NXPI Stock Analysis: NXP Semiconductors | NASDAQ

Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 69.015m USD | 12M Return: 24.3% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Microcontrollers, Connectivity Solutions, Automotive Chips, Security Controllers
Total Rating 56
Safety 66
Buy Signal 0.26
Semiconductors
Industry Rotation: -46.3
Market Cap: 69.0B
Avg Turnover: 1.29B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility50.6%
VaR 5th Pctl8.73%
VaR vs Median4.68%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.60
Rel. Str. IBD81.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group33.6
Character TTM
Beta1.732
Beta Downside2.133
Hurst Exponent0.538
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD46.47%
CAGR/Max DD0.27
CAGR/Mean DD0.75
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NXPI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 2.39, "2021-09": 2.84, "2021-12": 3.2, "2022-03": 3.37, "2022-06": 3.52, "2022-09": 3.81, "2022-12": 3.73, "2023-03": 3.19, "2023-06": 3.43, "2023-09": 3.7, "2023-12": 3.71, "2024-03": 3.24, "2024-06": 3.2, "2024-09": 3.45, "2024-12": 3.18, "2025-03": 2.64, "2025-06": 2.72, "2025-09": 3.11, "2025-12": 3.35, "2026-03": 3.05,
EPS CAGR: -7.57%
EPS Trend: -92.6%
Last SUE: 2.71
Qual. Beats: 2
Revenue Revenue of NXPI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 2596, 2021-09: 2861, 2021-12: 3039, 2022-03: 3136, 2022-06: 3312, 2022-09: 3445, 2022-12: 3312, 2023-03: 3121, 2023-06: 3299, 2023-09: 3434, 2023-12: 3422, 2024-03: 3126, 2024-06: 3127, 2024-09: 3250, 2024-12: 3111, 2025-03: 2835, 2025-06: 2926, 2025-09: 3173, 2025-12: 3334.999999, 2026-03: 3181,
Rev. CAGR: -3.38%
Rev. Trend: -84.0%
Last SUE: 2.11
Qual. Beats: 4

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

Confidence

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.3% 0
Feb +1.3% 24
Mar -3.1% 28
Apr -1.7% 16
May +4.3% 48
Jun -2.0% 14
Jul +0.1% 18
Aug -1.2% 9
Sep -4.3% 57
Oct -1.2% 9
Nov +9.3% 10
Dec -0.1% 8

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NXPI NXP Semiconductors

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NASDAQ: NXPI) is a Netherlands-based semiconductor company headquartered in Eindhoven and incorporated in 2006. It designs and sells a broad portfolio of chips, including microcontrollers, application and communication processors, wireless connectivity solutions (NFC, UWB, BLE, Zigbee, Thread, Wi-Fi), analog and interface products, RF devices, security controllers, and environmental/inertial sensors. Products are sold across major markets such as the United States, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, the Netherlands, Mainland China, and Hong Kong through direct sales offices and independent distributors.

The company serves four primary end markets: automotive, industrial and Internet of Things, mobile, and communications infrastructure. As a fabless-leaning semiconductor firm, NXP designs chips that are manufactured by third-party foundries and supplied to OEMs and tier-one suppliers globally, with the automotive segment historically representing its largest revenue contributor.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Automotive revenue accelerates on ADAS and EV adoption
  • China demand recovery drives industrial segment rebound
  • Inventory destocking pressures gross margins across segments
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 6.5
Net Income: 2.65b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 3.93 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 35.78% < 20% (prev 33.89%; Δ 1.89% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.11 > 3% & CFO 3.05b > Net Income 2.65b
Net Debt (8.02b) to EBITDA (4.66b): 1.72 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.24 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (253.5m) vs 12m ago -0.59% < -2%
Gross Margin: 54.89% > 18% (prev 55.96%; Δ -1.07% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 48.25% > 50% (prev 48.94%; Δ -0.69% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.28 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.86b / Interest Expense TTM 466.0m)
Altman Z'' 2.75
A: 0.17 (Total Current Assets 8.15b - Total Current Liabilities 3.64b) / Total Assets 27.1b
B: -0.02 (Retained Earnings -496.0m / Total Assets 27.1b)
C: 0.15 (EBIT TTM 3.86b / Avg Total Assets 26.1b)
D: 0.69 (Book Value of Equity 10.9b / Total Liabilities 15.8b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.75 = A
Beneish M -2.88
DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 1.19b/1.06b, Revenue 12.6b/12.3b)
GMI: 1.02 (GM 55.96% / 54.89%)
AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.59 / AQ_t-1 0.55)
SGI: 1.02 (Revenue 12.6b / 12.3b)
TATA: -0.01 (NI 2.65b - CFO 3.05b) / TA 27.1b)
Beneish M = -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of NXPI shares?

As of July 09, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 283.81 with a total of 3,646,101 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.99%, over one month by -5.44%, over three months by +39.41% and over the past year by +24.32%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 263.70 (which is 7.1% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is NXPI a buy, sell or hold?

NXP Semiconductors has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.41. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NXPI.

  • StrongBuy: 19
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NXPI price?
Analysts Target Price 308.1 8.5%
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 04 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 69.0b (69.0b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 26.1089
P/E Forward = 19.084
P/S = 5.4709
P/B = 6.4505
P/EG = 0.712
Revenue TTM = 12.6b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.86b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.66b USD
Long Term Debt = 11.0b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 750.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.7b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.02b USD (calculated: Debt 11.7b - CCE 3.71b)
Enterprise Value = 77.0b USD (69.0b + Debt 11.7b - CCE 3.71b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.28 (Ebit TTM 3.86b / Interest Expense TTM 466.0m)
EV/FCF = 26.04x (Enterprise Value 77.0b / FCF TTM 2.96b)
FCF Yield = 3.84% (FCF TTM 2.96b / Enterprise Value 77.0b)
FCF Margin = 23.45% (FCF TTM 2.96b / Revenue TTM 12.6b)
Net Margin = 21.03% (Net Income TTM 2.65b / Revenue TTM 12.6b)
Gross Margin = 54.89% ((Revenue TTM 12.6b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.69b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 56.21% (prev 53.58%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.84 (Enterprise Value 77.0b / Total Assets 27.1b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.97% (Interest Expense 466.0m / Debt 11.7b)
Taxrate = 20.42% (695.0m / 3.40b)
NOPAT = 3.07b (EBIT 3.86b * (1 - 20.42%))
Current Ratio = 2.24 (Total Current Assets 8.15b / Total Current Liabilities 3.64b)
Debt / Equity = 1.07 (Debt 11.7b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.9b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.72 (Net Debt 8.02b / EBITDA 4.66b)
Debt / FCF = 2.71 (Net Debt 8.02b / FCF TTM 2.96b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 10.1b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 10.15% (Net Income 2.65b / Total Assets 27.1b)
RoE = 26.14% (Net Income TTM 2.65b / Total Stockholder Equity 10.1b)
RoCE = 18.26% (EBIT 3.86b / Capital Employed (Equity 10.1b + L.T.Debt 11.0b))
RoIC = 13.01% (NOPAT 3.07b / Invested Capital 23.6b)
WACC = 10.79% (E(69.0b)/V(80.7b) * Re(12.08%) + D(11.7b)/V(80.7b) * Rd(3.97%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 12.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -86.67 | Cagr: -1.16%
[DCF] Terminal Value 70.51% ; FCFF base≈2.48b ; Y1≈2.84b ; Y5≈4.18b
[DCF] Fair Price = 142.3 (EV 44.0b - Net Debt 8.02b = Equity 35.9b / Shares 252.5m; r=10.79% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -92.63 | EPS CAGR: -7.57% | SUE: 2.71 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -84.02 | Revenue CAGR: -3.38% | SUE: 2.11 | # QB: 4
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=3.53 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=+88% | Analysts=22
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=3.99 | Chg30d=+0.17% | Revisions=+79% | Analysts=21
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=14.80 | Chg30d=+0.33% | Revisions=+90% | GrowthEPS=+25.4% | GrowthRev=+14.8%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=17.71 | Chg30d=+0.46% | Revisions=+69% | GrowthEPS=+19.6% | GrowthRev=+10.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +89% (up=90, down=4)