(ORGN) Origin Materials - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US68622D1063

Carbon, Chemicals, Biomass, Oils, Extracts, Plant-Based, Materials

ORGN EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS (Earnings per Share) of ORGN over the last years for every Quarter: "2020-03": -0.02, "2020-06": -0.01, "2020-09": -0.02, "2020-12": -0.17, "2021-03": -0.38, "2021-06": 0.44, "2021-09": 0.2, "2021-12": 0.04, "2022-03": 0.05, "2022-06": 0.33, "2022-09": 0.06, "2022-12": 0.11, "2023-03": 0.07, "2023-06": -0.05, "2023-09": 0.22, "2023-12": -0.07, "2024-03": -0.1, "2024-06": -0.14, "2024-09": -0.26, "2024-12": -0.09, "2025-03": -0.18,

ORGN Revenue

Revenue of ORGN over the last years for every Quarter: 2020-03: null, 2020-06: 0, 2020-09: 0, 2020-12: 0, 2021-03: 0, 2021-06: 0, 2021-09: 0, 2021-12: 0, 2022-03: 0, 2022-06: 0, 2022-09: 0, 2022-12: 0, 2023-03: 1.704, 2023-06: 6.898, 2023-09: 7.14, 2023-12: 13.063, 2024-03: 6.825, 2024-06: 7.033, 2024-09: 8.202, 2024-12: 9.222, 2025-03: 5.43,

Description: ORGN Origin Materials

Origin Materials, Inc. is a pioneering company in the field of carbon-negative materials, leveraging a proprietary biomass conversion platform to produce essential chemicals from plant-based carbon. This innovative technology enables the creation of building block chemicals, such as chloromethylfurfural and hydrothermal carbon, alongside other valuable co-products. The companys groundbreaking approach has the potential to disrupt traditional industries by providing a more sustainable alternative to fossil fuels.

With its roots dating back to its founding as Micromidas, Inc., the company rebranded as Origin Materials, Inc. in June 2021, signaling a significant shift in its mission and focus. Headquartered in West Sacramento, California, Origin Materials, Inc. has been making waves in the industry with its commitment to reducing carbon footprint. For more information, you can visit their website at https://www.originmaterials.com.

Analyzing the companys stock performance, we observe that ORGN has experienced significant volatility, with its last price standing at $0.44. The stocks short-term and medium-term trends, as indicated by its SMA20 and SMA50, suggest a bearish outlook, with both indicators at $0.69. However, the long-term trend, as reflected by the SMA200 at $1.08, indicates a potential reversal. The Average True Range (ATR) of 0.07, equivalent to 15.69%, highlights the stocks volatility. Given the 52-week high of $1.88 and low of $0.44, the stock appears to be trading at its lowest point, potentially presenting a buying opportunity.

From a fundamental analysis perspective, Origin Materials, Inc. has a market capitalization of $104.62M USD, with a negative Return on Equity (RoE) of -22.38%. The absence of a Price-to-Earnings (P/E) ratio, both current and forward, is not surprising given the companys current stage of development and potential lack of profitability. Combining the technical and fundamental data, a forecast for ORGN could be constructed. Given the current price is at its 52-week low and the companys innovative position in the carbon-negative materials sector, a potential rebound could be anticipated if the company successfully advances its technology and products. A speculative investment strategy might consider buying ORGN at current levels, with a target price potentially nearing the 52-week high of $1.88, representing a significant upside. However, the high volatility and negative RoE necessitate a cautious approach, emphasizing the importance of closely monitoring the companys progress and market trends.

ORGN Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD 116m
Sector Basic Materials
Industry Chemicals
GiC Sub-Industry Mortgage REITs
IPO / Inception 2020-09-04

ORGN Stock Ratings

Growth Rating -93.3
Fundamental -
Dividend Rating -
Rel. Strength 2.56
Analysts 2.00 of 5
Fair Price Momentum 0.57 USD
Fair Price DCF -

ORGN Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

ORGN Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m 50.2%
Growth Correlation 12m -88.8%
Growth Correlation 5y -93%
CAGR 5y -39.42%
CAGR/Max DD 5y -0.41
Sharpe Ratio 12m -1.34
Alpha -35.85
Beta 1.924
Volatility 196.54%
Current Volume 1494.8k
Average Volume 20d 835.2k
Stop Loss 0.7 (-17.6%)
What is the price of ORGN shares?
As of August 08, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 0.85 with a total of 1,494,813 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +16.46%, over one month by +50.69%, over three months by +28.11% and over the past year by +5.33%.
Is Origin Materials a good stock to buy?
No, based on ValueRay´s Analyses, Origin Materials (NASDAQ:ORGN) is currently (August 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Growth Rating of -93.29 and therefor a clear technical negative rating according to historical growth.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ORGN is around 0.57 USD . This means that ORGN is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -32.94%.
Is ORGN a buy, sell or hold?
Origin Materials has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.00. Therefor, it is recommend to sell ORGN.
  • Strong Buy: 0
  • Buy: 0
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 1
  • Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts for ORGN share price target?
According to our own proprietary Forecast Model, ORGN Origin Materials will be worth about 0.7 in August 2026. The stock is currently trading at 0.85. This means that the stock has a potential downside of -20%.
Issuer Target Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price 0.5 -41.2%
Analysts Target Price 0.5 -41.2%
ValueRay Target Price 0.7 -20%

ORGN Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 116.5m (116.5m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 83.0m USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/S = 3.8973
P/B = 0.3671
Beta = 0.843
Revenue TTM = 29.9m USD
EBIT TTM = -95.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = -84.5m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.73m USD (last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 2.06m USD (last quarter)
Net Debt = -36.3m USD (last quarter)
Debt = 3.79m USD (Short Term 2.06m + Long Term 1.73m)
Enterprise Value = 37.2m USD (Market Cap 116.5m + Debt 3.79m - CCE 83.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -315.6 (Ebit TTM -95.3m / Interest Expense TTM 302.0k)
 FCF Yield = -160.6% (FCF TTM -59.8m / Enterprise Value 37.2m)
 FCF Margin = -200.0% (FCF TTM -59.8m / Revenue TTM 29.9m)
 Net Margin = -322.0% (Net Income TTM -96.2m / Revenue TTM 29.9m)
 Gross Margin = 9.05% ((Revenue TTM 29.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 27.2m) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = -0.25 (Enterprise Value 37.2m / Book Value Of Equity -147.4m)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 1.27% (Interest Expense 48.0k / Debt 3.79m)
Taxrate = -0.81% (Income Tax Expense 669.0k / Income Before Tax -83.0m, last fiscal year)
NOPAT = -96.1m (EBIT -95.3m × (1 – -0.81%))
Current Ratio = 9.51 (Total Current Assets 119.5m / Total Current Liabilities 12.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 3.79m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 314.6m)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.04 (Net Debt -36.3m / EBITDA -84.5m)
Debt / FCF = -0.06 (Debt 3.79m / FCF TTM -59.8m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 350.6m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -27.57%
RoE = -27.44% (Net Income TTM -96.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 350.6m)
RoCE = -27.05% (Ebit -95.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 350.6m + Long Term Debt 1.73m)
RoIC = -26.96% (NOPAT -96.1m / Invested Capital 356.4m)
WACC = 40.01% ((Market Cap / EV) * CAPM 41.18%) + (Debt / EV) * Interest Expense on Debt * (1 - Taxrate)
Shares Correlation 5-Years: 70.0 | Cagr: 0.66%
Discount Rate = 40.01% (= WACC) -> capped to max. Risk Premium 20%
 Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -59.8m)
 Revenue Correlation: 42.10 | Revenue CAGR: 0.0%
Revenue Growth Correlation: -76.48%
EPS Correlation: -1.96 | EPS CAGR: -36.54%
EPS Growth Correlation: 6.67%

Additional Sources for ORGN Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle