(ODFL) Old Dominion Freight Line - Overview
Stock: LTL Services, Expedited Transport, Drayage, Brokerage, Consulting
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 0.71% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 1.10% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 8.78% |
| Payout Consistency | 97.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 23.4% |
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 43.2% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.87% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.11 |
| Alpha | -16.56 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.136 |
| Beta Downside | 0.969 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 45.18% |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.09 |
Description: ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line December 17, 2025
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (NASDAQ: ODFL) is a U.S.-based less-than-truckload (LTL) carrier that provides regional, inter-regional, and national LTL services, along with expedited shipments, container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply-chain consulting. The firm also runs its own service and fleet-maintenance facilities. As of 31 Dec 2024, ODFL owned 11,284 tractors, 31,451 linehaul trailers, and 15,263 pickup-and-delivery trailers, reflecting a sizable asset base for a pure-play LTL operator.
Key performance indicators from recent filings show an operating ratio of 84.5 % in 2024, indicating strong cost control relative to peers, and a year-over-year revenue growth of ≈ 9 % driven by robust e-commerce demand and higher freight rates. Capacity utilization hovered around 92 %, while average spot-rate pricing rose roughly 5 % year-on-year, underscoring the sector’s sensitivity to macro-economic freight-rate cycles and fuel-price volatility. The LTL market’s growth is further supported by continued “last-mile” delivery expansion and supply-chain reshoring trends.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of ODFL’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income: 1.02b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -1.17 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 3.84% < 20% (prev 3.10%; Δ 0.74% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.27 > 3% & CFO 1.46b > Net Income 1.02b |
| Net Debt (-100.1m) to EBITDA (1.73b): -0.06 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.44 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (209.9m) vs 12m ago -3.05% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 32.15% > 18% (prev 0.35%; Δ 3181 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 100.3% > 50% (prev 105.9%; Δ -5.60% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 4598 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 1.73b / Interest Expense TTM 296.0k) |
Altman Z'' 8.22
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 694.8m - Total Current Liabilities 483.9m) / Total Assets 5.47b |
| B: 0.73 (Retained Earnings 4.01b / Total Assets 5.47b) |
| C: 0.25 (EBIT TTM 1.36b / Avg Total Assets 5.48b) |
| D: 3.72 (Book Value of Equity 4.31b / Total Liabilities 1.16b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 8.22 = AAA |
What is the price of ODFL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.36%, over one month by +13.27%, over three months by +42.64% and over the past year by -2.11%.
Is ODFL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the ODFL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 192.4 | -1.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 192.4 | -1.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 200.1 | 2% |
ODFL Fundamental Data Overview February 08, 2026
P/E Forward = 39.5257
P/S = 7.7419
P/B = 9.8044
P/EG = 4.0616
Revenue TTM = 5.50b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.36b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.73b USD
Long Term Debt = 65.0m USD (from longTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Short Term Debt = 20.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 20.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -100.1m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 42.45b USD (42.55b + Debt 20.0m - CCE 120.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 4598 (Ebit TTM 1.36b / Interest Expense TTM 296.0k)
EV/FCF = 46.11x (Enterprise Value 42.45b / FCF TTM 920.7m)
FCF Yield = 2.17% (FCF TTM 920.7m / Enterprise Value 42.45b)
FCF Margin = 16.75% (FCF TTM 920.7m / Revenue TTM 5.50b)
Net Margin = 18.63% (Net Income TTM 1.02b / Revenue TTM 5.50b)
Gross Margin = 32.15% ((Revenue TTM 5.50b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.73b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.08% (prev 33.34%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 7.76 (Enterprise Value 42.45b / Total Assets 5.47b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.42% (Interest Expense 284.0k / Debt 20.0m)
Taxrate = 24.80% (75.7m / 305.1m)
NOPAT = 1.02b (EBIT 1.36b * (1 - 24.80%))
Current Ratio = 1.44 (Total Current Assets 694.8m / Total Current Liabilities 483.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 20.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.31b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.06 (Net Debt -100.1m / EBITDA 1.73b)
Debt / FCF = -0.11 (Net Debt -100.1m / FCF TTM 920.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.26b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.68% (Net Income 1.02b / Total Assets 5.47b)
RoE = 24.03% (Net Income TTM 1.02b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.26b)
RoCE = 31.47% (EBIT 1.36b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.26b + L.T.Debt 65.0m))
RoIC = 23.54% (NOPAT 1.02b / Invested Capital 4.35b)
WACC = 10.10% (E(42.55b)/V(42.57b) * Re(10.10%) + D(20.0m)/V(42.57b) * Rd(1.42%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 10.10% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -2.17%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.08% ; FCFF base≈947.9m ; Y1≈962.4m ; Y5≈1.05b
Fair Price DCF = 62.96 (EV 13.06b - Net Debt -100.1m = Equity 13.16b / Shares 209.1m; r=10.10% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 1.26% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -90.16 | EPS CAGR: -20.69% | SUE: -0.29 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -77.49 | Revenue CAGR: -3.55% | SUE: 0.55 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.03 | Chg30d=-0.049 | Revisions Net=-4 | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.03 | Chg30d=-0.112 | Revisions Net=-8 | Growth EPS=+4.0% | Growth Revenue=+1.5%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.01 | Chg30d=+0.043 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+19.5% | Growth Revenue=+9.1%