(MOMO) Hello - Overview

Sector: Communication Services | Industry: Internet Content & Information | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 897m USD | Total Return: 3.9% in 12m

Social Networking, Live Streaming, Online Dating, Mobile Games
Total Rating 53
Safety 75
Buy Signal -0.26
Internet Content & Information
Industry Rotation: -19.5
Market Cap: 897M
Avg Turnover: 2.83M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility36.8%
VaR 5th Pctl6.30%
VaR vs Median3.75%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.15
Rel. Str. IBD21.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group60.3
Character TTM
Beta0.803
Beta Downside0.740
Hurst Exponent0.451
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD50.91%
CAGR/Max DD-0.09
CAGR/Mean DD-0.17
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MOMO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 2.91, "2021-06": 2.54, "2021-09": 2.61, "2021-12": 1.38, "2022-03": 1.94, "2022-06": 2.22, "2022-09": 2.6, "2022-12": 2.46, "2023-03": 2.36, "2023-06": 3.14, "2023-09": 1.52, "2023-12": 2.64, "2024-03": 0.31, "2024-06": 2.38, "2024-09": 2.7, "2024-12": 1.3, "2025-03": 1.17, "2025-06": -0.58, "2025-09": 2.38, "2025-12": 1.7, "2026-03": null,
EPS CAGR: -27.16%
EPS Trend: -91.1%
Last SUE: 0.35
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of MOMO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 3515.85154, 2021-06: 3674.550067, 2021-09: 3749.631722, 2021-12: 3658.389004, 2022-03: 3149.868012, 2022-06: 3155.411281, 2022-09: 3370.129694, 2022-12: 3093.48924, 2023-03: 2832.086689, 2023-06: 3239.258349, 2023-09: 3066.583498, 2023-12: 3002.932, 2024-03: 2575.293703, 2024-06: 2700.530021, 2024-09: 2615.927444, 2024-12: 2636.496, 2025-03: 2516.008706, 2025-06: 2595.208068, 2025-09: 2636.227212, 2025-12: 2540.218045, 2026-03: 2540.218045,
Rev. CAGR: -7.74%
Rev. Trend: -95.0%
Last SUE: 0.18
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Description: MOMO Hello

Hello Group Inc. (NASDAQ: MOMO) is a Beijing-based provider of mobile social and entertainment platforms, primarily serving the Chinese market. Through its core segments-Momo, Tantan, and QOOL-the company facilitates location-based social networking, digital dating, and live-streaming entertainment. Its ecosystem integrates live video services, value-added features, and mobile gaming to monetize user engagement through virtual gifting and advertising.

The company operates within the Interactive Media & Services sector, where business models often rely on high-margin virtual item sales rather than traditional subscription tiers. In the Chinese social media landscape, these platforms frequently leverage live talent shows and interactive audio-visual experiences to drive user retention. For a deeper look into the companys valuation metrics, consider reviewing the data on ValueRay.

Founded in 2011 and rebranded from Momo Inc. in 2021, Hello Group has expanded its portfolio to include niche applications such as Hertz and Soulchill. These services target specific user demographics via audio-based social interactions and reality-show formats, diversifying the firm’s revenue streams beyond its primary dating and social discovery apps.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Live streaming revenue declines as paying user counts face persistent downward pressure
  • Tantan monetization struggles amid intensifying competition in the domestic dating market
  • Overseas expansion through Soulchill drives revenue diversification beyond the Chinese mainland
  • Regulatory oversight of social media content impacts platform engagement and operating costs
  • High dividend yields and share buybacks provide support for stock valuation levels
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 7.5
Net Income: 676.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.18 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 74.30% < 20% (prev 49.68%; Δ 24.62% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 1.46b > Net Income 676.3m
Net Debt (-8.55b) to EBITDA (1.40b): -6.11 < 3
Current Ratio: 4.68 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (165.3m) vs 12m ago -4.44% < -2%
Gross Margin: 37.61% > 18% (prev 0.38%; Δ 3.72k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 67.58% > 50% (prev 62.58%; Δ 5.00% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 31.44 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.40b / Interest Expense TTM 41.8m)
Altman Z'' 8.67
A: 0.56 (Total Current Assets 9.74b - Total Current Liabilities 2.08b) / Total Assets 13.79b
B: 0.52 (Retained Earnings 7.10b / Total Assets 13.79b)
C: 0.09 (EBIT TTM 1.31b / Avg Total Assets 15.26b)
D: 2.63 (Book Value of Equity 7.10b / Total Liabilities 2.70b)
Altman-Z'' Score: 8.67 = AAA
Beneish M -3.16
DSRI: 1.23 (Receivables 268.1m/222.2m, Revenue 10.31b/10.47b)
GMI: 1.01 (GM 37.61% / 38.07%)
AQI: 0.55 (AQ_t 0.18 / AQ_t-1 0.33)
SGI: 0.98 (Revenue 10.31b / 10.47b)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 676.3m - CFO 1.46b) / TA 13.79b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.16 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of MOMO shares? As of May 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 6.10 with a total of 489,297 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.02%, over one month by -4.98%, over three months by -4.20% and over the past year by +3.90%.
Is MOMO a buy, sell or hold? Hello has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.11. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOMO.
  • StrongBuy: 6
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the MOMO price?
Analysts Target Price 8.7 42.8%
Hello (MOMO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 21 May 2026
Market Cap CNY = 6.10b (896.8m USD * 6.8014 USD.CNY)
P/E Trailing = 8.6714
P/E Forward = 6.4392
P/S = 0.0865
P/B = 0.5768
P/EG = 0.9202
Revenue TTM = 10.31b CNY
EBIT TTM = 1.31b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 1.40b CNY
Long Term Debt = 3.13m CNY (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 85.8m CNY (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 128.9m CNY (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -8.55b CNY (recalculated: Debt 128.9m - CCE 8.68b)
Enterprise Value = 6.10b CNY (floored to Market Cap, CCE > MCap+Debt)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 31.44 (Ebit TTM 1.31b / Interest Expense TTM 41.8m)
EV/FCF = 8.75x (Enterprise Value 6.10b / FCF TTM 696.9m)
FCF Yield = 11.43% (FCF TTM 696.9m / Enterprise Value 6.10b)
FCF Margin = 6.76% (FCF TTM 696.9m / Revenue TTM 10.31b)
Net Margin = 6.56% (Net Income TTM 676.3m / Revenue TTM 10.31b)
Gross Margin = 37.61% ((Revenue TTM 10.31b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.43b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.17% (prev 37.17%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.44 (Enterprise Value 6.10b / Total Assets 13.79b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.02% (Interest Expense 28.6k / Debt 128.9m)
Taxrate = 22.47% (68.0m / 302.5m)
NOPAT = 1.02b (EBIT 1.31b * (1 - 22.47%))
Current Ratio = 4.68 (Total Current Assets 9.74b / Total Current Liabilities 2.08b)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 128.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.09b)
Debt / EBITDA = -6.11 (Net Debt -8.55b / EBITDA 1.40b)
Debt / FCF = -12.27 (Net Debt -8.55b / FCF TTM 696.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.10b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.43% (Net Income 676.3m / Total Assets 13.79b)
RoE = 6.10% (Net Income TTM 676.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.10b)
RoCE = 11.84% (EBIT 1.31b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.10b + L.T.Debt 3.13m))
RoIC = 22.63% (NOPAT 1.02b / Invested Capital 4.50b)
WACC = 8.63% (E(6.10b)/V(6.23b) * Re(8.81%) + D(128.9m)/V(6.23b) * Rd(0.02%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 8.81% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -94.39 | Cagr: -7.19%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.73% ; FCFF base≈902.3m ; Y1≈741.0m ; Y5≈530.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 161.5 (EV 8.82b - Net Debt -8.55b = Equity 17.37b / Shares 107.6m; r=8.63% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -21.52% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -91.09 | EPS CAGR: -27.16% | SUE: 0.35 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -94.98 | Revenue CAGR: -7.74% | SUE: 0.18 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.67 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=N/A | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.57 | Chg30d=-0.50% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+11.9% | GrowthRev=-2.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=7.12 | Chg30d=+1.31% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+8.5% | GrowthRev=+3.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +40%