NXT Stock Analysis: Nextpower | NASDAQ

Solar | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 13.127m USD | 12M Return: 25% | US65290E1010 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Solar Trackers, Energy Management, Foundation Systems, Monitoring Software
Total Rating 50
Safety 94
Buy Signal -0.62
Solar
Industry Rotation: +18.5
Market Cap: 13.1B
Avg Turnover: 182M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility60.4%
VaR 5th Pctl9.59%
VaR vs Median-3.66%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.56
Rel. Str. IBD7
Rel. Str. Peer Group24.4
Character TTM
Beta1.642
Beta Downside1.146
Hurst Exponent0.367
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD48.61%
CAGR/Max DD0.52
CAGR/Mean DD1.38
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of NXT over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": 0.11, "2021-12": null, "2022-03": null, "2022-06": 0.17, "2022-09": null, "2022-12": 0.09, "2023-03": 0.2, "2023-06": 0.48, "2023-09": 0.65, "2023-12": 0.96, "2024-03": 0.96, "2024-06": 0.93, "2024-09": 0.97, "2024-12": 1.03, "2025-03": 1.29, "2025-06": 1.16, "2025-09": 1.19, "2025-12": 1.1, "2026-03": 1.05, "2026-06": 1.1,
EPS CAGR: 39.28%
EPS Trend: 83.3%
Last SUE: 2.58
Qual. Beats: 13
Revenue Revenue of NXT over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 338.699, 2021-12: 337.607, 2022-03: 439.813, 2022-06: 403.23, 2022-09: 467.142, 2022-12: 513.37, 2023-03: 518.395, 2023-06: 479.543, 2023-09: 573.357, 2023-12: 710.426, 2024-03: 736.515, 2024-06: 719.921, 2024-09: 635.571, 2024-12: 679.363, 2025-03: 924.342, 2025-06: 864.253, 2025-09: 905.268, 2025-12: 909.352, 2026-03: 880.517, 2026-06: 935.17,
Rev. CAGR: 21.75%
Rev. Trend: 97.8%
Last SUE: -0.24
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 3.5 years of data

Jan +36.5% 44
Feb -8.8% 18
Mar +0.0% 11
Apr -9.0% 14
May +26.4% 50
Jun -14.8% 14
Jul +5.1% 13
Aug +0.5% 0
Sep +0.9% 0
Oct +18.2% 30
Nov -6.8% 32
Dec -3.5% 30

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: NXT Nextpower

Nextpower Inc. (NASDAQ: NXT) provides solar and energy technology solutions for utility-scale power plants, primarily through solar trackers and supporting software, hardware, and installation systems. Its flagship product line, NX Horizon, includes variants for terrain-following deployment, hail protection via automated stowing, and reduced-carbon construction. The company also offers energy yield management software, foundation technologies for difficult soil conditions, specialized installation equipment, and a plant monitoring platform. Customers include EPC firms, solar project developers, and asset owners, with operations spanning the United States and international markets.

The company, founded in 2013 and headquartered in Fremont, California, recently rebranded from Nextracker Inc. to Nextpower Inc. in November 2025. It went public in early 2023 and is classified within the Industrials sector, specifically the Electrical Components & Equipment sub-industry. As a focused supplier to the utility-scale solar market, its revenue is closely tied to solar project pipelines and EPC demand, and its hardware-plus-software model aims to improve energy yield, installation speed, and long-term plant reliability.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • US utility-scale solar demand accelerates from data center buildout
  • Tracker margin pressure from steel costs and Array Technologies competition
  • IRA manufacturing tax credits boost domestic solar tracker demand
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 5.5
Net Income: 594.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.13 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -4.01 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 52.39% < 20% (prev 38.70%; Δ 13.69% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.14 > 3% & CFO 600.2m > Net Income 594.1m
Net Debt (-1.16b) to EBITDA (738.5m): -1.57 < 3
Current Ratio: 2.69 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (155.1m) vs 12m ago 2.81% < -2%
Gross Margin: 33.38% > 18% (prev 33.66%; Δ -0.29% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 94.88% > 50% (prev 91.55%; Δ 3.33% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 424.6 > 6 (EBIT TTM 704.9m / Interest Expense TTM 1.66m)
Altman Z'' 4.36
A: 0.45 (Total Current Assets 3.03b - Total Current Liabilities 1.13b) / Total Assets 4.26b
B: -0.42 (Retained Earnings -1.81b / Total Assets 4.26b)
C: 0.18 (EBIT TTM 704.9m / Avg Total Assets 3.83b)
D: 1.50 (Book Value of Equity 2.56b / Total Liabilities 1.71b)
Altman-Z'' = 4.36 = AA
Beneish M -2.99
DSRI: 1.01 (Receivables 1.36b/1.16b, Revenue 3.63b/3.10b)
GMI: 1.01 (GM 33.66% / 33.38%)
AQI: 0.84 (AQ_t 0.27 / AQ_t-1 0.32)
SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 3.63b / 3.10b)
TATA: -0.00 (NI 594.1m - CFO 600.2m) / TA 4.26b)
Beneish M = -2.99 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of NXT shares?

As of September 04, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 83.50 with a total of 1,424,135 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -6.79%, over one month by -7.91%, over three months by -42.99% and over the past year by +25.00%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 77.50 (which is 7.2% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is NXT a buy, sell or hold?

Nextpower has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.26. Therefore, it is recommended to buy NXT.

  • StrongBuy: 15
  • Buy: 6
  • Hold: 5
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the NXT price?
Analysts Target Price 141.5 69.5%
Nextpower (NXT) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 31 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 13.1b (13.1b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 23.1545
P/E Forward = 19.9601
P/S = 3.6159
P/B = 5.3154
P/EG = 3.1548
Revenue TTM = 3.63b USD
EBIT TTM = 704.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 738.5m USD
 Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
 Short Term Debt = 11.9m USD (from shortTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Debt = 52.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last fiscal year)
Net Debt = -1.16b USD (calculated: Debt 52.9m - CCE 1.21b)
Enterprise Value = 12.0b USD (13.1b + Debt 52.9m - CCE 1.21b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 424.6 (Ebit TTM 704.9m / Interest Expense TTM 1.66m)
EV/FCF = 21.73x (Enterprise Value 12.0b / FCF TTM 550.7m)
FCF Yield = 4.60% (FCF TTM 550.7m / Enterprise Value 12.0b)
FCF Margin = 15.17% (FCF TTM 550.7m / Revenue TTM 3.63b)
Net Margin = 16.36% (Net Income TTM 594.1m / Revenue TTM 3.63b)
Gross Margin = 33.38% ((Revenue TTM 3.63b - Cost of Revenue TTM 2.42b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.91% (prev 33.77%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.81 (Enterprise Value 12.0b / Total Assets 4.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.14% (Interest Expense 1.66m / Debt 52.9m)
Taxrate = 17.70% (127.7m / 721.8m)
NOPAT = 580.2m (EBIT 704.9m * (1 - 17.70%))
Current Ratio = 2.69 (Total Current Assets 3.03b / Total Current Liabilities 1.13b)
Debt / Equity = 0.02 (Debt 52.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.56b)
Debt / EBITDA = -1.57 (Net Debt -1.16b / EBITDA 738.5m)
Debt / FCF = -2.11 (Net Debt -1.16b / FCF TTM 550.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.26b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.53% (Net Income 594.1m / Total Assets 4.26b)
RoE = 26.32% (Net Income TTM 594.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.26b)
RoCE = 22.48% (EBIT 704.9m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 4.26b - Current Liab 1.13b))
RoIC = 19.56% (NOPAT 580.2m / Invested Capital 2.97b)
WACC = 11.72% (E(13.1b)/V(13.2b) * Re(11.76%) + D(52.9m)/V(13.2b) * Rd(3.14%) * (1-Tc(0.18)))
Discount Rate = 11.76% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.98 | Cagr: 2.07%
[DCF] Terminal Value 63.86% ; FCFF base≈560.0m ; Y1≈543.3m ; Y5≈537.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 43.05 (EV 5.37b - Net Debt -1.16b = Equity 6.53b / Shares 151.7m; r=11.72% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -4.05% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 83.28 | EPS CAGR: 39.28% | SUE: 2.58 | # QB: 13
Revenue Correlation: 97.77 | Revenue CAGR: 21.75% | SUE: -0.24 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.10 | Chg30d=-5.69% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=20
EPS next Quarter (2026-12-31): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=-5.14% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=20
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=4.67 | Chg30d=-1.17% | Revisions=-13% | GrowthEPS=+0.0% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=5.78 | Chg30d=-2.42% | Revisions=+13% | GrowthEPS=+23.8% | GrowthRev=+19.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -24% (up=18, down=30)