(NSSC) NAPCO Security Technologies - Ratings and Ratios
Access Control, Intrusion Alarms, Video Management, Door Locks, Fire Panels
NSSC EPS (Earnings per Share)
NSSC Revenue
Description: NSSC NAPCO Security Technologies
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:NSSC) is a US-based company operating in the Electronic Equipment & Instruments sub-industry. To evaluate its investment potential, we need to deconstruct its financial performance and key drivers.
The companys income tax expense is a crucial aspect of its financials, impacting its net income. Understanding the trends and fluctuations in this expense can provide insights into NSSCs tax strategy and potential future liabilities.
With a market capitalization of $1.1 billion, NSSCs size and scale are significant in its industry. Its price-to-earnings ratio of 25.49 and forward P/E of 24.69 indicate the markets expectations for its future earnings growth. A return on equity (RoE) of 26.14% suggests that the company is generating strong profits relative to its shareholders equity.
To further analyze NSSCs performance, we can examine key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, gross margin, and operating margin. These metrics can help identify areas of strength and weakness, as well as potential drivers of future growth. Key economic drivers for NSSC may include demand for electronic equipment and instruments, industry trends, and competitive landscape.
By examining NSSCs financials and industry dynamics, we can identify potential leverage points for investment. For instance, if the company is experiencing strong revenue growth and expanding its margins, it may be an attractive investment opportunity. Conversely, if its income tax expense is increasing or its RoE is declining, it may be a sign of underlying issues.
NSSC Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 1,495m |
| Sub-Industry | Electronic Equipment & Instruments |
| IPO / Inception | 1990-03-26 |
NSSC Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 28.2% |
| Fundamental | 87.5% |
| Dividend Rating | 60.9% |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -5.29% |
| Analyst Rating | 3.60 of 5 |
NSSC Dividends
| Dividend Yield 12m | 1.43% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.74% |
| Annual Growth 5y | 42.37% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 44.0% |
NSSC Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 82.9% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -40.1% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 77.2% |
| CAGR 5y | 14.21% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | 0.22 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 0.91 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 1.32 |
| Alpha | 8.63 |
| Beta | 0.541 |
| Volatility | 45.32% |
| Current Volume | 808.7k |
| Average Volume 20d | 402k |
| Stop Loss | 42.2 (-3.3%) |
| Signal | 1.76 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (43.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 10.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.26 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 4.88pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 76.20% (prev 77.61%; Δ -1.41pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 (>3.0%) and CFO 53.5m > Net Income 43.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-77.7m) to EBITDA (48.5m) ratio: -1.60 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 6.75 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (36.4m) change vs 12m ago -2.30% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 55.63% (prev 53.89%; Δ 1.74pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 89.49% (prev 90.89%; Δ -1.40pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 40.44 (EBITDA TTM 48.5m / Interest Expense TTM 1.14m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 16.49
| (A) 0.70 = (Total Current Assets 162.4m - Total Current Liabilities 24.1m) / Total Assets 198.1m |
| (B) 1.00 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 199.1m / Total Assets 198.1m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.00 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.23 = EBIT TTM 46.3m / Avg Total Assets 202.9m |
| (D) 6.76 = Book Value of Equity 199.6m / Total Liabilities 29.5m |
| Total Rating: 16.49 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 87.52
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 3.61% = 1.80 |
| 3. FCF Margin 28.31% = 7.08 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.18 = 2.48 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.61 = 2.22 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC 15.57% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE 25.42% = 2.12 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 56.07% = 4.21 |
| 9. EPS Trend 62.29% = 3.11 |
What is the price of NSSC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.81%, over one month by +43.68%, over three months by +53.66% and over the past year by +12.60%.
Is NAPCO Security Technologies a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NSSC is around 43.08 USD . This means that NSSC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -1.33%.
Is NSSC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NSSC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 40.3 | -7.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 40.3 | -7.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 47.8 | 9.5% |
Last update: 2025-09-15 04:41
NSSC Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 99.2m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 35.2353
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 8.2318
P/B = 8.8673
P/EG = 16.27
Beta = 1.506
Revenue TTM = 181.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 46.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 48.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.48m USD (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 24.1m USD (from totalCurrentLiabilities, last quarter)
Debt = 29.5m USD (Calculated: Short Term 24.1m + Long Term 5.48m)
Net Debt = -77.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.43b USD (1.50b + Debt 29.5m - CCE 99.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 40.44 (Ebit TTM 46.3m / Interest Expense TTM 1.14m)
FCF Yield = 3.61% (FCF TTM 51.4m / Enterprise Value 1.43b)
FCF Margin = 28.31% (FCF TTM 51.4m / Revenue TTM 181.6m)
Net Margin = 23.90% (Net Income TTM 43.4m / Revenue TTM 181.6m)
Gross Margin = 55.63% ((Revenue TTM 181.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 80.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.14 (Enterprise Value 1.43b / Book Value Of Equity 199.6m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.87% (Interest Expense 1.14m / Debt 29.5m)
Taxrate = 13.31% (6.66m / 50.1m)
NOPAT = 40.1m (EBIT 46.3m * (1 - 13.31%))
Current Ratio = 6.75 (Total Current Assets 162.4m / Total Current Liabilities 24.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.18 (Debt 29.5m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 168.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.61 (Net Debt -77.7m / EBITDA 48.5m)
Debt / FCF = 0.57 (Debt 29.5m / FCF TTM 51.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 170.7m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 21.91% (Net Income 43.4m, Total Assets 198.1m )
RoE = 25.42% (Net Income TTM 43.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 170.7m)
RoCE = 26.25% (Ebit 46.3m / (Equity 170.7m + L.T.Debt 5.48m))
RoIC = 23.49% (NOPAT 40.1m / Invested Capital 170.7m)
WACC = 7.92% (E(1.50b)/V(1.52b) * Re(8.01%)) + (D(29.5m)/V(1.52b) * Rd(3.87%) * (1-Tc(0.13)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -9.09 | Cagr: -0.15%
Discount Rate = 8.01% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 81.43% ; FCFE base≈48.4m ; Y1≈59.7m ; Y5≈101.8m
Fair Price DCF = 48.55 (DCF Value 1.73b / Shares Outstanding 35.7m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 62.29 | EPS CAGR: 27.28% | SUE: 1.28 | # QB: True
Revenue Correlation: 56.07 | Revenue CAGR: 9.53%
Additional Sources for NSSC Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle