(NATH) Nathans Famous - Ratings and Ratios
Hot Dogs, Fries, Sausages, Pickles, Hors DOeuvres
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.17% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 3.99% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 9.33% |
| Payout Consistency | 73.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 81.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 29.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 44.8% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.41% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.23 |
| Alpha | 0.19 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.60 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.550 |
| Beta | 0.590 |
| Beta Downside | 0.537 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 22.62% |
| Mean DD | 8.75% |
| Median DD | 8.48% |
Description: NATH Nathans Famous October 25, 2025
Nathans Famous, Inc. (NASDAQ:NATH) runs a diversified food-service business in the U.S. and abroad, organized into three primary segments: (1) Branded Product Program, (2) Product Licensing, and (3) Restaurant Operations. The company both owns and franchises over 1,400 Nathan’s locations, leveraging the iconic brand to generate restaurant revenue and franchise fees.
Beyond its restaurant footprint, Nathan’s monetizes its trademarks through extensive licensing agreements. These cover the production and distribution of branded beef hot dogs, crinkle-cut fries, sausages, and a range of snack items (e.g., bagel dogs, mozzarella sticks) sold in supermarkets, mass merchandisers, club stores, and food-service distributors. The firm also supplies bulk hot-dog casings and proprietary spice blends to its own restaurants and third-party operators, and it holds a license for Arthur Treacher’s fish fillets.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 net sales were approximately **$511 million**, with comparable-restaurant sales rising **~6% YoY** in the most recent quarter-a sign that the brand is resilient amid broader consumer price inflation. Roughly **70%** of the restaurant network is franchised, providing a relatively stable fee-based income stream. The broader quick-service restaurant (QSR) sector is currently driven by two macro trends: (i) sustained consumer demand for protein-rich, convenience foods, and (ii) inflationary pressure on commodity costs, which compresses margins for both company-owned and franchised units.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may explore the companys metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
| Net Income (22.8m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 9.30m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.32 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -8.40pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 24.31% (prev 22.69%; Δ 1.62pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.32 (>3.0%) and CFO 20.4m <= Net Income 22.8m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (21.7m) to EBITDA (35.3m) ratio: 0.61 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.12 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (4.13m) change vs 12m ago 0.85% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 30.86% (prev 36.08%; Δ -5.22pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 257.1% (prev 249.1%; Δ 7.96pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 11.08 (EBITDA TTM 35.3m / Interest Expense TTM 3.10m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 8.88
| (A) 0.60 = (Total Current Assets 55.4m - Total Current Liabilities 17.7m) / Total Assets 62.9m |
| (B) 0.26 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 16.6m / Total Assets 62.9m |
| (C) 0.57 = EBIT TTM 34.4m / Avg Total Assets 60.3m |
| (D) 0.24 = Book Value of Equity 16.7m / Total Liabilities 68.8m |
| Total Rating: 8.88 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 70.98
| 1. Piotroski 4.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.77% |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.89% |
| 4. Debt/Equity -9.13 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.61 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 60.56)% |
| 7. RoE -180.1% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 52.05% |
| 9. EPS Trend 45.13% |
What is the price of NATH shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.72%, over one month by -11.81%, over three months by -12.68% and over the past year by +7.51%.
Is NATH a buy, sell or hold?
What are the forecasts/targets for the NATH price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | - | - |
| Analysts Target Price | - | - |
| ValueRay Target Price | 97.4 | 5.6% |
NATH Fundamental Data Overview November 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 17.5171
P/S = 2.5681
Beta = 0.31
Revenue TTM = 155.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 34.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 35.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 46.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.33m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 53.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 21.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 419.3m USD (397.6m + Debt 53.9m - CCE 32.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 11.08 (Ebit TTM 34.4m / Interest Expense TTM 3.10m)
FCF Yield = 4.77% (FCF TTM 20.0m / Enterprise Value 419.3m)
FCF Margin = 12.89% (FCF TTM 20.0m / Revenue TTM 155.0m)
Net Margin = 14.74% (Net Income TTM 22.8m / Revenue TTM 155.0m)
Gross Margin = 30.86% ((Revenue TTM 155.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 107.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.49% (prev 35.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.67 (Enterprise Value 419.3m / Total Assets 62.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.37% (Interest Expense 739.0k / Debt 53.9m)
Taxrate = 25.95% (1.82m / 7.02m)
NOPAT = 25.5m (EBIT 34.4m * (1 - 25.95%))
Current Ratio = 3.12 (Total Current Assets 55.4m / Total Current Liabilities 17.7m)
Debt / Equity = -9.13 (negative equity) (Debt 53.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -5.90m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.61 (Net Debt 21.7m / EBITDA 35.3m)
Debt / FCF = 1.09 (Net Debt 21.7m / FCF TTM 20.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = -12.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 36.34% (Net Income 22.8m / Total Assets 62.9m)
RoE = -180.1% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 22.8m / Total Stockholder Equity -12.7m)
RoCE = 100.5% (EBIT 34.4m / Capital Employed (Equity -12.7m + L.T.Debt 46.9m))
RoIC = 67.90% (NOPAT 25.5m / Invested Capital 37.5m)
WACC = 7.33% (E(397.6m)/V(451.5m) * Re(8.19%) + D(53.9m)/V(451.5m) * Rd(1.37%) * (1-Tc(0.26)))
Discount Rate = 8.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.61%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.53% ; FCFE base≈21.3m ; Y1≈24.1m ; Y5≈32.9m
Fair Price DCF = 135.5 (DCF Value 554.3m / Shares Outstanding 4.09m; 5y FCF grow 15.65% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 45.13 | EPS CAGR: 26.59% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 52.05 | Revenue CAGR: 16.33% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for NATH Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle