NVDA Stock Analysis: NVIDIA | NASDAQ
Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 5.245.453m USD | 12M Return: 17.2% | US67066G1040 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 24.1B
EPS Trend: 97.9%
Qual. Beats: 14
Rev. Trend: 98.9%
Qual. Beats: 4
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) is a U.S.-headquartered semiconductor and AI infrastructure company founded in 1993 and based in Santa Clara, California. The company operates through two main segments: Compute & Networking, which focuses on data center accelerated computing, AI platforms and software, networking solutions, and automotive/autonomous vehicle technologies; and Graphics, which supplies GeForce GPUs for gaming and consumer PCs, as well as Quadro/NVIDIA RTX GPUs for professional workstation graphics.
NVIDIA sells its products to a broad ecosystem that includes OEMs, ODMs, system integrators, distributors, independent software vendors, cloud service providers, add-in board manufacturers, and automotive manufacturers and tier-1 suppliers. Its end markets span gaming, professional visualization, data center, and automotive. As a fabless designer within the global semiconductor value chain, NVIDIA develops GPU architectures and AI accelerators that power both consumer graphics products and large-scale enterprise and hyperscaler workloads, competing in the broader Information Technology sector alongside other chip designers and accelerator providers.
- Data center AI demand drives record Compute & Networking revenue growth
- US export curbs on China chips limit addressable market
- Gaming GPU cycle recovery supports Graphics segment margins
| Net Income: 193b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.40 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -11.52 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 50.96% < 20% (prev 47.19%; Δ 3.77% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.42 > 3% & CFO 134b > Net Income 193b |
| Net Debt (-55.5b) to EBITDA (234b): -0.24 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 4.59 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (24.3b) vs 12m ago -1.01% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 74.67% > 18% (prev 69.85%; Δ 4.83% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 131.4% > 50% (prev 117.4%; Δ 14.04% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 497.2 > 6 (EBIT TTM 230b / Interest Expense TTM 463.0m) |
| A: 0.48 (Total Current Assets 197b - Total Current Liabilities 43.0b) / Total Assets 320b |
| B: 0.68 (Retained Earnings 219b / Total Assets 320b) |
| C: 1.00 (EBIT TTM 230b / Avg Total Assets 231b) |
| D: 2.51 (Book Value of Equity 229b / Total Liabilities 91.3b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 14.74 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.24 (Receivables 63.1b/27.8b, Revenue 303b/165b) |
| GMI: 0.94 (GM 69.85% / 74.67%) |
| AQI: 1.66 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.19) |
| SGI: 1.83 (Revenue 303b / 165b) |
| TATA: 0.18 (NI 193b - CFO 134b) / TA 320b) |
| Beneish M = -1.88 (Cap -4..+1) = B |
As of October 18, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 214.13 with a total of 121,186,727 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.61%, over one month by -2.38%, over three months by +5.70% and over the past year by +17.15%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 205.50 (which is 4% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
NVIDIA has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.70. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NVDA.
- StrongBuy: 48
- Buy: 10
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 328.7 | 53.5% |
P/E Trailing = 27.4627
P/E Forward = 24.8756
P/S = 17.3134
P/B = 23.7807
P/EG = 0.4791
Revenue TTM = 303b USD
EBIT TTM = 230b USD
EBITDA TTM = 234b USD
Long Term Debt = 32.4b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.51b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 43.8b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 4.99b
Net Debt = -55.5b USD (calculated: Debt 43.8b - CCE 99.4b)
Enterprise Value = 5190b USD (5245b + Debt 43.8b - CCE 99.4b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 497.2 (Ebit TTM 230b / Interest Expense TTM 463.0m)
EV/FCF = 40.86x (Enterprise Value 5190b / FCF TTM 127b)
FCF Yield = 2.45% (FCF TTM 127b / Enterprise Value 5190b)
FCF Margin = 41.92% (FCF TTM 127b / Revenue TTM 303b)
Net Margin = 63.66% (Net Income TTM 193b / Revenue TTM 303b)
Gross Margin = 74.67% ((Revenue TTM 303b - Cost of Revenue TTM 76.7b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 74.98% (prev 74.93%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 16.20 (Enterprise Value 5190b / Total Assets 320b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.06% (Interest Expense 463.0m / Debt 43.8b)
Taxrate = 16.05% (36.9b / 230b)
NOPAT = 193b (EBIT 230b * (1 - 16.05%))
Current Ratio = 4.59 (Total Current Assets 197b / Total Current Liabilities 43.0b)
Debt / Equity = 0.19 (Debt 43.8b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 229b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.24 (Net Debt -55.5b / EBITDA 234b)
Debt / FCF = -0.44 (Net Debt -55.5b / FCF TTM 127b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 175b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 83.68% (Net Income 193b / Total Assets 320b)
RoE = 110.1% (Net Income TTM 193b / Total Stockholder Equity 175b)
RoCE = 110.9% (EBIT 230b / Capital Employed (Equity 175b + L.T.Debt 32.4b))
RoIC = 73.31% (NOPAT 193b / Invested Capital 264b)
WACC = 12.57% (E(5245b)/V(5289b) * Re(12.67%) + D(43.8b)/V(5289b) * Rd(1.06%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 12.67% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 12.54%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -99.61 | Cagr: -1.09%
[DCF] Terminal Value 65.57% ; FCFF base≈105b ; Y1≈120b ; Y5≈177b
[DCF] Fair Price = 65.29 (EV 1521b - Net Debt -55.5b = Equity 1577b / Shares 24.1b; r=12.57% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 97.88 | EPS CAGR: 93.94% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 14
Revenue Correlation: 98.93 | Revenue CAGR: 88.68% | SUE: 3.43 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-10-31): EPS=2.47 | Chg30d=+0.02% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=44
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=9.31 | Chg30d=+0.08% | Revisions=+40% | GrowthEPS=+95.2% | GrowthRev=+90.6%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=15.91 | Chg30d=+2.23% | Revisions=+70% | GrowthEPS=+70.9% | GrowthRev=+68.2%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +62% (up=9, down=1)