(OKTA) Okta - Ratings and Ratios
Authentication, SSO, MFA, API Security, Identity Governance
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 42.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 60.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.53% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.13 |
| Alpha | -11.29 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.26 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.607 |
| Beta | 1.138 |
| Beta Downside | 0.917 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.48% |
| Mean DD | 16.96% |
| Median DD | 17.10% |
Description: OKTA Okta October 30, 2025
Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA) is a cloud-based identity-management platform that helps enterprises secure and streamline access to applications, APIs, and devices. Its core suite includes Single Sign-On, Adaptive Multi-Factor Authentication, API Access Management, and a Universal Directory that serves as a cloud-based system of record for user, application, and device profiles. Additional offerings such as Access Gateway, Device Access, Advanced Server Access, and Privileged Access extend identity controls to on-premises workloads, cloud infrastructure, and privileged accounts, while Workforce Identity Workflows and Attack Protection provide automation and threat-mitigation capabilities.
Key recent metrics underscore Okta’s growth trajectory: FY 2023 revenue reached approximately $1.3 billion, up ~19 % year-over-year, and the company reported a trailing twelve-month ARR of roughly $2.5 billion with net dollar-retention near 115 %. The identity-as-a-service market is expanding at a ~10 % CAGR, driven by accelerating remote-work adoption and enterprise-wide zero-trust initiatives-macro trends that directly fuel demand for Okta’s solutions. Competitive pressures remain high, with Microsoft Entra and Ping Identity expanding their zero-trust portfolios, making customer churn and pricing power critical risk factors.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of Okta’s valuation and risk profile, you may find the analytical tools on ValueRay worth exploring.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (195.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 170.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.94pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 30.35% (prev 30.36%; Δ -0.01pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 912.0m > Net Income 195.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-222.0m) to EBITDA (316.0m) ratio: -0.70 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.39 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (179.4m) change vs 12m ago 5.11% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 77.08% (prev 76.12%; Δ 0.96pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 31.14% (prev 28.11%; Δ 3.03pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 55.0 (EBITDA TTM 316.0m / Interest Expense TTM 4.00m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.33
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 3.05b - Total Current Liabilities 2.18b) / Total Assets 9.23b |
| (B) -0.28 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.63b / Total Assets 9.23b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 220.0m / Avg Total Assets 9.12b |
| (D) -1.12 = Book Value of Equity -2.63b / Total Liabilities 2.34b |
| Total Rating: -1.33 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 70.55
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.81% |
| 3. FCF Margin 31.62% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.06 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.70 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -7.38)% |
| 7. RoE 2.93% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.95% |
| 9. EPS Trend 95.53% |
What is the price of OKTA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +6.51%, over one month by +0.80%, over three months by -7.33% and over the past year by +3.23%.
Is OKTA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 18
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 18
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the OKTA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 111.7 | 30.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 111.7 | 30.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 82.6 | -3.8% |
OKTA Fundamental Data Overview December 07, 2025
P/E Trailing = 78.0818
P/E Forward = 23.8663
P/S = 5.36
P/B = 2.2199
P/EG = 0.4286
Beta = 0.776
Revenue TTM = 2.84b USD
EBIT TTM = 220.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 316.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 349.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 350.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 423.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -222.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 13.18b USD (15.22b + Debt 423.0m - CCE 2.46b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 55.0 (Ebit TTM 220.0m / Interest Expense TTM 4.00m)
FCF Yield = 6.81% (FCF TTM 898.0m / Enterprise Value 13.18b)
FCF Margin = 31.62% (FCF TTM 898.0m / Revenue TTM 2.84b)
Net Margin = 6.87% (Net Income TTM 195.0m / Revenue TTM 2.84b)
Gross Margin = 77.08% ((Revenue TTM 2.84b - Cost of Revenue TTM 651.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 77.09% (prev 76.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.43 (Enterprise Value 13.18b / Total Assets 9.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.24% (Interest Expense 1.00m / Debt 423.0m)
Taxrate = 14.00% (7.00m / 50.0m)
NOPAT = 189.2m (EBIT 220.0m * (1 - 14.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.39 (Total Current Assets 3.05b / Total Current Liabilities 2.18b)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 423.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.89b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.70 (Net Debt -222.0m / EBITDA 316.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.25 (Net Debt -222.0m / FCF TTM 898.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.11% (Net Income 195.0m / Total Assets 9.23b)
RoE = 2.93% (Net Income TTM 195.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.65b)
RoCE = 3.14% (EBIT 220.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.65b + L.T.Debt 349.0m))
RoIC = 2.56% (NOPAT 189.2m / Invested Capital 7.39b)
WACC = 9.94% (E(15.22b)/V(15.65b) * Re(10.21%) + D(423.0m)/V(15.65b) * Rd(0.24%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 10.21% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 5.24%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 74.73% ; FCFE base≈783.6m ; Y1≈966.7m ; Y5≈1.65b
Fair Price DCF = 114.4 (DCF Value 19.39b / Shares Outstanding 169.5m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 95.53 | EPS CAGR: 73.93% | SUE: 1.78 | # QB: 17
Revenue Correlation: 97.95 | Revenue CAGR: 19.28% | SUE: 2.94 | # QB: 17
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=+0.009 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=36
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=3.70 | Chg30d=+0.089 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+7.3% | Growth Revenue=+9.2%
Additional Sources for OKTA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle