(NFLX) Netflix - Ratings and Ratios
TV Series, Documentaries, Feature Films, Games
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 37.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 57.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.67% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.33 |
| Alpha | -2.28 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 1.70 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.505 |
| Beta | 0.857 |
| Beta Downside | 0.845 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.51% |
| Mean DD | 6.39% |
| Median DD | 4.20% |
Description: NFLX Netflix December 01, 2025
Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) is a U.S.-based entertainment platform that streams TV series, documentaries, feature films, and games in multiple languages to members in roughly 190 countries via internet-connected devices such as smart TVs, set-top boxes, and mobile phones.
Key recent metrics: Q4 2023 added 5.9 million net new subscribers, pushing total global memberships to about 238 million; average revenue per user (ARPU) in the U.S. reached $15.30, while the ad-supported tier now accounts for roughly 15 % of the subscriber base. Content spend remains a primary cost driver, with the 2024-2025 fiscal plan allocating $18 billion to original and licensed programming, while broadband penetration and discretionary consumer spending continue to shape demand.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, you may find ValueRay’s free valuation model useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (10.43b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 2.60b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.16 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.69pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 7.45% (prev 3.78%; Δ 3.67pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 9.57b <= Net Income 10.43b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (7.90b) to EBITDA (28.58b) ratio: 0.28 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.33 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (4.35b) change vs 12m ago -0.60% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 48.09% (prev 45.27%; Δ 2.82pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 80.92% (prev 71.92%; Δ 9.00pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 16.93 (EBITDA TTM 28.58b / Interest Expense TTM 734.7m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 5.99
| (A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 12.96b - Total Current Liabilities 9.73b) / Total Assets 54.93b |
| (B) 0.73 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 39.86b / Total Assets 54.93b |
| (C) 0.23 = EBIT TTM 12.44b / Avg Total Assets 53.61b |
| (D) 1.60 = Book Value of Equity 46.22b / Total Liabilities 28.98b |
| Total Rating: 5.99 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 87.48
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.96% |
| 3. FCF Margin 20.67% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.64 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.28 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 16.73)% |
| 7. RoE 41.86% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.09% |
| 9. EPS Trend 46.10% |
What is the price of NFLX shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.82%, over one month by -8.74%, over three months by -19.41% and over the past year by +9.21%.
Is NFLX a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 25
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the NFLX price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 134.6 | 34.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 134.6 | 34.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 115.5 | 15.2% |
NFLX Fundamental Data Overview November 29, 2025
P/E Trailing = 44.225
P/E Forward = 33.3333
P/S = 10.368
P/B = 17.3287
P/EG = 1.1651
Beta = 1.703
Revenue TTM = 43.38b USD
EBIT TTM = 12.44b USD
EBITDA TTM = 28.58b USD
Long Term Debt = 14.46b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.78b USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 16.63b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.90b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 457.05b USD (449.75b + Debt 16.63b - CCE 9.33b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 16.93 (Ebit TTM 12.44b / Interest Expense TTM 734.7m)
FCF Yield = 1.96% (FCF TTM 8.97b / Enterprise Value 457.05b)
FCF Margin = 20.67% (FCF TTM 8.97b / Revenue TTM 43.38b)
Net Margin = 24.05% (Net Income TTM 10.43b / Revenue TTM 43.38b)
Gross Margin = 48.09% ((Revenue TTM 43.38b - Cost of Revenue TTM 22.52b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 46.45% (prev 51.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 8.32 (Enterprise Value 457.05b / Total Assets 54.93b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.05% (Interest Expense 175.3m / Debt 16.63b)
Taxrate = 18.09% (562.5m / 3.11b)
NOPAT = 10.19b (EBIT 12.44b * (1 - 18.09%))
Current Ratio = 1.33 (Total Current Assets 12.96b / Total Current Liabilities 9.73b)
Debt / Equity = 0.64 (Debt 16.63b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 25.95b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.28 (Net Debt 7.90b / EBITDA 28.58b)
Debt / FCF = 0.88 (Net Debt 7.90b / FCF TTM 8.97b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 24.92b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.99% (Net Income 10.43b / Total Assets 54.93b)
RoE = 41.86% (Net Income TTM 10.43b / Total Stockholder Equity 24.92b)
RoCE = 31.58% (EBIT 12.44b / Capital Employed (Equity 24.92b + L.T.Debt 14.46b))
RoIC = 25.60% (NOPAT 10.19b / Invested Capital 39.80b)
WACC = 8.87% (E(449.75b)/V(466.38b) * Re(9.17%) + D(16.63b)/V(466.38b) * Rd(1.05%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 9.17% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.59%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.87% ; FCFE base≈8.23b ; Y1≈10.15b ; Y5≈17.32b
Fair Price DCF = 56.52 (DCF Value 239.49b / Shares Outstanding 4.24b; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 46.10 | EPS CAGR: 49.68% | SUE: -0.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 97.09 | Revenue CAGR: 11.28% | SUE: -0.00 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.81 | Chg30d=-0.001 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=22
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.23 | Chg30d=-0.003 | Revisions Net=+5 | Growth EPS=+27.5% | Growth Revenue=+13.0%
Additional Sources for NFLX Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle