(ORLY) O’Reilly Automotive - Overview

Sector: Consumer Cyclical | Industry: Auto Parts | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 76.175m USD | Total Return: -0.2% in 12m

Auto Parts, Tools, Maintenance Supplies, Accessories, Shop Equipment
Total Rating 59
Safety 46
Buy Signal -0.22
Auto Parts
Industry Rotation: +2.7
Market Cap: 76.2B
Avg Turnover: 501M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility21.9%
VaR 5th Pctl3.89%
VaR vs Median7.56%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio-0.08
Rel. Str. IBD24.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group65.6
Character TTM
Beta0.267
Beta Downside0.294
Hurst Exponent0.535
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD19.03%
CAGR/Max DD0.75
CAGR/Mean DD2.55
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ORLY over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.47, "2021-06": 0.56, "2021-09": 0.54, "2021-12": 0.51, "2022-03": 0.48, "2022-06": 0.59, "2022-09": 0.61, "2022-12": 0.56, "2023-03": 0.55, "2023-06": 0.68, "2023-09": 0.71, "2023-12": 0.62, "2024-03": 0.61, "2024-06": 0.7, "2024-09": 0.76, "2024-12": 0.63, "2025-03": 0.62, "2025-06": 0.78, "2025-09": 0.85, "2025-12": 0.71, "2026-03": 0.72,
EPS CAGR: 5.45%
EPS Trend: 69.1%
Last SUE: 0.20
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of ORLY over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 3090.899, 2021-06: 3465.601, 2021-09: 3479.57, 2021-12: 3291.493, 2022-03: 3296.011, 2022-06: 3670.737, 2022-09: 3798.619, 2022-12: 3644.493, 2023-03: 3707.864, 2023-06: 4068.991, 2023-09: 4203.38, 2023-12: 3832.015, 2024-03: 3976.24, 2024-06: 4272.201, 2024-09: 4364.437, 2024-12: 4095.601, 2025-03: 4136.924, 2025-06: 4525.058, 2025-09: 4705.696, 2025-12: 4414.314, 2026-03: 4560.539,
Rev. CAGR: 5.96%
Rev. Trend: 88.3%
Last SUE: 2.78
Qual. Beats: 1

Warnings

Altman Z'' -0.04 < 1.0 - financial distress zone

Choppy

Tailwinds

Confidence

Description: ORLY O’Reilly Automotive

OReilly Automotive Inc. (ORLY) is a leading distributor and retailer in the automotive aftermarket industry, operating across the United States, Puerto Rico, Mexico, and Canada. The company utilizes a dual-channel business model, serving both Do-It-Yourself (DIY) customers and Professional Service Providers (Pro). This strategy mitigates cyclical risk, as the professional segment often stabilizes revenue during economic downturns when consumers defer new vehicle purchases.

The company provides an extensive inventory of hard parts, maintenance items, and professional-grade equipment under various proprietary and national brands. Beyond product sales, O’Reilly differentiates through value-added services such as battery testing, tool loans, and technical diagnostics. In the automotive retail sector, success is heavily dependent on supply chain efficiency and high inventory availability to meet need-it-now consumer demand.

Investors looking for deeper fundamental analysis of this retail model should explore the valuation tools on ValueRay. Founded in 1957 and headquartered in Springfield, Missouri, the company maintains a significant footprint in the domestic and imported vehicle parts market.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Expansion of professional service provider sales drives dual-channel revenue growth
  • Average vehicle age increases demand for aftermarket maintenance and hard parts
  • Supply chain efficiency and private label brands protect operating margins
  • High interest rates and inflation shift consumer behavior toward vehicle repair
  • Strategic store footprint expansion in Mexico and Canada builds international scale
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 7.0
Net Income: 2.60b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.11 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -2.04 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: -12.40% < 20% (prev -14.71%; Δ 2.31% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.18 > 3% & CFO 3.04b > Net Income 2.60b
Net Debt (8.48b) to EBITDA (4.10b): 2.07 < 3
Current Ratio: 0.76 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (842.5m) vs 12m ago -2.52% < -2%
Gross Margin: 51.63% > 18% (prev 0.51%; Δ 5.11k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 113.0% > 50% (prev 110.3%; Δ 2.67% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 14.88 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 4.10b / Interest Expense TTM 240.2m)
Altman Z'' -0.04
A: -0.13 (Total Current Assets 6.97b - Total Current Liabilities 9.22b) / Total Assets 16.94b
B: -0.16 (Retained Earnings -2.64b / Total Assets 16.94b)
C: 0.22 (EBIT TTM 3.57b / Avg Total Assets 16.12b)
D: -0.14 (Book Value of Equity -2.60b / Total Liabilities 18.00b)
Altman-Z'' Score: -0.04 = B
Beneish M -3.00
DSRI: 1.06 (Receivables 596.2m/522.1m, Revenue 18.21b/16.87b)
GMI: 0.99 (GM 51.63% / 51.23%)
AQI: 0.92 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.07)
SGI: 1.08 (Revenue 18.21b / 16.87b)
TATA: -0.03 (NI 2.60b - CFO 3.04b) / TA 16.94b)
Beneish M-Score: -3.00 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of ORLY shares? As of May 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 92.22 with a total of 4,601,028 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.81%, over one month by -0.66%, over three months by -1.37% and over the past year by -0.21%.
Is ORLY a buy, sell or hold? O’Reilly Automotive has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.14. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ORLY.
  • StrongBuy: 14
  • Buy: 6
  • Hold: 7
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the ORLY price?
Analysts Target Price 109.7 19%
O’Reilly Automotive (ORLY) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 21 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 29.9414
P/E Forward = 27.7778
P/S = 4.1842
P/B = 206.1799
P/EG = 2.3044
Revenue TTM = 18.21b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.57b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.10b USD
Long Term Debt = 6.20b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 445.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.73b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.48b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 84.65b USD (76.18b + Debt 8.73b - CCE 252.6m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.88 (Ebit TTM 3.57b / Interest Expense TTM 240.2m)
EV/FCF = 44.24x (Enterprise Value 84.65b / FCF TTM 1.91b)
FCF Yield = 2.26% (FCF TTM 1.91b / Enterprise Value 84.65b)
FCF Margin = 10.51% (FCF TTM 1.91b / Revenue TTM 18.21b)
Net Margin = 14.30% (Net Income TTM 2.60b / Revenue TTM 18.21b)
Gross Margin = 51.63% ((Revenue TTM 18.21b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.81b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.47% (prev 51.79%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.00 (Enterprise Value 84.65b / Total Assets 16.94b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.72% (Interest Expense 62.7m / Debt 8.73b)
Taxrate = 22.55% (175.9m / 780.1m)
NOPAT = 2.77b (EBIT 3.57b * (1 - 22.55%))
Current Ratio = 0.76 (Total Current Assets 6.97b / Total Current Liabilities 9.22b)
 Debt / Equity = -8.18 (negative equity) (Debt 8.73b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -1.07b)
 Debt / EBITDA = 2.07 (Net Debt 8.48b / EBITDA 4.10b)
Debt / FCF = 4.43 (Net Debt 8.48b / FCF TTM 1.91b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -989.2m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 16.16% (Net Income 2.60b / Total Assets 16.94b)
 RoE = -263.2% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 2.60b / Total Stockholder Equity -989.2m)
 RoCE = 68.67% (EBIT 3.57b / Capital Employed (Equity -989.2m + L.T.Debt 6.20b))
RoIC = 55.39% (NOPAT 2.77b / Invested Capital 5.00b)
WACC = 6.27% (E(76.18b)/V(84.91b) * Re(6.92%) + D(8.73b)/V(84.91b) * Rd(0.72%) * (1-Tc(0.23)))
Discount Rate = 6.92% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 7.92%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -11.11 | Cagr: -0.52%
[DCF] Terminal Value 83.73% ; FCFF base≈1.96b ; Y1≈1.72b ; Y5≈1.41b
[DCF] Fair Price = 36.98 (EV 39.12b - Net Debt 8.48b = Equity 30.65b / Shares 828.7m; r=6.27% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow -15.03% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 69.12 | EPS CAGR: 5.45% | SUE: 0.20 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 88.30 | Revenue CAGR: 5.96% | SUE: 2.78 | # QB: 1
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=0.86 | Chg30d=+0.55% | Revisions=+38% | Analysts=17
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=0.91 | Chg30d=+0.12% | Revisions=+29% | Analysts=17
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=3.25 | Chg30d=+0.38% | Revisions=+68% | GrowthEPS=+9.6% | GrowthRev=+7.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=3.61 | Chg30d=+0.74% | Revisions=+53% | GrowthEPS=+11.1% | GrowthRev=+6.1%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +68%