ODFL Stock Analysis: Old Dominion Freight Line | NASDAQ
Trucking | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 38.655m USD | 12M Return: 21.1% | US6795801009 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 301M
EPS Trend: -83.9%
Qual. Beats: 4
Rev. Trend: -87.3%
Qual. Beats: 2
Warnings
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (NASDAQ: ODFL) is a large-cap U.S. less-than-truckload (LTL) motor carrier headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina, and founded in 1934. The company provides regional, inter-regional, and national LTL services alongside expedited transportation, and supplements its core offering with value-added services such as container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. Old Dominion also operates internal fleet maintenance centers to service its owned equipment, which as of December 31, 2025, consisted of 10,184 tractors, 30,824 linehaul trailers, and 14,313 pickup and delivery trailers. Within the industrials sector, the company sits in the Cargo Ground Transportation sub-industry, and the LTL model itself involves consolidating smaller freight shipments from multiple customers into shared trailers, distinguishing ODFL from full-truckload carriers and asset-light brokerage-only operators.
- LTL yield and pricing trends drive revenue growth
- Industrial production slowdown pressures freight tonnage volumes
- Yellow bankruptcy reshapes LTL competitive landscape
| Net Income: 1.09b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.19 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 5.37 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 8.44% < 20% (prev 3.39%; Δ 5.04% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.24 > 3% & CFO 1.39b > Net Income 1.09b |
| Net Debt (-263.9m) to EBITDA (1.82b): -0.15 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.89 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (208.7m) vs 12m ago -1.63% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 31.70% > 18% (prev 33.46%; Δ -1.76% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 99.28% > 50% (prev 101.6%; Δ -2.30% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.18k > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.45b / Interest Expense TTM 663k) |
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 1.00b - Total Current Liabilities 531.4m) / Total Assets 5.74b |
| B: 0.75 (Retained Earnings 4.29b / Total Assets 5.74b) |
| C: 0.26 (EBIT TTM 1.45b / Avg Total Assets 5.64b) |
| D: 3.83 (Book Value of Equity 4.55b / Total Liabilities 1.19b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 8.72 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.08 (Receivables 626.1m/585.9m, Revenue 5.60b/5.64b) |
| GMI: 1.06 (GM 33.46% / 31.70%) |
| AQI: 1.07 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 0.99 (Revenue 5.60b / 5.64b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 1.09b - CFO 1.39b) / TA 5.74b) |
| Beneish M = -2.88 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of September 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 179.79 with a total of 1,288,202 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.21%, over one month by -14.02%, over three months by -27.32% and over the past year by +21.09%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 171.20 (which is 4.8% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Old Dominion Freight Line has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.40. Therefore, it is recommended to hold ODFL.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 230.6 | 28.2% |
P/E Trailing = 35.7442
P/E Forward = 29.2398
P/S = 6.8996
P/B = 8.4701
P/EG = 2.3143
Revenue TTM = 5.60b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.45b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.82b USD
Long Term Debt = 20.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 20.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 20.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -263.9m USD (calculated: Debt 20.0m - CCE 283.9m)
Enterprise Value = 38.4b USD (38.7b + Debt 20.0m - CCE 283.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.18k (Ebit TTM 1.45b / Interest Expense TTM 663k)
EV/FCF = 34.44x (Enterprise Value 38.4b / FCF TTM 1.11b)
FCF Yield = 2.90% (FCF TTM 1.11b / Enterprise Value 38.4b)
FCF Margin = 19.90% (FCF TTM 1.11b / Revenue TTM 5.60b)
Net Margin = 19.44% (Net Income TTM 1.09b / Revenue TTM 5.60b)
Gross Margin = 31.70% ((Revenue TTM 5.60b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.83b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.04% (prev 27.67%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 6.69 (Enterprise Value 38.4b / Total Assets 5.74b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.32% (Interest Expense 663k / Debt 20.0m)
Taxrate = 24.91% (361.3m / 1.45b)
NOPAT = 1.09b (EBIT 1.45b * (1 - 24.91%))
Current Ratio = 1.89 (Total Current Assets 1.00b / Total Current Liabilities 531.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.00 (Debt 20.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.55b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.15 (Net Debt -263.9m / EBITDA 1.82b)
Debt / FCF = -0.24 (Net Debt -263.9m / FCF TTM 1.11b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.38b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 19.30% (Net Income 1.09b / Total Assets 5.74b)
RoE = 24.87% (Net Income TTM 1.09b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.38b)
RoCE = 32.89% (EBIT 1.45b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.38b + L.T.Debt 20.0m))
RoIC = 21.98% (NOPAT 1.09b / Invested Capital 4.94b)
WACC = 9.08% (E(38.7b)/V(38.7b) * Re(9.08%) + D(20.0m)/V(38.7b) * Rd(3.32%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.08% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -97.99 | Cagr: -2.08%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.65% ; FCFF base≈981.2m ; Y1≈1.12b ; Y5≈1.66b
[DCF] Fair Price = 107.5 (EV 22.1b - Net Debt -263.9m = Equity 22.4b / Shares 208.0m; r=9.08% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -83.86 | EPS CAGR: -6.17% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 4
Revenue Correlation: -87.32 | Revenue CAGR: -2.94% | SUE: 1.15 | # QB: 2
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.59 | Chg30d=+0.02% | Revisions=+84% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.81 | Chg30d=+0.04% | Revisions=+86% | GrowthEPS=+20.0% | GrowthRev=+7.6%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.59 | Chg30d=+0.06% | Revisions=+85% | GrowthEPS=+13.5% | GrowthRev=+7.8%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +94% (up=51, down=0)