NVDA Stock Analysis: NVIDIA | NASDAQ
Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 5.272.739m USD | 12M Return: 29.1% | US67066G1040 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 26.9B
EPS Trend: 97.9%
Qual. Beats: 15
Rev. Trend: 98.9%
Qual. Beats: 4
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) is a U.S.-headquartered technology company that operates as a data center-scale AI infrastructure provider, with geographic operations spanning the United States, Taiwan, China, Hong Kong, Europe, and other international markets. Founded in 1993 and based in Santa Clara, California, NVIDIA is classified within the Information Technology sector and the Semiconductors sub-industry. Like many leading semiconductor designers, NVIDIA operates a fabless business model, focusing on chip design while outsourcing manufacturing to third-party foundries.
The company is organized into two reporting segments. The Compute & Networking segment supplies data center accelerated computing platforms, AI software and solutions, networking systems, and automotive platforms supporting autonomous driving and electric vehicles. The Graphics segment provides GeForce GPUs for consumer gaming and PCs, as well as Quadro and NVIDIA RTX GPUs for enterprise workstation visualization. Together, these products serve end markets in gaming, professional visualization, data center computing, and automotive.
NVIDIA distributes its products through a broad channel network that includes original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), original device manufacturers (ODMs), system integrators, independent software vendors (ISVs), cloud service providers, add-in board manufacturers, distributors, and automotive OEMs and tier-1 suppliers. The data center and AI segment has become the companys primary growth engine, reflecting the broader industry shift toward accelerated computing as the standard architecture for large-scale AI workloads.
- Data center AI revenue outpaces gaming as hyperscaler capex surges
- China export curbs on H20 chips hit data center sales
- Custom ASIC competition from hyperscalers pressures AI margins
| Net Income: 193b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.40 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -11.52 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 50.96% < 20% (prev 47.19%; Δ 3.77% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.42 > 3% & CFO 134b > Net Income 193b |
| Net Debt (-55.5b) to EBITDA (234b): -0.24 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.59 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (24.3b) vs 12m ago -1.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 74.67% > 18% (prev 69.85%; Δ 4.83% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 131.4% > 50% (prev 117.4%; Δ 14.04% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 496.7 > 6 (EBIT TTM 230b / Interest Expense TTM 463.0m) |
| A: 0.48 (Total Current Assets 197b - Total Current Liabilities 43.0b) / Total Assets 320b |
| B: 0.68 (Retained Earnings 219b / Total Assets 320b) |
| C: 1.00 (EBIT TTM 230b / Avg Total Assets 231b) |
| D: 2.51 (Book Value of Equity 229b / Total Liabilities 91.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 14.73 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.24 (Receivables 63.1b/27.8b, Revenue 303b/165b) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 69.85% / 74.67%) |
| AQI: 1.66 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 1.83 (Revenue 303b / 165b) |
| TATA: 0.18 (NI 193b - CFO 134b) / TA 320b) |
| Beneish M = -1.88 (Cap -4..+1) = B |
As of September 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 219.34 with a total of 94,159,251 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.45%, over one month by -2.41%, over three months by +7.30% and over the past year by +29.11%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 207.80 (which is 5.3% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
NVIDIA has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.52. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NVDA.
- StrongBuy: 43
- Buy: 12
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 327.7 | 49.4% |
P/E Trailing = 28.2484
P/E Forward = 24.6305
P/S = 17.4035
P/B = 23.5866
P/EG = 0.5682
Revenue TTM = 303b USD
EBIT TTM = 230b USD
EBITDA TTM = 234b USD
Long Term Debt = 32.4b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.51b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 43.8b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.99b
Net Debt = -55.5b USD (calculated: Debt 43.8b - CCE 99.4b)
Enterprise Value = 5217b USD (5273b + Debt 43.8b - CCE 99.4b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 496.7 (Ebit TTM 230b / Interest Expense TTM 463.0m)
EV/FCF = 41.08x (Enterprise Value 5217b / FCF TTM 127b)
FCF Yield = 2.43% (FCF TTM 127b / Enterprise Value 5217b)
FCF Margin = 41.92% (FCF TTM 127b / Revenue TTM 303b)
Net Margin = 63.66% (Net Income TTM 193b / Revenue TTM 303b)
Gross Margin = 74.67% ((Revenue TTM 303b - Cost of Revenue TTM 76.7b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 74.98% (prev 74.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 16.29 (Enterprise Value 5217b / Total Assets 320b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.06% (Interest Expense 463.0m / Debt 43.8b)
Taxrate = 16.05% (36.9b / 230b)
NOPAT = 193b (EBIT 230b * (1 - 16.05%))
Current Ratio = 4.59 (Total Current Assets 197b / Total Current Liabilities 43.0b)
Debt / Equity = 0.19 (Debt 43.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 229b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.24 (Net Debt -55.5b / EBITDA 234b)
Debt / FCF = -0.44 (Net Debt -55.5b / FCF TTM 127b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 175b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 83.68% (Net Income 193b / Total Assets 320b)
RoE = 110.1% (Net Income TTM 193b / Total Stockholder Equity 175b)
RoCE = 110.8% (EBIT 230b / Capital Employed (Equity 175b + L.T.Debt 32.4b))
RoIC = 73.24% (NOPAT 193b / Invested Capital 264b)
WACC = 13.26% (E(5273b)/V(5317b) * Re(13.36%) + D(43.8b)/V(5317b) * Rd(1.06%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 13.36% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -99.61 | Cagr: -1.09%
[DCF] Terminal Value 63.78% ; FCFF base≈105b ; Y1≈120b ; Y5≈177b
[DCF] Fair Price = 61.12 (EV 1420b - Net Debt -55.5b = Equity 1476b / Shares 24.1b; r=13.26% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.88 | EPS CAGR: 93.94% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 15
Revenue Correlation: 98.93 | Revenue CAGR: 88.68% | SUE: 3.43 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=2.47 | Chg30d=+5.31% | Revisions=+87% | Analysts=42
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=9.31 | Chg30d=+3.86% | Revisions=+88% | GrowthEPS=+95.1% | GrowthRev=+90.5%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=15.52 | Chg30d=+20.90% | Revisions=+93% | GrowthEPS=+66.7% | GrowthRev=+64.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +94% (up=112, down=2)