NXPI Stock Analysis: NXP Semiconductors | NASDAQ

Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 67.046m USD | 12M Return: 18.2% | NL0009538784 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Microcontrollers, Connectivity Solutions, Automotive Chips, Security Controllers
Total Rating 62
Safety 66
Buy Signal -0.54
Semiconductors
Industry Rotation: -77.8
Market Cap: 67.0B
Avg Turnover: 1.06B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility54.7%
VaR 5th Pctl9.30%
VaR vs Median3.18%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.50
Rel. Str. IBD61.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group73.8 pctl
Character TTM
Beta1.617
Beta Downside2.143
Hurst Exponent0.501
Choppyness60.1%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD46.47%
CAGR/Max DD0.27
CAGR/Mean DD0.70
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NXPI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 2.84, "2021-12": 3.2, "2022-03": 3.37, "2022-06": 3.52, "2022-09": 3.81, "2022-12": 3.73, "2023-03": 3.19, "2023-06": 3.43, "2023-09": 3.7, "2023-12": 3.71, "2024-03": 3.24, "2024-06": 3.2, "2024-09": 3.45, "2024-12": 3.18, "2025-03": 2.64, "2025-06": 2.72, "2025-09": 3.11, "2025-12": 3.35, "2026-03": 3.05, "2026-06": 3.24, "2026-09": 3.75,
EPS CAGR: -4.59%
EPS Trend: -61.9%
Last SUE: -1.23
Qual. Beats: -1
Revenue Revenue of NXPI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 2861, 2021-12: 3039, 2022-03: 3136, 2022-06: 3312, 2022-09: 3445, 2022-12: 3312, 2023-03: 3121, 2023-06: 3299, 2023-09: 3434, 2023-12: 3422, 2024-03: 3126, 2024-06: 3127, 2024-09: 3250, 2024-12: 3111, 2025-03: 2835, 2025-06: 2926, 2025-09: 3173, 2025-12: 3334.999999, 2026-03: 3181, 2026-06: 3496, 2026-09: 3786,
Rev. CAGR: -0.45%
Rev. Trend: -9.6%
Last SUE: 1.86
Qual. Beats: 6

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -1.0% 5
Feb +1.3% 18
Mar -1.9% 20
Apr -0.8% 10
May +6.1% 48
Jun -2.2% 17
Jul +0.1% 16
Aug +0.3% 5
Sep -2.8% 34
Oct -1.5% 14
Nov +4.2% 2
Dec -0.7% 14

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NXPI NXP Semiconductors

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NASDAQ: NXPI) is a Dutch-headquartered semiconductor company founded in 2006 and listed on NASDAQ since 2010. It designs and sells a broad portfolio of chips used across automotive, industrial, Internet of Things, mobile, and communication infrastructure markets, with customers served through direct sales offices and independent distributors in major regions including the U.S., Europe, and Asia.

The companys product range spans microcontrollers, application processors, wireless connectivity solutions (such as NFC, ultra-wideband, Bluetooth low-energy, Zigbee, Thread, and Wi-Fi SoCs), analog and interface devices, RF components, security controllers, and environmental/inertial sensors. It is classified within the GICS Information Technology sector and the Semiconductors sub-industry, a grouping that includes major fabless and fabbed chipmakers competing in memory, logic, and analog/connectivity segments.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Automotive chip demand recovers as EV and ADAS adoption accelerates
  • China revenue concentration exposes NXP to geopolitical and tariff risks
  • MCU pricing competition from Infineon and STMicro pressures gross margins
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 9.0
Net Income: 3.24b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 6.06 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 32.36% < 20% (prev 40.90%; Δ -8.54% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 3.80b > Net Income 3.24b
Net Debt (7.04b) to EBITDA (5.20b): 1.35 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.12 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (253.8m) vs 12m ago -0.19% < -2%
Gross Margin: 56.28% > 18% (prev 54.69%; Δ 1.60% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 51.14% > 50% (prev 45.70%; Δ 5.44% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 10.15 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.42b / Interest Expense TTM 436.0m)
Altman Z'' 3.08
A: 0.16 (Total Current Assets 8.44b - Total Current Liabilities 3.97b) / Total Assets 27.6b
B: 0.02 (Retained Earnings 632.0m / Total Assets 27.6b)
C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 4.42b / Avg Total Assets 27.0b)
D: 0.80 (Book Value of Equity 12.1b / Total Liabilities 15.1b)
Altman-Z'' = 3.08 = A
Beneish M -2.91
DSRI: 1.00 (Receivables 1.26b/1.09b, Revenue 13.8b/12.0b)
GMI: 0.97 (GM 54.69% / 56.28%)
AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.59 / AQ_t-1 0.56)
SGI: 1.15 (Revenue 13.8b / 12.0b)
TATA: -0.02 (NI 3.24b - CFO 3.80b) / TA 27.6b)
Beneish M = -2.91 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of NXPI shares?

As of November 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 244.43 with a total of 12,469,925 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -8.11%, over one month by +1.02%, over three months by +6.22% and over the past year by +18.20%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 224.00 (which is 8.4% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).

Is NXPI a buy, sell or hold?

NXP Semiconductors has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.13. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NXPI.

  • StrongBuy: 15
  • Buy: 6
  • Hold: 8
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the NXPI price?
Analysts Target Price 299.9 22.7%
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 31 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 67.0b (67.0b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 20.9284
P/E Forward = 13.4048
P/S = 4.6317
P/B = 5.2481
P/EG = 0.4873
Revenue TTM = 13.8b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.42b USD
EBITDA TTM = 5.20b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.98b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 999.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.0b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.04b USD (calculated: Debt 11.0b - CCE 3.94b)
Enterprise Value = 74.1b USD (67.0b + Debt 11.0b - CCE 3.94b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 10.15 (Ebit TTM 4.42b / Interest Expense TTM 436.0m)
EV/FCF = 21.20x (Enterprise Value 74.1b / FCF TTM 3.49b)
FCF Yield = 4.72% (FCF TTM 3.49b / Enterprise Value 74.1b)
FCF Margin = 25.33% (FCF TTM 3.49b / Revenue TTM 13.8b)
Net Margin = 23.50% (Net Income TTM 3.24b / Revenue TTM 13.8b)
Gross Margin = 56.28% ((Revenue TTM 13.8b - Cost of Revenue TTM 6.03b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 57.82% (prev 57.27%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.68 (Enterprise Value 74.1b / Total Assets 27.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.97% (Interest Expense 436.0m / Debt 11.0b)
Taxrate = 19.94% (820.0m / 4.11b)
NOPAT = 3.54b (EBIT 4.42b * (1 - 19.94%))
Current Ratio = 2.12 (Total Current Assets 8.44b / Total Current Liabilities 3.97b)
Debt / Equity = 0.91 (Debt 11.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 12.1b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.35 (Net Debt 7.04b / EBITDA 5.20b)
Debt / FCF = 2.01 (Net Debt 7.04b / FCF TTM 3.49b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 11.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 12.02% (Net Income 3.24b / Total Assets 27.6b)
RoE = 29.17% (Net Income TTM 3.24b / Total Stockholder Equity 11.1b)
RoCE = 20.98% (EBIT 4.42b / Capital Employed (Equity 11.1b + L.T.Debt 9.98b))
RoIC = 14.79% (NOPAT 3.54b / Invested Capital 23.9b)
WACC = 9.96% (E(67.0b)/V(78.0b) * Re(11.07%) + D(11.0b)/V(78.0b) * Rd(3.97%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 11.07% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -86.52 | Cagr: -0.85%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.94% ; FCFF base≈2.79b ; Y1≈3.20b ; Y5≈4.71b
[DCF] Fair Price = 191.1 (EV 55.2b - Net Debt 7.04b = Equity 48.2b / Shares 252.1m; r=9.96% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -61.90 | EPS CAGR: -4.59% | SUE: -1.23 | # QB: -1
Revenue Correlation: -9.58 | Revenue CAGR: -0.45% | SUE: 1.86 | # QB: 6
EPS current Quarter (2027-03-31): EPS=4.02 | Chg30d=+1.00% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=19
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=15.16 | Chg30d=+0.70% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+28.4% | GrowthRev=+16.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=18.32 | Chg30d=+0.99% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+20.8% | GrowthRev=+12.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=0, down=0)