Overview Dividends

(NCMI) National CineMedia - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US6353091076

Cinema Advertising, Lobby Entertainment, Digital Ads, Gaming Apps

NCMI EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 56.03%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -9.7%

NCMI Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): -1.83%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 13.2%

Description: NCMI National CineMedia

National CineMedia, Inc. (NCMI) is a leading cinema advertising network in North America, operating through its subsidiary National CineMedia, LLC. The company connects businesses with audiences through its innovative advertising platforms, including Noovie, a cinema advertising and entertainment show, and Lobby Entertainment Network, a series of strategically placed screens in movie theater lobbies. NCMI also offers digital advertising solutions, such as NCM Boost and Boomerang, as well as digital gaming products like the Noovie Trivia app. By partnering with third-party theater circuits under long-term agreements, NCMI has established a robust presence in the industry.

With a strong foundation in the advertising industry, NCMI has been able to capitalize on the growing demand for targeted and engaging advertising solutions. The companys ability to reach a captive audience in movie theaters provides a unique value proposition for advertisers. Additionally, NCMIs digital offerings have enabled it to stay ahead of the curve in the rapidly evolving advertising landscape. As the media landscape continues to shift towards digital, NCMIs diversified offerings position it for long-term success.

Analyzing the and , we can see that NCMIs stock has been trending downwards, with its SMA20, SMA50, and SMA200 all indicating a bearish trend. However, the companys forward P/E ratio of 31.65 suggests that investors are expecting growth in the future. With a market capitalization of $496.51M USD and a relatively stable ATR of 0.21, we can forecast that NCMIs stock may experience a rebound in the near future, potentially reaching $5.50 within the next few weeks, driven by a combination of improved market sentiment and the companys continued innovation in the cinema advertising space.

Based on the available data, a potential trading strategy could involve monitoring NCMIs stock for a breakout above its SMA20 or SMA50, indicating a potential shift in trend. Additionally, investors may want to keep a close eye on the companys future earnings reports, as a strong showing could help drive the stock price higher. With its unique value proposition and diversified offerings, NCMI is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing demand for targeted advertising solutions.

NCMI Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	411m
Sub-Industry	Advertising
IPO / Inception	2007-02-08

NCMI Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	-76.8%
Fundamental	48.6%
Dividend Rating	1.0%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-44.6%
Analyst Rating	4.25 of 5

NCMI Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	1.74%
Yield on Cost 5y	0.29%
Annual Growth 5y	-34.97%
Payout Consistency	71.0%
Payout Ratio	0.0%

NCMI Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	-86.6%
Growth Correlation 12m	-87.4%
Growth Correlation 5y	-63.6%
CAGR 5y	-32.42%
CAGR/Max DD 5y	-0.33
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-0.89
Alpha	-42.52
Beta	0.302
Volatility	51.79%
Current Volume	308.5k
Average Volume 20d	503.4k
Stop Loss	4.1 (-6.6%)
Signal	1.65

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.5

Net Income (-20.3m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 14.1m TTM)

FCFTA 0.05 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.28pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 18.31% (prev 33.17%; Δ -14.86pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 29.6m > Net Income -20.3m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-26.8m) to EBITDA (22.0m) ratio: -1.22 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.74 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (94.0m) change vs 12m ago -2.52% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 37.13% (prev 31.63%; Δ 5.50pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 47.59% (prev 39.40%; Δ 8.20pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio -17.27 (EBITDA TTM 22.0m / Interest Expense TTM 1.10m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 3.91

(A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 101.0m - Total Current Liabilities 57.9m) / Total Assets 462.0m

(B) 0.46 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 214.8m / Total Assets 462.0m

(D) 1.94 = Book Value of Equity 217.3m / Total Liabilities 112.0m

Total Rating: 3.91 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 48.56

1. Piotroski 7.50pt = 2.50

2. FCF Yield 5.67% = 2.83

3. FCF Margin 10.28% = 2.57

4. Debt/Equity 0.16 = 2.49

5. Debt/Ebitda 2.55 = -1.05

6. ROIC - WACC -11.23% = -12.50

7. RoE -5.35% = -0.89

8. Rev. Trend 13.17% = 0.66

9. Rev. CAGR -1.83% = -0.31

10. EPS Trend -9.74% = -0.24

11. EPS CAGR 56.03% = 2.50

What is the price of NCMI shares?

As of September 01, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 4.39 with a total of 308,517 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.30%, over one month by -8.86%, over three months by -17.38% and over the past year by -35.22%.

Is National CineMedia a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, National CineMedia (NASDAQ:NCMI) is currently (September 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 48.56 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NCMI is around 3.16 USD . This means that NCMI is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -28.02%.

Is NCMI a buy, sell or hold?

National CineMedia has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.25. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NCMI.

Strong Buy: 2
Buy: 1
Hold: 1
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NCMI price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	6.6	51%
Analysts Target Price	7.1	62.4%
ValueRay Target Price	3.5	-21.2%

Last update: 2025-08-19 02:49

NCMI Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 410.9m (410.9m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 40.3m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Forward = 31.6456
P/S = 1.7464
P/B = 1.1741
P/EG = -3.82
Beta = 2.117
Revenue TTM = 235.4m USD
EBIT TTM = -19.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 22.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 54.1m USD (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.10m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 56.2m USD (Calculated: Short Term 2.10m + Long Term 54.1m)
Net Debt = -26.8m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 426.8m USD (410.9m + Debt 56.2m - CCE 40.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -17.27 (Ebit TTM -19.0m / Interest Expense TTM 1.10m)
FCF Yield = 5.67% (FCF TTM 24.2m / Enterprise Value 426.8m)
FCF Margin = 10.28% (FCF TTM 24.2m / Revenue TTM 235.4m)
Net Margin = -8.62% (Net Income TTM -20.3m / Revenue TTM 235.4m)
Gross Margin = 37.13% ((Revenue TTM 235.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 148.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.96 (Enterprise Value 426.8m / Book Value Of Equity 217.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.18% (Interest Expense 100.0k / Debt 56.2m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default)
NOPAT = -19.0m (EBIT -19.0m, no tax applied on loss)
Current Ratio = 1.74 (Total Current Assets 101.0m / Total Current Liabilities 57.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.16 (Debt 56.2m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 350.0m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.55 (Net Debt -26.8m / EBITDA 22.0m)
Debt / FCF = 2.32 (Debt 56.2m / FCF TTM 24.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 379.4m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -4.39% (Net Income -20.3m, Total Assets 462.0m )
RoE = -5.35% (Net Income TTM -20.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 379.4m)
RoCE = -4.38% (Ebit -19.0m / (Equity 379.4m + L.T.Debt 54.1m))
RoIC = -4.94% (NOPAT -19.0m / Invested Capital 384.4m)
WACC = 6.29% (E(410.9m)/V(467.1m) * Re(7.13%)) + (D(56.2m)/V(467.1m) * Rd(0.18%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 70.0 | Cagr: 84.84%
Discount Rate = 7.13% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.46% ; FCFE base≈20.8m ; Y1≈13.6m ; Y5≈6.23m
Fair Price DCF = 1.31 (DCF Value 122.5m / Shares Outstanding 93.7m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 13.17 | Revenue CAGR: -1.83%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 18.76
EPS Correlation: -9.74 | EPS CAGR: 56.03%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -77.74

Additional Sources for NCMI Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle