(NSSC) NAPCO Security Technologies - Ratings and Ratios
Exchange: NASDAQ •
Country: United States •
Currency: USD •
Type: Common Stock •
ISIN: US6304021057
Access Control, Intrusion Alarm, Fire Alarm, Door Locks, Video Surveillance
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 1.62% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.46% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 102.70% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 43.6% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 50.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 65.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -20.32% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.22 |
| Alpha | -11.25 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.27 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.586 |
| Beta | 1.113 |
| Beta Downside | 0.836 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 65.43% |
| Mean DD | 25.16% |
| Median DD | 23.88% |
Description: NSSC NAPCO Security Technologies November 17, 2025
Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:NSSC) designs, manufactures and sells a broad portfolio of electronic security solutions-including access-control readers, intrusion and fire alarm panels, electronic door-locking devices, and video-surveillance equipment-for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial and government customers in the U.S. and abroad. The company also resells third-party identification readers, cameras and peripheral hardware, and provides school-security product lines, distributing primarily through independent dealers, installers and distributors.
Key quantitative signals as of the latest filing show revenue of roughly $140 million with a year-over-year decline of about 6 % and an operating margin hovering near 5 %, reflecting pressure from competitive pricing and a shift toward subscription-based monitoring services. The broader security-equipment sector is being driven by rising construction activity (U.S. commercial-building permits up ~3 % YoY) and heightened demand for integrated “smart-building” solutions, while macro-economic headwinds-particularly higher interest rates-can suppress capital-expenditure budgets for large-scale installations.
For a deeper, data-rich perspective on NSSC’s valuation and risk profile, you may find it worthwhile to explore the analyst tools on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0
| Net Income (44.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 11.2m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.28 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.64pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 69.48% (prev 78.94%; Δ -9.47pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.29 (>3.0%) and CFO 54.9m > Net Income 44.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-68.0m) to EBITDA (51.3m) ratio: -1.33 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 6.74 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (35.9m) change vs 12m ago -3.54% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 55.82% (prev 54.92%; Δ 0.90pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 93.22% (prev 88.56%; Δ 4.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -18.39 (EBITDA TTM 51.3m / Interest Expense TTM -2.67m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 16.30
| (A) 0.68 = (Total Current Assets 152.4m - Total Current Liabilities 22.6m) / Total Assets 190.9m |
| (B) 1.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 192.4m / Total Assets 190.9m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.01 — check mapping/units |
| (C) 0.24 = EBIT TTM 49.0m / Avg Total Assets 200.4m |
| (D) 6.58 = Book Value of Equity 193.0m / Total Liabilities 29.3m |
| Total Rating: 16.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 90.30
| 1. Piotroski 7.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.13% |
| 3. FCF Margin 28.58% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.03 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -1.33 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 13.81)% |
| 7. RoE 26.66% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 77.06% |
| 9. EPS Trend 71.76% |
What is the price of NSSC shares?
As of December 07, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 41.31 with a total of 501,324 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.25%, over one month by -6.95%, over three months by +4.88% and over the past year by +5.10%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.25%, over one month by -6.95%, over three months by +4.88% and over the past year by +5.10%.
Is NSSC a buy, sell or hold?
NAPCO Security Technologies has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold NSSC.
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NSSC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 48.8 | 18.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 48.8 | 18.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 47.4 | 14.6% |
NSSC Fundamental Data Overview November 24, 2025
Market Cap USD = 1.38b (1.38b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 31.3577
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 7.3644
P/B = 7.8107
P/EG = 16.27
Beta = 1.456
Revenue TTM = 186.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 49.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 51.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.29m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 5.38m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -68.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.29b USD (1.38b + Debt 5.38m - CCE 89.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -18.39 (Ebit TTM 49.0m / Interest Expense TTM -2.67m)
FCF Yield = 4.13% (FCF TTM 53.4m / Enterprise Value 1.29b)
FCF Margin = 28.58% (FCF TTM 53.4m / Revenue TTM 186.8m)
Net Margin = 23.76% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Revenue TTM 186.8m)
Gross Margin = 55.82% ((Revenue TTM 186.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 82.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.63% (prev 52.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.77 (Enterprise Value 1.29b / Total Assets 190.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 21.28% (Interest Expense 1.14m / Debt 5.38m)
Taxrate = 16.88% (2.47m / 14.6m)
NOPAT = 40.8m (EBIT 49.0m * (1 - 16.88%))
Current Ratio = 6.74 (Total Current Assets 152.4m / Total Current Liabilities 22.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 5.38m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 161.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.33 (Net Debt -68.0m / EBITDA 51.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.27 (Net Debt -68.0m / FCF TTM 53.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 166.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.26% (Net Income 44.4m / Total Assets 190.9m)
RoE = 26.66% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 166.5m)
RoCE = 28.55% (EBIT 49.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 166.5m + L.T.Debt 5.29m))
RoIC = 23.96% (NOPAT 40.8m / Invested Capital 170.1m)
WACC = 10.15% (E(1.38b)/V(1.38b) * Re(10.12%) + D(5.38m)/V(1.38b) * Rd(21.28%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 10.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.57%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.48% ; FCFE base≈49.9m ; Y1≈59.8m ; Y5≈95.3m
Fair Price DCF = 32.04 (DCF Value 1.14b / Shares Outstanding 35.7m; 5y FCF grow 21.08% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 71.76 | EPS CAGR: 91.91% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 77.06 | Revenue CAGR: 10.85% | SUE: 0.52 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=1.37 | Chg30d=+0.140 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8.4% | Growth Revenue=+11.1%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=1.49 | Chg30d=+0.130 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8.8% | Growth Revenue=+9.9%
P/E Trailing = 31.3577
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 7.3644
P/B = 7.8107
P/EG = 16.27
Beta = 1.456
Revenue TTM = 186.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 49.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 51.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.29m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 5.38m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -68.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.29b USD (1.38b + Debt 5.38m - CCE 89.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -18.39 (Ebit TTM 49.0m / Interest Expense TTM -2.67m)
FCF Yield = 4.13% (FCF TTM 53.4m / Enterprise Value 1.29b)
FCF Margin = 28.58% (FCF TTM 53.4m / Revenue TTM 186.8m)
Net Margin = 23.76% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Revenue TTM 186.8m)
Gross Margin = 55.82% ((Revenue TTM 186.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 82.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.63% (prev 52.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.77 (Enterprise Value 1.29b / Total Assets 190.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 21.28% (Interest Expense 1.14m / Debt 5.38m)
Taxrate = 16.88% (2.47m / 14.6m)
NOPAT = 40.8m (EBIT 49.0m * (1 - 16.88%))
Current Ratio = 6.74 (Total Current Assets 152.4m / Total Current Liabilities 22.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 5.38m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 161.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.33 (Net Debt -68.0m / EBITDA 51.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.27 (Net Debt -68.0m / FCF TTM 53.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 166.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.26% (Net Income 44.4m / Total Assets 190.9m)
RoE = 26.66% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 166.5m)
RoCE = 28.55% (EBIT 49.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 166.5m + L.T.Debt 5.29m))
RoIC = 23.96% (NOPAT 40.8m / Invested Capital 170.1m)
WACC = 10.15% (E(1.38b)/V(1.38b) * Re(10.12%) + D(5.38m)/V(1.38b) * Rd(21.28%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 10.12% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.57%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.48% ; FCFE base≈49.9m ; Y1≈59.8m ; Y5≈95.3m
Fair Price DCF = 32.04 (DCF Value 1.14b / Shares Outstanding 35.7m; 5y FCF grow 21.08% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 71.76 | EPS CAGR: 91.91% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 77.06 | Revenue CAGR: 10.85% | SUE: 0.52 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=1.37 | Chg30d=+0.140 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8.4% | Growth Revenue=+11.1%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=1.49 | Chg30d=+0.130 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8.8% | Growth Revenue=+9.9%
Additional Sources for NSSC Stock
News:
Wall Street Journal |
Benzinga |
Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle