Overview Dividends

(NSSC) NAPCO Security Technologies - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US6304021057

Access Control, Intrusion Alarms, Video Management, Door Locks, Fire Panels

NSSC EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 15.97%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 52.2%

NSSC Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 5.61%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 54.5%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	48.2%
Value at Risk 5%th	63.0%
Relative Tail Risk	-20.60%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.37
Alpha	-6.19

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.457
Beta	1.097
Beta Downside	0.835

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	65.43%
Mean DD	24.62%
Median DD	22.67%

Description: NSSC NAPCO Security Technologies August 24, 2025

NAPCO Security Technologies Inc (NASDAQ:NSSC) is a US-based company operating in the Electronic Equipment & Instruments sub-industry. To evaluate its investment potential, we need to deconstruct its financial performance and key drivers.

The companys income tax expense is a crucial aspect of its financials, impacting its net income. Understanding the trends and fluctuations in this expense can provide insights into NSSCs tax strategy and potential future liabilities.

With a market capitalization of $1.1 billion, NSSCs size and scale are significant in its industry. Its price-to-earnings ratio of 25.49 and forward P/E of 24.69 indicate the markets expectations for its future earnings growth. A return on equity (RoE) of 26.14% suggests that the company is generating strong profits relative to its shareholders equity.

To further analyze NSSCs performance, we can examine key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth, gross margin, and operating margin. These metrics can help identify areas of strength and weakness, as well as potential drivers of future growth. Key economic drivers for NSSC may include demand for electronic equipment and instruments, industry trends, and competitive landscape.

By examining NSSCs financials and industry dynamics, we can identify potential leverage points for investment. For instance, if the company is experiencing strong revenue growth and expanding its margins, it may be an attractive investment opportunity. Conversely, if its income tax expense is increasing or its RoE is declining, it may be a sign of underlying issues.

NSSC Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	1,440m
Sub-Industry	Electronic Equipment & Instruments
IPO / Inception	1990-03-26
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-3.04%
Analyst Rating	3.60 of 5

NSSC Dividends

Dividend Yield	1.31%
Yield on Cost 5y	3.83%
Yield CAGR 5y	102.70%
Payout Consistency	100.0%
Payout Ratio	43.6%

NSSC Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y	17.18%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	0.26
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	0.70
Current Volume	263.7k
Average Volume	255.7k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0

Net Income (44.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 11.2m TTM)

FCFTA 0.28 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.64pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 69.48% (prev 78.94%; Δ -9.47pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.29 (>3.0%) and CFO 54.9m > Net Income 44.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (-68.0m) to EBITDA (51.3m) ratio: -1.33 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 6.74 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (35.9m) change vs 12m ago -3.54% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 55.82% (prev 54.92%; Δ 0.90pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 93.22% (prev 88.56%; Δ 4.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio -18.39 (EBITDA TTM 51.3m / Interest Expense TTM -2.67m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 16.30

(A) 0.68 = (Total Current Assets 152.4m - Total Current Liabilities 22.6m) / Total Assets 190.9m

(B) 1.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 192.4m / Total Assets 190.9m

warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.01 — check mapping/units

(D) 6.58 = Book Value of Equity 193.0m / Total Liabilities 29.3m

Total Rating: 16.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 87.53

1. Piotroski 7.0pt = 2.0

2. FCF Yield 3.93% = 1.97

3. FCF Margin 28.58% = 7.14

4. Debt/Equity 0.03 = 2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda -1.33 = 2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= 13.86)% = 12.50

7. RoE 26.66% = 2.22

8. Rev. Trend 54.53% = 4.09

9. EPS Trend 52.16% = 2.61

What is the price of NSSC shares?

As of November 15, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 40.35 with a total of 263,739 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -4.25%, over one month by -6.12%, over three months by +30.18% and over the past year by +11.14%.

Is NAPCO Security Technologies a good stock to buy?

Yes, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, NAPCO Security Technologies (NASDAQ:NSSC) is currently (November 2025) a good stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 87.53 and therefor a positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NSSC is around 40.68 USD . This means that NSSC is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 0.82%.

Is NSSC a buy, sell or hold?

NAPCO Security Technologies has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60. Therefor, it is recommend to hold NSSC.

Strong Buy: 1
Buy: 1
Hold: 3
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NSSC price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	48.8	21%
Analysts Target Price	48.8	21%
ValueRay Target Price	46	14%

NSSC Fundamental Data Overview November 15, 2025

Market Cap USD = 1.44b (1.44b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 32.8374
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 7.7119
P/B = 8.4952
P/EG = 16.27
Beta = 1.456
Revenue TTM = 186.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 49.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 51.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.29m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 5.38m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -68.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.36b USD (1.44b + Debt 5.38m - CCE 89.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -18.39 (Ebit TTM 49.0m / Interest Expense TTM -2.67m)
FCF Yield = 3.93% (FCF TTM 53.4m / Enterprise Value 1.36b)
FCF Margin = 28.58% (FCF TTM 53.4m / Revenue TTM 186.8m)
Net Margin = 23.76% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Revenue TTM 186.8m)
Gross Margin = 55.82% ((Revenue TTM 186.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 82.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.63% (prev 52.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.11 (Enterprise Value 1.36b / Total Assets 190.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 21.28% (Interest Expense 1.14m / Debt 5.38m)
Taxrate = 16.88% (2.47m / 14.6m)
NOPAT = 40.8m (EBIT 49.0m * (1 - 16.88%))
Current Ratio = 6.74 (Total Current Assets 152.4m / Total Current Liabilities 22.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 5.38m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 161.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.33 (Net Debt -68.0m / EBITDA 51.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.27 (Net Debt -68.0m / FCF TTM 53.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 166.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.26% (Net Income 44.4m / Total Assets 190.9m)
RoE = 26.66% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 166.5m)
RoCE = 28.55% (EBIT 49.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 166.5m + L.T.Debt 5.29m))
RoIC = 23.96% (NOPAT 40.8m / Invested Capital 170.1m)
WACC = 10.10% (E(1.44b)/V(1.45b) * Re(10.07%) + D(5.38m)/V(1.45b) * Rd(21.28%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 10.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.57%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.63% ; FCFE base≈49.9m ; Y1≈59.8m ; Y5≈95.3m
Fair Price DCF = 32.27 (DCF Value 1.15b / Shares Outstanding 35.7m; 5y FCF grow 21.08% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 52.16 | EPS CAGR: 15.97% | SUE: 0.88 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: 54.53 | Revenue CAGR: 5.61% | SUE: 0.52 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for NSSC Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle