MNRO Stock Analysis: Monro Muffler Brake | NASDAQ
Auto Parts | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 430m USD | 12M Return: -14.6% | US6102361010 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 11.4M
EPS Trend: -88.7%
Qual. Beats: -2
Rev. Trend: -98.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Monro, Inc. (NASDAQ: MNRO) operates a network of retail tire and automotive repair stores across the United States, offering replacement tires, tire-related services, automotive undercar repair, and routine maintenance primarily for passenger cars, light trucks, and vans. Its service offerings extend to brakes, mufflers and exhaust systems, steering, drive train, suspension, and wheel alignment.
The company runs its stores under multiple regional brand names, including Monro Auto Service and Tire Centers, Tire Choice Auto Service Centers, Mr. Tire Auto Service Centers, Car-X Tire & Auto, Tire Warehouse Tires for Less, Ken Towerys Tire & Auto Care, Mountain View Tire & Auto Service, and Tire Barn Warehouse. Founded in 1957 and headquartered in Fairport, New York, Monro has grown through both organic expansion and acquisitions, a common approach in the automotive retail sector.
As a small-cap stock within the Consumer Discretionary sector (GICS Sub Industry: Automotive Retail), Monros revenue is closely tied to consumer spending on vehicle maintenance and discretionary repair services, which tend to be relatively resilient during economic downturns as consumers often defer new vehicle purchases in favor of maintaining existing ones.
- Discount Tire expansion pressures comparable store tire sales
- Tariffs on imported tires compress gross margins
- Acquisition-driven store count growth fuels revenue expansion
| Net Income: 8.07m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.03 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.26 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -21.09% < 20% (prev -20.87%; Δ -0.22% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.03 > 3% & CFO 42.0m > Net Income 8.07m |
| Net Debt (937.7m) to EBITDA (90.6m): 10.35 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.49 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (30.1m) vs 12m ago 0.55% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 34.88% > 18% (prev 34.52%; Δ 0.36% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 72.32% > 50% (prev 74.96%; Δ -2.64% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.69 > 6 (EBIT TTM 28.9m / Interest Expense TTM 17.1m) |
| A: -0.15 (Total Current Assets 231.7m - Total Current Liabilities 472.9m) / Total Assets 1.56b |
| B: 0.37 (Retained Earnings 570.6m / Total Assets 1.56b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 28.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.58b) |
| D: 0.60 (Book Value of Equity 582.5m / Total Liabilities 974.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.93 = BB |
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 15.6m/16.0m, Revenue 1.14b/1.20b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 34.52% / 34.88%) |
| AQI: 1.01 (AQ_t 0.49 / AQ_t-1 0.48) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 1.14b / 1.20b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 8.07m - CFO 42.0m) / TA 1.56b) |
| Beneish M = -3.04 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 15, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 13.46 with a total of 583,979 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.32%, over one month by +4.67%, over three months by -20.60% and over the past year by -14.60%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 12.70 (which is 5.6% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Monro Muffler Brake has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.80. Therefore, it is recommended to hold MNRO.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 22 | 63.4% |
P/E Trailing = 62.4545
P/E Forward = 75.188
P/S = 0.3757
P/B = 0.7664
P/EG = 5.0105
Revenue TTM = 1.14b USD
EBIT TTM = 28.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 90.6m USD
Long Term Debt = 108.4m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 76.2m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 947.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 419.4m
Net Debt = 937.7m USD (calculated: Debt 947.3m - CCE 9.53m)
Enterprise Value = 1.37b USD (429.6m + Debt 947.3m - CCE 9.53m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.69 (Ebit TTM 28.9m / Interest Expense TTM 17.1m)
EV/FCF = 32.67x (Enterprise Value 1.37b / FCF TTM 41.9m)
FCF Yield = 3.06% (FCF TTM 41.9m / Enterprise Value 1.37b)
FCF Margin = 3.66% (FCF TTM 41.9m / Revenue TTM 1.14b)
Net Margin = 0.71% (Net Income TTM 8.07m / Revenue TTM 1.14b)
Gross Margin = 34.88% ((Revenue TTM 1.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 744.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 34.97% (prev 33.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.88 (Enterprise Value 1.37b / Total Assets 1.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.80% (Interest Expense 17.1m / Debt 947.3m)
Taxrate = 31.61% (3.73m / 11.8m)
NOPAT = 19.8m (EBIT 28.9m * (1 - 31.61%))
Current Ratio = 0.49 (Total Current Assets 231.7m / Total Current Liabilities 472.9m)
Debt / Equity = 1.63 (Debt 947.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 582.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 10.35 (Net Debt 937.7m / EBITDA 90.6m)
Debt / FCF = 22.40 (Net Debt 937.7m / FCF TTM 41.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 595.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.51% (Net Income 8.07m / Total Assets 1.56b)
RoE = 1.36% (Net Income TTM 8.07m / Total Stockholder Equity 595.2m)
RoCE = 4.11% (EBIT 28.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 595.2m + L.T.Debt 108.4m))
RoIC = 1.72% (NOPAT 19.8m / Invested Capital 1.15b)
WACC = 4.10% (E(429.6m)/V(1.38b) * Re(10.42%) + D(947.3m)/V(1.38b) * Rd(1.80%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 10.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -46.79 | Cagr: -1.50%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.10% ; FCFF base≈56.9m ; Y1≈49.9m ; Y5≈40.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = N/A (negative equity: EV 647.1m - Net Debt 937.7m = -290.7m; debt exceeds intrinsic value)
EPS Correlation: -88.74 | EPS CAGR: -49.15% | SUE: -1.11 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: -98.18 | Revenue CAGR: -4.24% | SUE: 0.09 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.05 | Chg30d=-7.69% | Revisions=-62% | Analysts=5
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=0.22 | Chg30d=-1.80% | Revisions=+17% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=0.11 | Chg30d=-10.00% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=-74.3% | GrowthRev=-0.5%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=0.40 | Chg30d=-2.94% | Revisions=-62% | GrowthEPS=+266.7% | GrowthRev=+3.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -67% (up=2, down=16)