(NMIH) NMI Holdings - NASDAQ
Sector: Financial Services | Industry: Insurance - Specialty | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 2.847m USD | Total Return: -5.4% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 20.5M
EPS Trend: 97.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Fakeout Choppy
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
NMI Holdings, Inc. is a U.S.-based provider of private mortgage guaranty insurance, operating as a holding company headquartered in Emeryville, California. Its core offering is primary mortgage insurance, which protects lenders against borrower default on residential loans with low down payments, and it complements this with outsourced loan review services for mortgage originators. The company distributes its products across a broad range of lender types, including national and regional mortgage banks, money center banks, credit unions, community banks, builder-owned lenders, and internet-based lenders. Incorporated in 2011 and publicly listed on NASDAQ, NMIH operates in the commercial and residential mortgage finance sub-industry, where private mortgage insurers play a specialized role alongside government-backed programs such as those offered by the FHA and VA in supporting U.S. housing finance.
- Mortgage origination rebound drives insurance demand growth
- Loss ratio trends signal mortgage credit quality headwinds
- Share buyback program supports earnings per share expansion
| Net Income: 385.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.00 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -11.05 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -33.9k% < 20% (prev 50.33%; Δ -33.9k% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.00 > 3% & CFO 434.2m > Net Income 385.7m |
| Net Debt (-52.3m) to EBITDA (532.7m): -0.10 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.39 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (77.4m) vs 12m ago -3.03% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 89.66% > 18% (prev 95.06%; Δ -5.40% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 0.04% > 50% (prev 19.33%; Δ -19.29% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 18.32 > 6 (EBIT TTM 521.9m / Interest Expense TTM 28.5m) |
| A: -0.06 (Total Current Assets 158b - Total Current Liabilities 400b) / Total Assets 3910b |
| B: 0.53 (Retained Earnings 2072b / Total Assets 3910b) |
| C: 0.00 (EBIT TTM 521.9m / Avg Total Assets 1957b) |
| D: 2.06 (Book Value of Equity 2632b / Total Liabilities 1277b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 3.49 = A |
| DSRI: 3.0 (Receivables 86.9b/139.2m, Revenue 716.4m/668.0m) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 95.06% / 89.66%) |
| AQI: 1.27 (AQ_t 0.96 / AQ_t-1 0.76) |
| SGI: 1.07 (Revenue 716.4m / 668.0m) |
| TATA: -0.00 (NI 385.7m - CFO 434.2m) / TA 3910b) |
| Beneish M = -1.11 (Cap -4..+1) = D |
As of June 26, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 39.55 with a total of 390,987 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.52%, over one month by +6.46%, over three months by +6.26% and over the past year by -5.41%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 38.30 (which is 3.2% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).
NMI Holdings has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.14. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NMIH.
- StrongBuy: 3
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 46.1 | 16.7% |
P/E Trailing = 7.6179
P/E Forward = 7.3368
P/S = 3.9731
P/B = 1.0817
P/EG = 1.66
Revenue TTM = 716.4m USD
EBIT TTM = 521.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 532.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 417.5m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.21m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 417.5m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -52.3m USD (calculated: Debt 417.5m - CCE 469.9m)
Enterprise Value = 2.80b USD (2.85b + Debt 417.5m - CCE 469.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 18.32 (Ebit TTM 521.9m / Interest Expense TTM 28.5m)
EV/FCF = 6.53x (Enterprise Value 2.80b / FCF TTM 428.1m)
FCF Yield = 15.31% (FCF TTM 428.1m / Enterprise Value 2.80b)
FCF Margin = 59.75% (FCF TTM 428.1m / Revenue TTM 716.4m)
Net Margin = 53.84% (Net Income TTM 385.7m / Revenue TTM 716.4m)
Gross Margin = 89.66% ((Revenue TTM 716.4m - Cost of Revenue TTM 74.1m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 88.74% (prev 88.27%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.00 (Enterprise Value 2.80b / Total Assets 3910b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 6.82% (Interest Expense 28.5m / Debt 417.5m)
Taxrate = 21.82% (107.7m / 493.4m)
NOPAT = 408.0m (EBIT 521.9m * (1 - 21.82%))
Current Ratio = 0.39 (Total Current Assets 158b / Total Current Liabilities 400b)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 417.5m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2632b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.10 (Net Debt -52.3m / EBITDA 532.7m)
Debt / FCF = -0.12 (Net Debt -52.3m / FCF TTM 428.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 660b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 0.02% (Net Income 385.7m / Total Assets 3910b)
RoE = 0.06% (Net Income TTM 385.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 660b)
RoCE = 0.08% (EBIT 521.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 660b + L.T.Debt 417.5m))
RoIC = 0.01% (NOPAT 408.0m / Invested Capital 3509b)
WACC = 7.18% (E(2.85b)/V(3.26b) * Re(7.45%) + D(417.5m)/V(3.26b) * Rd(6.82%) * (1-Tc(0.22)))
Discount Rate = 7.45% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -100.00 | Cagr: -2.87%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.88% ; FCFF base≈409.7m ; Y1≈452.1m ; Y5≈578.3m
[DCF] Fair Price = 116.9 (EV 8.83b - Net Debt -52.3m = Equity 8.88b / Shares 76.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 11.98% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.10 | EPS CAGR: 12.80% | SUE: 0.67 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.21 | Revenue CAGR: 10.69% | SUE: 0.07 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.29 | Chg30d=-0.24% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=6
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.29 | Chg30d=-1.08% | Revisions=-56% | Analysts=6
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.14 | Chg30d=+0.23% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+4.5% | GrowthRev=+5.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.41 | Chg30d=-1.62% | Revisions=-33% | GrowthEPS=+4.8% | GrowthRev=+4.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -56%