(OLLI) Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg - Overview
Sector: Consumer Defensive | Industry: Discount Stores | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 4.965m USD | Total Return: -28.5% in 12m
Avg Turnover: 127M
EPS Trend: 92.1%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 99.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
Below Avwap Earnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Ollie’s Bargain Outlet Holdings, Inc. is a U.S.-based retailer specializing in the sale of closeout merchandise and excess inventory. The company procures branded consumer goods across diverse categories, including housewares, food, health and beauty aids, and home improvement items, selling them under several proprietary brands such as Ollie’s Army and Real Brands! Real Bargains.
Operating within the broadline retail sector, the company utilizes an opportunistic buying model to acquire inventory from manufacturers facing overstock or packaging changes. This strategy allows the business to offer products at significant discounts compared to traditional department and specialty stores. Investors may find additional data points on ValueRay useful for deeper fundamental analysis. Founded in 1982 and headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, the firm maintains a physical retail footprint focused on value-conscious consumers.
- Closeout deal availability depends on supply chain disruptions and retail inventory liquidations
- New store openings drive long-term revenue growth through aggressive geographic market expansion
- Ollies Army loyalty program membership growth secures recurring customer traffic and sales
- Consumer trade-down during inflationary cycles increases demand for discount closeout merchandise
- Supply chain logistics and freight costs significantly impact gross profit margin stability
| Net Income: 240.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.07 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.41 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 21.28% < 20% (prev 30.35%; Δ -9.07% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 296.5m > Net Income 240.6m |
| Net Debt (389.6m) to EBITDA (368.3m): 1.06 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 2.41 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (61.7m) vs 12m ago -0.35% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 38.95% > 18% (prev 0.40%; Δ 3.86k% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 96.05% > 50% (prev 88.70%; Δ 7.35% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.24k > 6 (EBITDA TTM 368.3m / Interest Expense TTM 256k) |
| A: 0.19 (Total Current Assets 964.1m - Total Current Liabilities 400.4m) / Total Assets 2.95b |
| B: 0.54 (Retained Earnings 1.61b / Total Assets 2.95b) |
| C: 0.11 (EBIT TTM 316.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.76b) |
| D: 1.51 (Book Value of Equity 1.61b / Total Liabilities 1.07b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 5.38 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.39 (Receivables 3.81m/2.35m, Revenue 2.65b/2.27b) |
| GMI: 1.02 (GM 38.95% / 39.91%) |
| AQI: 1.21 (AQ_t 0.32 / AQ_t-1 0.26) |
| SGI: 1.17 (Revenue 2.65b / 2.27b) |
| TATA: -0.02 (NI 240.6m - CFO 296.5m) / TA 2.95b) |
| Beneish M = -2.46 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
As of May 27, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 81.84 with a total of 1,975,600 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +4.27%,
over one month by -11.09%,
over three months by -23.08% and
over the past year by -28.46%.
Ollie's Bargain Outlet Hldg has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.13. Therefore, it is recommended to buy OLLI.
- StrongBuy: 7
- Buy: 4
- Hold: 5
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 135.4 | 65.4% |
P/E Trailing = 21.0386
P/E Forward = 18.3486
P/S = 1.874
P/B = 2.6294
P/EG = 2.08
Revenue TTM = 2.65b USD
EBIT TTM = 316.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = 368.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 974k USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 109.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 685.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 684.4m already included)
Net Debt = 389.6m USD (calculated: Debt 685.9m - CCE 296.3m)
Enterprise Value = 5.35b USD (4.96b + Debt 685.9m - CCE 296.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.24k (Ebit TTM 316.6m / Interest Expense TTM 256k)
EV/FCF = 27.51x (Enterprise Value 5.35b / FCF TTM 194.7m)
FCF Yield = 3.64% (FCF TTM 194.7m / Enterprise Value 5.35b)
FCF Margin = 7.35% (FCF TTM 194.7m / Revenue TTM 2.65b)
Net Margin = 9.08% (Net Income TTM 240.6m / Revenue TTM 2.65b)
Gross Margin = 38.95% ((Revenue TTM 2.65b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.62b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 35.99% (prev 39.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.81 (Enterprise Value 5.35b / Total Assets 2.95b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.04% (Interest Expense 256k / Debt 685.9m)
Taxrate = 24.93% (28.4m / 114.0m)
NOPAT = 237.7m (EBIT 316.6m * (1 - 24.93%))
Current Ratio = 2.41 (Total Current Assets 964.1m / Total Current Liabilities 400.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.36 (Debt 685.9m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.89b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.06 (Net Debt 389.6m / EBITDA 368.3m)
Debt / FCF = 2.00 (Net Debt 389.6m / FCF TTM 194.7m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.81b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 8.72% (Net Income 240.6m / Total Assets 2.95b)
RoE = 13.30% (Net Income TTM 240.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.81b)
RoCE = 17.49% (EBIT 316.6m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.81b + L.T.Debt 974k))
RoIC = 9.03% (NOPAT 237.7m / Invested Capital 2.63b)
WACC = 7.88% (E(4.96b)/V(5.65b) * Re(8.97%) + D(685.9m)/V(5.65b) * Rd(0.04%) * (1-Tc(0.25)))
Discount Rate = 8.97% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈159.6m ; Y1≈182.9m ; Y5≈269.2m
[DCF] Fair Price = 60.35 (EV 4.05b - Net Debt 389.6m = Equity 3.66b / Shares 60.7m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 92.06 | EPS CAGR: 23.07% | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 99.22 | Revenue CAGR: 12.27% | SUE: -0.46 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-07-31): EPS=1.15 | Chg30d=-1.25% | Revisions=-33% | Analysts=15
EPS current Year (2027-01-31): EPS=4.46 | Chg30d=-0.52% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+15.5% | GrowthRev=+13.2%
EPS next Year (2028-01-31): EPS=5.09 | Chg30d=-0.57% | Revisions=-50% | GrowthEPS=+14.1% | GrowthRev=+11.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50%