefore, it is recommended to hold MNRO.

StrongBuy: 1
Buy: 0
Hold: 4
Sell: 0
StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MNRO price?

Analysts Target Price	22	74.5%

Monro Muffler Brake (MNRO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 August 2026

Market Cap USD = 392.4m (392.4m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 54.5652
P/E Forward = 66.2252
P/S = 0.3432
P/B = 0.6739
P/EG = 4.4053
Revenue TTM = 1.14b USD
EBIT TTM = 38.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 99.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 108.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 76.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 947.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 419.4m
Net Debt = 937.7m USD (calculated: Debt 947.3m - CCE 9.53m)
Enterprise Value = 1.33b USD (392.4m + Debt 947.3m - CCE 9.53m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.23 (Ebit TTM 38.2m / Interest Expense TTM 17.1m)
EV/FCF = 31.78x (Enterprise Value 1.33b / FCF TTM 41.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.15% (FCF TTM 41.9m / Enterprise Value 1.33b)
FCF Margin = 3.66% (FCF TTM 41.9m / Revenue TTM 1.14b)
Net Margin = 0.71% (Net Income TTM 8.07m / Revenue TTM 1.14b)
Gross Margin = 34.88% ((Revenue TTM 1.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 744.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.97% (prev 33.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.85 (Enterprise Value 1.33b / Total Assets 1.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.80% (Interest Expense 17.1m / Debt 947.3m)
Taxrate = 31.61% (3.73m / 11.8m)
NOPAT = 26.1m (EBIT 38.2m * (1 - 31.61%))
Current Ratio = 0.49 (Total Current Assets 231.7m / Total Current Liabilities 472.9m)
Debt / Equity = 1.63 (Debt 947.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 582.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.39 (Net Debt 937.7m / EBITDA 99.9m)
Debt / FCF = 22.40 (Net Debt 937.7m / FCF TTM 41.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 595.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.51% (Net Income 8.07m / Total Assets 1.56b)
RoE = 1.36% (Net Income TTM 8.07m / Total Stockholder Equity 595.2m)
RoCE = 5.42% (EBIT 38.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 595.2m + L.T.Debt 108.4m))
RoIC = 2.27% (NOPAT 26.1m / Invested Capital 1.15b)
WACC = 3.87% (E(392.4m)/V(1.34b) * Re(10.25%) + D(947.3m)/V(1.34b) * Rd(1.80%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 10.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -46.79 | Cagr: -1.50%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈56.9m ; Y1≈49.9m ; Y5≈40.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 647.1m - Net Debt 937.7m = -290.7m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -88.74 | EPS CAGR: -49.15% | SUE: -1.11 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: -98.18 | Revenue CAGR: -4.24% | SUE: 0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.05 | Chg30d=-66.67% | Revisions=-62% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=0.22 | Chg30d=+4.72% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=0.12 | Chg30d=-64.07% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=-71.4% | GrowthRev=-0.3%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=0.41 | Chg30d=-34.19% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+240.0% | GrowthRev=+3.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -67% (up=2, down=16)