MOMO Stock Analysis: Hello | NASDAQ
Internet Content & Information | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 711m USD | 12M Return: -33.6% | US4234031049 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 3.79M
EPS Trend: -89.9%
Qual. Beats: -2
Rev. Trend: -94.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Hello Group Inc. (NASDAQ: MOMO) is a Beijing-based company that provides mobile-based social and entertainment services primarily in the Peoples Republic of China, with additional international operations. The company is structured around three reportable segments-Momo, Tantan, and QOOL-and operates a portfolio of apps including Momo (a location-based social platform featuring livestreams, short video, karaoke, and interactive shows), Tantan (a dating application), and secondary brands such as Hertz, Soulchill, Happn, and Duidui. The business was founded in 2011, went public on NASDAQ in December 2014, and was renamed from Momo Inc. to Hello Group Inc. in August 2021.
The company generates revenue across several streams, including livestreaming, value-added services, advertising and marketing solutions, and mobile games. Within Chinas broader interactive media sector, live video services such as those offered by Momo typically rely on a virtual gifting model, in which viewers purchase digital items to send to broadcasters during live sessions-a monetization approach widely used across Chinese livestreaming platforms. The company is classified under the GICS Communication Services sector and the Interactive Media & Services sub-industry, and is currently a small-cap stock with a market capitalization of approximately $826 million USD.
- Live video revenue pressured by tightening Chinese content regulations
- Tantan dating app user growth slows amid rising domestic competition
- Share buybacks continue to support earnings per share growth
| Net Income: 1.11b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.65 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 74.96% < 20% (prev 59.71%; Δ 15.25% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.49b > Net Income 1.11b |
| Net Debt (-8.38b) to EBITDA (1.49b): -5.63 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 5.13 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (156.5m) vs 12m ago -5.97% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 37.29% > 18% (prev 37.57%; Δ -0.28% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 67.65% > 50% (prev 63.29%; Δ 4.36% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 75.62 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.39b / Interest Expense TTM 18.4m) |
| A: 0.57 (Total Current Assets 9.40b - Total Current Liabilities 1.83b) / Total Assets 13.3b |
| B: 0.53 (Retained Earnings 7.10b / Total Assets 13.3b) |
| C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 1.39b / Avg Total Assets 14.9b) |
| D: 4.41 (Book Value of Equity 10.9b / Total Liabilities 2.47b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 10.71 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.03 (Receivables 238.6m/238.8m, Revenue 10.1b/10.5b) |
| GMI: 1.01 (GM 37.57% / 37.29%) |
| AQI: 0.71 (AQ_t 0.19 / AQ_t-1 0.26) |
| SGI: 0.97 (Revenue 10.1b / 10.5b) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 1.11b - CFO 1.49b) / TA 13.3b) |
| Beneish M = -3.19 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of September 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 4.90 with a total of 904,185 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.78%, over one month by -14.34%, over three months by -12.34% and over the past year by -33.60%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 4.70 (which is 4.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Hello has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.11. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOMO.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 7.8 | 58.6% |
Market Cap CNY = 4.77b (711.0m USD * 6.7074 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 4.901
P/E Forward = 6.4392
P/S = 0.0704
P/B = 0.4554
P/EG = 0.9202
Revenue TTM = 10.1b CNY
EBIT TTM = 1.39b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 1.49b CNY
Long Term Debt = 1.82m CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 42.3m CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 132.8m CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 64.6m
Net Debt = -8.38b CNY (calculated: Debt 132.8m - CCE 8.52b)
Enterprise Value = 4.77b CNY (floored to Market Cap, CCE > MCap+Debt)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 75.62 (Ebit TTM 1.39b / Interest Expense TTM 18.4m)
EV/FCF = 4.66x (Enterprise Value 4.77b / FCF TTM 1.02b)
FCF Yield = 21.46% (FCF TTM 1.02b / Enterprise Value 4.77b)
FCF Margin = 10.13% (FCF TTM 1.02b / Revenue TTM 10.1b)
Net Margin = 11.04% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Revenue TTM 10.1b)
Gross Margin = 37.29% ((Revenue TTM 10.1b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.33b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.67% (prev 38.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.36 (Enterprise Value 4.77b / Total Assets 13.3b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 13.88% (Interest Expense 18.4m / Debt 132.8m)
Taxrate = 20.24% (283.6m / 1.40b)
NOPAT = 1.11b (EBIT 1.39b * (1 - 20.24%))
Current Ratio = 5.13 (Total Current Assets 9.40b / Total Current Liabilities 1.83b)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 132.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = -5.63 (Net Debt -8.38b / EBITDA 1.49b)
Debt / FCF = -8.19 (Net Debt -8.38b / FCF TTM 1.02b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 10.9b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.47% (Net Income 1.11b / Total Assets 13.3b)
RoE = 10.19% (Net Income TTM 1.11b / Total Stockholder Equity 10.9b)
RoCE = 12.74% (EBIT 1.39b / Capital Employed (Equity 10.9b + L.T.Debt 1.82m))
RoIC = 10.07% (NOPAT 1.11b / Invested Capital 11.1b)
WACC = 8.87% (E(4.77b)/V(4.90b) * Re(8.81%) + D(132.8m)/V(4.90b) * Rd(13.88%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 8.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.89 | Cagr: -9.23%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.77% ; FCFF base≈1.08b ; Y1≈975.4m ; Y5≈839.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 200.0 (EV 12.3b - Net Debt -8.38b = Equity 20.7b / Shares 103.5m; r=8.87% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -11.71% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -89.86 | EPS CAGR: -35.14% | SUE: -1.15 | # QB: -2
Revenue Correlation: -94.91 | Revenue CAGR: -6.67% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.42 | Chg30d=-15.79% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.41 | Chg30d=-4.87% | Revisions=+57% | GrowthEPS=+9.3% | GrowthRev=-4.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.94 | Chg30d=-4.18% | Revisions=+29% | GrowthEPS=+8.2% | GrowthRev=+3.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +42% (up=7, down=2)