NXPI Stock Analysis: NXP Semiconductors | NASDAQ

Semiconductors | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 61.821m USD | 12M Return: 18.5% | NL0009538784 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Microcontrollers, Connectivity Solutions, Automotive Chips, Security Controllers
Total Rating 50
Safety 70
Buy Signal -0.17
Semiconductors
Industry Rotation: +5.4
Market Cap: 61.8B
Avg Turnover: 1.09B
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility53.3%
VaR 5th Pctl9.25%
VaR vs Median5.31%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.50
Rel. Str. IBD27.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group14.2
Character TTM
Beta1.538
Beta Downside2.209
Hurst Exponent0.548
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD46.47%
CAGR/Max DD0.16
CAGR/Mean DD0.46
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NXPI over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 2.39, "2021-09": 2.84, "2021-12": 3.2, "2022-03": 3.37, "2022-06": 3.52, "2022-09": 3.81, "2022-12": 3.73, "2023-03": 3.19, "2023-06": 3.43, "2023-09": 3.7, "2023-12": 3.71, "2024-03": 3.24, "2024-06": 3.2, "2024-09": 3.45, "2024-12": 3.18, "2025-03": 2.64, "2025-06": 2.72, "2025-09": 3.11, "2025-12": 3.35, "2026-03": 3.05, "2026-06": 3.24,
EPS CAGR: -6.52%
EPS Trend: -84.1%
Last SUE: 1.45
Qual. Beats: 3
Revenue Revenue of NXPI over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 2596, 2021-09: 2861, 2021-12: 3039, 2022-03: 3136, 2022-06: 3312, 2022-09: 3445, 2022-12: 3312, 2023-03: 3121, 2023-06: 3299, 2023-09: 3434, 2023-12: 3422, 2024-03: 3126, 2024-06: 3127, 2024-09: 3250, 2024-12: 3111, 2025-03: 2835, 2025-06: 2926, 2025-09: 3173, 2025-12: 3334.999999, 2026-03: 3181, 2026-06: 3496,
Rev. CAGR: -2.26%
Rev. Trend: -55.8%
Last SUE: 2.86
Qual. Beats: 5

Warnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

Pead

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan -1.0% 5
Feb +1.3% 18
Mar -1.9% 20
Apr -0.8% 10
May +6.1% 48
Jun -2.2% 17
Jul +0.1% 16
Aug -0.2% 2
Sep -3.5% 47
Oct -1.5% 14
Nov +4.2% 2
Dec -0.7% 14

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NXPI NXP Semiconductors

NXP Semiconductors N.V. (NASDAQ: NXPI) is a Netherlands-based semiconductor company headquartered in Eindhoven and incorporated in 2006. It designs and sells a broad portfolio of chips, including microcontrollers, application and communication processors, wireless connectivity solutions (NFC, UWB, BLE, Zigbee, Thread, Wi-Fi), analog and interface products, RF devices, security controllers, and environmental/inertial sensors. Products are sold across major markets such as the United States, Germany, Japan, South Korea, Taiwan, Singapore, the Netherlands, Mainland China, and Hong Kong through direct sales offices and independent distributors.

The company serves four primary end markets: automotive, industrial and Internet of Things, mobile, and communications infrastructure. As a fabless-leaning semiconductor firm, NXP designs chips that are manufactured by third-party foundries and supplied to OEMs and tier-one suppliers globally, with the automotive segment historically representing its largest revenue contributor.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Automotive revenue accelerates on ADAS and EV adoption
  • China demand recovery drives industrial segment rebound
  • Inventory destocking pressures gross margins across segments
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 8.0
Net Income: 2.97b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.66 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 29.72% < 20% (prev 26.89%; Δ 2.83% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.12 > 3% & CFO 3.13b > Net Income 2.97b
Net Debt (7.75b) to EBITDA (4.89b): 1.58 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.04 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (254.0m) vs 12m ago 0.07% < -2%
Gross Margin: 55.85% > 18% (prev 54.99%; Δ 0.86% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 50.79% > 50% (prev 48.01%; Δ 2.79% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.89 > 6 (EBIT TTM 4.12b / Interest Expense TTM 463.0m)
Altman Z'' 2.83
A: 0.15 (Total Current Assets 7.68b - Total Current Liabilities 3.77b) / Total Assets 26.7b
B: 0.00 (Retained Earnings 10.0m / Total Assets 26.7b)
C: 0.16 (EBIT TTM 4.12b / Avg Total Assets 26.0b)
D: 0.76 (Book Value of Equity 11.4b / Total Liabilities 14.9b)
Altman-Z'' = 2.83 = A
Beneish M -2.87
DSRI: 1.09 (Receivables 1.27b/1.07b, Revenue 13.2b/12.1b)
GMI: 0.98 (GM 54.99% / 55.85%)
AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.61 / AQ_t-1 0.57)
SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 13.2b / 12.1b)
TATA: -0.01 (NI 2.97b - CFO 3.13b) / TA 26.7b)
Beneish M = -2.87 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of NXPI shares?

As of August 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 239.71 with a total of 3,179,845 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.60%, over one month by -12.24%, over three months by -17.12% and over the past year by +18.48%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 218.20 (which is 9% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is NXPI a buy, sell or hold?

NXP Semiconductors has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.41. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NXPI.

  • StrongBuy: 19
  • Buy: 7
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the NXPI price?
Analysts Target Price 312.3 30.3%
NXP Semiconductors (NXPI) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 01 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 61.8b (61.8b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 48.0706
P/E Forward = 16.4745
P/S = 4.6887
P/B = 5.3309
P/EG = 0.6146
Revenue TTM = 13.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 4.12b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.89b USD
Long Term Debt = 9.98b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 999.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.0b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 7.75b USD (calculated: Debt 11.0b - CCE 3.22b)
Enterprise Value = 69.6b USD (61.8b + Debt 11.0b - CCE 3.22b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.89 (Ebit TTM 4.12b / Interest Expense TTM 463.0m)
EV/FCF = 23.55x (Enterprise Value 69.6b / FCF TTM 2.95b)
FCF Yield = 4.25% (FCF TTM 2.95b / Enterprise Value 69.6b)
FCF Margin = 22.40% (FCF TTM 2.95b / Revenue TTM 13.2b)
Net Margin = 22.56% (Net Income TTM 2.97b / Revenue TTM 13.2b)
Gross Margin = 55.85% ((Revenue TTM 13.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 5.82b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 57.27% (prev 56.21%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.61 (Enterprise Value 69.6b / Total Assets 26.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 4.22% (Interest Expense 463.0m / Debt 11.0b)
Taxrate = 19.59% (740.0m / 3.78b)
NOPAT = 3.31b (EBIT 4.12b * (1 - 19.59%))
Current Ratio = 2.04 (Total Current Assets 7.68b / Total Current Liabilities 3.77b)
Debt / Equity = 0.96 (Debt 11.0b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 11.4b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.58 (Net Debt 7.75b / EBITDA 4.89b)
Debt / FCF = 2.62 (Net Debt 7.75b / FCF TTM 2.95b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 10.6b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 11.46% (Net Income 2.97b / Total Assets 26.7b)
RoE = 28.05% (Net Income TTM 2.97b / Total Stockholder Equity 10.6b)
RoCE = 20.00% (EBIT 4.12b / Capital Employed (Equity 10.6b + L.T.Debt 9.98b))
RoIC = 14.24% (NOPAT 3.31b / Invested Capital 23.2b)
WACC = 10.18% (E(61.8b)/V(72.8b) * Re(11.39%) + D(11.0b)/V(72.8b) * Rd(4.22%) * (1-Tc(0.20)))
Discount Rate = 11.39% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -91.58 | Cagr: -0.85%
[DCF] Terminal Value 72.27% ; FCFF base≈2.62b ; Y1≈3.01b ; Y5≈4.42b
[DCF] Fair Price = 168.7 (EV 50.3b - Net Debt 7.75b = Equity 42.5b / Shares 252.2m; r=10.18% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -84.06 | EPS CAGR: -6.52% | SUE: 1.45 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: -55.81 | Revenue CAGR: -2.26% | SUE: 2.86 | # QB: 5
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=4.11 | Chg30d=+2.98% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=22
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=15.09 | Chg30d=+1.91% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+27.8% | GrowthRev=+16.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=18.17 | Chg30d=+2.59% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+20.4% | GrowthRev=+11.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=0, down=0)