MRTN Stock Analysis: Marten Transport | NASDAQ

Trucking | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 1.004m USD | 12M Return: 21.4% | US5730751089 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Refrigerated Trucking, Dry Hauling, Dedicated Service, Freight Brokerage
Total Rating 36
Safety 80
Buy Signal -1.18
Trucking
Industry Rotation: +0.3
Market Cap: 1.00B
Avg Turnover: 9.93M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility32.9%
VaR 5th Pctl5.53%
VaR vs Median2.11%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.65
Rel. Str. IBD18.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group16.7 pctl
Character TTM
Beta0.671
Beta Downside1.087
Hurst Exponent0.581
Choppyness11.8%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD54.62%
CAGR/Max DD-0.21
CAGR/Mean DD-0.43
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of MRTN over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.26, "2021-12": 0.3, "2022-03": 0.33, "2022-06": 0.39, "2022-09": 0.32, "2022-12": 0.31, "2023-03": 0.28, "2023-06": 0.27, "2023-09": 0.17, "2023-12": 0.15, "2024-03": 0.12, "2024-06": 0.1, "2024-09": 0.05, "2024-12": 0.07, "2025-03": 0.05, "2025-06": 0.09, "2025-09": 0.03, "2025-12": 0.05, "2026-03": 0.02, "2026-06": 0.07, "2026-09": 0.04,
EPS CAGR: -44.29%
EPS Trend: -96.5%
Last SUE: -1.93
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of MRTN over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 251.28, 2021-12: 266.876, 2022-03: 287.281, 2022-06: 329.565, 2022-09: 324.448, 2022-12: 322.584, 2023-03: 298.023, 2023-06: 285.672, 2023-09: 279.538, 2023-12: 268.222, 2024-03: 249.672, 2024-06: 246.238, 2024-09: 237.366, 2024-12: 230.432, 2025-03: 223.152, 2025-06: 229.922, 2025-09: 220.47, 2025-12: 210.108, 2026-03: 203.526, 2026-06: 223.543, 2026-09: 223.231,
Rev. CAGR: -9.67%
Rev. Trend: -97.3%
Last SUE: -1.68
Qual. Beats: -3

Warnings

P/E Ratio 82.0
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -1.6% 17
Feb +0.9% 10
Mar -0.3% 10
Apr -1.1% 10
May +4.6% 57
Jun +1.2% 29
Jul +1.9% 8
Aug -0.8% 20
Sep -2.4% 35
Oct -4.1% 13
Nov +6.8% 43
Dec -0.8% 21

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: MRTN Marten Transport

Marten Transport is a temperature-sensitive (refrigerated) truckload carrier operating in the United States, Mexico, and Canada. The company runs three segments: Truckload, which hauls food and consumer packaged goods in temperature-controlled trailers along with dry freight; Dedicated, which provides customized transportation solutions using refrigerated trailers, dry vans, and specialized equipment; and Brokerage, which arranges third-party carriers for customers needing temperature-controlled or dry van capacity.

As of December 31, 2025, the company operated a fleet of 2,654 tractors, the vast majority company-owned with the remainder supplied by independent contractors. Marten Transport was founded in 1946 and is headquartered in Mondovi, Wisconsin.

The temperature-controlled trucking niche serves grocery retailers, food manufacturers, and pharmaceutical distributors that require continuous refrigeration during transit. The asset-based Truckload and Dedicated segments contrast with the asset-light Brokerage segment, which scales capacity without adding fleet equipment.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Fuel price volatility pressures truckload operating margins
  • Dedicated segment contracts expand with shipper outsourcing demand
  • Soft freight cycle pressures spot truckload rates and brokerage yields
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 13.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.06 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 13.06 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 14.29% < 20% (prev 6.68%; Δ 7.61% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 88.9m > Net Income 13.3m
Net Debt (-91.3m) to EBITDA (115.7m): -0.79 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.21 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (81.7m) vs 12m ago 0.17% < -2%
Gross Margin: -1.31% > 18% (prev 13.42%; Δ -14.73% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 89.09% > 50% (prev 92.65%; Δ -3.57% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 7.55
A: 0.13 (Total Current Assets 224.4m - Total Current Liabilities 101.4m) / Total Assets 956.0m
B: 0.74 (Retained Earnings 707.0m / Total Assets 956.0m)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 16.3m / Avg Total Assets 965.8m)
D: 3.98 (Book Value of Equity 764.2m / Total Liabilities 191.8m)
Altman-Z'' = 7.55 = AAA
Beneish M -3.47
DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 105.3m/103.1m, Revenue 860.4m/904.0m)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 0.22 (AQ_t 0.00 / AQ_t-1 0.01)
SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 860.4m / 904.0m)
TATA: -0.08 (NI 13.3m - CFO 88.9m) / TA 956.0m)
Beneish M = -3.47 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of MRTN shares?

As of October 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 11.76 with a total of 893,225 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.39%, over one month by -10.02%, over three months by -21.31% and over the past year by +21.42%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 11.20 (which is 4.8% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is MRTN a buy, sell or hold?

Marten Transport has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefore, it is recommended to hold MRTN.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 2
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MRTN price?
Analysts Target Price 17 44.6%
Marten Transport (MRTN) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 24 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.00b (1.00b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 82.0
P/E Forward = 17.6367
P/S = 1.1712
P/B = 1.402
P/EG = 1.8298
Revenue TTM = 860.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 16.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 115.7m USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Short Term Debt = 239k USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 201k USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 119k
Net Debt = -91.3m USD (calculated: Debt 201k - CCE 91.5m)
Enterprise Value = 913.1m USD (1.00b + Debt 201k - CCE 91.5m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 16.3m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = 16.73x (Enterprise Value 913.1m / FCF TTM 54.6m)
FCF Yield = 5.98% (FCF TTM 54.6m / Enterprise Value 913.1m)
FCF Margin = 6.35% (FCF TTM 54.6m / Revenue TTM 860.4m)
Net Margin = 1.55% (Net Income TTM 13.3m / Revenue TTM 860.4m)
Gross Margin = -1.31% ((Revenue TTM 860.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 871.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 1.37% (prev 6.60%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.96 (Enterprise Value 913.1m / Total Assets 956.0m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 201k)
Taxrate = 28.66% (5.35m / 18.7m)
NOPAT = 11.6m (EBIT 16.3m * (1 - 28.66%))
Current Ratio = 2.21 (Total Current Assets 224.4m / Total Current Liabilities 101.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 201k / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 764.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.79 (Net Debt -91.3m / EBITDA 115.7m)
Debt / FCF = -1.67 (Net Debt -91.3m / FCF TTM 54.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 765.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.38% (Net Income 13.3m / Total Assets 956.0m)
RoE = 1.74% (Net Income TTM 13.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 765.5m)
RoCE = 1.91% (EBIT 16.3m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 956.0m - Current Liab 101.4m))
RoIC = 1.43% (NOPAT 11.6m / Invested Capital 811.5m)
WACC = 7.90% (E(1.00b)/V(1.00b) * Re(7.90%) + D(201k)/V(1.00b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 7.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 75.04 | Cagr: 0.12%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.44% ; FCFF base≈54.6m ; Y1≈54.8m ; Y5≈58.1m
[DCF] Fair Price = 12.18 (EV 903.2m - Net Debt -91.3m = Equity 994.5m / Shares 81.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -96.50 | EPS CAGR: -44.29% | SUE: -1.93 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -97.25 | Revenue CAGR: -9.67% | SUE: -1.68 | # QB: -3
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=0.10 | Chg30d=-6.28% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.24 | Chg30d=-18.33% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+16.7% | GrowthRev=+1.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=0.60 | Chg30d=-8.63% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+144.9% | GrowthRev=+9.6%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=3, down=0)