(MTSI) MACOM Technology Solutions - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US55405Y1001

RF, Microwave, Millimeter-Wave, Optoelectronic, Analog

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of MTSI over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-12": 0.46, "2021-03": 0.51, "2021-06": 0.57, "2021-09": 0.61, "2021-12": 0.64, "2022-03": 0.68, "2022-06": 0.73, "2022-09": 0.77, "2022-12": 0.81, "2023-03": 0.79, "2023-06": 0.54, "2023-09": 0.56, "2023-12": 0.58, "2024-03": 0.59, "2024-06": 0.66, "2024-09": 0.73, "2024-12": 0.79, "2025-03": 0.85, "2025-06": 0.9, "2025-09": 0.94,

Revenue

Revenue of MTSI over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-12: 148.504, 2021-03: 150.583, 2021-06: 152.622, 2021-09: 155.211, 2021-12: 159.62, 2022-03: 165.147, 2022-06: 172.259, 2022-09: 178.143, 2022-12: 180.104, 2023-03: 169.406, 2023-06: 148.522, 2023-09: 150.375, 2023-12: 157.148, 2024-03: 181.234, 2024-06: 190.486, 2024-09: 200.71, 2024-12: 218.122, 2025-03: 235.887, 2025-06: 252.079, 2025-09: 261.17,

Dividends

Currently no dividends paid
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 44.9%
Value at Risk 5%th 71.4%
Relative Tail Risk -3.22%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.65
Alpha 2.25
CAGR/Max DD 1.02
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.372
Beta 1.792
Beta Downside 1.653
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 41.09%
Mean DD 9.21%
Median DD 7.50%

Description: MTSI MACOM Technology Solutions October 30, 2025

MACOM Technology Solutions Holdings (NASDAQ:MTSI) designs and manufactures analog semiconductor components-including ICs, multi-chip modules, diodes, amplifiers, switches, and subsystems-targeted at RF, microwave, millimeter-wave, and photonic applications. Its products are embedded in wireless base stations, optical networks, radar, satellite links, medical devices, test equipment, and data-center infrastructure, serving carriers, defense, industrial, and scientific customers worldwide.

Key quantitative signals (FY 2023): revenue of roughly $1.1 billion, GAAP EPS of $0.85, and R&D spending at ~13 % of sales, reflecting a focus on next-generation 5G/6G and photonic integration. The global 5G RF front-end market is expanding at an estimated 15 % CAGR, while defense budgets in the U.S. and allied nations are rising 6–8 % annually-both trends that directly boost demand for MACOM’s high-frequency and ruggedized solutions.

For a deeper quantitative breakdown, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0

Net Income (-54.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 58.0m TTM)
FCFTA 0.08 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.19pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 90.98% (prev 109.0%; Δ -17.98pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 235.4m > Net Income -54.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (425.8m) to EBITDA (46.4m) ratio: 9.18 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 3.71 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (74.0m) change vs 12m ago -0.72% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 53.34% (prev 51.69%; Δ 1.65pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 50.13% (prev 41.56%; Δ 8.57pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -4.26 (EBITDA TTM 46.4m / Interest Expense TTM 5.52m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 1.97

(A) 0.42 = (Total Current Assets 1.21b - Total Current Liabilities 325.1m) / Total Assets 2.10b
(B) -0.11 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -240.1m / Total Assets 2.10b
(C) -0.01 = EBIT TTM -23.5m / Avg Total Assets 1.93b
(D) -0.30 = Book Value of Equity -235.0m / Total Liabilities 776.3m
Total Rating: 1.97 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 48.55

1. Piotroski 4.0pt
2. FCF Yield 1.33%
3. FCF Margin 16.96%
4. Debt/Equity 0.41
5. Debt/Ebitda 9.18
6. ROIC - WACC (= -13.21)%
7. RoE -4.39%
8. Rev. Trend 78.91%
9. EPS Trend 40.84%

What is the price of MTSI shares?

As of December 23, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 175.19 with a total of 878,535 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.06%, over one month by +5.56%, over three months by +35.29% and over the past year by +30.06%.

Is MTSI a buy, sell or hold?

MACOM Technology Solutions has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy MTSI.
  • Strong Buy: 8
  • Buy: 4
  • Hold: 4
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the MTSI price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 187.8 7.2%
Analysts Target Price 187.8 7.2%
ValueRay Target Price 230.9 31.8%

MTSI Fundamental Data Overview December 19, 2025

Market Cap USD = 12.61b (12.61b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 40.8163
P/S = 13.0389
P/B = 9.5034
P/EG = 0.83
Beta = 1.464
Revenue TTM = 967.3m USD
EBIT TTM = -23.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 46.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 339.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 167.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 538.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 425.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.36b USD (12.61b + Debt 538.0m - CCE 786.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.26 (Ebit TTM -23.5m / Interest Expense TTM 5.52m)
FCF Yield = 1.33% (FCF TTM 164.1m / Enterprise Value 12.36b)
FCF Margin = 16.96% (FCF TTM 164.1m / Revenue TTM 967.3m)
Net Margin = -5.60% (Net Income TTM -54.2m / Revenue TTM 967.3m)
Gross Margin = 53.34% ((Revenue TTM 967.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 451.3m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 54.61% (prev 53.72%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.88 (Enterprise Value 12.36b / Total Assets 2.10b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.33% (Interest Expense 1.79m / Debt 538.0m)
Taxrate = 19.29% (10.8m / 55.9m)
NOPAT = -19.0m (EBIT -23.5m * (1 - 19.29%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.71 (Total Current Assets 1.21b / Total Current Liabilities 325.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.41 (Debt 538.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.33b)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.18 (Net Debt 425.8m / EBITDA 46.4m)
Debt / FCF = 2.60 (Net Debt 425.8m / FCF TTM 164.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.24b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.58% (Net Income -54.2m / Total Assets 2.10b)
RoE = -4.39% (Net Income TTM -54.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.24b)
RoCE = -1.49% (EBIT -23.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.24b + L.T.Debt 339.6m))
RoIC = -1.09% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -19.0m / Invested Capital 1.74b)
WACC = 12.11% (E(12.61b)/V(13.15b) * Re(12.62%) + D(538.0m)/V(13.15b) * Rd(0.33%) * (1-Tc(0.19)))
Discount Rate = 12.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.17%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 64.57% ; FCFE base≈154.5m ; Y1≈163.8m ; Y5≈195.2m
Fair Price DCF = 23.84 (DCF Value 1.79b / Shares Outstanding 74.9m; 5y FCF grow 6.59% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 40.84 | EPS CAGR: 10.79% | SUE: 1.93 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 78.91 | Revenue CAGR: 14.03% | SUE: 0.43 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.03 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=+10 | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-09-30): EPS=4.22 | Chg30d=+0.002 | Revisions Net=+14 | Growth EPS=+21.5% | Growth Revenue=+15.9%
EPS next Year (2027-09-30): EPS=5.05 | Chg30d=-0.000 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+19.8% | Growth Revenue=+12.7%

Additional Sources for MTSI Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle