(NCNO) nCino - Overview

Sector: Technology | Industry: Software - Application | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 1.736m USD | Total Return: -45.4% in 12m

Loan Origination, Customer Onboarding, Account Opening, Portfolio Analytics
Total Rating 39
Safety 60
Buy Signal -0.09
Software - Application
Industry Rotation: -4.6
Market Cap: 1.74B
Avg Turnover: 61.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility45.9%
VaR 5th Pctl7.07%
VaR vs Median-8.32%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.18
Rel. Str. IBD4
Rel. Str. Peer Group16.4
Character TTM
Beta1.067
Beta Downside1.239
Hurst Exponent0.522
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD67.14%
CAGR/Max DD-0.22
CAGR/Mean DD-0.58
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NCNO over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-04": -0.04, "2021-07": -0.02, "2021-10": -0.04, "2022-01": -0.09, "2022-04": -0.06, "2022-07": -0.04, "2022-10": -0.01, "2023-01": -0.09, "2023-04": 0.07, "2023-07": 0.09, "2023-10": 0.14, "2024-01": 0.21, "2024-04": 0.19, "2024-07": 0.14, "2024-10": 0.21, "2025-01": 0.12, "2025-04": 0.16, "2025-07": -0.13, "2025-10": 0.31, "2026-01": 0.37, "2026-04": null,
Last SUE: 1.29
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of NCNO over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-04: 62.355, 2021-07: 66.519, 2021-10: 70.036, 2022-01: 74.955, 2022-04: 94.211, 2022-07: 99.627, 2022-10: 105.296, 2023-01: 109.181, 2023-04: 113.672, 2023-07: 117.236, 2023-10: 121.942, 2024-01: 123.693, 2024-04: 128.087, 2024-07: 132.403, 2024-10: 138.797, 2025-01: 141.37, 2025-04: 144.137, 2025-07: 148.815, 2025-10: 152.163, 2026-01: 149.666, 2026-04: 159.414,
Rev. CAGR: 12.28%
Rev. Trend: 99.7%
Last SUE: 1.91
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

P/E ratio 132.1

Altman Z'' 0.88 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Description: NCNO nCino

nCino, Inc. (NCNO) is a vertical Software-as-a-Service (SaaS) provider specializing in cloud-based operating systems for financial institutions. Its core platform digitizes and automates the entire banking lifecycle, including customer onboarding, deposit account opening, and loan origination for commercial, consumer, and small business segments.

The company operates within the Application Software sub-industry, specifically targeting the digital transformation of legacy banking infrastructure. By leveraging a multi-tenant cloud architecture, nCino enables global banks and credit unions to replace disparate point solutions with a single, integrated platform for credit monitoring and portfolio analytics. This business model benefits from high switching costs and long-term contracts typical of enterprise financial software.

The platform facilitates connectivity between core banking systems and third-party fintech applications through open APIs and a dedicated partner marketplace. For a deeper look into the companys fundamental performance, consider exploring the detailed metrics available on ValueRay. Founded in 2011 and based in Wilmington, North Carolina, nCino serves a diverse client base ranging from global enterprise banks to independent mortgage lenders.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Subscription revenue growth from global enterprise banking digital transformation initiatives
  • nIQ artificial intelligence adoption accelerates secondary upsell and cross-sell opportunities
  • High customer churn in independent mortgage bank segment reduces recurring revenue
  • Sales cycle duration fluctuations impact short term billings and bookings targets
  • Operating margin expansion driven by transition from professional services to software
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 13.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.76 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -5.32% < 20% (prev 2.32%; Δ -7.64% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.07 > 3% & CFO 117.2m > Net Income 13.3m
Net Debt (228.1m) to EBITDA (68.0m): 3.35 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.89 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (109.5m) vs 12m ago -6.11% < -2%
Gross Margin: 61.41% > 18% (prev 60.05%; Δ 1.36% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 37.44% > 50% (prev 33.72%; Δ 3.72% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.51 > 6 (EBIT TTM 26.4m / Interest Expense TTM 17.5m)
Altman Z'' 0.88
A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 267.4m - Total Current Liabilities 299.9m) / Total Assets 1.61b
B: -0.22 (Retained Earnings -361.4m / Total Assets 1.61b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 26.4m / Avg Total Assets 1.63b)
D: 1.56 (Book Value of Equity 970.4m / Total Liabilities 623.4m)
Altman-Z'' = 0.88 = B
Beneish M -2.91
DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 124.7m/104.4m, Revenue 610.1m/556.7m)
GMI: 0.98 (GM 60.05% / 61.41%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.78 / AQ_t-1 0.78)
SGI: 1.10 (Revenue 610.1m / 556.7m)
TATA: -0.06 (NI 13.3m - CFO 117.2m) / TA 1.61b)
Beneish M = -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of NCNO shares?

As of June 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 14.92 with a total of 2,764,835 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -7.21%, over one month by -16.93%, over three months by -11.30% and over the past year by -45.39%.

Is NCNO a buy, sell or hold?

nCino has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.44. Therefore, it is recommended to hold NCNO.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 5
  • Hold: 10
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NCNO price?
Analysts Target Price 23.3 56.2%
nCino (NCNO) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 30 May 2026
Market Cap USD = 1.74b (1.74b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 132.0833
P/E Forward = 14.5985
P/S = 2.8463
P/B = 1.7895
Revenue TTM = 610.1m USD
EBIT TTM = 26.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 68.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 253.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 14.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 330.9m USD (corrected: LT Debt 253.0m + ST Debt 14.0m) + Leases 63.9m
Net Debt = 228.1m USD (calculated: Debt 330.9m - CCE 102.8m)
Enterprise Value = 1.96b USD (1.74b + Debt 330.9m - CCE 102.8m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.51 (Ebit TTM 26.4m / Interest Expense TTM 17.5m)
EV/FCF = 17.74x (Enterprise Value 1.96b / FCF TTM 110.8m)
FCF Yield = 5.64% (FCF TTM 110.8m / Enterprise Value 1.96b)
FCF Margin = 18.15% (FCF TTM 110.8m / Revenue TTM 610.1m)
Net Margin = 2.17% (Net Income TTM 13.3m / Revenue TTM 610.1m)
Gross Margin = 61.41% ((Revenue TTM 610.1m - Cost of Revenue TTM 235.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 63.32% (prev 61.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.22 (Enterprise Value 1.96b / Total Assets 1.61b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.28% (Interest Expense 17.5m / Debt 330.9m)
Taxrate = 10.08% (1.68m / 16.7m)
NOPAT = 23.7m (EBIT 26.4m * (1 - 10.08%))
Current Ratio = 0.89 (Total Current Assets 267.4m / Total Current Liabilities 299.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.34 (Debt 330.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 970.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.35 (Net Debt 228.1m / EBITDA 68.0m)
Debt / FCF = 2.06 (Net Debt 228.1m / FCF TTM 110.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.03b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.81% (Net Income 13.3m / Total Assets 1.61b)
RoE = 1.29% (Net Income TTM 13.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.03b)
RoCE = 2.05% (EBIT 26.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.03b + L.T.Debt 253.0m))
RoIC = 1.84% (NOPAT 23.7m / Invested Capital 1.29b)
WACC = 8.93% (E(1.74b)/V(2.07b) * Re(9.73%) + D(330.9m)/V(2.07b) * Rd(5.28%) * (1-Tc(0.10)))
Discount Rate = 9.73% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -6.67 | Cagr: -2.47%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.10% ; FCFF base≈87.1m ; Y1≈99.8m ; Y5≈146.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 16.22 (EV 2.01b - Net Debt 228.1m = Equity 1.78b / Shares 109.6m; r=8.93% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 1.29 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 99.68 | Revenue CAGR: 12.28% | SUE: 1.91 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=0.27 | Chg30d=-2.32% | Revisions=+67% | Analysts=15
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=0.33 | Chg30d=+3.65% | Revisions=+78% | Analysts=14
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=1.27 | Chg30d=+6.31% | Revisions=+81% | GrowthEPS=+18.7% | GrowthRev=+8.4%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=1.53 | Chg30d=+8.88% | Revisions=+69% | GrowthEPS=+20.5% | GrowthRev=+8.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +81%