(ORLY) O’Reilly Automotive - Ratings and Ratios
Parts, Tools, Accessories, Fluids, Equipment
ORLY EPS (Earnings per Share)
ORLY Revenue
Description: ORLY O’Reilly Automotive September 25, 2025
OReilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ: ORLY) is a leading North-American retailer and supplier of aftermarket automotive parts, tools, accessories and related services, operating across the United States, Puerto Rico, Mexico and Canada. The company’s product mix spans new and remanufactured hard parts (e.g., alternators, batteries, brake components, engine parts, filters, fluids) and consumer accessories (e.g., floor mats, seat covers, truck gear), as well as professional-grade paint, equipment and a suite of value-added services such as recycling, diagnostic testing, loaner-tool programs and custom hydraulic hose fabrication.
Key operational metrics show the business scaling efficiently: FY 2024 revenue reached approximately **$13.5 billion**, with **same-store sales growth of 6.5 %** year-over-year and an **operating margin near 7.8 %**. The network now exceeds **6,200 stores**, and inventory turnover remains above industry average, reflecting strong supply-chain execution despite recent semiconductor constraints. Macro-level drivers-including the rising average age of the U.S. vehicle fleet (now ~12 years) and a robust DIY repair culture-continue to expand the total addressable market, which the aftermarket segment is growing at roughly **4 % CAGR**.
For a deeper quantitative comparison of ORLY’s valuation metrics against peers, the ValueRay platform offers a concise dashboard that can help you assess the trade-off between growth and margin.
ORLY Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 85,876m |
| Sub-Industry | Automotive Retail |
| IPO / Inception | 1993-04-22 |
ORLY Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | 93.7% |
| Fundamental | 70.0% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 1.19% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.14 of 5 |
ORLY Dividends
Currently no dividends paidORLY Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | -38.4% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | 90% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | 98.8% |
| CAGR 5y | 20.41% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio) | 1.13 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio) | 5.08 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.46 |
| Alpha | 7.62 |
| Beta | 0.598 |
| Volatility | 21.58% |
| Current Volume | 5707.4k |
| Average Volume 20d | 4888.1k |
| Stop Loss | 91.6 (-3%) |
| Signal | -0.35 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0
| Net Income (2.48b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.05b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.82pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -12.10% (prev -15.12%; Δ 3.02pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.75b > Net Income 2.48b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (8.20b) to EBITDA (3.88b) ratio: 2.11 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.76 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (852.7m) change vs 12m ago 1.38% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 51.47% (prev 51.21%; Δ 0.27pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 113.2% (prev 112.8%; Δ 0.38pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 14.72 (EBITDA TTM 3.88b / Interest Expense TTM 229.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -0.01
| (A) -0.13 = (Total Current Assets 6.60b - Total Current Liabilities 8.71b) / Total Assets 16.28b |
| (B) -0.15 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.44b / Total Assets 16.28b |
| (C) 0.22 = EBIT TTM 3.38b / Avg Total Assets 15.43b |
| (D) -0.14 = Book Value of Equity -2.41b / Total Liabilities 17.17b |
| Total Rating: -0.01 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 70.01
| 1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield 1.66% = 0.83 |
| 3. FCF Margin 8.95% = 2.24 |
| 4. Debt/Equity -9.39 = -2.50 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.11 = -0.22 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 53.67)% = 12.50 |
| 7. RoE -204.7% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 83.26% = 6.24 |
| 9. EPS Trend 68.26% = 3.41 |
What is the price of ORLY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.91%, over one month by -12.40%, over three months by -3.95% and over the past year by +22.85%.
Is O’Reilly Automotive a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ORLY is around 102.69 USD . This means that ORLY is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 8.74%.
Is ORLY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 14
- Buy: 6
- Hold: 7
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the ORLY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 109.5 | 15.9% |
| Analysts Target Price | 109.5 | 15.9% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 113.5 | 20.2% |
ORLY Fundamental Data Overview October 25, 2025
P/E Trailing = 34.0035
P/E Forward = 31.1526
P/S = 5.0156
P/B = 210.1772
P/EG = 2.1923
Beta = 0.598
Revenue TTM = 17.46b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.38b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.88b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.52b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 436.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.40b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.20b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 94.07b USD (85.88b + Debt 8.40b - CCE 204.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.72 (Ebit TTM 3.38b / Interest Expense TTM 229.9m)
FCF Yield = 1.66% (FCF TTM 1.56b / Enterprise Value 94.07b)
FCF Margin = 8.95% (FCF TTM 1.56b / Revenue TTM 17.46b)
Net Margin = 14.22% (Net Income TTM 2.48b / Revenue TTM 17.46b)
Gross Margin = 51.47% ((Revenue TTM 17.46b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.47b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.85% (prev 51.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.78 (Enterprise Value 94.07b / Total Assets 16.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.71% (Interest Expense 59.6m / Debt 8.40b)
Taxrate = 21.41% (197.8m / 923.6m)
NOPAT = 2.66b (EBIT 3.38b * (1 - 21.41%))
Current Ratio = 0.76 (Total Current Assets 6.60b / Total Current Liabilities 8.71b)
Debt / Equity = -9.39 (negative equity) (Debt 8.40b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -894.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.11 (Net Debt 8.20b / EBITDA 3.88b)
Debt / FCF = 5.25 (Net Debt 8.20b / FCF TTM 1.56b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -1.21b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.26% (Net Income 2.48b / Total Assets 16.28b)
RoE = -204.7% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 2.48b / Total Stockholder Equity -1.21b)
RoCE = 78.58% (EBIT 3.38b / Capital Employed (Equity -1.21b + L.T.Debt 5.52b))
RoIC = 61.21% (NOPAT 2.66b / Invested Capital 4.35b)
WACC = 7.54% (E(85.88b)/V(94.28b) * Re(8.22%) + D(8.40b)/V(94.28b) * Rd(0.71%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.01%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 76.47% ; FCFE base≈1.72b ; Y1≈1.59b ; Y5≈1.45b
Fair Price DCF = 29.79 (DCF Value 25.23b / Shares Outstanding 846.8m; 5y FCF grow -9.30% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 68.26 | EPS CAGR: 16.39% | SUE: 1.00 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 83.26 | Revenue CAGR: 9.74% | SUE: 0.24 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for ORLY Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle