(NSSC) NAPCO Security Technologies - Overview
Sector: IndustrialsIndustry: Security & Protection Services | Exchange NASDAQ (USA) | Currency USD | Market Cap: 1.524m | Total Return 66.6% in 12m
Stock: Access Control, Alarm Systems, Door Locks, Video Surveillance
Total Rating 70
Risk 93
Buy Signal -0.34
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 48.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.6% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.36 |
| Alpha | 48.30 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.254 |
| Beta Downside | 0.233 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 65.43% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.03 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: NSSC NAPCO Security Technologies March 05, 2026
NAPCO Security Technologies Inc. (NSSC) develops, manufactures, and sells electronic security systems. Its product lines include access control, intrusion and fire alarms, and door locking devices. The company also offers video surveillance systems and school security products.
NSSCs business model involves selling products to independent distributors, dealers, and installers. The security equipment sector is characterized by ongoing technological advancements, particularly in integrated solutions and IoT connectivity. Further research on ValueRay can provide deeper insights into NSSCs market position and financial performance.
The company, founded in 1969 and headquartered in Amityville, New York, serves commercial, residential, institutional, industrial, and governmental clients both domestically and internationally. The electronic security market is highly competitive, with demand driven by concerns over safety and property protection.
Headlines to watch out for
- Commercial security system demand drives revenue
- Residential security product sales impact growth
- Supply chain disruptions affect manufacturing costs
- Interest rates influence dealer financing costs
- Regulatory changes in security standards create opportunities
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 47.4m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.25 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.51 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 82.68% < 20% (prev 78.84%; Δ 3.84% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.26 > 3% & CFO 54.7m > Net Income 47.4m |
| Net Debt (-99.7m) to EBITDA (54.3m): -1.83 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 7.99 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (35.9m) vs 12m ago -2.34% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 56.25% > 18% (prev 0.56%; Δ 5.57k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 92.43% > 50% (prev 89.43%; Δ 2.99% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -2.17 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 54.3m / Interest Expense TTM -17.5m) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.75 (Total Current Assets 181.5m - Total Current Liabilities 22.7m) / Total Assets 212.8m |
| B: 1.01 (Retained Earnings 214.8m / Total Assets 212.8m) |
| C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 37.9m / Avg Total Assets 207.8m) |
| D: 7.69 (Book Value of Equity 215.4m / Total Liabilities 28.0m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 17.48 = AAA |
Beneish M -3.12
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 28.1m/24.7m, Revenue 192.0m/181.3m) |
| GMI: 1.00 (GM 56.25% / 56.03%) |
| AQI: 0.72 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.11) |
| SGI: 1.06 (Revenue 192.0m / 181.3m) |
| TATA: -0.03 (NI 47.4m - CFO 54.7m) / TA 212.8m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.12 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of NSSC shares?
As of March 29, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 38.31 with a total of 426,485 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.76%, over one month by -17.52%, over three months by -8.57% and over the past year by +66.63%.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.76%, over one month by -17.52%, over three months by -8.57% and over the past year by +66.63%.
Is NSSC a buy, sell or hold?
NAPCO Security Technologies has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60.
Therefor, it is recommend to hold NSSC.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NSSC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 49.7 | 29.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 49.7 | 29.7% |
NSSC Fundamental Data Overview March 26, 2026
P/E Trailing = 32.3788
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 7.938
P/B = 8.2477
P/EG = 16.27
Revenue TTM = 192.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 37.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 54.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.25m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 5.25m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -99.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.41b USD (1.52b + Debt 5.25m - CCE 115.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.17 (Ebit TTM 37.9m / Interest Expense TTM -17.5m)
EV/FCF = 26.36x (Enterprise Value 1.41b / FCF TTM 53.7m)
FCF Yield = 3.79% (FCF TTM 53.7m / Enterprise Value 1.41b)
FCF Margin = 27.94% (FCF TTM 53.7m / Revenue TTM 192.0m)
Net Margin = 24.70% (Net Income TTM 47.4m / Revenue TTM 192.0m)
Gross Margin = 56.25% ((Revenue TTM 192.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 84.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.62% (prev 56.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.64 (Enterprise Value 1.41b / Total Assets 212.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 21.77% (Interest Expense 1.14m / Debt 5.25m)
Taxrate = 14.21% (2.24m / 15.7m)
NOPAT = 32.5m (EBIT 37.9m * (1 - 14.21%))
Current Ratio = 7.99 (Total Current Assets 181.5m / Total Current Liabilities 22.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 5.25m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 184.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.83 (Net Debt -99.7m / EBITDA 54.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.86 (Net Debt -99.7m / FCF TTM 53.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 172.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 22.83% (Net Income 47.4m / Total Assets 212.8m)
RoE = 27.45% (Net Income TTM 47.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 172.8m)
RoCE = 21.27% (EBIT 37.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 172.8m + L.T.Debt 5.25m))
RoIC = 18.80% (NOPAT 32.5m / Invested Capital 172.8m)
WACC = 10.42% (E(1.52b)/V(1.53b) * Re(10.39%) + D(5.25m)/V(1.53b) * Rd(21.77%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 10.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.50%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.59% ; FCFF base≈52.2m ; Y1≈62.5m ; Y5≈99.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 34.91 (EV 1.15b - Net Debt -99.7m = Equity 1.24b / Shares 35.7m; r=10.42% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 21.08% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 73.14 | EPS CAGR: 51.51% | SUE: 1.31 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 73.47 | Revenue CAGR: 8.15% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=1.47 | Chg7d=+0.100 | Chg30d=+0.100 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+16.3% | Growth Revenue=+11.3%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=1.61 | Chg7d=+0.120 | Chg30d=+0.120 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+9.5% | Growth Revenue=+10.0%
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 7.938
P/B = 8.2477
P/EG = 16.27
Revenue TTM = 192.0m USD
EBIT TTM = 37.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 54.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.25m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 5.25m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -99.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.41b USD (1.52b + Debt 5.25m - CCE 115.4m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.17 (Ebit TTM 37.9m / Interest Expense TTM -17.5m)
EV/FCF = 26.36x (Enterprise Value 1.41b / FCF TTM 53.7m)
FCF Yield = 3.79% (FCF TTM 53.7m / Enterprise Value 1.41b)
FCF Margin = 27.94% (FCF TTM 53.7m / Revenue TTM 192.0m)
Net Margin = 24.70% (Net Income TTM 47.4m / Revenue TTM 192.0m)
Gross Margin = 56.25% ((Revenue TTM 192.0m - Cost of Revenue TTM 84.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 58.62% (prev 56.63%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.64 (Enterprise Value 1.41b / Total Assets 212.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 21.77% (Interest Expense 1.14m / Debt 5.25m)
Taxrate = 14.21% (2.24m / 15.7m)
NOPAT = 32.5m (EBIT 37.9m * (1 - 14.21%))
Current Ratio = 7.99 (Total Current Assets 181.5m / Total Current Liabilities 22.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 5.25m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 184.8m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.83 (Net Debt -99.7m / EBITDA 54.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.86 (Net Debt -99.7m / FCF TTM 53.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 172.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 22.83% (Net Income 47.4m / Total Assets 212.8m)
RoE = 27.45% (Net Income TTM 47.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 172.8m)
RoCE = 21.27% (EBIT 37.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 172.8m + L.T.Debt 5.25m))
RoIC = 18.80% (NOPAT 32.5m / Invested Capital 172.8m)
WACC = 10.42% (E(1.52b)/V(1.53b) * Re(10.39%) + D(5.25m)/V(1.53b) * Rd(21.77%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 10.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.50%
[DCF] Terminal Value 73.59% ; FCFF base≈52.2m ; Y1≈62.5m ; Y5≈99.6m
[DCF] Fair Price = 34.91 (EV 1.15b - Net Debt -99.7m = Equity 1.24b / Shares 35.7m; r=10.42% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 21.08% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 73.14 | EPS CAGR: 51.51% | SUE: 1.31 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 73.47 | Revenue CAGR: 8.15% | SUE: 0.08 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=1.47 | Chg7d=+0.100 | Chg30d=+0.100 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+16.3% | Growth Revenue=+11.3%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=1.61 | Chg7d=+0.120 | Chg30d=+0.120 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+9.5% | Growth Revenue=+10.0%