(MTCH) Match - Ratings and Ratios
Dating, Apps, Matchmaking, Relationships, Social
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.91% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.56% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | % |
| Payout Consistency | 20.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 25.0% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.5% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 49.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.84% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.09 |
| Alpha | -15.68 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.32 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.373 |
| Beta | 0.847 |
| Beta Downside | 0.789 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 49.46% |
| Mean DD | 34.61% |
| Median DD | 36.34% |
Description: MTCH Match January 07, 2026
Match Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: MTCH) is a Dallas-based digital technology company that operates a portfolio of dating platforms-including Tinder, Hinge, Match, Meetic, OkCupid, Pairs, Plenty of Fish, Azar, and BLK-across four business segments: Tinder, Hinge, Evergreen & Emerging, and Match Group Asia. Its services are offered in more than 40 languages, reaching users worldwide.
In its most recent quarter (Q4 2023), the firm reported $1.41 billion in revenue, driven by a 9 % year-over-year increase in monthly active users (MAUs) to roughly 78 million, with subscription revenue growing faster than advertising-driven revenue (≈ 12 % vs ≈ 7 % YoY). The online dating market is expanding at a compound annual growth rate of ~ 8 % globally, supported by rising mobile penetration and shifting social norms that favor digital matchmaking.
Key economic levers for Match Group include discretionary consumer spending on subscription services, advertising spend tied to macro-level ad budgets, and network effects that enhance user retention across its multi-brand ecosystem. The company’s diversified brand mix helps mitigate concentration risk, while its focus on AI-enhanced matching algorithms aims to improve engagement metrics.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of MTCH’s valuation dynamics, consider exploring the analyst tools on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 562.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.21 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.99 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 12.79% < 20% (prev 22.74%; Δ -9.94% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 > 3% & CFO 1.01b > Net Income 562.1m |
| Net Debt (2.99b) to EBITDA (938.0m): 3.19 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.41 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (260.3m) vs 12m ago -5.59% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 72.26% > 18% (prev 0.71%; Δ 7155 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 77.36% > 50% (prev 78.75%; Δ -1.39% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.78 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 938.0m / Interest Expense TTM 144.0m) |
Altman Z'' -3.99
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 1.53b - Total Current Liabilities 1.08b) / Total Assets 4.54b |
| B: -1.36 (Retained Earnings -6.18b / Total Assets 4.54b) |
| C: 0.19 (EBIT TTM 832.8m / Avg Total Assets 4.48b) |
| D: -1.38 (Book Value of Equity -6.59b / Total Liabilities 4.77b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -3.99 = D |
Beneish M -3.15
| DSRI: 1.02 (Receivables 344.4m/340.1m, Revenue 3.47b/3.49b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 72.26% / 71.42%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.64 / AQ_t-1 0.66) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 3.47b / 3.49b) |
| TATA: -0.10 (NI 562.1m - CFO 1.01b) / TA 4.54b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.15 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 73.60
| 1. Piotroski: 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 9.25% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 27.75% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: -18.06 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 3.19 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 13.57% |
| 7. RoE: -320.7% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 78.75% |
| 9. EPS Trend: -27.05% |
What is the price of MTCH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.75%, over one month by -3.92%, over three months by -4.74% and over the past year by -9.08%.
Is MTCH a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MTCH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 37.5 | 20.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 37.5 | 20.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 27.4 | -11.7% |
MTCH Fundamental Data Overview January 22, 2026
P/E Forward = 9.8328
P/S = 2.1396
P/B = 10.9696
P/EG = 0.3511
Revenue TTM = 3.47b USD
EBIT TTM = 832.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 938.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.55b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 497.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.05b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.99b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.41b USD (7.42b + Debt 4.05b - CCE 1.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.78 (Ebit TTM 832.8m / Interest Expense TTM 144.0m)
EV/FCF = 10.82x (Enterprise Value 10.41b / FCF TTM 962.6m)
FCF Yield = 9.25% (FCF TTM 962.6m / Enterprise Value 10.41b)
FCF Margin = 27.75% (FCF TTM 962.6m / Revenue TTM 3.47b)
Net Margin = 16.20% (Net Income TTM 562.1m / Revenue TTM 3.47b)
Gross Margin = 72.26% ((Revenue TTM 3.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 962.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 72.98% (prev 71.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.29 (Enterprise Value 10.41b / Total Assets 4.54b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.92% (Interest Expense 37.0m / Debt 4.05b)
Taxrate = 16.98% (32.9m / 193.6m)
NOPAT = 691.4m (EBIT 832.8m * (1 - 16.98%))
Current Ratio = 1.41 (Total Current Assets 1.53b / Total Current Liabilities 1.08b)
Debt / Equity = -18.06 (negative equity) (Debt 4.05b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -223.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.19 (Net Debt 2.99b / EBITDA 938.0m)
Debt / FCF = 3.11 (Net Debt 2.99b / FCF TTM 962.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -175.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.53% (Net Income 562.1m / Total Assets 4.54b)
RoE = -320.7% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 562.1m / Total Stockholder Equity -175.3m)
RoCE = 24.70% (EBIT 832.8m / Capital Employed (Equity -175.3m + L.T.Debt 3.55b))
RoIC = 19.69% (NOPAT 691.4m / Invested Capital 3.51b)
WACC = 6.12% (E(7.42b)/V(11.47b) * Re(9.04%) + D(4.05b)/V(11.47b) * Rd(0.92%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 9.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.96%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 86.33% ; FCFF base≈935.1m ; Y1≈1.02b ; Y5≈1.30b
Fair Price DCF = 138.5 (EV 35.69b - Net Debt 2.99b = Equity 32.69b / Shares 236.1m; r=6.12% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 10.77% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -27.05 | EPS CAGR: -48.45% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 78.75 | Revenue CAGR: 3.42% | SUE: 0.40 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.82 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.75 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+14.6% | Growth Revenue=+3.2%
Additional Sources for MTCH Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle