NFLX Stock Analysis: Netflix | NASDAQ
Entertainment | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 298.013m USD | 12M Return: -40.4% | US64110L1061 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 2.55B
EPS Trend: 98.6%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 100.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) is a global entertainment company that offers streaming of TV series, documentaries, feature films, games, and live programming across a wide range of genres and languages. Content is delivered to members via internet-connected devices such as TVs, digital video players, set-top boxes, and mobile devices. The company is headquartered in Los Gatos, California, was incorporated in 1997, and trades on the NASDAQ as a mega-cap stock within the Communication Services sector (Movies & Entertainment sub-industry).
The business operates on a subscription-based (SVOD) model, where members pay recurring fees for on-demand access to a licensed and original content library rather than purchasing or renting individual titles. Netflix has evolved from its origins as a DVD-by-mail service into one of the largest pure-play streaming platforms worldwide, competing in a broader digital media landscape that includes other subscription streamers, ad-supported video services, and traditional studios expanding their own direct-to-consumer offerings.
- Ad-supported tier subscriber growth accelerates advertising revenue
- Paid password sharing crackdown expands paying subscriber base globally
- Competition from Disney Plus and HBO Max pressures streaming market share
| Net Income: 13.6b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.80 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.55% < 20% (prev 7.32%; Δ -3.76% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.20 > 3% & CFO 11.8b > Net Income 13.6b |
| Net Debt (7.71b) to EBITDA (35.0b): 0.22 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.14 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (4.26b) vs 12m ago -2.25% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 49.12% > 18% (prev 48.49%; Δ 0.63% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 86.72% > 50% (prev 78.52%; Δ 8.21% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 20.46 > 6 (EBIT TTM 17.3b / Interest Expense TTM 847.5m) |
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 13.9b - Total Current Liabilities 12.1b) / Total Assets 58.5b |
| B: 0.87 (Retained Earnings 51.0b / Total Assets 58.5b) |
| C: 0.31 (EBIT TTM 17.3b / Avg Total Assets 55.8b) |
| D: 1.07 (Book Value of Equity 30.2b / Total Liabilities 28.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.24 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 2.00b/1.58b, Revenue 48.4b/41.7b) |
| GMI: 0.99 (GM 48.49% / 49.12%) |
| AQI: 0.97 (AQ_t 0.72 / AQ_t-1 0.74) |
| SGI: 1.16 (Revenue 48.4b / 41.7b) |
| TATA: 0.03 (NI 13.6b - CFO 11.8b) / TA 58.5b) |
| Beneish M = -2.86 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 70.53 with a total of 44,006,054 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.33%, over one month by -7.70%, over three months by -5.14% and over the past year by -40.41%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 68.20 (which is 3.3% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Netflix has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.20. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NFLX.
- StrongBuy: 28
- Buy: 7
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 92.6 | 31.2% |
P/E Trailing = 22.5063
P/E Forward = 18.6916
P/S = 6.161
P/B = 9.8547
P/EG = 1.2194
Revenue TTM = 48.4b USD
EBIT TTM = 17.3b USD
EBITDA TTM = 35.0b USD
Long Term Debt = 11.8b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.48b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.8b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.52b
Net Debt = 7.71b USD (calculated: Debt 16.8b - CCE 9.13b)
Enterprise Value = 306b USD (298b + Debt 16.8b - CCE 9.13b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 20.46 (Ebit TTM 17.3b / Interest Expense TTM 847.5m)
EV/FCF = 27.81x (Enterprise Value 306b / FCF TTM 11.0b)
FCF Yield = 3.60% (FCF TTM 11.0b / Enterprise Value 306b)
FCF Margin = 22.73% (FCF TTM 11.0b / Revenue TTM 48.4b)
Net Margin = 28.22% (Net Income TTM 13.6b / Revenue TTM 48.4b)
Gross Margin = 49.12% ((Revenue TTM 48.4b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.6b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.93% (prev 51.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.23 (Enterprise Value 306b / Total Assets 58.5b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 5.03% (Interest Expense 847.5m / Debt 16.8b)
Taxrate = 17.24% (2.84b / 16.5b)
NOPAT = 14.4b (EBIT 17.3b * (1 - 17.24%))
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 13.9b / Total Current Liabilities 12.1b)
Debt / Equity = 0.56 (Debt 16.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 30.2b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.22 (Net Debt 7.71b / EBITDA 35.0b)
Debt / FCF = 0.70 (Net Debt 7.71b / FCF TTM 11.0b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 28.5b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 24.47% (Net Income 13.6b / Total Assets 58.5b)
RoE = 47.96% (Net Income TTM 13.6b / Total Stockholder Equity 28.5b)
RoCE = 43.04% (EBIT 17.3b / Capital Employed (Equity 28.5b + L.T.Debt 11.8b))
RoIC = 30.94% (NOPAT 14.4b / Invested Capital 46.4b)
WACC = 7.17% (E(298b)/V(315b) * Re(7.34%) + D(16.8b)/V(315b) * Rd(5.03%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 7.34% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -96.02 | Cagr: -1.58%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈10.00b ; Y1≈11.5b ; Y5≈16.9b
[DCF] Fair Price = 59.10 (EV 254b - Net Debt 7.71b = Equity 246b / Shares 4.16b; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 98.56 | EPS CAGR: 48.47% | SUE: 0.15 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.96 | Revenue CAGR: 15.48% | SUE: -0.55 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.82 | Chg30d=+0.05% | Revisions=+12% | Analysts=35
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.58 | Chg30d=-0.03% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+41.6% | GrowthRev=+13.4%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.80 | Chg30d=-0.39% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+6.1% | GrowthRev=+11.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -18% (up=3, down=5)