(OMAB) Grupo Aeroportuario del - Ratings and Ratios
Airport Operations, Retail Leasing, Hotel Services, Cargo Logistics
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 9.73% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 31.86% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 35.87% |
| Payout Consistency | 84.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 135.5% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 50.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -8.45% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 1.59 |
| Alpha | 56.18 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.75 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.401 |
| Beta | 0.521 |
| Beta Downside | 0.361 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 41.77% |
| Mean DD | 13.96% |
| Median DD | 11.05% |
Description: OMAB Grupo Aeroportuario del November 06, 2025
Grupo Aeroportuario del Centro Norte (OMAB) owns and operates concessions for 13 Mexican airports-including major tourism gateways such as Acapulco, Mazatlón, and Zihuatanejo, as well as industrial hubs like Monterrey and Ciudad Juárez-while also generating ancillary income from retail leases, parking, cargo logistics (OMA Carga), and on-site hotels.
In FY 2023 the company handled roughly 23 million passengers, a 12 % increase year-over-year, and reported an adjusted EBITDA margin of about 45 %. Non-aeronautical revenue (retail, parking, hotels, cargo) accounted for ~30 % of total revenue, reflecting a strategic shift toward higher-margin services.
Key macro-drivers include the rebound in Mexican tourism (International arrivals grew ~15 % in 2023), domestic GDP expansion of ~2.5 % YoY, and the MXN/USD exchange rate, which influences concession fee adjustments tied to passenger traffic volumes.
For a deeper quantitative assessment, the ValueRay platform provides a granular breakdown of OMAB’s cash-flow drivers and comparable peer metrics.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (5.31b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 958.0m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.17 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.25pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 5.78% (prev 2.56%; Δ 3.23pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.24 (>3.0%) and CFO 7.55b > Net Income 5.31b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (9.13b) to EBITDA (9.95b) ratio: 0.92 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 1.14 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (48.3m) change vs 12m ago 0.0% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 74.45% (prev 66.11%; Δ 8.35pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 54.16% (prev 53.96%; Δ 0.20pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 5.96 (EBITDA TTM 9.95b / Interest Expense TTM 1.53b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.60
| (A) 0.03 = (Total Current Assets 7.61b - Total Current Liabilities 6.68b) / Total Assets 31.77b |
| (B) 0.26 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 8.22b / Total Assets 31.77b |
| (C) 0.31 = EBIT TTM 9.10b / Avg Total Assets 29.48b |
| (D) 0.47 = Book Value of Equity 10.02b / Total Liabilities 21.55b |
| Total Rating: 3.60 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 88.76
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 5.48% |
| 3. FCF Margin 34.34% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.35 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 0.92 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 21.90)% |
| 7. RoE 52.26% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 79.58% |
| 9. EPS Trend 70.42% |
What is the price of OMAB shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.43%, over one month by +13.16%, over three months by +5.85% and over the past year by +72.17%.
Is OMAB a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the OMAB price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 111.6 | 2.1% |
| Analysts Target Price | 111.6 | 2.1% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 160.8 | 47.1% |
OMAB Fundamental Data Overview December 05, 2025
P/E Trailing = 17.3804
P/E Forward = 13.6426
P/S = 0.3163
P/B = 9.1824
P/EG = 0.7418
Beta = 0.658
Revenue TTM = 15.97b MXN
EBIT TTM = 9.10b MXN
EBITDA TTM = 9.95b MXN
Long Term Debt = 11.79b MXN (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 1.67b MXN (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 13.58b MXN (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.13b MXN (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 100.07b MXN (90.94b + Debt 13.58b - CCE 4.45b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.96 (Ebit TTM 9.10b / Interest Expense TTM 1.53b)
FCF Yield = 5.48% (FCF TTM 5.48b / Enterprise Value 100.07b)
FCF Margin = 34.34% (FCF TTM 5.48b / Revenue TTM 15.97b)
Net Margin = 33.27% (Net Income TTM 5.31b / Revenue TTM 15.97b)
Gross Margin = 74.45% ((Revenue TTM 15.97b - Cost of Revenue TTM 4.08b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 75.75% (prev 65.75%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 3.15 (Enterprise Value 100.07b / Total Assets 31.77b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 2.63% (Interest Expense 357.1m / Debt 13.58b)
Taxrate = 28.24% (594.2m / 2.10b)
NOPAT = 6.53b (EBIT 9.10b * (1 - 28.24%))
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 7.61b / Total Current Liabilities 6.68b)
Debt / Equity = 1.35 (Debt 13.58b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 10.05b)
Debt / EBITDA = 0.92 (Net Debt 9.13b / EBITDA 9.95b)
Debt / FCF = 1.67 (Net Debt 9.13b / FCF TTM 5.48b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 10.16b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.72% (Net Income 5.31b / Total Assets 31.77b)
RoE = 52.26% (Net Income TTM 5.31b / Total Stockholder Equity 10.16b)
RoCE = 41.46% (EBIT 9.10b / Capital Employed (Equity 10.16b + L.T.Debt 11.79b))
RoIC = 29.05% (NOPAT 6.53b / Invested Capital 22.48b)
WACC = 7.15% (E(90.94b)/V(104.52b) * Re(7.94%) + D(13.58b)/V(104.52b) * Rd(2.63%) * (1-Tc(0.28)))
Discount Rate = 7.94% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 0.0 | Cagr: 0.0%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.66% ; FCFE base≈5.14b ; Y1≈5.67b ; Y5≈7.32b
Fair Price DCF = 3028 (DCF Value 127.32b / Shares Outstanding 42.1m; 5y FCF grow 11.87% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 70.42 | EPS CAGR: 43.37% | SUE: -2.75 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 79.58 | Revenue CAGR: 11.55% | SUE: -0.10 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.81 | Chg30d=-0.032 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=7.27 | Chg30d=-0.162 | Revisions Net=-2 | Growth EPS=+8.4% | Growth Revenue=+17.6%
Additional Sources for OMAB Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle