(MZTI) The Marzetti - Ratings and Ratios
Frozen Bread, Salad Dressing, Dips, Croutons, Frozen Pasta
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.23% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 2.48% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 6.38% |
| Payout Consistency | 92.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 61.7% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 27.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 39.4% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.08% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.28 |
| Alpha | -17.26 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.12 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.297 |
| Beta | 0.281 |
| Beta Downside | -0.110 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 26.46% |
| Mean DD | 13.65% |
| Median DD | 13.67% |
Description: MZTI The Marzetti October 18, 2025
The Marzetti Company (NASDAQ:MZTI) manufactures and markets specialty food products for U.S. retail and food-service channels, operating under two segments: Retail and Foodservice. Its portfolio includes frozen garlic breads (New York Bakery), Parker-house-style rolls (Sister Schubert’s), a suite of salad dressings (Marzetti, Cardini’s, Girard’s, etc.), vegetable and fruit dips, croutons, and frozen pasta, plus licensed sauces for brands such as Olive Garden, Buffalo Wild Wings, Chick-fil-A, Texas Roadhouse, and Subway.
Key operating metrics (FY 2024) show revenue of roughly **$1.1 billion**, with a **3.5 % organic growth** driven by rising demand for premium, convenient side-dish products and a **gross margin of ~31 %**, reflecting stable ingredient cost structures despite modest inflationary pressure on dairy and wheat inputs. The segmental split remains roughly **55 % Retail / 45 % Foodservice**, and the company’s **EBITDA conversion** hovers near **12 %**, consistent with peers in the packaged-foods space.
Sector-level drivers that materially affect Marzetti include (1) the continued shift toward “food-away-from-home” dining, which sustains food-service volume; (2) consumer willingness to pay a premium for branded, ready-to-heat items; and (3) macro-level commodity price volatility, especially for wheat and dairy, which can compress margins if not hedged. Management’s recent rebranding from Lancaster Colony to The Marzetti Company (June 2025) signals a strategic focus on brand equity and could enhance pricing power.
For a deeper, data-rich assessment of Marzetti’s valuation dynamics-including forward-looking cash-flow models and peer-adjusted multiples-exploring the analyst toolkit on ValueRay may prove worthwhile.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 8.5
| Net Income (169.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 116.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.23 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 9.52pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 13.08% (prev 14.89%; Δ -1.81pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.24 (>3.0%) and CFO 311.1m > Net Income 169.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-82.7m) to EBITDA (294.9m) ratio: -0.28 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.36 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (27.5m) change vs 12m ago 0.06% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 23.95% (prev 23.15%; Δ 0.80pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 155.3% (prev 154.3%; Δ 1.02pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 16.48 (EBITDA TTM 294.9m / Interest Expense TTM 14.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 13.36
| (A) 0.20 = (Total Current Assets 439.7m - Total Current Liabilities 186.4m) / Total Assets 1.28b |
| (B) 1.27 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 1.62b / Total Assets 1.28b |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.27 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.18 = EBIT TTM 230.3m / Avg Total Assets 1.25b |
| (D) 6.35 = Book Value of Equity 1.78b / Total Liabilities 280.4m |
| Total Rating: 13.36 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 86.46
| 1. Piotroski 8.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.42% |
| 3. FCF Margin 15.44% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.04 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.28 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 11.04)% |
| 7. RoE 17.19% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 70.71% |
| 9. EPS Trend 33.14% |
What is the price of MZTI shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.79%, over one month by +3.57%, over three months by -3.56% and over the past year by -6.54%.
Is MZTI a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the MZTI price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 196.2 | 13.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 174.9 | 1.1% |
MZTI Fundamental Data Overview December 16, 2025
P/E Trailing = 27.9481
P/S = 2.4481
P/B = 4.6475
Beta = 0.433
Revenue TTM = 1.94b USD
EBIT TTM = 230.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 294.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 55.6m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 11.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 41.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -82.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4.66b USD (4.74b + Debt 41.8m - CCE 124.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 16.48 (Ebit TTM 230.3m / Interest Expense TTM 14.0m)
FCF Yield = 6.42% (FCF TTM 298.8m / Enterprise Value 4.66b)
FCF Margin = 15.44% (FCF TTM 298.8m / Revenue TTM 1.94b)
Net Margin = 8.77% (Net Income TTM 169.8m / Revenue TTM 1.94b)
Gross Margin = 23.95% ((Revenue TTM 1.94b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.47b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.08% (prev 22.32%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.65 (Enterprise Value 4.66b / Total Assets 1.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.32% (Interest Expense 132.0k / Debt 41.8m)
Taxrate = 22.38% (13.6m / 60.8m)
NOPAT = 178.8m (EBIT 230.3m * (1 - 22.38%))
Current Ratio = 2.36 (Total Current Assets 439.7m / Total Current Liabilities 186.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 41.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 996.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.28 (Net Debt -82.7m / EBITDA 294.9m)
Debt / FCF = -0.28 (Net Debt -82.7m / FCF TTM 298.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 988.1m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 13.30% (Net Income 169.8m / Total Assets 1.28b)
RoE = 17.19% (Net Income TTM 169.8m / Total Stockholder Equity 988.1m)
RoCE = 22.07% (EBIT 230.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 988.1m + L.T.Debt 55.6m))
RoIC = 18.03% (NOPAT 178.8m / Invested Capital 991.5m)
WACC = 6.99% (E(4.74b)/V(4.78b) * Re(7.05%) + D(41.8m)/V(4.78b) * Rd(0.32%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.05% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.10%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈246.9m ; Y1≈304.6m ; Y5≈519.6m
Fair Price DCF = 321.5 (DCF Value 8.84b / Shares Outstanding 27.5m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 33.14 | EPS CAGR: 3.97% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 70.71 | Revenue CAGR: 3.84% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.57 | Chg30d=-0.020 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=7.03 | Chg30d=-0.005 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+4.6% | Growth Revenue=+2.1%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=7.39 | Chg30d=+0.012 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+5.1% | Growth Revenue=+2.1%
Additional Sources for MZTI Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle