ODFL Stock Analysis: Old Dominion Freight Line | NASDAQ
Trucking | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 49.320m USD | 12M Return: 45.1% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 375M
EPS Trend: -88.9%
Qual. Beats: 3
Rev. Trend: -89.5%
Qual. Beats: 1
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Old Dominion Freight Line, Inc. (NASDAQ: ODFL) is a large-cap U.S. less-than-truckload (LTL) motor carrier headquartered in Thomasville, North Carolina, and founded in 1934. The company provides regional, inter-regional, and national LTL services alongside expedited transportation, and supplements its core offering with value-added services such as container drayage, truckload brokerage, and supply chain consulting. Old Dominion also operates internal fleet maintenance centers to service its owned equipment, which as of December 31, 2025, consisted of 10,184 tractors, 30,824 linehaul trailers, and 14,313 pickup and delivery trailers. Within the industrials sector, the company sits in the Cargo Ground Transportation sub-industry, and the LTL model itself involves consolidating smaller freight shipments from multiple customers into shared trailers, distinguishing ODFL from full-truckload carriers and asset-light brokerage-only operators.
- LTL yield and pricing trends drive revenue growth
- Industrial production slowdown pressures freight tonnage volumes
- Yellow bankruptcy reshapes LTL competitive landscape
| Net Income: 1.01b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.18 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.84 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 6.13% < 20% (prev 3.09%; Δ 3.04% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.25 > 3% & CFO 1.41b > Net Income 1.01b |
| Net Debt (-248.1m) to EBITDA (1.71b): -0.15 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.57 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (209.3m) vs 12m ago -1.95% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 30.91% > 18% (prev 34.36%; Δ -3.45% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 97.88% > 50% (prev 104.3%; Δ -6.45% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 2.26k > 6 (EBIT TTM 1.34b / Interest Expense TTM 593k) |
| A: 0.06 (Total Current Assets 926.2m - Total Current Liabilities 591.7m) / Total Assets 5.66b |
| B: 0.73 (Retained Earnings 4.14b / Total Assets 5.66b) |
| C: 0.24 (EBIT TTM 1.34b / Avg Total Assets 5.57b) |
| D: 3.50 (Book Value of Equity 4.40b / Total Liabilities 1.26b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 8.07 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.05 (Receivables 566.5m/568.5m, Revenue 5.46b/5.73b) |
| GMI: 1.11 (GM 34.36% / 30.91%) |
| AQI: 0.98 (AQ_t 0.05 / AQ_t-1 0.05) |
| SGI: 0.95 (Revenue 5.46b / 5.73b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 1.01b - CFO 1.41b) / TA 5.66b) |
| Beneish M = -2.94 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 19, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 233.84 with a total of 1,300,757 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.73%, over one month by +7.09%, over three months by +7.52% and over the past year by +45.08%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 218.80 (which is 6.4% or 1.9 ATR below the current price).
Old Dominion Freight Line has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.40. Therefore, it is recommended to hold ODFL.
- StrongBuy: 6
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 15
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 2
| Analysts Target Price | 229.9 | -1.7% |
P/E Trailing = 46.9604
P/E Forward = 41.4938
P/S = 9.0392
P/B = 10.6463
P/EG = 3.3236
Revenue TTM = 5.46b USD
EBIT TTM = 1.34b USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.71b USD
Long Term Debt = 20.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 20.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 40.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -248.1m USD (calculated: Debt 40.0m - CCE 288.1m)
Enterprise Value = 49.1b USD (49.3b + Debt 40.0m - CCE 288.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 2.26k (Ebit TTM 1.34b / Interest Expense TTM 593k)
EV/FCF = 48.21x (Enterprise Value 49.1b / FCF TTM 1.02b)
FCF Yield = 2.07% (FCF TTM 1.02b / Enterprise Value 49.1b)
FCF Margin = 18.65% (FCF TTM 1.02b / Revenue TTM 5.46b)
Net Margin = 18.46% (Net Income TTM 1.01b / Revenue TTM 5.46b)
Gross Margin = 30.91% ((Revenue TTM 5.46b - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.77b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 27.67% (prev 30.08%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 8.67 (Enterprise Value 49.1b / Total Assets 5.66b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.48% (Interest Expense 593k / Debt 40.0m)
Taxrate = 24.85% (333.0m / 1.34b)
NOPAT = 1.01b (EBIT 1.34b * (1 - 24.85%))
Current Ratio = 1.57 (Total Current Assets 926.2m / Total Current Liabilities 591.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 40.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 4.40b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.15 (Net Debt -248.1m / EBITDA 1.71b)
Debt / FCF = -0.24 (Net Debt -248.1m / FCF TTM 1.02b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.30b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.07% (Net Income 1.01b / Total Assets 5.66b)
RoE = 23.42% (Net Income TTM 1.01b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.30b)
RoCE = 30.99% (EBIT 1.34b / Capital Employed (Equity 4.30b + L.T.Debt 20.0m))
RoIC = 20.91% (NOPAT 1.01b / Invested Capital 4.81b)
WACC = 9.45% (E(49.3b)/V(49.4b) * Re(9.46%) + D(40.0m)/V(49.4b) * Rd(1.48%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 9.46% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -98.31 | Cagr: -2.05%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.48% ; FCFF base≈943.5m ; Y1≈1.08b ; Y5≈1.59b
[DCF] Fair Price = 97.62 (EV 20.1b - Net Debt -248.1m = Equity 20.3b / Shares 208.0m; r=9.45% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -88.86 | EPS CAGR: -6.74% | SUE: 2.91 | # QB: 3
Revenue Correlation: -89.54 | Revenue CAGR: -3.09% | SUE: 2.04 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.53 | Chg30d=+3.80% | Revisions=+75% | Analysts=17
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.53 | Chg30d=+3.18% | Revisions=+73% | Analysts=16
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.56 | Chg30d=+2.99% | Revisions=+79% | GrowthEPS=+14.8% | GrowthRev=+6.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.43 | Chg30d=+2.31% | Revisions=+67% | GrowthEPS=+15.7% | GrowthRev=+7.9%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +88% (up=39, down=1)