(NTRA) Natera - Ratings and Ratios
Prenatal Tests, Genetic Screening, Cancer Tests, Transplant Tests, Gene Panels
NTRA EPS (Earnings per Share)
NTRA Revenue
Description: NTRA Natera
Natera Inc. is a diagnostics company that offers a diverse portfolio of molecular testing services globally, catering to various medical needs including prenatal testing, genetic screening, cancer diagnosis, and transplant rejection monitoring. Its product suite is designed to provide critical genetic information to patients and healthcare providers, aiding in informed decision-making across different stages of life and medical conditions.
From a business perspective, Nateras revenue streams are diversified across different product lines and customer segments, including independent laboratories, medical centers, and pharmaceutical companies. The companys partnerships, such as those with BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. and Foundation Medicine, Inc., are strategic moves to enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach. These collaborations are crucial for developing and commercializing advanced genetic testing assays, indicating a strong potential for growth.
Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) that could be relevant for evaluating Nateras performance include revenue growth rate, gross margin, research and development (R&D) expenditure as a percentage of revenue, and the number of tests performed or samples processed. Given the companys focus on innovation, tracking the pipeline of new products or tests, such as Signatera for molecular residual disease testing and Prospera for assessing transplant rejection, is also essential. The expansion of its customer base and the enhancement of its distribution network are other critical metrics.
Nateras operational efficiency, reflected in its ability to manage costs and scale its business, is another area of focus. The companys return on equity (RoE) is currently negative, indicating that it is not generating profits from shareholder equity. However, this is not uncommon for companies in the biotechnology sector that are heavily investing in R&D. The absence of a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio further underscores the companys current unprofitability, a characteristic often associated with growth companies that prioritize investment in growth over immediate profitability.
To gauge Nateras financial health and potential for future growth, analyzing its cash flow statements, debt-to-equity ratio, and the trend in its revenue and net loss over time would be necessary. The companys ability to secure funding, either through equity or debt, to support its operations and growth initiatives is also a vital consideration. As Natera continues to innovate and expand its product offerings, its long-term success will depend on its ability to achieve profitability while maintaining a strong research and development pipeline.
NTRA Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 22,993m |
Sub-Industry | Biotechnology |
IPO / Inception | 2015-07-02 |
NTRA Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | 65.1% |
Fundamental | 47.5% |
Dividend Rating | - |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 13.7% |
Analyst Rating | 4.48 of 5 |
NTRA Dividends
Currently no dividends paidNTRA Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | 19.9% |
Growth Correlation 12m | 30.2% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 37.3% |
CAGR 5y | 53.54% |
CAGR/Max DD 3y | 1.34 |
CAGR/Mean DD 3y | 6.73 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.28 |
Alpha | 0.00 |
Beta | 0.972 |
Volatility | 42.30% |
Current Volume | 801.1k |
Average Volume 20d | 880.4k |
Stop Loss | 168.9 (-3.5%) |
Signal | 1.02 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5
Net Income (-253.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 117.9m TTM) |
FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 24.81pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 53.29% (prev 72.56%; Δ -19.27pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 186.7m > Net Income -253.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
Current Ratio 3.72 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (136.4m) change vs 12m ago 11.02% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 62.91% (prev 53.85%; Δ 9.06pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 120.0% (prev 89.68%; Δ 30.30pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio -38.18 (EBITDA TTM -211.9m / Interest Expense TTM 6.47m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -7.80
(A) 0.60 = (Total Current Assets 1.43b - Total Current Liabilities 384.8m) / Total Assets 1.76b |
(B) -1.56 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.74b / Total Assets 1.76b |
warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.56 — check mapping/units |
(C) -0.15 = EBIT TTM -246.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.64b |
(D) -5.36 = Book Value of Equity -2.74b / Total Liabilities 510.9m |
Total Rating: -7.80 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.47
1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50 |
2. FCF Yield 0.47% = 0.24 |
3. FCF Margin 5.32% = 1.33 |
4. Debt/Equity 0.18 = 2.48 |
5. Debt/Ebitda -1.04 = -2.50 |
6. ROIC - WACC (= -28.63)% = -12.50 |
7. RoE -22.21% = -2.50 |
8. Rev. Trend 99.21% = 7.44 |
9. EPS Trend 79.64% = 3.98 |
What is the price of NTRA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.77%, over one month by +8.60%, over three months by +4.02% and over the past year by +34.97%.
Is Natera a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NTRA is around 183.57 USD . This means that NTRA is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 4.89%.
Is NTRA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 12
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NTRA price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 198.5 | 13.4% |
Analysts Target Price | 198.5 | 13.4% |
ValueRay Target Price | 206.5 | 18% |
Last update: 2025-09-05 04:54
NTRA Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 1.02b USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/S = 11.7058
P/B = 18.4509
Beta = 1.756
Revenue TTM = 1.96b USD
EBIT TTM = -246.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -211.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 126.0m USD (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 93.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 219.4m USD (Calculated: Short Term 93.4m + Long Term 126.0m)
Net Debt = -803.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22.20b USD (22.99b + Debt 219.4m - CCE 1.02b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -38.18 (Ebit TTM -246.9m / Interest Expense TTM 6.47m)
FCF Yield = 0.47% (FCF TTM 104.6m / Enterprise Value 22.20b)
FCF Margin = 5.32% (FCF TTM 104.6m / Revenue TTM 1.96b)
Net Margin = -12.89% (Net Income TTM -253.2m / Revenue TTM 1.96b)
Gross Margin = 62.91% ((Revenue TTM 1.96b - Cost of Revenue TTM 728.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -8.11 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 22.20b / Book Value Of Equity -2.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.47% (Interest Expense 1.03m / Debt 219.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default)
NOPAT = -246.9m (EBIT -246.9m, no tax applied on loss)
Current Ratio = 3.72 (Total Current Assets 1.43b / Total Current Liabilities 384.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.18 (Debt 219.4m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.25b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.04 (Net Debt -803.9m / EBITDA -211.9m)
Debt / FCF = 2.10 (Debt 219.4m / FCF TTM 104.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.14b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -14.41% (Net Income -253.2m, Total Assets 1.76b )
RoE = -22.21% (Net Income TTM -253.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.14b)
RoCE = -19.51% (Ebit -246.9m / (Equity 1.14b + L.T.Debt 126.0m))
RoIC = -19.11% (NOPAT -246.9m / Invested Capital 1.29b)
WACC = 9.51% (E(22.99b)/V(23.21b) * Re(9.60%)) + (D(219.4m)/V(23.21b) * Rd(0.47%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.00 | Cagr: 3.14%
Discount Rate = 9.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.76% ; FCFE base≈104.6m ; Y1≈68.6m ; Y5≈31.4m
Fair Price DCF = 3.54 (DCF Value 485.9m / Shares Outstanding 137.2m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 79.64 | EPS CAGR: 60.90% | SUE: -0.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.21 | Revenue CAGR: 41.45%
Additional Sources for NTRA Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle