Overview Dividends

(NSSC) NAPCO Security Technologies - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US6304021057

Access Control, Intrusion Alarms, Video Management, Door Locks, Fire Panels

NSSC EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -54.78%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -29.8%

NSSC Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 9.53%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 56.1%

Description: NSSC NAPCO Security Technologies

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:NSSC) is a US-based company operating in the Electronic Equipment & Instruments sub-industry. To evaluate its investment potential, we need to deconstruct its financial performance and key drivers.

The companys income tax expense is a crucial aspect of its financials, impacting its net income. Understanding the trends and fluctuations in this expense can provide insights into NSSCs tax strategy and potential future liabilities.

With a market capitalization of $1.1 billion, NSSCs size and scale are significant in its industry. Its price-to-earnings ratio of 25.49 and forward P/E of 24.69 indicate the markets expectations for its future earnings growth. A return on equity (RoE) of 26.14% suggests that the company is generating strong profits relative to its shareholders equity.

To further analyze NSSCs performance, we can examine key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, gross margin, and operating margin. These metrics can help identify areas of strength and weakness, as well as potential drivers of future growth. Key economic drivers for NSSC may include demand for electronic equipment and instruments, industry trends, and competitive landscape.

By examining NSSCs financials and industry dynamics, we can identify potential leverage points for investment. For instance, if the company is experiencing strong revenue growth and expanding its margins, it may be an attractive investment opportunity. Conversely, if its income tax expense is increasing or its RoE is declining, it may be a sign of underlying issues.

NSSC Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	1,519m
Sub-Industry	Electronic Equipment & Instruments
IPO / Inception	1990-03-26

NSSC Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	42.8%
Fundamental	83.2%
Dividend Rating	63.7%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-5.62%
Analyst Rating	3.60 of 5

NSSC Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	1.22%
Yield on Cost 5y	4.40%
Annual Growth 5y	102.70%
Payout Consistency	100.0%
Payout Ratio	44.0%

NSSC Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	91.3%
Growth Correlation 12m	13.2%
Growth Correlation 5y	76.7%
CAGR 5y	17.90%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	0.27
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	0.73
Sharpe Ratio 12m	1.06
Alpha	-15.27
Beta	1.513
Volatility	44.04%
Current Volume	225.8k
Average Volume 20d	257.3k
Stop Loss	42 (-3.3%)
Signal	0.64

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0

Net Income (43.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 10.9m TTM)

FCFTA 0.26 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.88pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 76.20% (prev 77.61%; Δ -1.41pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.27 (>3.0%) and CFO 53.5m > Net Income 43.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-77.7m) to EBITDA (48.5m) ratio: -1.60 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 6.75 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (36.4m) change vs 12m ago -2.30% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 55.63% (prev 53.89%; Δ 1.74pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 89.49% (prev 90.89%; Δ -1.40pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 40.44 (EBITDA TTM 48.5m / Interest Expense TTM 1.14m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 16.49

(A) 0.70 = (Total Current Assets 162.4m - Total Current Liabilities 24.1m) / Total Assets 198.1m

(B) 1.00 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 199.1m / Total Assets 198.1m

warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.00 — check mapping/units

(D) 6.76 = Book Value of Equity 199.6m / Total Liabilities 29.5m

Total Rating: 16.49 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 83.21

1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0

2. FCF Yield 3.61% = 1.80

3. FCF Margin 28.31% = 7.08

4. Debt/Equity 0.03 = 2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda -1.60 = 2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= 12.68)% = 12.50

7. RoE 25.42% = 2.12

8. Rev. Trend 56.07% = 4.21

9. EPS Trend -29.78% = -1.49

What is the price of NSSC shares?

As of October 23, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 43.44 with a total of 225,806 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.14%, over one month by +2.38%, over three months by +43.80% and over the past year by +9.37%.

Is NAPCO Security Technologies a good stock to buy?

Yes, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, NAPCO Security Technologies (NASDAQ:NSSC) is currently (October 2025) a good stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 83.21 and therefor a positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NSSC is around 43.07 USD . This means that NSSC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -0.85%.

Is NSSC a buy, sell or hold?

NAPCO Security Technologies has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60. Therefor, it is recommend to hold NSSC.

Strong Buy: 1
Buy: 1
Hold: 3
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NSSC price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	43	-1%
Analysts Target Price	43	-1%
ValueRay Target Price	49.4	13.7%

Last update: 2025-10-15 03:52

NSSC Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 1.52b (1.52b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 35.7983
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 8.3634
P/B = 9.0301
P/EG = 16.27
Beta = 1.513
Revenue TTM = 181.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 46.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 48.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.33m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 5.33m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -77.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.43b USD (1.52b + Debt 5.33m - CCE 99.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 40.44 (Ebit TTM 46.3m / Interest Expense TTM 1.14m)
FCF Yield = 3.61% (FCF TTM 51.4m / Enterprise Value 1.43b)
FCF Margin = 28.31% (FCF TTM 51.4m / Revenue TTM 181.6m)
Net Margin = 23.90% (Net Income TTM 43.4m / Revenue TTM 181.6m)
Gross Margin = 55.63% ((Revenue TTM 181.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 80.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 52.83% (prev 57.16%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.19 (Enterprise Value 1.43b / Total Assets 198.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 21.44% (Interest Expense 1.14m / Debt 5.33m)
Taxrate = 10.31% (1.34m / 13.0m)
NOPAT = 41.5m (EBIT 46.3m * (1 - 10.31%))
Current Ratio = 6.75 (Total Current Assets 162.4m / Total Current Liabilities 24.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 5.33m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 168.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.60 (Net Debt -77.7m / EBITDA 48.5m)
Debt / FCF = -1.51 (Net Debt -77.7m / FCF TTM 51.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 170.7m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 21.91% (Net Income 43.4m / Total Assets 198.1m)
RoE = 25.42% (Net Income TTM 43.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 170.7m)
RoCE = 26.27% (EBIT 46.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 170.7m + L.T.Debt 5.33m))
RoIC = 24.30% (NOPAT 41.5m / Invested Capital 170.7m)
WACC = 11.62% (E(1.52b)/V(1.52b) * Re(11.59%) + D(5.33m)/V(1.52b) * Rd(21.44%) * (1-Tc(0.10)))
Discount Rate = 11.59% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.87%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 70.78% ; FCFE base≈48.4m ; Y1≈59.7m ; Y5≈101.8m
Fair Price DCF = 27.95 (DCF Value 996.5m / Shares Outstanding 35.7m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -29.78 | EPS CAGR: -54.78% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 56.07 | Revenue CAGR: 9.53% | SUE: 1.93 | # QB: 1

Additional Sources for NSSC Stock

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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle