NFLX Stock Analysis: Netflix | NASDAQ
Entertainment | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 317.789m USD | 12M Return: -41.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 3.61B
EPS Trend: 98.7%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 99.9%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Netflix, Inc. (NASDAQ: NFLX) is a global entertainment company that provides subscription-based streaming services, offering TV series, documentaries, feature films, games, and live programming across a wide range of genres and languages. Its content is accessible through internet-connected devices including televisions, digital video players, set-top boxes, and mobile devices. The company was incorporated in 1997, is headquartered in Los Gatos, California, and went public in 2002.
Operating within the GICS Communication Services sector (Movies & Entertainment sub-industry), Netflix is a leading participant in the subscription video-on-demand (SVOD) industry, generating revenue primarily through recurring monthly memberships rather than per-transaction rentals. The streaming model is part of the broader over-the-top (OTT) media sector, where content is delivered directly over the internet, bypassing traditional cable and broadcast distribution channels.
- Ad-supported tier subscriber growth lifts average revenue per user
- Content spending on live sports pressures operating margins
- Password sharing crackdown expands paid net additions globally
| Net Income: 13.4b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.20 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 10.53% < 20% (prev 4.93%; Δ 5.61% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.21 > 3% & CFO 12.7b > Net Income 13.4b |
| Net Debt (6.97b) to EBITDA (34.1b): 0.20 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.41 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (4.30b) vs 12m ago -1.63% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 49.03% > 18% (prev 46.92%; Δ 2.11% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 82.92% > 50% (prev 77.13%; Δ 5.79% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 19.79 > 6 (EBIT TTM 16.9b / Interest Expense TTM 854.4m) |
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 17.1b - Total Current Liabilities 12.1b) / Total Assets 61.0b |
| B: 0.78 (Retained Earnings 47.6b / Total Assets 61.0b) |
| C: 0.30 (EBIT TTM 16.9b / Avg Total Assets 56.6b) |
| D: 1.04 (Book Value of Equity 31.1b / Total Liabilities 29.9b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.18 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.19 (Receivables 2.00b/1.45b, Revenue 46.9b/40.2b) |
| GMI: 0.96 (GM 46.92% / 49.03%) |
| AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.65 / AQ_t-1 0.74) |
| SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 46.9b / 40.2b) |
| TATA: 0.01 (NI 13.4b - CFO 12.7b) / TA 61.0b) |
| Beneish M = -2.87 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 14, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 73.83 with a total of 34,708,220 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.88%, over one month by -9.60%, over three months by -28.43% and over the past year by -41.50%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 69.40 (which is 6% or 1.8 ATR below the current price).
Netflix has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.12. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NFLX.
- StrongBuy: 25
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 113.2 | 53.3% |
P/E Trailing = 24.424
P/E Forward = 23.5294
P/S = 6.7773
P/B = 10.2259
P/EG = 1.4848
Revenue TTM = 46.9b USD
EBIT TTM = 16.9b USD
EBITDA TTM = 34.1b USD
Long Term Debt = 13.4b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.43b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 19.3b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.52b
Net Debt = 6.97b USD (calculated: Debt 19.3b - CCE 12.3b)
Enterprise Value = 325b USD (318b + Debt 19.3b - CCE 12.3b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 19.79 (Ebit TTM 16.9b / Interest Expense TTM 854.4m)
EV/FCF = 27.30x (Enterprise Value 325b / FCF TTM 11.9b)
FCF Yield = 3.66% (FCF TTM 11.9b / Enterprise Value 325b)
FCF Margin = 25.37% (FCF TTM 11.9b / Revenue TTM 46.9b)
Net Margin = 28.52% (Net Income TTM 13.4b / Revenue TTM 46.9b)
Gross Margin = 49.03% ((Revenue TTM 46.9b - Cost of Revenue TTM 23.9b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.93% (prev 45.87%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.32 (Enterprise Value 325b / Total Assets 61.0b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.43% (Interest Expense 854.4m / Debt 19.3b)
Taxrate = 16.71% (2.68b / 16.1b)
NOPAT = 14.1b (EBIT 16.9b * (1 - 16.71%))
Current Ratio = 1.41 (Total Current Assets 17.1b / Total Current Liabilities 12.1b)
Debt / Equity = 0.62 (Debt 19.3b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 31.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.20 (Net Debt 6.97b / EBITDA 34.1b)
Debt / FCF = 0.59 (Net Debt 6.97b / FCF TTM 11.9b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 27.2b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.65% (Net Income 13.4b / Total Assets 61.0b)
RoE = 49.24% (Net Income TTM 13.4b / Total Stockholder Equity 27.2b)
RoCE = 41.73% (EBIT 16.9b / Capital Employed (Equity 27.2b + L.T.Debt 13.4b))
RoIC = 29.36% (NOPAT 14.1b / Invested Capital 48.0b)
WACC = 7.89% (E(318b)/V(337b) * Re(8.14%) + D(19.3b)/V(337b) * Rd(4.43%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 8.14% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -92.97 | Cagr: -1.97%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈10.1b ; Y1≈11.6b ; Y5≈17.1b
[DCF] Fair Price = 59.33 (EV 257b - Net Debt 6.97b = Equity 250b / Shares 4.21b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.70 | EPS CAGR: 51.70% | SUE: -1.52 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 99.86 | Revenue CAGR: 15.08% | SUE: 0.37 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.79 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=-63% | Analysts=35
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.84 | Chg30d=-0.04% | Revisions=+45% | Analysts=33
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.59 | Chg30d=-0.04% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+41.9% | GrowthRev=+13.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.83 | Chg30d=+0.09% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+6.7% | GrowthRev=+11.7%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -12% (up=25, down=32)