(NEOV) NeoVolta Common Stock - Overview
Stock: Battery, Inverter, Storage, Solar, Residential, Commercial
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 147% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.76% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.72 |
| Alpha | 7.69 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.469 |
| Beta Downside | 1.509 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 84.32% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.28 |
Description: NEOV NeoVolta Common Stock January 17, 2026
NeoVolta Inc. (NASDAQ: NEOV) designs, manufactures, and sells modular energy-storage systems for residential and commercial sites across the United States. Its product line includes the NV14, NV14-K, NV24, and the higher-capacity NV16KAC, each combining lithium-ion batteries with an integrated inverter. Sales are conducted directly to certified solar installers and equipment distributors, positioning the firm as a downstream supplier in the solar-plus-storage value chain.
Recent public filings show that NEOV generated roughly **$12 million in revenue for Q4 2023**, a **~45 % year-over-year increase**, and reported an installed storage capacity of **≈150 MWh** to date. The company benefits from two macro-drivers: (1) the **U.S. Inflation Reduction Act’s 30 % Investment Tax Credit for battery storage**, which is expected to lift residential storage demand by **15-20 % annually** through 2027, and (2) **declining lithium-ion battery costs**, which have fallen about **10 % YoY** since 2021, improving unit economics for mid-size systems like the NV14 series.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of NEOV’s valuation and risk profile, the ValueRay analysis provides a concise, quantitative framework worth reviewing.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.5
| Net Income: -5.31m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.75 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -40.44 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 18.48% < 20% (prev 157.7%; Δ -139.2% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA -0.75 > 3% & CFO -6.33m > Net Income -5.31m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 1.47 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (34.2m) vs 12m ago 2.86% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 20.65% > 18% (prev 0.20%; Δ 2045 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 230.0% > 50% (prev 59.54%; Δ 170.5% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.54 > 6 (EBITDA TTM -4.55m / Interest Expense TTM 709.6k) |
Altman Z'' -14.76
| A: 0.32 (Total Current Assets 8.36m - Total Current Liabilities 5.68m) / Total Assets 8.45m |
| B: -3.20 (Retained Earnings -27.0m / Total Assets 8.45m) |
| C: -0.29 (EBIT TTM -1.80m / Avg Total Assets 6.30m) |
| D: -4.27 (Book Value of Equity -27.0m / Total Liabilities 6.31m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -14.76 = D |
What is the price of NEOV shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.00%, over one month by +22.03%, over three months by +4.47% and over the past year by +28.35%.
Is NEOV a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NEOV price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 7.5 | 78.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 7.5 | 78.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 4 | -5.9% |
NEOV Fundamental Data Overview February 04, 2026
P/B = 71.7749
Revenue TTM = 14.5m USD
EBIT TTM = -1.80m USD
EBITDA TTM = -4.55m USD
Long Term Debt = 633.5k USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.23m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.87m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 3.98m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 173.4m USD (169.4m + Debt 4.87m - CCE 889.8k)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.54 (Ebit TTM -1.80m / Interest Expense TTM 709.6k)
EV/FCF = -27.40x (Enterprise Value 173.4m / FCF TTM -6.33m)
FCF Yield = -3.65% (FCF TTM -6.33m / Enterprise Value 173.4m)
FCF Margin = -43.67% (FCF TTM -6.33m / Revenue TTM 14.5m)
Net Margin = -36.68% (Net Income TTM -5.31m / Revenue TTM 14.5m)
Gross Margin = 20.65% ((Revenue TTM 14.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 11.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 23.72% (prev 12.11%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 20.52 (Enterprise Value 173.4m / Total Assets 8.45m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.00% (Interest Expense 389.1k / Debt 4.87m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -1.42m (EBIT -1.80m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.47 (Total Current Assets 8.36m / Total Current Liabilities 5.68m)
Debt / Equity = 2.28 (Debt 4.87m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.13m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.87 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 3.98m / EBITDA -4.55m)
Debt / FCF = -0.63 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 3.98m / FCF TTM -6.33m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 3.04m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -84.36% (Net Income -5.31m / Total Assets 8.45m)
RoE = -174.6% (Net Income TTM -5.31m / Total Stockholder Equity 3.04m)
RoCE = -49.00% (EBIT -1.80m / Capital Employed (Equity 3.04m + L.T.Debt 633.5k))
RoIC = -25.44% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -1.42m / Invested Capital 5.59m)
WACC = 11.19% (E(169.4m)/V(174.3m) * Re(11.33%) + D(4.87m)/V(174.3m) * Rd(8.00%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 11.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 1.44%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -6.33m)
EPS Correlation: -33.37 | EPS CAGR: 19.81% | SUE: 2.16 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 45.54 | Revenue CAGR: 64.22% | SUE: 1.30 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=-0.03 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=-1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=-0.13 | Chg30d=-0.010 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+13.3% | Growth Revenue=+143.3%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=-0.13 | Chg30d=-0.050 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+0.0% | Growth Revenue=+6.3%