MTCH Stock Analysis: Match | NASDAQ
Internet Content & Information | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 9.534m USD | 12M Return: 12.5% | US57667L1070 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 114M
EPS Trend: 70.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 77.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Match Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: MTCH) is a Dallas-based digital technology company that operates a portfolio of dating and matchmaking brands across four reportable segments: Tinder, Hinge, Evergreen and Emerging, and Match Group Asia. Its brand lineup-which includes Tinder, Hinge, Match, Meetic, OkCupid, Pairs, Plenty Of Fish, Azar, and BLK-targets a broad range of user demographics and preferences across the United States and international markets. The company was incorporated in 1986.
MTCH is classified within the Communication Services sector, specifically the Interactive Media & Services sub-industry. Online dating operators in this segment typically rely on a freemium business model, offering core matching and communication features for free while monetizing through paid premium subscriptions that unlock enhanced search, visibility, and interaction tools.
- Tinder direct revenue declines as payer growth slows
- Hinge drives total payer growth offsetting Tinder weakness
- Share buybacks accelerate using strong free cash flow
| Net Income: 707.8m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.28 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 4.83 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 11.39% < 20% (prev -9.72%; Δ 21.11% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.30 > 3% & CFO 1.21b > Net Income 707.8m |
| Net Debt (2.98b) to EBITDA (1.14b): 2.62 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.72 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (247.8m) vs 12m ago -6.07% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 74.80% > 18% (prev 71.94%; Δ 2.86% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 88.82% > 50% (prev 89.21%; Δ -0.39% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 6.23 > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.03b / Interest Expense TTM 165.0m) |
| A: 0.10 (Total Current Assets 952.2m - Total Current Liabilities 552.4m) / Total Assets 4.03b |
| B: -1.40 (Retained Earnings -5.63b / Total Assets 4.03b) |
| C: 0.26 (EBIT TTM 1.03b / Avg Total Assets 3.95b) |
| D: -0.06 (Book Value of Equity -237.1m / Total Liabilities 4.27b) |
| Altman-Z'' = -2.21 = D |
| DSRI: 0.80 (Receivables 279.3m/342.3m, Revenue 3.51b/3.45b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 71.94% / 74.80%) |
| AQI: 0.96 (AQ_t 0.73 / AQ_t-1 0.76) |
| SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 3.51b / 3.45b) |
| TATA: -0.12 (NI 707.8m - CFO 1.21b) / TA 4.03b) |
| Beneish M = -3.25 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of August 24, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 40.87 with a total of 2,067,803 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.69%, over one month by +9.28%, over three months by +14.29% and over the past year by +12.47%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 39.30 (which is 3.8% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).
Match has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60. Therefore, it is recommended to hold MTCH.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 41.8 | 2.3% |
P/E Trailing = 14.4929
P/E Forward = 10.1112
P/S = 2.6734
P/B = 10.9696
P/EG = 0.361
Revenue TTM = 3.51b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.03b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.14b USD
Long Term Debt = 3.55b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 423.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 3.57b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 14.0m
Net Debt = 2.98b USD (calculated: Debt 3.57b - CCE 583.8m)
Enterprise Value = 12.5b USD (9.53b + Debt 3.57b - CCE 583.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 6.23 (Ebit TTM 1.03b / Interest Expense TTM 165.0m)
EV/FCF = 10.96x (Enterprise Value 12.5b / FCF TTM 1.14b)
FCF Yield = 9.12% (FCF TTM 1.14b / Enterprise Value 12.5b)
FCF Margin = 32.53% (FCF TTM 1.14b / Revenue TTM 3.51b)
Net Margin = 20.17% (Net Income TTM 707.8m / Revenue TTM 3.51b)
Gross Margin = 74.80% ((Revenue TTM 3.51b - Cost of Revenue TTM 884.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 76.06% (prev 75.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.10 (Enterprise Value 12.5b / Total Assets 4.03b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.63% (Interest Expense 165.0m / Debt 3.57b)
Taxrate = 18.03% (155.7m / 863.5m)
NOPAT = 843.1m (EBIT 1.03b * (1 - 18.03%))
Current Ratio = 1.72 (Total Current Assets 952.2m / Total Current Liabilities 552.4m)
Debt / Equity = -15.04 (negative equity) (Debt 3.57b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -237.1m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.62 (Net Debt 2.98b / EBITDA 1.14b)
Debt / FCF = 2.61 (Net Debt 2.98b / FCF TTM 1.14b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -233.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 17.91% (Net Income 707.8m / Total Assets 4.03b)
RoE = -303.6% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 707.8m / Total Stockholder Equity -233.2m)
RoCE = 30.99% (EBIT 1.03b / Capital Employed (Equity -233.2m + L.T.Debt 3.55b))
RoIC = 22.60% (NOPAT 843.1m / Invested Capital 3.73b)
WACC = 7.00% (E(9.53b)/V(13.1b) * Re(8.20%) + D(3.57b)/V(13.1b) * Rd(4.63%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 8.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -84.77 | Cagr: -6.21%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈1.05b ; Y1≈1.20b ; Y5≈1.77b
[DCF] Fair Price = 101.3 (EV 26.6b - Net Debt 2.98b = Equity 23.6b / Shares 233.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 70.77 | EPS CAGR: 5.97% | SUE: -0.66 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 77.86 | Revenue CAGR: 1.69% | SUE: -0.72 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.02 | Chg30d=+10.81% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.01 | Chg30d=+3.75% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+22.9% | GrowthRev=-0.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.75 | Chg30d=+13.23% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+18.3% | GrowthRev=+4.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +75% (up=9, down=0)