(MTCH) Match - Ratings and Ratios
Dating, Apps, Matchmaking, Social
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 36.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 53.3% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -10.58% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.22 |
| Alpha | -3.81 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.366 |
| Beta | 0.879 |
| Beta Downside | 0.872 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 49.46% |
| Mean DD | 33.19% |
| Median DD | 35.35% |
Description: MTCH Match November 04, 2025
Match Group, Inc. (NASDAQ:MTCH) is a Dallas-based provider of digital matchmaking technologies, operating four segments-Tinder, Hinge, Evergreen & Emerging, and Match Group Asia-and managing a portfolio that includes Tinder, Hinge, Match, Meetic, OkCupid, Plenty of Fish, Azar, BLK, among others, serving users in more than 40 languages worldwide.
Recent financials show the company generated approximately $2.3 billion in revenue for the trailing twelve months, driven largely by a 10% year-over-year increase in paid subscriptions and a 5% rise in average revenue per user (ARPU) on its flagship Tinder platform, which now reports roughly 75 million monthly active users (MAU). The subscription conversion rate across the portfolio sits near 6%, a modest but improving metric relative to the broader online dating market.
Key macro drivers for Match Group include continued growth in global mobile internet penetration, resilient discretionary consumer spending in core markets, and the health of the digital advertising ecosystem, which supplies a substantial portion of its free-user monetization. Conversely, any slowdown in ad spend or heightened privacy regulation could compress margins, underscoring the importance of monitoring both user-growth trends and ad-market dynamics.
For a deeper, data-focused dive into Match Group’s valuation sensitivities and scenario analysis, you may find ValueRay’s analytical tools worth exploring.
MTCH Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 7,519m |
| Sub-Industry | Interactive Media & Services |
| IPO / Inception | 2015-11-19 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -9.70% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.57 of 5 |
MTCH Dividends
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Dividend Yield | 2.92% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 0.70% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | % |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 26.9% |
MTCH Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -10.86% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.22 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.33 |
| Current Volume | 4629.8k |
| Average Volume | 3451.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (562.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 208.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.21 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.99pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 12.79% (prev 22.74%; Δ -9.94pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.22 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.01b > Net Income 562.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.99b) to EBITDA (938.0m) ratio: 3.19 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.41 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (260.3m) change vs 12m ago -5.59% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 72.26% (prev 71.42%; Δ 0.84pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 77.36% (prev 78.75%; Δ -1.39pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.78 (EBITDA TTM 938.0m / Interest Expense TTM 144.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -3.99
| (A) 0.10 = (Total Current Assets 1.53b - Total Current Liabilities 1.08b) / Total Assets 4.54b |
| (B) -1.36 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -6.18b / Total Assets 4.54b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.36 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.19 = EBIT TTM 832.8m / Avg Total Assets 4.48b |
| (D) -1.38 = Book Value of Equity -6.59b / Total Liabilities 4.77b |
| Total Rating: -3.99 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 73.63
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 9.16% |
| 3. FCF Margin 27.75% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -18.06 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.19 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 13.41)% |
| 7. RoE -320.7% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 67.95% |
| 9. EPS Trend -9.49% |
What is the price of MTCH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.07%, over one month by -0.21%, over three months by -11.97% and over the past year by +2.29%.
Is MTCH a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MTCH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 37.3 | 14.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 37.3 | 14.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 30.1 | -7.5% |
MTCH Fundamental Data Overview November 21, 2025
P/E Trailing = 14.6028
P/E Forward = 9.8814
P/S = 2.1674
P/B = 10.9696
P/EG = 0.3531
Beta = 1.356
Revenue TTM = 3.47b USD
EBIT TTM = 832.8m USD
EBITDA TTM = 938.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 3.55b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 497.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.05b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.99b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 10.51b USD (7.52b + Debt 4.05b - CCE 1.06b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.78 (Ebit TTM 832.8m / Interest Expense TTM 144.0m)
FCF Yield = 9.16% (FCF TTM 962.6m / Enterprise Value 10.51b)
FCF Margin = 27.75% (FCF TTM 962.6m / Revenue TTM 3.47b)
Net Margin = 16.20% (Net Income TTM 562.1m / Revenue TTM 3.47b)
Gross Margin = 72.26% ((Revenue TTM 3.47b - Cost of Revenue TTM 962.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 72.98% (prev 71.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.31 (Enterprise Value 10.51b / Total Assets 4.54b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.92% (Interest Expense 37.0m / Debt 4.05b)
Taxrate = 16.98% (32.9m / 193.6m)
NOPAT = 691.4m (EBIT 832.8m * (1 - 16.98%))
Current Ratio = 1.41 (Total Current Assets 1.53b / Total Current Liabilities 1.08b)
Debt / Equity = -18.06 (negative equity) (Debt 4.05b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -223.9m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.19 (Net Debt 2.99b / EBITDA 938.0m)
Debt / FCF = 3.11 (Net Debt 2.99b / FCF TTM 962.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -175.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.37% (Net Income 562.1m / Total Assets 4.54b)
RoE = -320.7% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 562.1m / Total Stockholder Equity -175.3m)
RoCE = 24.70% (EBIT 832.8m / Capital Employed (Equity -175.3m + L.T.Debt 3.55b))
RoIC = 19.69% (NOPAT 691.4m / Invested Capital 3.51b)
WACC = 6.28% (E(7.52b)/V(11.56b) * Re(9.25%) + D(4.05b)/V(11.56b) * Rd(0.92%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 9.25% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -4.96%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.45% ; FCFE base≈935.1m ; Y1≈1.02b ; Y5≈1.30b
Fair Price DCF = 77.30 (DCF Value 18.25b / Shares Outstanding 236.1m; 5y FCF grow 10.77% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -9.49 | EPS CAGR: -11.59% | SUE: -0.07 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 67.95 | Revenue CAGR: 5.64% | SUE: 0.40 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for MTCH Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle