Overview Dividends

(MOMO) Hello - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: China • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US4234031049

social platform, live streaming, virtual gifts, dating apps

MOMO EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -63.10%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -61.4%

MOMO Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -7.36%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): -86.1%

Description: MOMO Hello

Hello Group Inc (NASDAQ:MOMO) is a Chinese company operating in the Interactive Media & Services sub-industry. The companys stock is characterized by its relatively low beta of 0.524, indicating lower volatility compared to the overall market.

To evaluate the investment potential of MOMO, key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, user acquisition costs, and average revenue per user (ARPU) are crucial. The companys ability to monetize its user base through various revenue streams, including live streaming, online advertising, and e-commerce, drives its financial performance.

The companys market capitalization stands at $1.278 billion USD, with a price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 7.64 and a forward P/E of 6.44, suggesting a relatively undervalued stock. The return on equity (RoE) of 12.43% indicates that Hello Group Inc is generating profits efficiently from its shareholders equity.

Economic drivers influencing MOMOs performance include the growth of Chinas online entertainment market, the increasing penetration of mobile internet, and the demand for social media and live streaming services. The companys competitive position within the industry, its ability to adapt to regulatory changes, and its capacity to innovate and expand its service offerings will be critical in determining its future success.

To further assess the stocks potential, examining its historical financial performance, including trends in revenue, net income, and cash flow, is essential. Additionally, analyzing the companys guidance, industry trends, and macroeconomic factors will provide a more comprehensive understanding of its investment prospects.

MOMO Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	1,193m
Sub-Industry	Interactive Media & Services
IPO / Inception	2014-12-11

MOMO Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	44.2%
Fundamental	55.5%
Dividend Rating	20.0%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	4.26%
Analyst Rating	4.11 of 5

MOMO Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	4.13%
Yield on Cost 5y	3.05%
Annual Growth 5y	-6.61%
Payout Consistency	92.3%
Payout Ratio	6.9%

MOMO Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	-75.7%
Growth Correlation 12m	44.7%
Growth Correlation 5y	-36.7%
CAGR 5y	29.41%
CAGR/Max DD 3y	0.58
CAGR/Mean DD 3y	1.08
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-0.10
Alpha	6.79
Beta	0.979
Volatility	38.70%
Current Volume	1612.2k
Average Volume 20d	831.7k
Stop Loss	7.2 (-4.3%)
Signal	-1.40

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5

Net Income (854.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 627.1m TTM)

FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.87pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 59.71% (prev 47.25%; Δ 12.46pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.08 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.25b > Net Income 854.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (458.5m) to EBITDA (1.25b) ratio: 0.37 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 2.29 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (318.9m) change vs 12m ago 68.76% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 37.57% (prev 41.22%; Δ -3.65pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 61.50% (prev 64.65%; Δ -3.15pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 9.56 (EBITDA TTM 1.25b / Interest Expense TTM 125.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 5.53

(A) 0.38 = (Total Current Assets 11.09b - Total Current Liabilities 4.84b) / Total Assets 16.52b

(B) 0.40 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 6.64b / Total Assets 16.52b

(D) 1.20 = Book Value of Equity 6.64b / Total Liabilities 5.52b

Total Rating: 5.53 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 55.52

1. Piotroski 5.50pt = 0.50

2. FCF Yield 19.04% = 5.0

3. FCF Margin 11.09% = 2.77

4. Debt/Equity 0.24 = 2.47

5. Debt/Ebitda 2.10 = -0.19

6. ROIC - WACC (= 3.08)% = 3.85

7. RoE 7.69% = 0.64

8. Rev. Trend -86.08% = -6.46

9. EPS Trend -61.42% = -3.07

What is the price of MOMO shares?

As of September 20, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 7.52 with a total of 1,612,242 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.53%, over one month by -5.88%, over three months by -9.18% and over the past year by +22.71%.

Is Hello a good stock to buy?

Neither. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Hello is currently (September 2025) neither a good nor a bad stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 55.52 and therefor a neutral outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MOMO is around 6.75 USD . This means that MOMO is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -10.24%.

Is MOMO a buy, sell or hold?

Hello has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.11. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MOMO.

Strong Buy: 6
Buy: 0
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the MOMO price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	9.8	30.7%
Analysts Target Price	9.8	30.7%
ValueRay Target Price	7.5	-0.8%

Last update: 2025-09-14 02:01

MOMO Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap CNY = 8.49b (1.19b USD * 7.1151 USD.CNY)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 5.02b CNY (Cash only, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 11.1642
P/E Forward = 6.4392
P/S = 0.1141
P/B = 0.7913
P/EG = 0.9202
Beta = 0.489
Revenue TTM = 10.45b CNY
EBIT TTM = 1.20b CNY
EBITDA TTM = 1.25b CNY
Long Term Debt = 3.04m CNY (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.61b CNY (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.62b CNY (Calculated: Short Term 2.61b + Long Term 3.04m)
Net Debt = 458.5m CNY (from netDebt column, last fiscal year)
Enterprise Value = 6.09b CNY (8.49b + Debt 2.62b - CCE 5.02b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 9.56 (Ebit TTM 1.20b / Interest Expense TTM 125.7m)
FCF Yield = 19.04% (FCF TTM 1.16b / Enterprise Value 6.09b)
FCF Margin = 11.09% (FCF TTM 1.16b / Revenue TTM 10.45b)
Net Margin = 8.17% (Net Income TTM 854.4m / Revenue TTM 10.45b)
Gross Margin = 37.57% ((Revenue TTM 10.45b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.53b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.92 (Enterprise Value 6.09b / Book Value Of Equity 6.64b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.89% (Interest Expense 23.4m / Debt 2.62b)
Taxrate = 44.84% (845.0m / 1.88b)
NOPAT = 663.1m (EBIT 1.20b * (1 - 44.84%))
Current Ratio = 2.29 (Total Current Assets 11.09b / Total Current Liabilities 4.84b)
Debt / Equity = 0.24 (Debt 2.62b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 10.81b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.10 (Net Debt 458.5m / EBITDA 1.25b)
Debt / FCF = 2.26 (Debt 2.62b / FCF TTM 1.16b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.11b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 5.17% (Net Income 854.4m, Total Assets 16.52b )
RoE = 7.69% (Net Income TTM 854.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 11.11b)
RoCE = 10.82% (Ebit 1.20b / (Equity 11.11b + L.T.Debt 3.04m))
RoIC = 10.55% (NOPAT 663.1m / Invested Capital 6.29b)
WACC = 7.47% (E(8.49b)/V(11.10b) * Re(9.62%)) + (D(2.62b)/V(11.10b) * Rd(0.89%) * (1-Tc(0.45)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -59.54 | Cagr: 3.79%
Discount Rate = 9.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 69.44% ; FCFE base≈1.13b ; Y1≈946.5m ; Y5≈710.4m
Fair Price DCF = 84.33 (DCF Value 10.06b / Shares Outstanding 119.3m; 5y FCF grow -19.22% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -61.42 | EPS CAGR: -63.10% | SUE: -3.31 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -86.08 | Revenue CAGR: -7.36% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for MOMO Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle