NVDA Stock Analysis: NVIDIA | NASDAQ
Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 5.023.435m USD | 12M Return: 18.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 28.7B
EPS Trend: 96.0%
Qual. Beats: 14
Rev. Trend: 98.2%
Qual. Beats: 3
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) is a U.S.-headquartered technology company that operates as a data center-scale AI infrastructure provider, with geographic operations spanning the United States, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Europe, and other international markets. Founded in 1993 and based in Santa Clara, California, NVIDIA is classified within the Information Technology sector and the Semiconductors sub-industry. Like many leading semiconductor designers, NVIDIA operates a fabless business model, focusing on chip design while outsourcing manufacturing to third-party foundries.
The company is organized into two reporting segments. The Compute & Networking segment supplies data center accelerated computing platforms, AI software and solutions, networking systems, and automotive platforms supporting autonomous driving and electric vehicles. The Graphics segment provides GeForce GPUs for consumer gaming and PCs, as well as Quadro and NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation visualization. Together, these products serve end markets in gaming, professional visualization, data center computing, and automotive.
NVIDIA distributes its products through a broad channel network that includes original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), original device manufacturers (ODMs), system integrators, independent software vendors (ISVs), cloud service providers, add-in board manufacturers, distributors, and automotive OEMs and tier-1 suppliers. The data center and AI segment has become the companys primary growth engine, reflecting the broader industry shift toward accelerated computing as the standard architecture for large-scale AI workloads.
- Data center AI revenue outpaces gaming as hyperscaler capex surges
- China export curbs on H20 chips hit data center sales
- Custom ASIC competition from hyperscalers pressures AI margins
| Net Income: 160b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.46 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -11.64 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 42.25% < 20% (prev 42.68%; Δ -0.43% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.48 > 3% & CFO 126b > Net Income 160b |
| Net Debt (-63.9b) to EBITDA (193b): -0.33 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.44 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (24.4b) vs 12m ago -0.89% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 74.15% > 18% (prev 70.11%; Δ 4.04% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 131.8% > 50% (prev 118.6%; Δ 13.21% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 636.7 > 6 (EBIT TTM 190b / Interest Expense TTM 298.0m) |
| A: 0.41 (Total Current Assets 151b - Total Current Liabilities 43.9b) / Total Assets 259b |
| B: 0.71 (Retained Earnings 185b / Total Assets 259b) |
| C: 0.99 (EBIT TTM 190b / Avg Total Assets 192b) |
| D: 3.05 (Book Value of Equity 195b / Total Liabilities 64.0b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 14.87 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 40.7b/22.1b, Revenue 253b/149b) |
| GMI: 0.95 (GM 70.11% / 74.15%) |
| AQI: 1.57 (AQ_t 0.35 / AQ_t-1 0.23) |
| SGI: 1.71 (Revenue 253b / 149b) |
| TATA: 0.13 (NI 160b - CFO 126b) / TA 259b) |
| Beneish M = -2.15 (Cap -4..+1) = BB |
As of July 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 202.81 with a total of 144,222,541 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.86%, over one month by -2.80%, over three months by +0.49% and over the past year by +18.50%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 184.40 (which is 9.1% or 2.5 ATR below the current price).
NVIDIA has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.52. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NVDA.
- StrongBuy: 43
- Buy: 12
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 302 | 48.9% |
P/E Trailing = 32.5589
P/E Forward = 24.2131
P/S = 19.817
P/B = 26.3307
P/EG = 0.654
Revenue TTM = 253b USD
EBIT TTM = 190b USD
EBITDA TTM = 193b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.47b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.47b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 16.7b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 3.88b
Net Debt = -63.9b USD (calculated: Debt 16.7b - CCE 80.6b)
Enterprise Value = 4960b USD (5023b + Debt 16.7b - CCE 80.6b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 636.7 (Ebit TTM 190b / Interest Expense TTM 298.0m)
EV/FCF = 41.65x (Enterprise Value 4960b / FCF TTM 119b)
FCF Yield = 2.40% (FCF TTM 119b / Enterprise Value 4960b)
FCF Margin = 46.97% (FCF TTM 119b / Revenue TTM 253b)
Net Margin = 62.97% (Net Income TTM 160b / Revenue TTM 253b)
Gross Margin = 74.15% ((Revenue TTM 253b - Cost of Revenue TTM 65.5b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 74.93% (prev 75.00%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 19.11 (Enterprise Value 4960b / Total Assets 259b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.79% (Interest Expense 298.0m / Debt 16.7b)
Taxrate = 15.75% (29.8b / 189b)
NOPAT = 160b (EBIT 190b * (1 - 15.75%))
Current Ratio = 3.44 (Total Current Assets 151b / Total Current Liabilities 43.9b)
Debt / Equity = 0.09 (Debt 16.7b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 195b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.33 (Net Debt -63.9b / EBITDA 193b)
Debt / FCF = -0.54 (Net Debt -63.9b / FCF TTM 119b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 143b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 82.97% (Net Income 160b / Total Assets 259b)
RoE = 111.7% (Net Income TTM 160b / Total Stockholder Equity 143b)
RoCE = 126.1% (EBIT 190b / Capital Employed (Equity 143b + L.T.Debt 7.47b))
RoIC = 78.22% (NOPAT 160b / Invested Capital 204b)
WACC = 13.90% (E(5023b)/V(5040b) * Re(13.94%) + D(16.7b)/V(5040b) * Rd(1.79%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 13.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -99.18 | Cagr: -0.91%
[DCF] Terminal Value 62.16% ; FCFF base≈100b ; Y1≈115b ; Y5≈169b
[DCF] Fair Price = 55.35 (EV 1277b - Net Debt -63.9b = Equity 1341b / Shares 24.2b; r=13.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 96.00 | EPS CAGR: 114.2% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 14
Revenue Correlation: 98.19 | Revenue CAGR: 100.1% | SUE: 2.14 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=2.09 | Chg30d=+0.69% | Revisions=+78% | Analysts=41
EPS next Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=2.35 | Chg30d=+0.03% | Revisions=+82% | Analysts=40
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=8.98 | Chg30d=+0.25% | Revisions=+85% | GrowthEPS=+88.3% | GrowthRev=+82.0%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=12.80 | Chg30d=+0.61% | Revisions=+89% | GrowthEPS=+42.6% | GrowthRev=+41.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +88% (up=153, down=8)