(OMAB) Grupo Aeroportuario del - Ratings and Ratios
Concessions, Terminals, Retail, Parking, Cargo
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 10.34% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 32.49% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 53.67% |
| Payout Consistency | 85.3% |
| Payout Ratio | 135.5% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 32.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 49.5% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.39% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.68 |
| Alpha | 59.00 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.61 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.364 |
| Beta | 0.517 |
| Beta Downside | 0.225 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 41.77% |
| Mean DD | 13.99% |
| Median DD | 11.05% |
Description: OMAB Grupo Aeroportuario del January 09, 2026
Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte (OMAB) owns and operates concessions for 13 Mexican airports-including major gateways such as Acapulco, Mazatlán, Ciudad Juárez, and Monterrey-while also generating ancillary revenue from retail leases, parking, cargo logistics (OMA Carga), hotel operations, and an industrial park at Monterrey airport.
Key recent metrics: FY 2023 passenger traffic rebounded to roughly 31 million (up ~18% YoY), cargo throughput reached ~520 k tonnes, and total revenue grew 12% year-over-year, driven largely by a variable concession fee that scales with passenger volumes. The business is sensitive to Mexican tourism trends, airline capacity growth, and the peso-USD exchange rate, while macro-level drivers such as Mexico’s 2%-3% GDP growth and ongoing infrastructure spending support longer-term demand for air travel.
For a deeper quantitative dive into OMAB’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-rich overview worth checking.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income: 5.31b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.17 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.25 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 5.78% < 20% (prev 2.56%; Δ 3.23% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.24 > 3% & CFO 7.55b > Net Income 5.31b |
| Net Debt (9.13b) to EBITDA (9.95b): 0.92 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.14 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (48.3m) vs 12m ago 0.0% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 74.45% > 18% (prev 0.66%; Δ 7379 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 54.16% > 50% (prev 53.96%; Δ 0.20% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.96 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 9.95b / Interest Expense TTM 1.53b) |
Altman Z'' 3.60
| A: 0.03 (Total Current Assets 7.61b - Total Current Liabilities 6.68b) / Total Assets 31.77b |
| B: 0.26 (Retained Earnings 8.22b / Total Assets 31.77b) |
| C: 0.31 (EBIT TTM 9.10b / Avg Total Assets 29.48b) |
| D: 0.47 (Book Value of Equity 10.02b / Total Liabilities 21.55b) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: 3.60 = A |
Beneish M -3.12
| DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 2.35b/2.04b, Revenue 15.97b/14.67b) |
| GMI: 0.89 (GM 74.45% / 66.11%) |
| AQI: 0.94 (AQ_t 0.66 / AQ_t-1 0.70) |
| SGI: 1.09 (Revenue 15.97b / 14.67b) |
| TATA: -0.07 (NI 5.31b - CFO 7.55b) / TA 31.77b) |
| Beneish M-Score: -3.12 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
What is the price of OMAB shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.25%, over one month by +7.83%, over three months by +26.20% and over the past year by +69.41%.
Is OMAB a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the OMAB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 117.8 | -1.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 117.8 | -1.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 170.8 | 43.1% |
OMAB Fundamental Data Overview January 25, 2026
P/E Trailing = 18.3508
P/E Forward = 14.4092
P/S = 0.3495
P/B = 9.6984
P/EG = 0.7834
Revenue TTM = 15.97b MXN
EBIT TTM = 9.10b MXN
EBITDA TTM = 9.95b MXN
Long Term Debt = 11.79b MXN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.67b MXN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.58b MXN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.13b MXN (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 104.85b MXN (95.71b + Debt 13.58b - CCE 4.45b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.96 (Ebit TTM 9.10b / Interest Expense TTM 1.53b)
EV/FCF = 19.13x (Enterprise Value 104.85b / FCF TTM 5.48b)
FCF Yield = 5.23% (FCF TTM 5.48b / Enterprise Value 104.85b)
FCF Margin = 34.34% (FCF TTM 5.48b / Revenue TTM 15.97b)
Net Margin = 33.27% (Net Income TTM 5.31b / Revenue TTM 15.97b)
Gross Margin = 74.45% ((Revenue TTM 15.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.08b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 75.75% (prev 65.75%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.30 (Enterprise Value 104.85b / Total Assets 31.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.63% (Interest Expense 357.1m / Debt 13.58b)
Taxrate = 28.24% (594.2m / 2.10b)
NOPAT = 6.53b (EBIT 9.10b * (1 - 28.24%))
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 7.61b / Total Current Liabilities 6.68b)
Debt / Equity = 1.35 (Debt 13.58b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.05b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.92 (Net Debt 9.13b / EBITDA 9.95b)
Debt / FCF = 1.67 (Net Debt 9.13b / FCF TTM 5.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 10.16b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 18.02% (Net Income 5.31b / Total Assets 31.77b)
RoE = 52.26% (Net Income TTM 5.31b / Total Stockholder Equity 10.16b)
RoCE = 41.46% (EBIT 9.10b / Capital Employed (Equity 10.16b + L.T.Debt 11.79b))
RoIC = 29.05% (NOPAT 6.53b / Invested Capital 22.48b)
WACC = 7.08% (E(95.71b)/V(109.29b) * Re(7.82%) + D(13.58b)/V(109.29b) * Rd(2.63%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 7.82% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.95%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 82.77% ; FCFF base≈5.14b ; Y1≈5.67b ; Y5≈7.31b
Fair Price DCF = 3450 (EV 154.22b - Net Debt 9.13b = Equity 145.08b / Shares 42.1m; r=7.08% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 11.87% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 70.42 | EPS CAGR: 43.37% | SUE: -2.75 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 79.58 | Revenue CAGR: 11.55% | SUE: -0.10 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.75 | Chg30d=-0.056 | Revisions Net=+0 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.99 | Chg30d=+0.717 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+20.7% | Growth Revenue=+7.7%