(NSSC) NAPCO Security Technologies - Overview
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US6304021057
Stock: Access Control, Intrusion Alarm, Fire Alarm, Door Locks, Video Surveillance
Total Rating 71
Risk 99
Buy Signal 0.03
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.66% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.25% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 56.68% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 43.8% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 48.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -21.2% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.33 |
| Alpha | -7.98 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.079 |
| Beta Downside | 0.821 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 65.43% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.16 |
Description: NSSC NAPCO Security Technologies January 20, 2026
Napco Security Technologies (NASDAQ:NSSC) designs, manufactures, and sells electronic security solutions-including access-control readers, intrusion and fire alarm panels, electronic door locks, and video-surveillance hardware-to commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and government customers in the U.S. and abroad. The firm also resells third-party identification readers, cameras, and related peripherals, and it offers a niche line of school-security products, distributing primarily through independent dealers and installers.
Key metrics: FY 2023 revenue was approximately $71 million, with a year-over-year increase of ~8% driven by higher demand for cloud-connected access-control systems; the gross margin sits near 38%, reflecting a shift toward higher-margin software-enabled hardware. The broader electronic security market is projected to grow 6-7% CAGR through 2028, buoyed by rising construction activity, stricter building-code regulations, and increased public-sector spending on critical-infrastructure protection.
For a deeper, data-rich perspective on NSSC’s valuation and competitive positioning, you may find ValueRay’s analyst toolkit useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income: 44.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.28 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.64 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 69.48% < 20% (prev 78.94%; Δ -9.47% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.29 > 3% & CFO 54.9m > Net Income 44.4m |
| Net Debt (-68.0m) to EBITDA (51.3m): -1.33 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 6.74 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (35.9m) vs 12m ago -3.54% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 55.82% > 18% (prev 0.55%; Δ 5527 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 93.22% > 50% (prev 88.56%; Δ 4.66% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -18.39 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 51.3m / Interest Expense TTM -2.67m) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.68 (Total Current Assets 152.4m - Total Current Liabilities 22.6m) / Total Assets 190.9m |
| B: 1.01 (Retained Earnings 192.4m / Total Assets 190.9m) |
| C: 0.24 (EBIT TTM 49.0m / Avg Total Assets 200.4m) |
| D: 6.58 (Book Value of Equity 193.0m / Total Liabilities 29.3m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 16.30 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.13
| DSRI: 0.88 (Receivables 25.2m/28.4m, Revenue 186.8m/185.9m) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 55.82% / 54.92%) |
| AQI: 1.10 (AQ_t 0.12 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 186.8m / 185.9m) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 44.4m - CFO 54.9m) / TA 190.9m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.13 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of NSSC shares?
As of January 30, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 38.30 with a total of 313,259 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.45%, over one month by -8.92%, over three months by -12.19% and over the past year by +8.22%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.45%, over one month by -8.92%, over three months by -12.19% and over the past year by +8.22%.
Is NSSC a buy, sell or hold?
NAPCO Security Technologies has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold NSSC.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NSSC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 48.8 | 27.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 48.8 | 27.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 42.1 | 9.8% |
NSSC Fundamental Data Overview January 26, 2026
P/E Trailing = 31.3252
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 7.3568
P/B = 7.8026
P/EG = 16.27
Revenue TTM = 186.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 49.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 51.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.29m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 5.38m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -68.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.29b USD (1.37b + Debt 5.38m - CCE 89.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -18.39 (Ebit TTM 49.0m / Interest Expense TTM -2.67m)
EV/FCF = 24.17x (Enterprise Value 1.29b / FCF TTM 53.4m)
FCF Yield = 4.14% (FCF TTM 53.4m / Enterprise Value 1.29b)
FCF Margin = 28.58% (FCF TTM 53.4m / Revenue TTM 186.8m)
Net Margin = 23.76% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Revenue TTM 186.8m)
Gross Margin = 55.82% ((Revenue TTM 186.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 82.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.63% (prev 52.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.76 (Enterprise Value 1.29b / Total Assets 190.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 21.28% (Interest Expense 1.14m / Debt 5.38m)
Taxrate = 16.88% (2.47m / 14.6m)
NOPAT = 40.8m (EBIT 49.0m * (1 - 16.88%))
Current Ratio = 6.74 (Total Current Assets 152.4m / Total Current Liabilities 22.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 5.38m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 161.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.33 (Net Debt -68.0m / EBITDA 51.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.27 (Net Debt -68.0m / FCF TTM 53.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 166.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 22.15% (Net Income 44.4m / Total Assets 190.9m)
RoE = 26.66% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 166.5m)
RoCE = 28.55% (EBIT 49.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 166.5m + L.T.Debt 5.29m))
RoIC = 23.96% (NOPAT 40.8m / Invested Capital 170.1m)
WACC = 9.92% (E(1.37b)/V(1.38b) * Re(9.89%) + D(5.38m)/V(1.38b) * Rd(21.28%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 9.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.57%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.77% ; FCFF base≈49.9m ; Y1≈59.8m ; Y5≈95.1m
Fair Price DCF = 34.48 (EV 1.16b - Net Debt -68.0m = Equity 1.23b / Shares 35.7m; r=9.92% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 21.08% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 21.59 | EPS CAGR: -29.99% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 77.06 | Revenue CAGR: 10.85% | SUE: 0.52 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=1.37 | Chg30d=+0.140 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8.4% | Growth Revenue=+11.1%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=1.49 | Chg30d=+0.130 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8.8% | Growth Revenue=+9.9%
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 7.3568
P/B = 7.8026
P/EG = 16.27
Revenue TTM = 186.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 49.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 51.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.29m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 5.38m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -68.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.29b USD (1.37b + Debt 5.38m - CCE 89.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -18.39 (Ebit TTM 49.0m / Interest Expense TTM -2.67m)
EV/FCF = 24.17x (Enterprise Value 1.29b / FCF TTM 53.4m)
FCF Yield = 4.14% (FCF TTM 53.4m / Enterprise Value 1.29b)
FCF Margin = 28.58% (FCF TTM 53.4m / Revenue TTM 186.8m)
Net Margin = 23.76% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Revenue TTM 186.8m)
Gross Margin = 55.82% ((Revenue TTM 186.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 82.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.63% (prev 52.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.76 (Enterprise Value 1.29b / Total Assets 190.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 21.28% (Interest Expense 1.14m / Debt 5.38m)
Taxrate = 16.88% (2.47m / 14.6m)
NOPAT = 40.8m (EBIT 49.0m * (1 - 16.88%))
Current Ratio = 6.74 (Total Current Assets 152.4m / Total Current Liabilities 22.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 5.38m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 161.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.33 (Net Debt -68.0m / EBITDA 51.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.27 (Net Debt -68.0m / FCF TTM 53.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 166.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 22.15% (Net Income 44.4m / Total Assets 190.9m)
RoE = 26.66% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 166.5m)
RoCE = 28.55% (EBIT 49.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 166.5m + L.T.Debt 5.29m))
RoIC = 23.96% (NOPAT 40.8m / Invested Capital 170.1m)
WACC = 9.92% (E(1.37b)/V(1.38b) * Re(9.89%) + D(5.38m)/V(1.38b) * Rd(21.28%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 9.89% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.57%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.77% ; FCFF base≈49.9m ; Y1≈59.8m ; Y5≈95.1m
Fair Price DCF = 34.48 (EV 1.16b - Net Debt -68.0m = Equity 1.23b / Shares 35.7m; r=9.92% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 21.08% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 21.59 | EPS CAGR: -29.99% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 77.06 | Revenue CAGR: 10.85% | SUE: 0.52 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=1.37 | Chg30d=+0.140 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8.4% | Growth Revenue=+11.1%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=1.49 | Chg30d=+0.130 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8.8% | Growth Revenue=+9.9%