(ODFL) Old Dominion Freight Line - Overview
Sector: Industrials | Industry: Trucking | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 41.401m USD | Total Return: 31.7% in 12m
Avg Trading Vol: 406M USD
Peers RS (IBD): 73.5
EPS Trend: -90.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -77.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
No concerns identified
No distinct edge detected
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (ODFL) is a less-than-truckload (LTL) motor carrier operating across North America. The LTL model consolidates freight from multiple shippers onto a single trailer, optimizing capacity and cost.
ODFL provides regional, inter-regional, and national LTL services, including expedited options. They also offer value-added services such as container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. The company maintains its own service and fleet maintenance centers.
As of December 31, 2024, ODFLs fleet included 11,284 tractors, 31,451 linehaul trailers, and 15,263 pickup and delivery trailers. This extensive asset base is typical for established LTL carriers.
For more detailed financial analysis, consider exploring ValueRay.
- Freight volume fluctuations impact LTL revenue
- Fuel price volatility affects operating costs
- Economic slowdown reduces shipping demand
- Labor availability influences service capacity
| Net Income: 1.02b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.29 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.84% < 20% (prev 3.10%; Δ 0.74% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.25 > 3% & CFO 1.37b > Net Income 1.02b |
| Net Debt (-80.1m) to EBITDA (1.73b): -0.05 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.44 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (209.9m) vs 12m ago -3.05% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 32.15% > 18% (prev 0.35%; Δ 3.18k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 100.3% > 50% (prev 105.9%; Δ -5.60% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4.60k > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.73b / Interest Expense TTM 296k) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 694.8m - Total Current Liabilities 483.9m) / Total Assets 5.47b |
| B: 0.74 (Retained Earnings 4.06b / Total Assets 5.47b) |
| C: 0.25 (EBIT TTM 1.36b / Avg Total Assets 5.48b) |
| D: 3.50 (Book Value of Equity 4.06b / Total Liabilities 1.16b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 8.01 = AAA |
| DSRI: 0.95 (Receivables 471.9m/527.7m, Revenue 5.50b/5.81b) |
| GMI: 1.08 (GM 32.15% / 34.79%) |
| AQI: 1.03 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 5.50b / 5.81b) |
| TATA: -0.06 (NI 1.02b - CFO 1.37b) / TA 5.47b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.09 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.35%, over one month by -6.02%, over three months by +21.10% and over the past year by +31.68%.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 2
| Wallstreet Target Price | 199.3 | 0.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 199.3 | 0.7% |
P/E Forward = 38.61
P/S = 7.5325
P/B = 9.5727
P/EG = 2.7296
Revenue TTM = 5.50b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.36b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.73b USD
Long Term Debt = 20.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 20.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 40.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -80.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 41.32b USD (41.40b + Debt 40.0m - CCE 120.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4.60k (Ebit TTM 1.36b / Interest Expense TTM 296k)
EV/FCF = 43.26x (Enterprise Value 41.32b / FCF TTM 955.1m)
FCF Yield = 2.31% (FCF TTM 955.1m / Enterprise Value 41.32b)
FCF Margin = 17.38% (FCF TTM 955.1m / Revenue TTM 5.50b)
Net Margin = 18.63% (Net Income TTM 1.02b / Revenue TTM 5.50b)
Gross Margin = 32.15% ((Revenue TTM 5.50b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.73b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.08% (prev 33.34%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.55 (Enterprise Value 41.32b / Total Assets 5.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.71% (Interest Expense 284k / Debt 40.0m)
Taxrate = 24.80% (75.7m / 305.1m)
NOPAT = 1.02b (EBIT 1.36b * (1 - 24.80%))
Current Ratio = 1.44 (Total Current Assets 694.8m / Total Current Liabilities 483.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 40.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.31b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.05 (Net Debt -80.1m / EBITDA 1.73b)
Debt / FCF = -0.08 (Net Debt -80.1m / FCF TTM 955.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.26b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.68% (Net Income 1.02b / Total Assets 5.47b)
RoE = 24.03% (Net Income TTM 1.02b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.26b)
RoCE = 31.83% (EBIT 1.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.26b + L.T.Debt 20.0m))
RoIC = 23.55% (NOPAT 1.02b / Invested Capital 4.35b)
WACC = 9.90% (E(41.40b)/V(41.44b) * Re(9.91%) + D(40.0m)/V(41.44b) * Rd(0.71%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.17%
[DCF] Terminal Value 71.93% ; FCFF base≈928.2m ; Y1≈935.5m ; Y5≈1.01b
[DCF] Fair Price = 62.99 (EV 13.05b - Net Debt -80.1m = Equity 13.13b / Shares 208.4m; r=9.90% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.35% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -90.16 | EPS CAGR: -20.69% | SUE: -0.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -77.49 | Revenue CAGR: -3.55% | SUE: 0.55 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.28 | Chg7d=-0.002 | Chg30d=+0.001 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.04 | Chg7d=+0.016 | Chg30d=+0.022 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+4.2% | Growth Revenue=+1.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.04 | Chg7d=+0.018 | Chg30d=+0.028 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+19.7% | Growth Revenue=+9.4%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +1.00 (3 Up / 0 Down within 30d for Next Quarter)
[Growth] Implied Growth Rate = 7.5% (Discount Rate 9.9% - Earnings Yield 2.4%)
[Growth] Growth Spread = -7.4% (Analyst 0.1% - Implied 7.5%)