(MOB) Mobilicom American - Ratings and Ratios
Cybersecurity Software, Data-Link Hardware, Controller Units, Mesh Communication
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 177% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 242% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -16.98% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.33 |
| Alpha | 184.37 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.17 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.417 |
| Beta | 2.094 |
| Beta Downside | 2.435 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 74.43% |
| Mean DD | 41.03% |
| Median DD | 44.71% |
Description: MOB Mobilicom American October 20, 2025
Mobilicom Limited (NASDAQ:MOB) designs and sells hardware, software, and cybersecurity solutions for commercial and defense drones, small-unmanned aerial vehicles (SUAV) and robotics across Israel, North America and global markets. Its flagship OS3 platform secures operational safety and regulatory compliance, while the ICE suite delivers automated, real-time cyber-attack detection and response.
Key product lines include the cloud-based CONTROLit network-management system, bi-directional SkyHopper datalinks, mobile mesh communication relays, and a family of handheld controllers (e.g., 7″ Mini-Controller PRO, 10″ Maxi-Controller PRO) that integrate power, HD low-latency video and flexible payload support.
The company’s customer base features major defense and aerospace players such as Israel Aerospace Industries, Airbus, Elbit Systems, Rafael Technologies, ST Engineering and the U.S. Department of Defense, indicating deep penetration in high-margin, government-driven procurement pipelines.
Industry context: the global drone cybersecurity market is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~23% through 2030, driven by increasing regulatory scrutiny and rising threat vectors in both civil and defense sectors. Mobilicom’s 2023 revenue (≈ $15 million) grew ~12% YoY, and its backlog of defense contracts was reported at $8 million, suggesting a modest but expanding revenue base relative to a total addressable market estimated at $1.5 billion.
For a deeper dive into MOB’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| Net Income (-12.6m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 383.2k TTM) |
| FCFTA -1.01 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -79.93pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 114.9% (prev 489.2%; Δ -374.3pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -1.00 (>3.0%) and CFO -9.22m > Net Income -12.6m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 6.94 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (2.07b) change vs 12m ago 42.8k% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 58.24% (prev 64.16%; Δ -5.92pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 46.48% (prev 16.44%; Δ 30.04pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -4.58 (EBITDA TTM -14.9m / Interest Expense TTM 3.33m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -11.89
| (A) 0.80 = (Total Current Assets 8.57m - Total Current Liabilities 1.23m) / Total Assets 9.18m |
| (B) -3.32 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -30.5m / Total Assets 9.18m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -3.32 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -1.11 = EBIT TTM -15.2m / Avg Total Assets 13.7m |
| (D) 1.08 = Book Value of Equity 4.77m / Total Liabilities 4.41m |
| Total Rating: -11.89 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 49.54
| 1. Piotroski 0.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -12.52% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.11 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.42 |
| 7. RoE -177.9% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 22.46% |
| 9. EPS Trend 100.0% |
What is the price of MOB shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -11.74%, over one month by +8.94%, over three months by -4.33% and over the past year by +142.96%.
Is MOB a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MOB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 11.5 | 62.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 11.5 | 62.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 8.7 | 22.9% |
MOB Fundamental Data Overview December 02, 2025
P/S = 28.3276
P/B = 16.7863
Beta = 2.081
Revenue TTM = 6.39m USD
EBIT TTM = -15.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -14.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 525.0k USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 205.4k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 525.0k USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -6.31m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 73.8m USD (80.1m + Debt 525.0k - CCE 6.83m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.58 (Ebit TTM -15.2m / Interest Expense TTM 3.33m)
FCF Yield = -12.52% (FCF TTM -9.23m / Enterprise Value 73.8m)
FCF Margin = -144.6% (FCF TTM -9.23m / Revenue TTM 6.39m)
Net Margin = -196.9% (Net Income TTM -12.6m / Revenue TTM 6.39m)
Gross Margin = 58.24% ((Revenue TTM 6.39m - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.67m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 69.43% (prev 55.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 8.03 (Enterprise Value 73.8m / Total Assets 9.18m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 309.5% (Interest Expense 1.62m / Debt 525.0k)
Taxrate = -1.20% (negative due to tax credits) (75.1k / -6.27m)
NOPAT = -15.4m (EBIT -15.2m * (1 - -1.20%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 6.94 (Total Current Assets 8.57m / Total Current Liabilities 1.23m)
Debt / Equity = 0.11 (Debt 525.0k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.77m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.42 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -6.31m / EBITDA -14.9m)
Debt / FCF = 0.68 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -6.31m / FCF TTM -9.23m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 7.07m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -137.0% (out of range, set to none)
RoE = -177.9% (Net Income TTM -12.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 7.07m)
RoCE = -200.7% (out of range, set to none) (EBIT -15.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 7.07m + L.T.Debt 525.0k))
RoIC = -218.2% (out of range, set to none) (NOPAT -15.4m / Invested Capital 7.07m)
WACC = 13.64% (E(80.1m)/V(80.6m) * Re(13.73%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 13.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1973 %
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -9.23m)
EPS Correlation: 100.0 | EPS CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 22.46 | Revenue CAGR: -9.60% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.00 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+77.0% | Growth Revenue=+122.2%
Additional Sources for MOB Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle