(NBIX) Neurocrine Biosciences - Ratings and Ratios
Movement, Endocrine, Neuropsychiatric, Gynecology, Pediatric
NBIX EPS (Earnings per Share)
NBIX Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 45.9% |
| Reward | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.59 |
| Alpha | 12.88 |
| Character | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.324 |
| Beta | 0.212 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 42.89% |
| Mean DD | 13.62% |
Description: NBIX Neurocrine Biosciences October 30, 2025
Neurocrine Biosciences (NASDAQ: NBIX) is a San-Diego-based biotech that discovers, develops, and commercializes medicines for neurological, neuroendocrine, and neuropsychiatric diseases, primarily in the United States but with growing international reach.
Its commercial portfolio includes INGREZZA (valbenazine) for tardive dyskinesia and Huntington’s chorea, ALKINDI for adrenal insufficiency, Efmody for classic congenital adrenal hyperplasia, Orilissa for endometriosis, Oriahnn for uterine fibroids, and CRENESSITY for congenital adrenal hyperplasia. The pipeline features valbenazine extensions (e.g., dyskinetic cerebral palsy, schizophrenia), NBI-1076986 for movement disorders, Osavampator and NBI-1070770 for major depressive disorder, and multiple NBI-1117xxx candidates targeting schizophrenia and other neuropsychiatric conditions.
In FY 2024 NBIX generated ≈ $1.3 billion in revenue, with INGREZZA contributing roughly $480 million-demonstrating the commercial traction of its core valbenazine franchise. R&D spending remained above $300 million, reflecting a sector-wide trend where biotech firms reinvest > 20 % of sales into pipeline expansion to offset the high attrition rate of CNS programs. The global market for neuroendocrine disorders is projected to grow at a CAGR of ~ 6 % through 2030, providing a macro-level tailwind for NBIX’s specialty focus.
For a deeper, data-driven view of NBIX’s valuation dynamics and how its pipeline risk-reward profile stacks up against peers, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth a quick look.
NBIX Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 14,279m |
| Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
| IPO / Inception | 1996-05-23 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 2.41% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.48 of 5 |
NBIX Dividends
Currently no dividends paidNBIX Growth Ratios
| CAGR | 8.40% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.20 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.62 |
| Current Volume | 964.3k |
| Average Volume | 798.4k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (428.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 161.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.45pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 56.67% (prev 64.51%; Δ -7.84pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 636.8m > Net Income 428.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (88.2m) to EBITDA (665.4m) ratio: 0.13 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 3.38 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (102.5m) change vs 12m ago -1.73% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 98.37% (prev 98.52%; Δ -0.15pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 68.78% (prev 63.45%; Δ 5.34pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.02 (EBITDA TTM 665.4m / Interest Expense TTM 126.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.91
| (A) 0.36 = (Total Current Assets 2.16b - Total Current Liabilities 638.0m) / Total Assets 4.27b |
| (B) 0.07 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 294.0m / Total Assets 4.27b |
| (C) 0.16 = EBIT TTM 635.7m / Avg Total Assets 3.90b |
| (D) 0.24 = Book Value of Equity 307.3m / Total Liabilities 1.26b |
| Total Rating: 3.91 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 88.15
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt = 1.50 |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.36% = 2.18 |
| 3. FCF Margin 22.11% = 5.53 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.14 = 2.49 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.13 = 2.49 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 10.29)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 15.82% = 1.32 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 95.91% = 7.19 |
| 9. EPS Trend 59.04% = 2.95 |
What is the price of NBIX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.68%, over one month by +9.80%, over three months by +21.00% and over the past year by +17.97%.
Is Neurocrine Biosciences a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NBIX is around 144.70 USD . This means that NBIX is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -3.55%.
Is NBIX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 15
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NBIX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 174.5 | 16.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 174.5 | 16.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 159.5 | 6.3% |
NBIX Fundamental Data Overview November 02, 2025
P/E Trailing = 34.0976
P/E Forward = 25.7732
P/S = 5.3226
P/B = 5.0336
P/EG = 0.2733
Beta = 0.212
Revenue TTM = 2.68b USD
EBIT TTM = 635.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = 665.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 455.1m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 428.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 88.2m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 13.59b USD (14.28b + Debt 428.4m - CCE 1.11b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.02 (Ebit TTM 635.7m / Interest Expense TTM 126.6m)
FCF Yield = 4.36% (FCF TTM 593.1m / Enterprise Value 13.59b)
FCF Margin = 22.11% (FCF TTM 593.1m / Revenue TTM 2.68b)
Net Margin = 15.95% (Net Income TTM 428.0m / Revenue TTM 2.68b)
Gross Margin = 98.37% ((Revenue TTM 2.68b - Cost of Revenue TTM 43.8m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 98.24% (prev 98.36%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.19 (Enterprise Value 13.59b / Total Assets 4.27b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 29.55% (Interest Expense 126.6m / Debt 428.4m)
Taxrate = 28.20% (82.3m / 291.8m)
NOPAT = 456.4m (EBIT 635.7m * (1 - 28.20%))
Current Ratio = 3.38 (Total Current Assets 2.16b / Total Current Liabilities 638.0m)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 428.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 3.00b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.13 (Net Debt 88.2m / EBITDA 665.4m)
Debt / FCF = 0.15 (Net Debt 88.2m / FCF TTM 593.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.71b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.03% (Net Income 428.0m / Total Assets 4.27b)
RoE = 15.82% (Net Income TTM 428.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.71b)
RoCE = 20.11% (EBIT 635.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.71b + L.T.Debt 455.1m))
RoIC = 17.51% (NOPAT 456.4m / Invested Capital 2.61b)
WACC = 7.22% (E(14.28b)/V(14.71b) * Re(6.80%) + D(428.4m)/V(14.71b) * Rd(29.55%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 6.80% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.10%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈531.9m ; Y1≈656.2m ; Y5≈1.12b
Fair Price DCF = 191.0 (DCF Value 19.04b / Shares Outstanding 99.7m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 59.04 | EPS CAGR: 38.85% | SUE: 0.27 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 95.91 | Revenue CAGR: 27.00% | SUE: 2.77 | # QB: 2
Additional Sources for NBIX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle