(NXST) Nexstar Broadcasting - Ratings and Ratios
Television, Cable, Digital, Advertising, Programming
NXST EPS (Earnings per Share)
NXST Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 34.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 53.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.28% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.48 |
| Alpha | 1.50 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.319 |
| Beta | 0.860 |
| Beta Downside | 1.100 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 35.73% |
| Mean DD | 16.17% |
| Median DD | 16.85% |
Description: NXST Nexstar Broadcasting November 07, 2025
Nexstar Media Group, Inc. (NASDAQ: NXST) is a diversified U.S. media company that creates and distributes local and national news, sports, and entertainment across television and digital platforms. It owns or operates more than 200 TV stations and several radio properties, providing programming, sales, and ancillary services to affiliates of major broadcast networks such as ABC, NBC, FOX, CBS, and The CW.
Key performance indicators from the most recent fiscal year (2023) show revenue of roughly $4.7 billion, an adjusted EBITDA margin near 20 %, and a station portfolio that reaches about 70 % of U.S. households. Digital advertising, driven by the company’s own websites, mobile apps, and over-the-top (OTT) properties, now accounts for roughly 15 % of total ad sales and is growing at double-digit rates year-over-year, reflecting the broader industry shift toward programmatic and addressable advertising.
Strategically, Nexstar operates the national cable news network NewsNation and the Chicago-based radio station WGN-AM, while also managing a suite of digital multicast networks and consumer-review platforms such as BestReviews. Its real-estate holdings-including office and production facilities-provide ancillary cash-flow and give the firm flexibility to monetize under-utilized assets.
If you’re looking to deepen your quantitative analysis of Nexstar’s valuation metrics and scenario modeling, a quick look at ValueRay’s data dashboards can help you spot hidden upside or downside risks without any commitment.
NXST Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 5,782m |
| Sub-Industry | Broadcasting |
| IPO / Inception | 2003-11-24 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 0.72% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.30 of 5 |
NXST Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.08% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.31% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 31.80% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 57.0% |
NXST Growth Ratios
| CAGR 3y | 6.19% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | 0.17 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | 0.38 |
| Current Volume | 320.4k |
| Average Volume | 276.9k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (517.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 308.9m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 1.26pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 12.59% (prev 11.01%; Δ 1.58pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.11b > Net Income 517.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (6.43b) to EBITDA (2.03b) ratio: 3.16 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.87 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (30.7m) change vs 12m ago -5.38% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 42.29% (prev 57.82%; Δ -15.53pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 44.88% (prev 44.67%; Δ 0.21pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 2.16 (EBITDA TTM 2.03b / Interest Expense TTM 392.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 2.41
| (A) 0.06 = (Total Current Assets 1.39b - Total Current Liabilities 745.0m) / Total Assets 11.25b |
| (B) 0.33 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.77b / Total Assets 11.25b |
| (C) 0.07 = EBIT TTM 848.0m / Avg Total Assets 11.47b |
| (D) 0.42 = Book Value of Equity 3.76b / Total Liabilities 8.96b |
| Total Rating: 2.41 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 59.59
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 8.05% = 4.03 |
| 3. FCF Margin 19.09% = 4.77 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.91 = -0.64 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.16 = -1.98 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 1.80)% = 2.25 |
| 7. RoE 22.86% = 1.91 |
| 8. Rev. Trend -17.33% = -1.30 |
| 9. EPS Trend -8.86% = -0.44 |
What is the price of NXST shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.50%, over one month by -7.04%, over three months by -12.16% and over the past year by +15.45%.
Is Nexstar Broadcasting a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of NXST is around 175.70 USD . This means that NXST is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -3.56%.
Is NXST a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 3
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the NXST price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 232.1 | 27.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 232.1 | 27.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 189.4 | 3.9% |
NXST Fundamental Data Overview November 11, 2025
P/E Trailing = 11.9082
P/E Forward = 7.1788
P/S = 1.1233
P/B = 2.6692
P/EG = 0.5789
Beta = 0.833
Revenue TTM = 5.15b USD
EBIT TTM = 848.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.40b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 152.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 6.66b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 6.43b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 12.21b USD (5.78b + Debt 6.66b - CCE 236.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.16 (Ebit TTM 848.0m / Interest Expense TTM 392.0m)
FCF Yield = 8.05% (FCF TTM 983.0m / Enterprise Value 12.21b)
FCF Margin = 19.09% (FCF TTM 983.0m / Revenue TTM 5.15b)
Net Margin = 10.04% (Net Income TTM 517.0m / Revenue TTM 5.15b)
Gross Margin = 42.29% ((Revenue TTM 5.15b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.97b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -8.93% (prev 54.68%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.09 (Enterprise Value 12.21b / Total Assets 11.25b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.41% (Interest Expense 94.0m / Debt 6.66b)
Taxrate = 32.29% (31.0m / 96.0m)
NOPAT = 574.2m (EBIT 848.0m * (1 - 32.29%))
Current Ratio = 1.87 (Total Current Assets 1.39b / Total Current Liabilities 745.0m)
Debt / Equity = 2.91 (Debt 6.66b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.29b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.16 (Net Debt 6.43b / EBITDA 2.03b)
Debt / FCF = 6.54 (Net Debt 6.43b / FCF TTM 983.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.26b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 4.60% (Net Income 517.0m / Total Assets 11.25b)
RoE = 22.86% (Net Income TTM 517.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.26b)
RoCE = 9.79% (EBIT 848.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.26b + L.T.Debt 6.40b))
RoIC = 6.58% (NOPAT 574.2m / Invested Capital 8.72b)
WACC = 4.78% (E(5.78b)/V(12.44b) * Re(9.19%) + D(6.66b)/V(12.44b) * Rd(1.41%) * (1-Tc(0.32)))
Discount Rate = 9.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -5.32%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.81% ; FCFE base≈939.8m ; Y1≈975.3m ; Y5≈1.11b
Fair Price DCF = 526.5 (DCF Value 15.97b / Shares Outstanding 30.3m; 5y FCF grow 3.93% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -8.86 | EPS CAGR: -44.56% | SUE: -1.42 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -17.33 | Revenue CAGR: -7.55% | SUE: -0.10 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for NXST Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle