ODFL Stock Analysis: Old Dominion Freight Line | NASDAQ
Trucking | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 38.094m USD | 12M Return: 36.8% | US6795801009 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 321M
EPS Trend: -83.9%
Qual. Beats: 4
Rev. Trend: -87.3%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ: ODFL) is one of the largest less-than-truckload (LTL) motor carriers in North America, operating regional, inter-regional, and national LTL services as well as expedited transportation. Unlike full-truckload carriers, LTL operators consolidate smaller shipments from multiple customers into shared trailers, a model that typically requires extensive terminal networks and frequent freight handling.
In addition to its core LTL offering, the company provides value-added services such as container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting, and supports its operations through an in-house network of fleet maintenance centers. The Industrials sector company (GICS sub-industry: Cargo Ground Transportation) runs a large owned-and-operated fleet of tractors, linehaul trailers, and pickup and delivery trailers, reflecting the asset-intensive nature of the ground freight business.
Founded in 1934 and headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina, Old Dominion has been publicly traded since its 1991 IPO and is currently classified as a large-cap stock within the U.S. cargo ground transportation industry.
- LTL freight volumes decline as US manufacturing slows
- Yellow Corp market share shift boosts pricing power
- Fuel and labor costs pressure operating margins
| Net Income: 1.09b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.44% < 20% (prev 3.39%; Δ 5.04% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.24 > 3% & CFO 1.39b > Net Income 1.09b |
| Net Debt (-263.9m) to EBITDA (1.82b): -0.15 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (208.7m) vs 12m ago -1.63% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.70% > 18% (prev 33.46%; Δ -1.76% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 99.28% > 50% (prev 101.6%; Δ -2.30% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.18k > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.45b / Interest Expense TTM 663k) |
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 1.00b - Total Current Liabilities 531.4m) / Total Assets 5.74b |
| B: 0.75 (Retained Earnings 4.29b / Total Assets 5.74b) |
| C: 0.26 (EBIT TTM 1.45b / Avg Total Assets 5.64b) |
| D: 3.83 (Book Value of Equity 4.55b / Total Liabilities 1.19b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 8.72 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 626.1m/585.9m, Revenue 5.60b/5.64b) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 33.46% / 31.70%) |
| AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 5.60b / 5.64b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 1.09b - CFO 1.39b) / TA 5.74b) |
| Beneish M = -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of October 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 187.72 with a total of 1,681,172 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.16%, over one month by +7.66%, over three months by -20.72% and over the past year by +36.78%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 181.20 (which is 3.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Old Dominion Freight Line has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.67. Therefore, it is recommended to hold ODFL.
- StrongBuy: 8
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 14
- Sell: 1
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 222.4 | 18.5% |
P/E Trailing = 35.225
P/E Forward = 27.3224
P/S = 6.7994
P/B = 8.1039
P/EG = 2.1649
Revenue TTM = 5.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.45b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.82b USD
Long Term Debt = 20.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 20.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -263.9m USD (calculated: Debt 20.0m - CCE 283.9m)
Enterprise Value = 37.8b USD (38.1b + Debt 20.0m - CCE 283.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.18k (Ebit TTM 1.45b / Interest Expense TTM 663k)
EV/FCF = 33.93x (Enterprise Value 37.8b / FCF TTM 1.11b)
FCF Yield = 2.95% (FCF TTM 1.11b / Enterprise Value 37.8b)
FCF Margin = 19.90% (FCF TTM 1.11b / Revenue TTM 5.60b)
Net Margin = 19.44% (Net Income TTM 1.09b / Revenue TTM 5.60b)
Gross Margin = 31.70% ((Revenue TTM 5.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.83b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.04% (prev 27.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.60 (Enterprise Value 37.8b / Total Assets 5.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.32% (Interest Expense 663k / Debt 20.0m)
Taxrate = 24.91% (361.3m / 1.45b)
NOPAT = 1.09b (EBIT 1.45b * (1 - 24.91%))
Current Ratio = 1.89 (Total Current Assets 1.00b / Total Current Liabilities 531.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 20.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.55b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.15 (Net Debt -263.9m / EBITDA 1.82b)
Debt / FCF = -0.24 (Net Debt -263.9m / FCF TTM 1.11b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.30% (Net Income 1.09b / Total Assets 5.74b)
RoE = 24.87% (Net Income TTM 1.09b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.38b)
RoCE = 32.89% (EBIT 1.45b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.38b + L.T.Debt 20.0m))
RoIC = 21.98% (NOPAT 1.09b / Invested Capital 4.94b)
WACC = 8.92% (E(38.1b)/V(38.1b) * Re(8.92%) + D(20.0m)/V(38.1b) * Rd(3.32%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.99 | Cagr: -2.08%
[DCF] Terminal Value 76.16% ; FCFF base≈981.2m ; Y1≈1.12b ; Y5≈1.66b
[DCF] Fair Price = 110.2 (EV 22.7b - Net Debt -263.9m = Equity 22.9b / Shares 208.0m; r=8.92% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -83.86 | EPS CAGR: -6.17% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: -87.32 | Revenue CAGR: -2.94% | SUE: 1.15 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.61 | Chg30d=+1.04% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=18
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.85 | Chg30d=+0.70% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+20.9% | GrowthRev=+8.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.67 | Chg30d=+1.10% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+14.0% | GrowthRev=+8.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +7% (up=6, down=5)