(MVIS) Microvision - Overview
Stock: LiDAR, Perception Software, LIDAR Sensors, ADAS Modules, MAVIN
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 105% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -7.85% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.42 |
| Alpha | -74.85 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.819 |
| Beta Downside | 1.202 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 91.24% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.38 |
Description: MVIS Microvision January 01, 2026
MicroVision, Inc. (NASDAQ:MVIS) builds perception solutions that combine MEMS-based lidar hardware with proprietary software for autonomy and mobility use cases, serving industrial, automotive, defense, and smart-infrastructure customers through direct sales, trade shows, and its website.
As of Q4 2023 the company reported revenue of roughly $5.2 million-a 30 % year-over-year decline-while maintaining a cash balance near $30 million, giving it about 12 months of runway at current burn rates; R&D consumes roughly 45 % of revenue, reflecting the capital-intensive nature of lidar development. The global lidar market is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~20 % through 2030, driven by accelerating autonomous-vehicle deployments and increasing regulatory pressure for advanced driver-assistance systems (ADAS), which are key demand tailwinds for MVIS’s MAVIN and MOVIA sensor lines.
If you want a data-driven, independent valuation framework for MVIS, the free analysis on ValueRay could be a useful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 0.5
| Net Income: -88.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.39 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 40.58 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 2849 % < 20% (prev 520.9%; Δ 2328 % < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.39 > 3% & CFO -58.4m > Net Income -88.4m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 2.88 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (295.5m) vs 12m ago 38.71% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin) |
| Asset Turnover: 2.20% > 50% (prev 9.23%; Δ -7.03% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.96 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -58.3m / Interest Expense TTM 21.7m) |
Altman Z'' -15.00
| A: 0.50 (Total Current Assets 115.0m - Total Current Liabilities 39.9m) / Total Assets 150.8m |
| B: -6.10 (Retained Earnings -919.5m / Total Assets 150.8m) |
| C: -0.54 (EBIT TTM -64.3m / Avg Total Assets 119.5m) |
| D: -15.28 (Book Value of Equity -918.6m / Total Liabilities 60.1m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -36.27 = D |
Beneish M -4.00
| DSRI: 0.53 (Receivables 40.0k/232.0k, Revenue 2.63m/8.15m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins) |
| AQI: 0.53 (AQ_t 0.09 / AQ_t-1 0.18) |
| SGI: 0.32 (Revenue 2.63m / 8.15m) |
| TATA: -0.20 (NI -88.4m - CFO -58.4m) / TA 150.8m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -4.38 (Cap -4..+1) = AAA |
What is the price of MVIS shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.09%, over one month by -16.43%, over three months by -26.78% and over the past year by -48.05%.
Is MVIS a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the MVIS price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 2.5 | 224.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 2.5 | 224.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 0.5 | -32.5% |
MVIS Fundamental Data Overview February 05, 2026
P/B = 2.4309
P/EG = -0.51
Revenue TTM = 2.63m USD
EBIT TTM = -64.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = -58.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 8.75m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 32.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 46.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -26.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 166.9m USD (219.8m + Debt 46.6m - CCE 99.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.96 (Ebit TTM -64.3m / Interest Expense TTM 21.7m)
EV/FCF = -2.83x (Enterprise Value 166.9m / FCF TTM -58.9m)
FCF Yield = -35.31% (FCF TTM -58.9m / Enterprise Value 166.9m)
FCF Margin = -2236 % (FCF TTM -58.9m / Revenue TTM 2.63m)
Net Margin = -3354 % (Net Income TTM -88.4m / Revenue TTM 2.63m)
Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 2.63m - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.01m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.11 (Enterprise Value 166.9m / Total Assets 150.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.71% (Interest Expense 2.20m / Debt 46.6m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -50.8m (EBIT -64.3m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 2.88 (Total Current Assets 115.0m / Total Current Liabilities 39.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.51 (Debt 46.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 90.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.45 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -26.2m / EBITDA -58.3m)
Debt / FCF = 0.45 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -26.2m / FCF TTM -58.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 67.4m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -73.93% (Net Income -88.4m / Total Assets 150.8m)
RoE = -131.0% (Net Income TTM -88.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 67.4m)
RoCE = -84.39% (EBIT -64.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 67.4m + L.T.Debt 8.75m))
RoIC = -51.56% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -50.8m / Invested Capital 98.5m)
WACC = 11.06% (E(219.8m)/V(266.4m) * Re(12.62%) + D(46.6m)/V(266.4m) * Rd(4.71%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 24.49%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -58.9m)
EPS Correlation: 39.31 | EPS CAGR: 25.84% | SUE: 2.80 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 14.85 | Revenue CAGR: -20.02% | SUE: 0.02 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=1
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.19 | Chg30d=-0.015 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+9.5% | Growth Revenue=+461.6%