(NBIX) Neurocrine Biosciences - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US64125C1099

Movement, Endocrine, Neuropsychiatric, Gynecology, Pediatric

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of NBIX over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09": -0.62, "2020-12": 0.72, "2021-03": 0.33, "2021-06": 0.43, "2021-09": 0.64, "2021-12": -0.08, "2022-03": 0.14, "2022-06": -0.18, "2022-09": 0.69, "2022-12": 0.88, "2023-03": -0.79, "2023-06": 0.95, "2023-09": 0.82, "2023-12": 1.44, "2024-03": 0.42, "2024-06": 0.63, "2024-09": 1.81, "2024-12": 1.69, "2025-03": 0.7, "2025-06": 1.65, "2025-09": 2.17,

Revenue

Revenue of NBIX over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09: 258.5, 2020-12: 247.9, 2021-03: 236.6, 2021-06: 288.9, 2021-09: 296, 2021-12: 312, 2022-03: 310.6, 2022-06: 378.2, 2022-09: 387.9, 2022-12: 412, 2023-03: 420.4, 2023-06: 452.7, 2023-09: 498.8, 2023-12: 515.2, 2024-03: 515.3, 2024-06: 590.2, 2024-09: 622.1, 2024-12: 627.7, 2025-03: 572.6, 2025-06: 687.5, 2025-09: 794.9,
Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility 31.8%
Value at Risk 5%th 44.6%
Relative Tail Risk -14.73%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.50
Alpha 3.04
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.278
Beta 0.828
Beta Downside 0.835
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 42.89%
Mean DD 13.65%
Median DD 13.19%

Description: NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences October 30, 2025

Neurocrine Biosciences (NASDAQ: NBIX) is a San-Diego-based biotech that discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines for neurological, neuroendocrine, and neuropsychiatric diseases, primarily in the United States but with growing international reach.

Its commercial portfolio includes INGREZZA (valbenazine) for tardive dyskinesia and Huntington’s chorea, ALKINDI for adrenal insufficiency, Efmody for classic congenital adrenal hyperplasia, Orilissa for endometriosis, Oriahnn for uterine fibroids, and CRENESSITY for congenital adrenal hyperplasia. The pipeline features valbenazine extensions (e.g., dyskinetic cerebral palsy, schizophrenia), NBI-1076986 for movement disorders, Osavampator and NBI-1070770 for major depressive disorder, and multiple NBI-1117xxx candidates targeting schizophrenia and other neuropsychiatric conditions.

In FY 2024 NBIX generated ≈ $1.3 billion in revenue, with INGREZZA contributing roughly $480 million-demonstrating the commercial traction of its core valbenazine franchise. R&D spending remained above $300 million, reflecting a sector-wide trend where biotech firms reinvest > 20 % of sales into pipeline expansion to offset the high attrition rate of CNS programs. The global market for neuroendocrine disorders is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~ 6 % through 2030, providing a macro-level tailwind for NBIX’s specialty focus.

For a deeper, data-driven view of NBIX’s valuation dynamics and how its pipeline risk-reward profile stacks up against peers, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth a quick look.

NBIX Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 14,443m
Sub-Industry Biotechnology
IPO / Inception 1996-05-23
Return 12m vs S&P 500 6.54%
Analyst Rating 4.48 of 5

NBIX Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

NBIX Growth Ratios

Metric Value
CAGR 3y 6.72%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio 0.16
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio 0.49
Current Volume 856.6k
Average Volume 922.6k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5

Net Income (428.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 161.0m TTM)
FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.45pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 56.67% (prev 64.51%; Δ -7.84pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 636.8m > Net Income 428.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (88.2m) to EBITDA (665.4m) ratio: 0.13 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 3.38 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (102.5m) change vs 12m ago -1.73% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 98.37% (prev 98.52%; Δ -0.15pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 68.78% (prev 63.45%; Δ 5.34pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio 5.02 (EBITDA TTM 665.4m / Interest Expense TTM 126.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.91

(A) 0.36 = (Total Current Assets 2.16b - Total Current Liabilities 638.0m) / Total Assets 4.27b
(B) 0.07 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 294.0m / Total Assets 4.27b
(C) 0.16 = EBIT TTM 635.7m / Avg Total Assets 3.90b
(D) 0.24 = Book Value of Equity 307.3m / Total Liabilities 1.26b
Total Rating: 3.91 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 84.93

1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50
2. FCF Yield 4.31% = 2.16
3. FCF Margin 22.11% = 5.53
4. Debt/Equity 0.14 = 2.49
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.13 = 2.49
6. ROIC - WACC (= 7.45)% = 9.31
7. RoE 15.82% = 1.32
8. Rev. Trend 95.91% = 7.19
9. EPS Trend 59.04% = 2.95

What is the price of NBIX shares?

As of November 18, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 143.56 with a total of 856,603 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.31%, over one month by +2.48%, over three months by +7.83% and over the past year by +22.05%.

Is NBIX a buy, sell or hold?

Neurocrine Biosciences has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.48. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NBIX.
  • Strong Buy: 15
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NBIX price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 174.6 21.6%
Analysts Target Price 174.6 21.6%
ValueRay Target Price 151.8 5.7%

NBIX Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025

Market Cap USD = 14.44b (14.44b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 34.5728
P/E Forward = 20.284
P/S = 5.3839
P/B = 4.8093
P/EG = 0.2733
Beta = 0.28
Revenue TTM = 2.68b USD
EBIT TTM = 635.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 665.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 428.4m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 428.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 88.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 13.76b USD (14.44b + Debt 428.4m - CCE 1.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.02 (Ebit TTM 635.7m / Interest Expense TTM 126.6m)
FCF Yield = 4.31% (FCF TTM 593.1m / Enterprise Value 13.76b)
FCF Margin = 22.11% (FCF TTM 593.1m / Revenue TTM 2.68b)
Net Margin = 15.95% (Net Income TTM 428.0m / Revenue TTM 2.68b)
Gross Margin = 98.37% ((Revenue TTM 2.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 43.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 98.24% (prev 98.36%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.23 (Enterprise Value 13.76b / Total Assets 4.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 29.55% (Interest Expense 126.6m / Debt 428.4m)
Taxrate = 28.20% (82.3m / 291.8m)
NOPAT = 456.4m (EBIT 635.7m * (1 - 28.20%))
Current Ratio = 3.38 (Total Current Assets 2.16b / Total Current Liabilities 638.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 428.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.13 (Net Debt 88.2m / EBITDA 665.4m)
Debt / FCF = 0.15 (Net Debt 88.2m / FCF TTM 593.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.03% (Net Income 428.0m / Total Assets 4.27b)
RoE = 15.82% (Net Income TTM 428.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.71b)
RoCE = 20.28% (EBIT 635.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.71b + L.T.Debt 428.4m))
RoIC = 16.87% (NOPAT 456.4m / Invested Capital 2.71b)
WACC = 9.42% (E(14.44b)/V(14.87b) * Re(9.07%) + D(428.4m)/V(14.87b) * Rd(29.55%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 9.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.10%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.18% ; FCFE base≈531.9m ; Y1≈656.2m ; Y5≈1.12b
Fair Price DCF = 157.9 (DCF Value 15.74b / Shares Outstanding 99.7m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 59.04 | EPS CAGR: 38.85% | SUE: 0.27 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.91 | Revenue CAGR: 27.00% | SUE: 2.77 | # QB: 2

Additional Sources for NBIX Stock

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