Overview Dividends

(NSSC) NAPCO Security Technologies - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US6304021057

Access Control, Intrusion Alarm, Fire Alarm, Door Locks, Video Surveillance

Electronic Equipment & Instruments
Market Cap in USD: 1,496m
IPO / Inception: 1990-03-26
Return 12m vs S&P 500: 2.13%

EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of NSSC over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-12": 0.09, "2021-03": 0.12, "2021-06": 0.14, "2021-09": 0.11, "2021-12": 0.03, "2022-03": 0.08, "2022-06": 0.2, "2022-09": 0.17, "2022-12": 0.23, "2023-03": 0.29, "2023-06": 0.28, "2023-09": 0.28, "2023-12": 0.34, "2024-03": 0.36, "2024-06": 0.36, "2024-09": 0.3, "2024-12": 0.2947, "2025-03": 0.2792, "2025-06": 0.33, "2025-09": 0.34, "2025-12": 0,
EPS CAGR: -29.99%
EPS Trend: 21.6%
Last SUE: -4.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Revenue of NSSC over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-12: 27.205, 2021-03: 28.228, 2021-06: 35.429, 2021-09: 31.051, 2021-12: 33.408, 2022-03: 35.905, 2022-06: 43.229, 2022-09: 39.493, 2022-12: 42.314, 2023-03: 43.532, 2023-06: 44.658, 2023-09: 41.676, 2023-12: 47.547, 2024-03: 44.003, 2024-06: 50.33, 2024-09: 44.003, 2024-12: 42.933, 2025-03: 43.961, 2025-06: 50.724, 2025-09: 49.168, 2025-12: null,
Rev. CAGR: 10.85%
Rev. Trend: 77.1%
Last SUE: 0.52
Qual. Beats: 0

Dividends

Dividend Yield 1.30%
Yield on Cost 5y 4.32%
Yield CAGR 5y 102.70%
Payout Consistency 100.0%
Payout Ratio 43.8%
Risk via 5d forecast
Volatility 46.1%
Value at Risk 5%th 61.7%
Relative Tail Risk -18.57%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio 0.56
Alpha 0.86
CAGR/Max DD 0.28
Character TTM
Hurst Exponent 0.522
Beta 1.109
Beta Downside 0.907
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD 65.43%
Mean DD 25.64%
Median DD 24.63%

Description: NSSC NAPCO Security Technologies November 17, 2025

Napco Security Technologies, Inc. (NASDAQ:NSSC) designs, manufactures and sells a broad portfolio of electronic security solutions-including access-control readers, intrusion and fire alarm panels, electronic door-locking devices, and video-surveillance equipment-for commercial, residential, institutional, industrial and government customers in the U.S. and abroad. The company also resells third-party identification readers, cameras and peripheral hardware, and provides school-security product lines, distributing primarily through independent dealers, installers and distributors.

Key quantitative signals as of the latest filing show revenue of roughly $140 million with a year-over-year decline of about 6 % and an operating margin hovering near 5 %, reflecting pressure from competitive pricing and a shift toward subscription-based monitoring services. The broader security-equipment sector is being driven by rising construction activity (U.S. commercial-building permits up ~3 % YoY) and heightened demand for integrated “smart-building” solutions, while macro-economic headwinds-particularly higher interest rates-can suppress capital-expenditure budgets for large-scale installations.

For a deeper, data-rich perspective on NSSC’s valuation and risk profile, you may find it worthwhile to explore the analyst tools on ValueRay.

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 7.0

Net Income (44.4m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 11.2m TTM)
FCFTA 0.28 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 6.64pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 69.48% (prev 78.94%; Δ -9.47pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.29 (>3.0%) and CFO 54.9m > Net Income 44.4m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
Net Debt (-68.0m) to EBITDA (51.3m) ratio: -1.33 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)
Current Ratio 6.74 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (35.9m) change vs 12m ago -3.54% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 55.82% (prev 54.92%; Δ 0.90pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 93.22% (prev 88.56%; Δ 4.66pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -18.39 (EBITDA TTM 51.3m / Interest Expense TTM -2.67m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 16.30

(A) 0.68 = (Total Current Assets 152.4m - Total Current Liabilities 22.6m) / Total Assets 190.9m
(B) 1.01 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 192.4m / Total Assets 190.9m
warn (B) unusual magnitude: 1.01 — check mapping/units
(C) 0.24 = EBIT TTM 49.0m / Avg Total Assets 200.4m
(D) 6.58 = Book Value of Equity 193.0m / Total Liabilities 29.3m
Total Rating: 16.30 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 87.61

1. Piotroski 7.0pt
2. FCF Yield 3.78%
3. FCF Margin 28.58%
4. Debt/Equity 0.03
5. Debt/Ebitda -1.33
6. ROIC - WACC (= 13.83)%
7. RoE 26.66%
8. Rev. Trend 77.06%
9. EPS Trend 21.59%

What is the price of NSSC shares?

As of December 31, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 42.00 with a total of 145,162 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.45%, over one month by +11.44%, over three months by -0.83% and over the past year by +20.68%.

Is NSSC a buy, sell or hold?

NAPCO Security Technologies has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.60. Therefor, it is recommend to hold NSSC.
  • Strong Buy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 3
  • Sell: 0
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NSSC price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 48.8 16.3%
Analysts Target Price 48.8 16.3%
ValueRay Target Price 49.1 16.8%

NSSC Fundamental Data Overview December 26, 2025

Market Cap USD = 1.50b (1.50b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 34.0976
P/E Forward = 24.6914
P/S = 8.0079
P/B = 8.5438
P/EG = 16.27
Beta = 1.465
Revenue TTM = 186.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 49.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 51.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 5.29m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = unknown (none)
Debt = 5.38m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -68.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.41b USD (1.50b + Debt 5.38m - CCE 89.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -18.39 (Ebit TTM 49.0m / Interest Expense TTM -2.67m)
FCF Yield = 3.78% (FCF TTM 53.4m / Enterprise Value 1.41b)
FCF Margin = 28.58% (FCF TTM 53.4m / Revenue TTM 186.8m)
Net Margin = 23.76% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Revenue TTM 186.8m)
Gross Margin = 55.82% ((Revenue TTM 186.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 82.5m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.63% (prev 52.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.40 (Enterprise Value 1.41b / Total Assets 190.9m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 21.28% (Interest Expense 1.14m / Debt 5.38m)
Taxrate = 16.88% (2.47m / 14.6m)
NOPAT = 40.8m (EBIT 49.0m * (1 - 16.88%))
Current Ratio = 6.74 (Total Current Assets 152.4m / Total Current Liabilities 22.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 5.38m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 161.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.33 (Net Debt -68.0m / EBITDA 51.3m)
Debt / FCF = -1.27 (Net Debt -68.0m / FCF TTM 53.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 166.5m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 23.26% (Net Income 44.4m / Total Assets 190.9m)
RoE = 26.66% (Net Income TTM 44.4m / Total Stockholder Equity 166.5m)
RoCE = 28.55% (EBIT 49.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 166.5m + L.T.Debt 5.29m))
RoIC = 23.96% (NOPAT 40.8m / Invested Capital 170.1m)
WACC = 10.13% (E(1.50b)/V(1.50b) * Re(10.10%) + D(5.38m)/V(1.50b) * Rd(21.28%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 10.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.57%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.54% ; FCFE base≈49.9m ; Y1≈59.8m ; Y5≈95.3m
Fair Price DCF = 32.13 (DCF Value 1.15b / Shares Outstanding 35.7m; 5y FCF grow 21.08% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 21.59 | EPS CAGR: -29.99% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 77.06 | Revenue CAGR: 10.85% | SUE: 0.52 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.32 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-06-30): EPS=1.37 | Chg30d=+0.140 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8.4% | Growth Revenue=+11.1%
EPS next Year (2027-06-30): EPS=1.49 | Chg30d=+0.130 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+8.8% | Growth Revenue=+9.9%

Additional Sources for NSSC Stock

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