(NTRA) Natera - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US6323071042

Prenatal Tests, Genetic Screening, Cancer Tests, Transplant Tests, Gene Panels

NTRA EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of NTRA over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-09-30": -0.72, "2020-12-31": -0.92, "2021-03-31": -0.74, "2021-06-30": -1.32, "2021-09-30": -1.63, "2021-12-31": -1.48, "2022-03-31": -1.45, "2022-06-30": -1.5, "2022-09-30": -1.25, "2022-12-31": -1.37, "2023-03-31": -1.23, "2023-06-30": -0.97, "2023-09-30": -0.95, "2023-12-31": -0.64, "2024-03-31": -0.56, "2024-06-30": -0.3, "2024-09-30": -0.26, "2024-12-31": -0.41, "2025-03-31": -0.5, "2025-06-30": -0.74,

NTRA Revenue

Revenue of NTRA over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-09-30: 98.143, 2020-12-31: 112.378, 2021-03-31: 152.316, 2021-06-30: 142.026, 2021-09-30: 158.116, 2021-12-31: 173.028, 2022-03-31: 194.133, 2022-06-30: 198.2, 2022-09-30: 210.637, 2022-12-31: 217.252, 2023-03-31: 241.756, 2023-06-30: 261.404, 2023-09-30: 268.306, 2023-12-31: 311.105, 2024-03-31: 367.741, 2024-06-30: 413.351, 2024-09-30: 439.758, 2024-12-31: 476.061, 2025-03-31: 501.83, 2025-06-30: 546.6,

Description: NTRA Natera

Natera Inc. is a diagnostics company that offers a diverse portfolio of molecular testing services globally, catering to various medical needs including prenatal testing, genetic screening, cancer diagnosis, and transplant rejection monitoring. Its product suite is designed to provide critical genetic information to patients and healthcare providers, aiding in informed decision-making across different stages of life and medical conditions.

From a business perspective, Nateras revenue streams are diversified across different product lines and customer segments, including independent laboratories, medical centers, and pharmaceutical companies. The companys partnerships, such as those with BGI Genomics Co., Ltd. and Foundation Medicine, Inc., are strategic moves to enhance its product offerings and expand its market reach. These collaborations are crucial for developing and commercializing advanced genetic testing assays, indicating a strong potential for growth.

Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) that could be relevant for evaluating Nateras performance include revenue growth rate, gross margin, research and development (R&D) expenditure as a percentage of revenue, and the number of tests performed or samples processed. Given the companys focus on innovation, tracking the pipeline of new products or tests, such as Signatera for molecular residual disease testing and Prospera for assessing transplant rejection, is also essential. The expansion of its customer base and the enhancement of its distribution network are other critical metrics.

Nateras operational efficiency, reflected in its ability to manage costs and scale its business, is another area of focus. The companys return on equity (RoE) is currently negative, indicating that it is not generating profits from shareholder equity. However, this is not uncommon for companies in the biotechnology sector that are heavily investing in R&D. The absence of a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio further underscores the companys current unprofitability, a characteristic often associated with growth companies that prioritize investment in growth over immediate profitability.

To gauge Nateras financial health and potential for future growth, analyzing its cash flow statements, debt-to-equity ratio, and the trend in its revenue and net loss over time would be necessary. The companys ability to secure funding, either through equity or debt, to support its operations and growth initiatives is also a vital consideration. As Natera continues to innovate and expand its product offerings, its long-term success will depend on its ability to achieve profitability while maintaining a strong research and development pipeline.

NTRA Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 22,993m
Sub-Industry Biotechnology
IPO / Inception 2015-07-02

NTRA Stock Ratings

Growth Rating 65.1%
Fundamental 47.5%
Dividend Rating -
Return 12m vs S&P 500 13.7%
Analyst Rating 4.48 of 5

NTRA Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

NTRA Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m 19.9%
Growth Correlation 12m 30.2%
Growth Correlation 5y 37.3%
CAGR 5y 53.54%
CAGR/Max DD 3y 1.34
CAGR/Mean DD 3y 6.73
Sharpe Ratio 12m 0.28
Alpha 0.00
Beta 0.972
Volatility 42.30%
Current Volume 801.1k
Average Volume 20d 880.4k
Stop Loss 168.9 (-3.5%)
Signal 1.02

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.5

Net Income (-253.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 117.9m TTM)
FCFTA 0.06 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 24.81pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)
NWC/Revenue 53.29% (prev 72.56%; Δ -19.27pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)
CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 186.7m > Net Income -253.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)
NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio 3.72 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (136.4m) change vs 12m ago 11.02% (target <= -2.0% for YES)
Gross Margin 62.91% (prev 53.85%; Δ 9.06pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)
Asset Turnover 120.0% (prev 89.68%; Δ 30.30pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)
Interest Coverage Ratio -38.18 (EBITDA TTM -211.9m / Interest Expense TTM 6.47m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -7.80

(A) 0.60 = (Total Current Assets 1.43b - Total Current Liabilities 384.8m) / Total Assets 1.76b
(B) -1.56 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.74b / Total Assets 1.76b
warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.56 — check mapping/units
(C) -0.15 = EBIT TTM -246.9m / Avg Total Assets 1.64b
(D) -5.36 = Book Value of Equity -2.74b / Total Liabilities 510.9m
Total Rating: -7.80 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 47.47

1. Piotroski 4.50pt = -0.50
2. FCF Yield 0.47% = 0.24
3. FCF Margin 5.32% = 1.33
4. Debt/Equity 0.18 = 2.48
5. Debt/Ebitda -1.04 = -2.50
6. ROIC - WACC (= -28.63)% = -12.50
7. RoE -22.21% = -2.50
8. Rev. Trend 99.21% = 7.44
9. EPS Trend 79.64% = 3.98

What is the price of NTRA shares?

As of September 17, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 175.01 with a total of 801,092 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.77%, over one month by +8.60%, over three months by +4.02% and over the past year by +34.97%.

Is Natera a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Natera (NASDAQ:NTRA) is currently (September 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 47.47 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NTRA is around 183.57 USD . This means that NTRA is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 4.89%.

Is NTRA a buy, sell or hold?

Natera has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.48. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NTRA.
  • Strong Buy: 12
  • Buy: 8
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NTRA price?

Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 198.5 13.4%
Analysts Target Price 198.5 13.4%
ValueRay Target Price 206.5 18%

Last update: 2025-09-05 04:54

NTRA Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 22.99b (22.99b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 1.02b USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/S = 11.7058
P/B = 18.4509
Beta = 1.756
Revenue TTM = 1.96b USD
EBIT TTM = -246.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = -211.9m USD
Long Term Debt = 126.0m USD (from nonCurrentLiabilitiesTotal, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 93.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 219.4m USD (Calculated: Short Term 93.4m + Long Term 126.0m)
Net Debt = -803.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 22.20b USD (22.99b + Debt 219.4m - CCE 1.02b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -38.18 (Ebit TTM -246.9m / Interest Expense TTM 6.47m)
FCF Yield = 0.47% (FCF TTM 104.6m / Enterprise Value 22.20b)
FCF Margin = 5.32% (FCF TTM 104.6m / Revenue TTM 1.96b)
Net Margin = -12.89% (Net Income TTM -253.2m / Revenue TTM 1.96b)
Gross Margin = 62.91% ((Revenue TTM 1.96b - Cost of Revenue TTM 728.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -8.11 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 22.20b / Book Value Of Equity -2.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.47% (Interest Expense 1.03m / Debt 219.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default)
NOPAT = -246.9m (EBIT -246.9m, no tax applied on loss)
Current Ratio = 3.72 (Total Current Assets 1.43b / Total Current Liabilities 384.8m)
Debt / Equity = 0.18 (Debt 219.4m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 1.25b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.04 (Net Debt -803.9m / EBITDA -211.9m)
Debt / FCF = 2.10 (Debt 219.4m / FCF TTM 104.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.14b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -14.41% (Net Income -253.2m, Total Assets 1.76b )
RoE = -22.21% (Net Income TTM -253.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.14b)
RoCE = -19.51% (Ebit -246.9m / (Equity 1.14b + L.T.Debt 126.0m))
RoIC = -19.11% (NOPAT -246.9m / Invested Capital 1.29b)
WACC = 9.51% (E(22.99b)/V(23.21b) * Re(9.60%)) + (D(219.4m)/V(23.21b) * Rd(0.47%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.00 | Cagr: 3.14%
Discount Rate = 9.60% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 63.76% ; FCFE base≈104.6m ; Y1≈68.6m ; Y5≈31.4m
Fair Price DCF = 3.54 (DCF Value 485.9m / Shares Outstanding 137.2m; 5y FCF grow -40.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 79.64 | EPS CAGR: 60.90% | SUE: -0.81 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.21 | Revenue CAGR: 41.45%

Additional Sources for NTRA Stock

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