(MSTX) Defiance Daily Target 1.75x - Overview
Etf: Swaps, Options, MSTR Shares
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 380% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.51% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.99 |
| Alpha | -148.33 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 4.337 |
| Beta Downside | 2.868 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 98.66% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.71 |
Description: MSTX Defiance Daily Target 1.75x January 18, 2026
The Defiance Daily Target 1.75x Long MSTR ETF (NASDAQ:MSTX) is an actively managed, non-diversified leveraged fund that seeks to deliver 175 % of the daily price movement of MicroStrategy Inc. (MSTR) by using derivatives such as swap agreements and listed options contracts. Because it targets a multiple of the daily return, performance can diverge significantly from the underlying stock over longer horizons due to compounding effects.
Key metrics to watch: (1) MSTR’s 30-day implied volatility, which currently sits around 55 % and directly influences the cost of the fund’s options-based leverage; (2) MicroStrategy’s Bitcoin exposure, as the company holds a sizable BTC treasury that drives earnings volatility and can amplify equity price swings; (3) the broader cryptocurrency market sentiment, measured by the Bitcoin dominance index, which historically correlates with MSTR’s stock performance. A sudden shift in regulatory stance on digital assets could materially affect both MSTR and, by extension, MSTX’s return profile.
For a deeper, data-driven dive into how these drivers interact with MSTX’s risk-adjusted returns, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
What is the price of MSTX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -26.80%, over one month by -38.50%, over three months by -75.90% and over the past year by -93.77%.
Is MSTX a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the MSTX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 2.4 | -5.1% |
MSTX Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
EBIT TTM = 0.0 USD
EBITDA TTM = 0.0 USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = unknown
Net Debt = unknown
Enterprise Value = 309.3m USD (309.3m + (null Debt) - (null CCE))
Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM 0.0 / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
EV/FCF = unknown (FCF TTM 0.0)
FCF Yield = 0.0% (FCF TTM 0.0 / Enterprise Value 309.3m)
FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
Net Margin = unknown
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 0.0) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = unknown (Enterprise Value 309.3m / Total Assets none)
Interest Expense / Debt = unknown (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt none)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 0.0 (EBIT 0.0 * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = unknown (Total Current Assets none / Total Current Liabilities none)
Debt / Equity = unknown (Debt none)
Debt / EBITDA = unknown (Net Debt none / EBITDA 0.0)
Debt / FCF = unknown (Net Debt none / FCF TTM 0.0)
Total Stockholder Equity = 0.0 (from calculated bookValueOfEquity)
RoA = unknown (Net Income 0.0 / Total Assets none)
RoE = unknown (Net Income TTM 0.0 / Total Stockholder Equity 0.0)
RoCE = unknown (EBIT 0.0 / Capital Employed )
RoIC = unknown (NOPAT 0.0, Invested Capital 0.0, EBIT 0.0)
WACC = 21.90% (E(309.3m)/V(309.3m) * Re(21.90%) + (debt-free company))
Discount Rate = 21.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 17.85%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow 0.0)