(NTGR) NETGEAR - Ratings and Ratios
Routers, Modems, Switches, Access-Points, Mesh
NTGR EPS (Earnings per Share)
NTGR Revenue
Description: NTGR NETGEAR September 11, 2025
NETGEAR, Inc. (NASDAQ: NTGR) is a global provider of networking hardware and services, operating across three geographic regions—Americas, EMEA, and APAC. The firm structures its business into two distinct segments: Connected Home and NETGEAR for Business.
The Connected Home segment targets residential consumers with a portfolio that includes Wi‑Fi routers, mesh networking systems, broadband modems, Wi‑Fi gateways, range extenders, powerline adapters, and digital displays. Revenue in this segment is increasingly tied to value‑added services such as subscription‑based security, parental‑control software, and technical support, which historically have contributed ~10‑15% of segment revenue and offer higher gross margins than hardware alone.
The NETGEAR for Business segment serves small‑ and medium‑sized enterprises (SMEs) and managed service providers (MSPs) with professional‑grade routers, enterprise‑class cloud‑managed access points, Ethernet switches, Pro AV solutions, and the Insight remote‑management platform. Cloud‑managed networking has been a growth driver, with Insight subscriptions growing at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of roughly 30% YoY over the past three years, reflecting broader industry migration toward software‑defined networking (SDN) and subscription‑based revenue models.
Distribution is diversified across wholesale distributors, brick‑and‑mortar and e‑commerce retailers, direct‑to‑consumer online channels, value‑added resellers, and broadband service providers. This multi‑channel approach reduces reliance on any single sales conduit but also introduces margin compression in wholesale channels, where average gross margins are typically 20‑25% versus ~35% in direct online sales.
Key economic drivers for NETGEAR include: (1) continued expansion of broadband penetration and the rollout of Wi‑Fi 6/6E standards, which stimulate replacement cycles for consumer routers; (2) the acceleration of remote work and hybrid office models, driving demand for secure, cloud‑managed enterprise networking; (3) growth in the Internet of Things (IoT) ecosystem, increasing the need for robust home networking solutions; and (4) macro‑level pricing pressure from low‑cost competitors (e.g., TP‑Link, Xiaomi) that can erode volume‑based revenue if NETGEAR cannot differentiate via software services.
Financially, NETGEAR has historically reported revenue in the $1.3‑$1.5 billion range, with operating margins hovering around 5‑7% after accounting for R&D and SG&A expenses. Free cash flow generation has been modest, often constrained by inventory levels and working‑capital demands tied to component shortages. The company’s balance sheet shows a moderate leverage profile (net debt to EBITDA ~2.5×), providing flexibility for strategic acquisitions in the cloud‑security space.
From a valuation perspective, the primary upside hinges on the successful scaling of Insight subscription revenue and the ability to capture share in the enterprise cloud‑managed networking market, which is projected to grow at a 12‑15% CAGR through 2028. Conversely, downside risks include sustained component supply constraints, margin erosion from price competition, and the potential for slower consumer upgrade cycles if Wi‑Fi 6E adoption stalls.
NTGR Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 928m |
| Sub-Industry | Communications Equipment |
| IPO / Inception | 2003-07-31 |
NTGR Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 46.2% |
| Fundamental | 41.8% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 38.7% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
NTGR Dividends
Currently no dividends paidNTGR Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 93.9% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 53.3% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -41.8% |
| CAGR 5y | 20.54% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.40 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.97 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.09 |
| Alpha | 46.70 |
| Beta | 1.091 |
| Volatility | 41.61% |
| Current Volume | 349.5k |
| Average Volume 20d | 392.9k |
| Stop Loss | 32.2 (-5%) |
| Signal | 0.68 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income (63.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 41.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -0.81pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 65.27% (prev 58.19%; Δ 7.08pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.15 (>3.0%) and CFO 118.6m > Net Income 63.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 2.87 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (28.9m) change vs 12m ago 0.10% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 33.84% (prev 30.90%; Δ 2.94pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 89.61% (prev 92.19%; Δ -2.59pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -0.29 (EBITDA TTM -24.7m / Interest Expense TTM -109.1m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.41
| (A) 0.57 = (Total Current Assets 698.7m - Total Current Liabilities 243.1m) / Total Assets 803.5m |
| (B) -0.62 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -494.3m / Total Assets 803.5m |
| (C) -0.04 = EBIT TTM -31.5m / Avg Total Assets 778.8m |
| (D) -1.76 = Book Value of Equity -494.3m / Total Liabilities 280.4m |
| Total Rating: -0.41 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 41.84
| 1. Piotroski 4.0pt = -1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 18.85% = 5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin 15.70% = 3.92 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.03 = 2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 9.10 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -16.80)% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE 11.86% = 0.99 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -68.69% = -5.15 |
| 9. EPS Trend 11.52% = 0.58 |
What is the price of NTGR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.38%, over one month by +7.58%, over three months by +32.88% and over the past year by +66.06%.
Is NETGEAR a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NTGR is around 33.08 USD . This means that NTGR is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -2.45%.
Is NTGR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 0
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NTGR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 36.3 | 7.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 36.3 | 7.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 37.4 | 10.3% |
NTGR Fundamental Data Overview October 24, 2025
P/E Trailing = 14.5688
P/E Forward = 238.0952
P/S = 1.33
P/B = 1.8476
P/EG = 2.84
Beta = 1.091
Revenue TTM = 697.9m USD
EBIT TTM = -31.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = -24.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 25.7m USD (from capitalLeaseObligations, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 21.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 16.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -224.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 581.0m USD (928.2m + Debt 16.3m - CCE 363.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -0.29 (Ebit TTM -31.5m / Interest Expense TTM -109.1m)
FCF Yield = 18.85% (FCF TTM 109.5m / Enterprise Value 581.0m)
FCF Margin = 15.70% (FCF TTM 109.5m / Revenue TTM 697.9m)
Net Margin = 9.13% (Net Income TTM 63.7m / Revenue TTM 697.9m)
Gross Margin = 33.84% ((Revenue TTM 697.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 461.7m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 37.52% (prev 34.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.72 (Enterprise Value 581.0m / Total Assets 803.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.62% (Interest Expense 1.41m / Debt 16.3m)
Taxrate = -15.53% (negative due to tax credits) (864.0k / -5.56m)
NOPAT = -36.3m (EBIT -31.5m * (1 - -15.53%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 2.87 (Total Current Assets 698.7m / Total Current Liabilities 243.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.03 (Debt 16.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 523.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.10 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -224.7m / EBITDA -24.7m)
Debt / FCF = -2.05 (Net Debt -224.7m / FCF TTM 109.5m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 537.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.93% (Net Income 63.7m / Total Assets 803.5m)
RoE = 11.86% (Net Income TTM 63.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 537.2m)
RoCE = -5.59% (EBIT -31.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 537.2m + L.T.Debt 25.7m))
RoIC = -6.77% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -36.3m / Invested Capital 537.2m)
WACC = 10.04% (E(928.2m)/V(944.5m) * Re(10.04%) + D(16.3m)/V(944.5m) * Rd(8.62%) * (1-Tc(-0.16)))
Discount Rate = 10.04% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -1.21%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 62.75% ; FCFE base≈109.3m ; Y1≈73.8m ; Y5≈35.7m
Fair Price DCF = 17.80 (DCF Value 516.5m / Shares Outstanding 29.0m; 5y FCF grow -37.92% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 11.52 | EPS CAGR: 1.49% | SUE: 0.69 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -68.69 | Revenue CAGR: -12.93% | SUE: 1.52 | # QB: 5
Additional Sources for NTGR Stock
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