(NVDA) NVIDIA - Overview
Sector: Technology | Industry: Semiconductors | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 5.343.290m USD | Total Return: 66.3% in 12m
Industry Rotation: +5.3
Avg Turnover: 35.2B
EPS Trend: 93.4%
Qual. Beats: -1
Rev. Trend: 98.2%
Qual. Beats: 3
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Confidence
NVIDIA Corporation is a semiconductor and infrastructure provider specializing in accelerated computing. The company operates through two primary segments: Compute & Networking, which focuses on data center AI platforms and autonomous vehicle solutions, and Graphics, which provides GPUs for gaming and professional workstations. Its business model relies heavily on a fabless manufacturing strategy, outsourcing the physical production of silicon to third-party foundries while focusing internally on design and software integration.
The company maintains a broad distribution network, selling to cloud service providers, automotive manufacturers, and system integrators. Recent strategic partnerships with firms like Lumentum and Nebius Group emphasize NVIDIAs focus on hyperscale cloud deployment and optical networking for AI workloads. The semiconductor sector is characterized by high research and development costs and cyclical demand, though NVIDIA’s transition toward data center architecture has diversified its revenue streams beyond traditional consumer electronics.
Consulting ValueRay can provide deeper insights into how these infrastructure shifts impact long-term valuation.
- Hyperscale data center demand for H100 and Blackwell chips drives revenue growth
- Export controls on advanced AI hardware restrict access to the Chinese market
- Enterprise software transitions and AI factory deployments expand long-term service margins
- Supply chain constraints on CoWoS packaging limit total GPU delivery capacity
- Growth in autonomous vehicle platforms diversifies revenue beyond traditional computing segments
| Net Income: 159.61b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.46 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -11.64 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 42.25% < 20% (prev 42.68%; Δ -0.43% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.48 > 3% & CFO 125.65b > Net Income 159.61b |
| Net Debt (-67.76b) to EBITDA (191.77b): -0.35 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.44 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (24.39b) vs 12m ago -0.89% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 74.15% > 18% (prev 0.70%; Δ 7.34k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 131.8% > 50% (prev 118.6%; Δ 13.21% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 401.8 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 191.77b / Interest Expense TTM 298.0m) |
| A: 0.41 (Total Current Assets 151.00b - Total Current Liabilities 43.88b) / Total Assets 259.47b |
| B: 0.71 (Retained Earnings 185.04b / Total Assets 259.47b) |
| C: 0.62 (EBIT TTM 119.74b / Avg Total Assets 192.36b) |
| D: 2.89 (Book Value of Equity 185.20b / Total Liabilities 64.00b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 12.25 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 40.71b/22.13b, Revenue 253.49b/148.51b) |
| GMI: 0.95 (GM 74.15% / 70.11%) |
| AQI: 1.65 (AQ_t 0.37 / AQ_t-1 0.23) |
| SGI: 1.71 (Revenue 253.49b / 148.51b) |
| TATA: 0.13 (NI 159.61b - CFO 125.65b) / TA 259.47b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -1.99 (Cap -4..+1) = B |
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.05%, over one month by +10.60%, over three months by +17.73% and over the past year by +66.34%.
- StrongBuy: 43
- Buy: 12
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 275.3 | 23.2% |
P/E Forward = 27.3973
P/S = 24.7446
P/B = 34.2336
P/EG = 0.7057
Revenue TTM = 253.49b USD
EBIT TTM = 119.74b USD
EBITDA TTM = 191.77b USD
Long Term Debt = 7.47b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 1.47b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 12.81b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -67.76b USD (recalculated: Debt 12.81b - CCE 80.57b)
Enterprise Value = 5275.53b USD (5343.29b + Debt 12.81b - CCE 80.57b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 401.8 (Ebit TTM 119.74b / Interest Expense TTM 298.0m)
EV/FCF = 44.30x (Enterprise Value 5275.53b / FCF TTM 119.08b)
FCF Yield = 2.26% (FCF TTM 119.08b / Enterprise Value 5275.53b)
FCF Margin = 46.97% (FCF TTM 119.08b / Revenue TTM 253.49b)
Net Margin = 62.97% (Net Income TTM 159.61b / Revenue TTM 253.49b)
Gross Margin = 74.15% ((Revenue TTM 253.49b - Cost of Revenue TTM 65.54b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 74.93% (prev 75.00%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 20.33 (Enterprise Value 5275.53b / Total Assets 259.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.80% (Interest Expense 102.0m / Debt 12.81b)
Taxrate = 16.57% (11.58b / 69.90b)
NOPAT = 99.90b (EBIT 119.74b * (1 - 16.57%))
Current Ratio = 3.44 (Total Current Assets 151.00b / Total Current Liabilities 43.88b)
Debt / Equity = 0.07 (Debt 12.81b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 195.47b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.35 (Net Debt -67.76b / EBITDA 191.77b)
Debt / FCF = -0.57 (Net Debt -67.76b / FCF TTM 119.08b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 142.95b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 82.97% (Net Income 159.61b / Total Assets 259.47b)
RoE = 111.7% (Net Income TTM 159.61b / Total Stockholder Equity 142.95b)
RoCE = 79.60% (EBIT 119.74b / Capital Employed (Equity 142.95b + L.T.Debt 7.47b))
RoIC = 74.60% (NOPAT 99.90b / Invested Capital 133.91b)
WACC = 14.05% (E(5343.29b)/V(5356.10b) * Re(14.08%) + D(12.81b)/V(5356.10b) * Rd(0.80%) * (1-Tc(0.17)))
Discount Rate = 14.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -100.00 | Cagr: -0.91%
[DCF] Terminal Value 64.34% ; FCFF base≈100.27b ; Y1≈123.70b ; Y5≈211.05b
[DCF] Fair Price = 68.24 (EV 1585.00b - Net Debt -67.76b = Equity 1652.76b / Shares 24.22b; r=14.05% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 93.39 | EPS CAGR: 101.0% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: 98.19 | Revenue CAGR: 100.1% | SUE: 2.14 | # QB: 3
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=1.96 | Chg30d=+0.50% | Revisions=+64% | Analysts=38
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=8.37 | Chg30d=+0.38% | Revisions=+54% | GrowthEPS=+75.5% | GrowthRev=+73.0%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=11.57 | Chg30d=+3.01% | Revisions=+69% | GrowthEPS=+38.2% | GrowthRev=+33.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +69%