(MRCY) Mercury Systems - Ratings and Ratios
Components, Modules, Subsystems, RF, Processors, Sensors
MRCY EPS (Earnings per Share)
MRCY Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 43.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 63.8% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.33 |
| Alpha | 62.23 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.479 |
| Beta | 0.831 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 53.32% |
| Mean DD | 26.18% |
Description: MRCY Mercury Systems November 09, 2025
Mercury Systems, Inc. (NASDAQ:MRCY) designs, develops, and manufactures high-performance electronic components, modules, and integrated subsystems for defense prime contractors, OEMs, government agencies, and commercial aerospace customers. Its product portfolio spans RF power amplifiers, limiters, switches, oscillators, filters, digital/analog converters, MMICs, memory devices, embedded processing boards, switched-fabric platforms, digital receivers, multi-chip modules, RF/microwave multifunction assemblies, tuners, transceivers, graphics/video solutions, and complete subsystems. The firm also produces digital RF memory units for electronic-warfare, radar-environment simulation and test systems, signals-intelligence payloads, EO/IR technologies for small UAVs, and onboard processors for real-time wide-area motion imagery. Operations are located in the United States, Europe, and the Asia-Pacific.
Key quantitative indicators (FY 2023) include revenue of approximately $1.33 billion, an operating margin near 12 %, and a backlog of roughly $2.5 billion, reflecting strong demand from U.S. defense spending, which is projected to grow at 3-4 % annually through 2028. A material driver for Mercury is the ongoing shift toward software-defined radios and advanced electronic-warfare capabilities, which fuels higher-margin RF-IC and subsystem sales. Additionally, semiconductor supply-chain constraints remain a risk factor; the company’s vertically integrated manufacturing mitigates exposure but could affect lead times if global capacity tightens.
For a deeper quantitative view, you may want to explore the ValueRay platform.
MRCY Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 4,452m |
| Sub-Industry | Aerospace & Defense |
| IPO / Inception | 1998-01-30 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 47.6% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.56 of 5 |
MRCY Dividends
Currently no dividends paidMRCY Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 14.73% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.28 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.56 |
| Current Volume | 536.1k |
| Average Volume | 579.8k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 2.5
| Net Income (-68.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 52.3m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.59pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 87.53% (prev 79.64%; Δ 7.89pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.07 (>3.0%) and CFO 183.5m > Net Income -68.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (340.4m) to EBITDA (35.0m) ratio: 9.71 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.37 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (59.2m) change vs 12m ago 1.60% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 27.32% (prev 27.59%; Δ -0.28pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 36.09% (prev 38.24%; Δ -2.15pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -1.47 (EBITDA TTM 35.0m / Interest Expense TTM 30.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.32
| (A) 0.31 = (Total Current Assets 1.08b - Total Current Liabilities 322.2m) / Total Assets 2.46b |
| (B) 0.07 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 169.4m / Total Assets 2.46b |
| (C) -0.02 = EBIT TTM -44.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.41b |
| (D) 0.18 = Book Value of Equity 173.6m / Total Liabilities 982.6m |
| Total Rating: 2.32 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 39.41
| 1. Piotroski 2.50pt = -2.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.42% = 1.71 |
| 3. FCF Margin 18.83% = 4.71 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.44 = 2.41 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 9.71 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -9.66)% = -12.08 |
| 7. RoE -4.68% = -0.78 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -32.21% = -2.42 |
| 9. EPS Trend 17.12% = 0.86 |
What is the price of MRCY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.02%, over one month by +1.45%, over three months by +39.32% and over the past year by +70.01%.
Is Mercury Systems a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of MRCY is around 79.61 USD . This means that MRCY is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 6.64%.
Is MRCY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 2
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MRCY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 86 | 15.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 86 | 15.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 88.4 | 18.4% |
MRCY Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Forward = 95.2381
P/S = 4.7723
P/B = 3.363
P/EG = 2.651
Beta = 0.831
Revenue TTM = 871.0m USD
EBIT TTM = -44.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 35.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 591.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 11.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 645.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 340.4m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.79b USD (4.45b + Debt 645.1m - CCE 304.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.47 (Ebit TTM -44.6m / Interest Expense TTM 30.4m)
FCF Yield = 3.42% (FCF TTM 164.0m / Enterprise Value 4.79b)
FCF Margin = 18.83% (FCF TTM 164.0m / Revenue TTM 871.0m)
Net Margin = -7.86% (Net Income TTM -68.4m / Revenue TTM 871.0m)
Gross Margin = 27.32% ((Revenue TTM 871.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 633.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.93% (prev 27.02%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.95 (Enterprise Value 4.79b / Total Assets 2.46b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.91% (Interest Expense 5.86m / Debt 645.1m)
Taxrate = 24.32% (-4.02m / -16.5m)
NOPAT = -33.8m (EBIT -44.6m * (1 - 24.32%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.37 (Total Current Assets 1.08b / Total Current Liabilities 322.2m)
Debt / Equity = 0.44 (Debt 645.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.48b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.71 (Net Debt 340.4m / EBITDA 35.0m)
Debt / FCF = 2.08 (Net Debt 340.4m / FCF TTM 164.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.46b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.78% (Net Income -68.4m / Total Assets 2.46b)
RoE = -4.68% (Net Income TTM -68.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.46b)
RoCE = -2.17% (EBIT -44.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.46b + L.T.Debt 591.5m))
RoIC = -1.64% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -33.8m / Invested Capital 2.05b)
WACC = 8.02% (E(4.45b)/V(5.10b) * Re(9.08%) + D(645.1m)/V(5.10b) * Rd(0.91%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Discount Rate = 9.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.30%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 65.91% ; FCFE base≈137.1m ; Y1≈90.0m ; Y5≈41.2m
Fair Price DCF = 11.40 (DCF Value 685.0m / Shares Outstanding 60.1m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 17.12 | EPS CAGR: 0.0% | SUE: 0.57 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -32.21 | Revenue CAGR: -0.70% | SUE: 0.59 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for MRCY Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle