NFLX Stock Analysis: Netflix | NASDAQ

Entertainment | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 306.841m USD | 12M Return: -37.4% | US64110L1061 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Streaming, Series, Films, Games
Total Rating 52
Safety 83
Buy Signal -0.50
Entertainment
Industry Rotation: -0.4
Market Cap: 307B
Avg Turnover: 3.11B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility32.1%
VaR 5th Pctl5.31%
VaR vs Median0.42%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-1.28
Rel. Str. IBD5.3
Rel. Str. Peer Group18.3
Character TTM
Beta0.476
Beta Downside0.349
Hurst Exponent0.540
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD49.52%
CAGR/Max DD0.43
CAGR/Mean DD1.75
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NFLX over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.3, "2021-09": 0.32, "2021-12": 0.13, "2022-03": 0.35, "2022-06": 0.32, "2022-09": 0.31, "2022-12": 0.01, "2023-03": 0.29, "2023-06": 0.33, "2023-09": 0.37, "2023-12": 0.21, "2024-03": 0.52, "2024-06": 0.49, "2024-09": 0.54, "2024-12": 0.43, "2025-03": 0.66, "2025-06": 0.72, "2025-09": 0.59, "2025-12": 0.56, "2026-03": 1.23, "2026-06": 0.8,
EPS CAGR: 48.47%
EPS Trend: 98.6%
Last SUE: 0.15
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of NFLX over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 7341.777, 2021-09: 7483.467, 2021-12: 7709.318, 2022-03: 7867.767, 2022-06: 7970.141, 2022-09: 7925.589, 2022-12: 7852.053, 2023-03: 8161.503, 2023-06: 8187.301, 2023-09: 8541.668, 2023-12: 8832.825, 2024-03: 9370.44, 2024-06: 9559.31, 2024-09: 9824.703, 2024-12: 10246.513, 2025-03: 10542.801, 2025-06: 11079.166, 2025-09: 11510.307, 2025-12: 12050.762, 2026-03: 12249.757, 2026-06: 12559.938,
Rev. CAGR: 15.48%
Rev. Trend: 100.0%
Last SUE: -0.55
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +3.5% 18
Feb -1.2% 21
Mar -2.0% 20
Apr -0.9% 19
May +3.5% 21
Jun +3.5% 22
Jul -0.5% 16
Aug +1.6% 14
Sep -3.9% 39
Oct +5.5% 28
Nov -3.0% 12
Dec -1.8% 40

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NFLX Netflix

Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) is a global entertainment company that provides subscription-based streaming services, offering TV series, documentaries, feature films, games, and live programming across a wide range of genres and languages. Its content is accessible through internet-connected devices including televisions, digital video players, set-top boxes, and mobile devices. The company was incorporated in 1997, is headquartered in Los Gatos, California, and went public in 2002.

Operating within the GICS Communication Services sector (Movies & Entertainment sub-industry), Netflix is a leading participant in the subscription video-on-demand (SVOD) industry, generating revenue primarily through recurring monthly memberships rather than per-transaction rentals. The streaming model is part of the broader over-the-top (OTT) media sector, where content is delivered directly over the internet, bypassing traditional cable and broadcast distribution channels.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Ad-supported tier subscriber growth lifts average revenue per user
  • Content spending on live sports pressures operating margins
  • Password sharing crackdown expands paid net additions globally
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.0
Net Income: 13.6b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.80 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 3.55% < 20% (prev 7.32%; Δ -3.76% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 11.8b > Net Income 13.6b
Net Debt (7.71b) to EBITDA (32.0b): 0.24 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.14 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (4.26b) vs 12m ago -2.25% < -2%
Gross Margin: 49.12% > 18% (prev 48.49%; Δ 0.63% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 86.72% > 50% (prev 78.52%; Δ 8.21% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 16.94 > 6 (EBIT TTM 14.4b / Interest Expense TTM 847.5m)
Altman Z'' 5.88
A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 13.9b - Total Current Liabilities 12.1b) / Total Assets 58.5b
B: 0.87 (Retained Earnings 51.0b / Total Assets 58.5b)
C: 0.26 (EBIT TTM 14.4b / Avg Total Assets 55.8b)
D: 1.07 (Book Value of Equity 30.2b / Total Liabilities 28.3b)
Altman-Z'' = 5.88 = AAA
Beneish M -2.86
DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 2.00b/1.58b, Revenue 48.4b/41.7b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 48.49% / 49.12%)
AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.72 / AQ_t-1 0.74)
SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 48.4b / 41.7b)
TATA: 0.03 (NI 13.6b - CFO 11.8b) / TA 58.5b)
Beneish M = -2.86 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of NFLX shares?

As of August 11, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 76.29 with a total of 26,747,082 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.04%, over one month by +3.98%, over three months by -10.72% and over the past year by -37.38%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 73.10 (which is 4.2% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).

Is NFLX a buy, sell or hold?

Netflix has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.12. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NFLX.

  • StrongBuy: 25
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 16
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the NFLX price?
Analysts Target Price 94.3 23.6%
Netflix (NFLX) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 08 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 307b (307b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 23.3196
P/E Forward = 23.31
P/S = 6.3435
P/B = 10.1599
P/EG = 1.6468
Revenue TTM = 48.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 14.4b USD
EBITDA TTM = 32.0b USD
Long Term Debt = 11.8b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.48b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.8b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.52b
Net Debt = 7.71b USD (calculated: Debt 16.8b - CCE 9.13b)
Enterprise Value = 315b USD (307b + Debt 16.8b - CCE 9.13b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 16.94 (Ebit TTM 14.4b / Interest Expense TTM 847.5m)
EV/FCF = 28.61x (Enterprise Value 315b / FCF TTM 11.0b)
FCF Yield = 3.50% (FCF TTM 11.0b / Enterprise Value 315b)
FCF Margin = 22.73% (FCF TTM 11.0b / Revenue TTM 48.4b)
Net Margin = 28.22% (Net Income TTM 13.6b / Revenue TTM 48.4b)
Gross Margin = 49.12% ((Revenue TTM 48.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.93% (prev 51.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.38 (Enterprise Value 315b / Total Assets 58.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.03% (Interest Expense 847.5m / Debt 16.8b)
Taxrate = 17.24% (2.84b / 16.5b)
NOPAT = 11.9b (EBIT 14.4b * (1 - 17.24%))
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 13.9b / Total Current Liabilities 12.1b)
Debt / Equity = 0.56 (Debt 16.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 30.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.24 (Net Debt 7.71b / EBITDA 32.0b)
Debt / FCF = 0.70 (Net Debt 7.71b / FCF TTM 11.0b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 28.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 24.47% (Net Income 13.6b / Total Assets 58.5b)
RoE = 47.96% (Net Income TTM 13.6b / Total Stockholder Equity 28.5b)
RoCE = 35.63% (EBIT 14.4b / Capital Employed (Equity 28.5b + L.T.Debt 11.8b))
RoIC = 25.61% (NOPAT 11.9b / Invested Capital 46.4b)
WACC = 7.48% (E(307b)/V(324b) * Re(7.66%) + D(16.8b)/V(324b) * Rd(5.03%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 7.66% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.02 | Cagr: -1.58%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈10.00b ; Y1≈11.5b ; Y5≈16.9b
[DCF] Fair Price = 59.10 (EV 254b - Net Debt 7.71b = Equity 246b / Shares 4.16b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.56 | EPS CAGR: 48.47% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.96 | Revenue CAGR: 15.48% | SUE: -0.55 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.82 | Chg30d=-2.51% | Revisions=-39% | Analysts=33
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.58 | Chg30d=-0.30% | Revisions=-34% | GrowthEPS=+41.6% | GrowthRev=+13.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.81 | Chg30d=-0.35% | Revisions=-28% | GrowthEPS=+6.5% | GrowthRev=+11.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -35% (up=32, down=68)