(ODFL) Old Dominion Freight Line - Ratings and Ratios
LTL, Expedited, Drayage, Brokerage, Consulting
ODFL EPS (Earnings per Share)
ODFL Revenue
Description: ODFL Old Dominion Freight Line
Old Dominion Freight Line (NASDAQ: ODFL) is a U.S.-based less-than-truckload (LTL) motor carrier that offers regional, inter-regional, national, and expedited LTL services, supplemented by value-added offerings such as container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply-chain consulting. The firm also runs its own service and fleet-maintenance centers. As of 31 December 2024, ODFL’s asset base comprised 11,284 tractors, 31,451 linehaul trailers, and 15,263 pickup-and-delivery trailers. Founded in 1934, the company is headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina.
Key operational metrics from recent filings show an operating ratio of roughly 89 % for FY 2023, indicating strong cost control relative to peers, and a capacity utilization rate consistently above 95 %-a sign that demand for LTL capacity remains robust. The sector’s growth is being driven by e-commerce volume expansion (estimated +6 % YoY in 2023) and a shift toward “last-mile” distribution, while macro-economic pressures such as driver shortages and volatile fuel prices represent material cost risks. ODFL’s balance sheet remains solid, with a debt-to-equity ratio under 0.5 and cash on hand exceeding $500 million, providing flexibility for fleet upgrades and potential acquisitions.
For a deeper dive into how ODFL’s financials compare to industry baselines and to explore scenario-based valuations, you may find the analytics on ValueRay worth reviewing.
ODFL Stock Overview
Market Cap in USD | 28,621m |
Sub-Industry | Cargo Ground Transportation |
IPO / Inception | 1991-10-24 |
ODFL Stock Ratings
Growth Rating | -17.7% |
Fundamental | 66.0% |
Dividend Rating | 66.1% |
Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -37.0% |
Analyst Rating | 3.40 of 5 |
ODFL Dividends
Dividend Yield 12m | 0.76% |
Yield on Cost 5y | 1.12% |
Annual Growth 5y | 36.22% |
Payout Consistency | 97.2% |
Payout Ratio | 21.5% |
ODFL Growth Ratios
Growth Correlation 3m | -74.7% |
Growth Correlation 12m | -89.2% |
Growth Correlation 5y | 65.1% |
CAGR 5y | 2.32% |
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 0.06 |
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 0.16 |
Sharpe Ratio 12m | -0.91 |
Alpha | -47.00 |
Beta | 1.194 |
Volatility | 36.46% |
Current Volume | 1862.7k |
Average Volume 20d | 1923.3k |
Stop Loss | 138.6 (-4%) |
Signal | 0.77 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
Net Income (1.10b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 338.3m TTM) |
FCFTA 0.14 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.44pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
NWC/Revenue 3.39% (prev 4.26%; Δ -0.87pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
CFO/TA 0.26 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.47b > Net Income 1.10b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
Net Debt (145.9m) to EBITDA (1.79b) ratio: 0.08 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
Current Ratio 1.38 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
Outstanding Shares last Quarter (212.2m) change vs 12m ago -2.47% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
Gross Margin 33.46% (prev 35.61%; Δ -2.15pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
Asset Turnover 103.5% (prev 111.7%; Δ -8.21pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
Interest Coverage Ratio 27.6k (EBITDA TTM 1.79b / Interest Expense TTM 52.0k) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 7.52
(A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 698.1m - Total Current Liabilities 506.9m) / Total Assets 5.55b |
(B) 0.72 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 3.98b / Total Assets 5.55b |
(C) 0.26 = EBIT TTM 1.43b / Avg Total Assets 5.45b |
(D) 3.03 = Book Value of Equity 4.00b / Total Liabilities 1.32b |
Total Rating: 7.52 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 65.98
1. Piotroski 6.0pt = 1.0 |
2. FCF Yield 2.71% = 1.36 |
3. FCF Margin 13.85% = 3.46 |
4. Debt/Equity 0.04 = 2.50 |
5. Debt/Ebitda 0.08 = 2.49 |
6. ROIC - WACC (= 14.68)% = 12.50 |
7. RoE 25.94% = 2.16 |
8. Rev. Trend -66.82% = -5.01 |
9. EPS Trend -89.62% = -4.48 |
What is the price of ODFL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.59%, over one month by +3.91%, over three months by -11.41% and over the past year by -26.64%.
Is Old Dominion Freight Line a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ODFL is around 115.21 USD . This means that ODFL is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -20.19%.
Is ODFL a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 2
What are the forecasts/targets for the ODFL price?
Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
---|---|---|
Wallstreet Target Price | 159.8 | 10.7% |
Analysts Target Price | 159.8 | 10.7% |
ValueRay Target Price | 130.6 | -9.5% |
Last update: 2025-10-15 03:52
ODFL Fundamental Data Overview
P/E Trailing = 26.5977
P/E Forward = 25.3165
P/S = 5.0758
P/B = 6.9847
P/EG = 2.5412
Beta = 1.194
Revenue TTM = 5.64b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.43b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.79b USD
Long Term Debt = 150.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 20.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 170.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 145.9m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 28.77b USD (28.62b + Debt 170.0m - CCE 24.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 27.6k (Ebit TTM 1.43b / Interest Expense TTM 52.0k)
FCF Yield = 2.71% (FCF TTM 780.9m / Enterprise Value 28.77b)
FCF Margin = 13.85% (FCF TTM 780.9m / Revenue TTM 5.64b)
Net Margin = 19.42% (Net Income TTM 1.10b / Revenue TTM 5.64b)
Gross Margin = 33.46% ((Revenue TTM 5.64b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.75b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.33% (prev 32.74%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.18 (Enterprise Value 28.77b / Total Assets 5.55b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.00% (Interest Expense 6000 / Debt 170.0m)
Taxrate = 24.80% (88.6m / 357.2m)
NOPAT = 1.08b (EBIT 1.43b * (1 - 24.80%))
Current Ratio = 1.38 (Total Current Assets 698.1m / Total Current Liabilities 506.9m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 170.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.23b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.08 (Net Debt 145.9m / EBITDA 1.79b)
Debt / FCF = 0.19 (Net Debt 145.9m / FCF TTM 780.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.22b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.73% (Net Income 1.10b / Total Assets 5.55b)
RoE = 25.94% (Net Income TTM 1.10b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.22b)
RoCE = 32.81% (EBIT 1.43b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.22b + L.T.Debt 150.0m))
RoIC = 25.03% (NOPAT 1.08b / Invested Capital 4.31b)
WACC = 10.35% (E(28.62b)/V(28.79b) * Re(10.41%) + D(170.0m)/V(28.79b) * Rd(0.00%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 10.41% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -1.65%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 71.89% ; FCFE base≈885.4m ; Y1≈978.8m ; Y5≈1.27b
Fair Price DCF = 71.17 (DCF Value 14.96b / Shares Outstanding 210.2m; 5y FCF grow 12.13% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -89.62 | EPS CAGR: -29.80% | SUE: -0.17 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -66.82 | Revenue CAGR: -4.63% | SUE: -0.68 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ODFL Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle