(NVDA) NVIDIA - Overview
Stock: GPU, AI, Data-Center, Networking, Automotive
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 40.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -0.09% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.80 |
| Alpha | 14.56 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.766 |
| Beta Downside | 1.730 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 36.88% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 2.73 |
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Description: NVDA NVIDIA January 28, 2026
NVIDIA (NASDAQ:NVDA) positions itself as a computing-infrastructure company with two primary business lines: Compute & Networking and Graphics. The Compute & Networking segment delivers data-center accelerated-computing platforms, AI software, networking gear, automotive autonomous-vehicle solutions, Jetson robotics modules, and the DGX Cloud service. The Graphics segment supplies GeForce GPUs for gaming, GeForce NOW streaming, Quadro/RTX workstations, vGPU cloud software, automotive infotainment GPUs, and the Omniverse digital-twin platform, while also offering bespoke AI-acceleration solutions for enterprise customers.
Key market-reach points: NVIDIA sells to OEMs, ODMs, system integrators, cloud providers, ISVs, automotive manufacturers, and tier-1 suppliers across the U.S., Singapore, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, and globally. A notable strategic partnership with Siemens AG focuses on industrial AI applications that embed NVIDIA’s hardware and software into manufacturing workflows.
Recent quantitative signals (FY 2024 Q2, released July 2024): • Revenue hit $9.2 billion, a 23 % YoY increase, driven primarily by a 45 % YoY surge in data-center AI sales. • Gaming revenue grew 8 % YoY, reflecting sustained demand for GeForce GPUs and GeForce NOW subscriptions. • Gross margin expanded to 71.5 %, up from 68.9 % a year earlier, indicating pricing power and scale efficiencies. These figures align with broader sector trends: AI-driven data-center spend is projected to grow at a 30 % CAGR through 2028, while the global GPU market remains heavily concentrated, with NVIDIA holding roughly 80 % share in the high-performance segment.
Uncertainty remains around macro-level demand elasticity-particularly if AI-related capital expenditures soften amid tighter corporate budgets-and geopolitical supply-chain constraints in Taiwan and China, which could affect fab capacity and component pricing.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore ValueRay’s analyst dashboard.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income: 99.20b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.48 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -10.91 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 48.31% < 20% (prev 45.17%; Δ 3.15% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.52 > 3% & CFO 83.16b > Net Income 99.20b |
| Net Debt (-664.0m) to EBITDA (119.09b): -0.01 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.47 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (24.48b) vs 12m ago -1.17% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 70.05% > 18% (prev 0.76%; Δ 6929 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 145.5% > 50% (prev 118.0%; Δ 27.57% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 471.7 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 119.09b / Interest Expense TTM 247.0m) |
Altman Z'' 10.00
| A: 0.56 (Total Current Assets 116.49b - Total Current Liabilities 26.07b) / Total Assets 161.15b |
| B: 0.67 (Retained Earnings 107.91b / Total Assets 161.15b) |
| C: 0.91 (EBIT TTM 116.52b / Avg Total Assets 128.58b) |
| D: 2.56 (Book Value of Equity 108.27b / Total Liabilities 42.25b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 14.64 = AAA |
Beneish M -2.32
| DSRI: 1.14 (Receivables 33.39b/17.69b, Revenue 187.14b/113.27b) |
| GMI: 1.08 (GM 70.05% / 75.86%) |
| AQI: 0.91 (AQ_t 0.20 / AQ_t-1 0.22) |
| SGI: 1.65 (Revenue 187.14b / 113.27b) |
| TATA: 0.10 (NI 99.20b - CFO 83.16b) / TA 161.15b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.32 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
What is the price of NVDA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.51%, over one month by +5.52%, over three months by +0.75% and over the past year by +34.99%.
Is NVDA a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 43
- Buy: 12
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the NVDA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 253.9 | 35.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 253.9 | 35.1% |
NVDA Fundamental Data Overview February 19, 2026
P/E Forward = 24.0385
P/S = 24.0644
P/B = 37.8117
P/EG = 0.7144
Revenue TTM = 187.14b USD
EBIT TTM = 116.52b USD
EBITDA TTM = 119.09b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.47b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.34b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 10.82b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -664.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 4453.68b USD (4503.46b + Debt 10.82b - CCE 60.61b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 471.7 (Ebit TTM 116.52b / Interest Expense TTM 247.0m)
EV/FCF = 57.60x (Enterprise Value 4453.68b / FCF TTM 77.32b)
FCF Yield = 1.74% (FCF TTM 77.32b / Enterprise Value 4453.68b)
FCF Margin = 41.32% (FCF TTM 77.32b / Revenue TTM 187.14b)
Net Margin = 53.01% (Net Income TTM 99.20b / Revenue TTM 187.14b)
Gross Margin = 70.05% ((Revenue TTM 187.14b - Cost of Revenue TTM 56.05b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 73.41% (prev 72.42%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 27.64 (Enterprise Value 4453.68b / Total Assets 161.15b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.56% (Interest Expense 61.0m / Debt 10.82b)
Taxrate = 15.88% (6.03b / 37.94b)
NOPAT = 98.01b (EBIT 116.52b * (1 - 15.88%))
Current Ratio = 4.47 (Total Current Assets 116.49b / Total Current Liabilities 26.07b)
Debt / Equity = 0.09 (Debt 10.82b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 118.90b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.01 (Net Debt -664.0m / EBITDA 119.09b)
Debt / FCF = -0.01 (Net Debt -664.0m / FCF TTM 77.32b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 95.55b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 77.15% (Net Income 99.20b / Total Assets 161.15b)
RoE = 103.8% (Net Income TTM 99.20b / Total Stockholder Equity 95.55b)
RoCE = 113.1% (EBIT 116.52b / Capital Employed (Equity 95.55b + L.T.Debt 7.47b))
RoIC = 94.23% (NOPAT 98.01b / Invested Capital 104.01b)
WACC = 12.39% (E(4503.46b)/V(4514.29b) * Re(12.42%) + D(10.82b)/V(4514.29b) * Rd(0.56%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 12.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.92%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 68.33% ; FCFF base≈69.01b ; Y1≈85.13b ; Y5≈144.99b
Fair Price DCF = 52.81 (EV 1282.77b - Net Debt -664.0m = Equity 1283.43b / Shares 24.30b; r=12.39% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 69.01 | EPS CAGR: -30.73% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 94.71 | Revenue CAGR: 70.89% | SUE: 1.53 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=1.66 | Chg30d=+0.005 | Revisions Net=+4 | Analysts=40
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=7.75 | Chg30d=+0.143 | Revisions Net=+6 | Growth EPS=+65.4% | Growth Revenue=+53.1%