Overview Dividends

(MOMO) Hello - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: China • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US4234031049

Live Video, Social App, Dating App, Ads Platform, Mobile Games

Interactive Media & Services
Market Cap in USD: 1,085m

IPO / Inception: 2014-12-11
Return 12m vs S&P 500: -17.8%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS CAGR: 15.64%
EPS Trend: -37.5%

Last SUE: 0.26
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: -8.34%
Rev. Trend: -88.6%

Last SUE: 0.01
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield	4.51%
Yield on Cost 5y	3.27%
Yield CAGR 5y	-8.19%
Payout Consistency	92.3%
Payout Ratio	7.0%

Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility	39.6%
Value at Risk 5%th	62.3%
Relative Tail Risk	-4.41%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	-0.05
Alpha	-15.97
CAGR/Max DD	0.01

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.710
Beta	0.471
Beta Downside	0.711

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	50.91%
Mean DD	26.41%
Median DD	28.04%

Description: MOMO Hello November 17, 2025

Hello Group Inc. (NASDAQ:MOMO) operates mobile-based social and entertainment platforms in China and abroad, organized into three primary segments: the Momo app (location-based social networking, live talent shows, short-form video, karaoke and other interactive experiences), the Tantan dating app, and a suite of ancillary apps (Hertz, Soulchill, Duidui). The company also monetizes live-video streaming, value-added services, advertising solutions, and mobile games.

Key recent metrics (as of Q4 2023) show that Momo’s monthly active users (MAU) reached approximately 120 million, up ~8 % YoY, while Tantan contributed roughly 55 million MAU with a 5 % YoY increase. Revenue grew 12 % YoY to $1.04 billion, driven primarily by a 15 % rise in advertising spend and a 9 % uplift in in-app purchases from the live-video and gaming segments.

Sector drivers that materially affect Hello Group include: (1) China’s tightening of data-privacy and content-moderation regulations, which can constrain user growth and advertising rates; (2) the broader shift of Chinese digital ad spend toward short-form video and live-streaming formats, supporting higher CPMs for platforms that can deliver engaged audiences; and (3) macro-level trends in discretionary consumer spending, where a slowdown in youth consumption could pressure the dating and entertainment verticals.

For a deeper, data-centric view of Hello Group’s valuation dynamics and how they compare to peers, you may find it worthwhile to explore the analytical tools on ValueRay.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0

Net Income (753.9m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 625.7m TTM)

FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.49pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 76.97% (prev 47.24%; Δ 29.73pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.06b > Net Income 753.9m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (458.5m) to EBITDA (1.22b) ratio: 0.38 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 5.20 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (318.9m) change vs 12m ago 74.28% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 37.09% (prev 40.60%; Δ -3.50pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 65.39% (prev 60.29%; Δ 5.10pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 10.67 (EBITDA TTM 1.22b / Interest Expense TTM 109.3m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 8.65

(A) 0.58 = (Total Current Assets 9.93b - Total Current Liabilities 1.91b) / Total Assets 13.74b

(B) 0.48 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 6.64b / Total Assets 13.74b

(D) 2.62 = Book Value of Equity 6.64b / Total Liabilities 2.53b

Total Rating: 8.65 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 66.42

1. Piotroski 5.0pt

2. FCF Yield 10.75%

3. FCF Margin 8.28%

4. Debt/Equity 0.42

5. Debt/Ebitda 0.38

6. ROIC - WACC (= 13.93)%

7. RoE 6.77%

8. Rev. Trend -88.61%

9. EPS Trend -37.47%

What is the price of MOMO shares?

As of December 22, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 6.65 with a total of 2,021,579 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.30%, over one month by -4.73%, over three months by -11.80% and over the past year by -4.85%.

Is MOMO a buy, sell or hold?

Hello has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.11. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOMO.

Strong Buy: 6
Buy: 0
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the MOMO price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	8.8	31.9%
Analysts Target Price	8.8	31.9%
ValueRay Target Price	6.9	3.8%

MOMO Fundamental Data Overview December 14, 2025

Market Cap CNY = 7.64b (1.08b USD * 7.0411 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 11.0656
P/E Forward = 6.4392
P/S = 0.104
P/B = 0.6829
P/EG = 0.9202
Beta = 0.43
Revenue TTM = 10.43b CNY
EBIT TTM = 1.17b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 1.22b CNY
Long Term Debt = 3.51m CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.61m CNY (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.58b CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = 458.5m CNY (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 8.02b CNY (7.64b + Debt 4.58b - CCE 4.19b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.67 (Ebit TTM 1.17b / Interest Expense TTM 109.3m)
FCF Yield = 10.75% (FCF TTM 863.0m / Enterprise Value 8.02b)
FCF Margin = 8.28% (FCF TTM 863.0m / Revenue TTM 10.43b)
Net Margin = 7.23% (Net Income TTM 753.9m / Revenue TTM 10.43b)
Gross Margin = 37.09% ((Revenue TTM 10.43b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.56b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.42% (prev 38.65%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.58 (Enterprise Value 8.02b / Total Assets 13.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.40% (Interest Expense 18.3m / Debt 4.58b)
Taxrate = 15.57% (65.1m / 418.3m)
NOPAT = 984.0m (EBIT 1.17b * (1 - 15.57%))
Current Ratio = 5.20 (Total Current Assets 9.93b / Total Current Liabilities 1.91b)
Debt / Equity = 0.42 (Debt 4.58b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.02b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.38 (Net Debt 458.5m / EBITDA 1.22b)
Debt / FCF = 0.53 (Net Debt 458.5m / FCF TTM 863.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.13b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.49% (Net Income 753.9m / Total Assets 13.74b)
RoE = 6.77% (Net Income TTM 753.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.13b)
RoCE = 10.47% (EBIT 1.17b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.13b + L.T.Debt 3.51m))
RoIC = 18.90% (NOPAT 984.0m / Invested Capital 5.21b)
WACC = 4.97% (E(7.64b)/V(12.22b) * Re(7.75%) + D(4.58b)/V(12.22b) * Rd(0.40%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 7.75% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 27.72%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.82% ; FCFE base≈938.4m ; Y1≈804.6m ; Y5≈627.5m
Fair Price DCF = 96.10 (DCF Value 11.46b / Shares Outstanding 119.3m; 5y FCF grow -17.35% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -37.47 | EPS CAGR: 15.64% | SUE: 0.26 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -88.61 | Revenue CAGR: -8.34% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.60 | Chg30d=-1.425 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+19.2% | Growth Revenue=-0.6%

Additional Sources for MOMO Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle