(OKTA) Okta - Ratings and Ratios
Identity, Access, Authentication, Governance, Security
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
Currently no dividends paid| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 43.0% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 62.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.32% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.37 |
| Alpha | -3.12 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.34 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.576 |
| Beta | 1.107 |
| Beta Downside | 0.947 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 38.48% |
| Mean DD | 17.67% |
| Median DD | 18.89% |
Description: OKTA Okta January 03, 2026
Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA) delivers a cloud-based identity platform that secures user, application, and device access across enterprise environments. Its product suite includes Single Sign-On, Adaptive Multi-Factor Authentication, API Access Management, and Workforce Identity Workflows, all sold directly and through channel partners. The company, founded in 2009 and headquartered in San Francisco, positions itself as an “identity partner” for both cloud-native and on-premises workloads.
Key recent metrics (FY 2024) show total revenue of roughly $1.1 billion, up about 13 % year-over-year, with annual recurring revenue (ARR) crossing $5.5 billion and a low churn rate near 2.5 %. Gross margins remain high at ~78 %, reflecting the scalability of its SaaS model. Growth is being driven by broader corporate shifts toward zero-trust security and sustained IT-spending growth (≈6 % YoY) in the cloud services sector.
If you want a deeper, data-driven look at OKTA’s valuation and risk profile, ValueRay’s analyst toolkit can be a helpful next step.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.5
| Net Income (195.0m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 170.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 2.94pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 30.35% (prev 30.36%; Δ -0.01pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 (>3.0%) and CFO 912.0m > Net Income 195.0m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (-222.0m) to EBITDA (316.0m) ratio: -0.70 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.39 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (179.4m) change vs 12m ago 5.11% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 77.08% (prev 76.12%; Δ 0.96pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 31.14% (prev 28.11%; Δ 3.03pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 55.0 (EBITDA TTM 316.0m / Interest Expense TTM 4.00m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.33
| (A) 0.09 = (Total Current Assets 3.05b - Total Current Liabilities 2.18b) / Total Assets 9.23b |
| (B) -0.28 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.63b / Total Assets 9.23b |
| (C) 0.02 = EBIT TTM 220.0m / Avg Total Assets 9.12b |
| (D) -1.12 = Book Value of Equity -2.63b / Total Liabilities 2.34b |
| Total Rating: -1.33 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 70.67
| 1. Piotroski 6.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 6.76% |
| 3. FCF Margin 31.62% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.06 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -0.70 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -7.26)% |
| 7. RoE 2.93% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.95% |
| 9. EPS Trend 95.53% |
What is the price of OKTA shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +8.52%, over one month by +7.50%, over three months by +3.25% and over the past year by +10.84%.
Is OKTA a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 18
- Buy: 8
- Hold: 18
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the OKTA price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 112.6 | 20% |
| Analysts Target Price | 112.6 | 20% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 88.6 | -5.5% |
OKTA Fundamental Data Overview January 02, 2026
P/E Trailing = 78.6091
P/E Forward = 23.5294
P/S = 5.3962
P/B = 2.248
P/EG = 0.4254
Beta = 0.776
Revenue TTM = 2.84b USD
EBIT TTM = 220.0m USD
EBITDA TTM = 316.0m USD
Long Term Debt = 349.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 350.0m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 423.0m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -222.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 13.29b USD (15.33b + Debt 423.0m - CCE 2.46b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 55.0 (Ebit TTM 220.0m / Interest Expense TTM 4.00m)
FCF Yield = 6.76% (FCF TTM 898.0m / Enterprise Value 13.29b)
FCF Margin = 31.62% (FCF TTM 898.0m / Revenue TTM 2.84b)
Net Margin = 6.87% (Net Income TTM 195.0m / Revenue TTM 2.84b)
Gross Margin = 77.08% ((Revenue TTM 2.84b - Cost of Revenue TTM 651.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 77.09% (prev 76.92%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.44 (Enterprise Value 13.29b / Total Assets 9.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.24% (Interest Expense 1.00m / Debt 423.0m)
Taxrate = 14.00% (7.00m / 50.0m)
NOPAT = 189.2m (EBIT 220.0m * (1 - 14.00%))
Current Ratio = 1.39 (Total Current Assets 3.05b / Total Current Liabilities 2.18b)
Debt / Equity = 0.06 (Debt 423.0m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.89b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.70 (Net Debt -222.0m / EBITDA 316.0m)
Debt / FCF = -0.25 (Net Debt -222.0m / FCF TTM 898.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 2.11% (Net Income 195.0m / Total Assets 9.23b)
RoE = 2.93% (Net Income TTM 195.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.65b)
RoCE = 3.14% (EBIT 220.0m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.65b + L.T.Debt 349.0m))
RoIC = 2.56% (NOPAT 189.2m / Invested Capital 7.39b)
WACC = 9.82% (E(15.33b)/V(15.75b) * Re(10.09%) + D(423.0m)/V(15.75b) * Rd(0.24%) * (1-Tc(0.14)))
Discount Rate = 10.09% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 4.47%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.08% ; FCFE base≈783.6m ; Y1≈966.7m ; Y5≈1.65b
Fair Price DCF = 116.5 (DCF Value 19.73b / Shares Outstanding 169.5m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 95.53 | EPS CAGR: 73.93% | SUE: 1.78 | # QB: 16
Revenue Correlation: 97.95 | Revenue CAGR: 19.28% | SUE: 2.94 | # QB: 16
EPS next Quarter (2026-04-30): EPS=0.87 | Chg30d=+0.009 | Revisions Net=+8 | Analysts=36
EPS next Year (2027-01-31): EPS=3.70 | Chg30d=+0.081 | Revisions Net=+20 | Growth EPS=+7.4% | Growth Revenue=+9.2%
Additional Sources for OKTA Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle