Overview Dividends

(ORLY) O’Reilly Automotive - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US67103H1077

Parts, Tools, Accessories, Fluids, Equipment

ORLY EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 16.39%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 68.3%

ORLY Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 9.74%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 83.3%

Risk via 10d forecast
Volatility	19.9%
Value at Risk 5%th	33.0%
Relative Tail Risk	0.66%

Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio	0.78
Alpha	13.94

Character TTM
Hurst Exponent	0.510
Beta	0.173
Beta Downside	0.040

Drawdowns 3y
Max DD	18.07%
Mean DD	4.14%
Median DD	3.58%

Description: ORLY O’Reilly Automotive September 25, 2025

OReilly Automotive, Inc. (NASDAQ: ORLY) is a leading North-American retailer and supplier of aftermarket automotive parts, tools, accessories and related services, operating across the United States, Puerto Rico, Mexico and Canada. The company’s product mix spans new and remanufactured hard parts (e.g., alternators, batteries, brake components, engine parts, filters, fluids) and consumer accessories (e.g., floor mats, seat covers, truck gear), as well as professional-grade paint, equipment and a suite of value-added services such as recycling, diagnostic testing, loaner-tool programs and custom hydraulic hose fabrication.

Key operational metrics show the business scaling efficiently: FY 2024 revenue reached approximately **$13.5 billion**, with **same-store sales growth of 6.5 %** year-over-year and an **operating margin near 7.8 %**. The network now exceeds **6,200 stores**, and inventory turnover remains above industry average, reflecting strong supply-chain execution despite recent semiconductor constraints. Macro-level drivers-including the rising average age of the U.S. vehicle fleet (now ~12 years) and a robust DIY repair culture-continue to expand the total addressable market, which the aftermarket segment is growing at roughly **4 % CAGR**.

For a deeper quantitative comparison of ORLY’s valuation metrics against peers, the ValueRay platform offers a concise dashboard that can help you assess the trade-off between growth and margin.

ORLY Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	77,581m
Sub-Industry	Automotive Retail
IPO / Inception	1993-04-22
Return 12m vs S&P 500	5.60%
Analyst Rating	4.14 of 5

ORLY Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

ORLY Growth Ratios

CAGR 3y	21.13%
CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio	1.17
CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio	5.10
Current Volume	3351.7k
Average Volume	5234.7k

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0

Net Income (2.48b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.05b TTM)

FCFTA 0.10 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -3.82pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -12.10% (prev -15.12%; Δ 3.02pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.17 (>3.0%) and CFO 2.75b > Net Income 2.48b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (8.20b) to EBITDA (3.88b) ratio: 2.11 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 0.76 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (852.7m) change vs 12m ago 1.38% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 51.47% (prev 51.21%; Δ 0.27pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 113.2% (prev 112.8%; Δ 0.38pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 14.72 (EBITDA TTM 3.88b / Interest Expense TTM 229.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -0.01

(A) -0.13 = (Total Current Assets 6.60b - Total Current Liabilities 8.71b) / Total Assets 16.28b

(B) -0.15 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -2.44b / Total Assets 16.28b

(D) -0.14 = Book Value of Equity -2.41b / Total Liabilities 17.17b

Total Rating: -0.01 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 70.09

1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0

2. FCF Yield 1.82% = 0.91

3. FCF Margin 8.95% = 2.24

4. Debt/Equity -9.39 = -2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda 2.11 = -0.22

6. ROIC - WACC (= 55.16)% = 12.50

7. RoE -204.7% = -2.50

8. Rev. Trend 83.26% = 6.24

9. EPS Trend 68.26% = 3.41

What is the price of ORLY shares?

As of November 16, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 98.80 with a total of 3,351,700 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.76%, over one month by -4.12%, over three months by -2.66% and over the past year by +21.04%.

Is O’Reilly Automotive a good stock to buy?

Partly, yes. Based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, O’Reilly Automotive (NASDAQ:ORLY) is currently (November 2025) ok to buy, but has to be watched. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 70.09 and therefor a somewhat positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of ORLY is around 106.47 USD . This means that ORLY is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of 7.76%.

Is ORLY a buy, sell or hold?

O’Reilly Automotive has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.14. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ORLY.

Strong Buy: 14
Buy: 6
Hold: 7
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the ORLY price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	110.1	11.5%
Analysts Target Price	110.1	11.5%
ValueRay Target Price	116.1	17.5%

ORLY Fundamental Data Overview November 05, 2025

Market Cap USD = 77.58b (77.58b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 31.7301
P/E Forward = 31.1526
P/S = 4.4425
P/B = 210.1772
P/EG = 2.1923
Beta = 0.598
Revenue TTM = 17.46b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.38b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.88b USD
Long Term Debt = 5.52b USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 436.7m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 8.40b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 8.20b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 85.78b USD (77.58b + Debt 8.40b - CCE 204.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 14.72 (Ebit TTM 3.38b / Interest Expense TTM 229.9m)
FCF Yield = 1.82% (FCF TTM 1.56b / Enterprise Value 85.78b)
FCF Margin = 8.95% (FCF TTM 1.56b / Revenue TTM 17.46b)
Net Margin = 14.22% (Net Income TTM 2.48b / Revenue TTM 17.46b)
Gross Margin = 51.47% ((Revenue TTM 17.46b - Cost of Revenue TTM 8.47b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 51.85% (prev 51.41%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 5.27 (Enterprise Value 85.78b / Total Assets 16.28b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.71% (Interest Expense 59.6m / Debt 8.40b)
Taxrate = 21.41% (197.8m / 923.6m)
NOPAT = 2.66b (EBIT 3.38b * (1 - 21.41%))
Current Ratio = 0.76 (Total Current Assets 6.60b / Total Current Liabilities 8.71b)
Debt / Equity = -9.39 (negative equity) (Debt 8.40b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter -894.7m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.11 (Net Debt 8.20b / EBITDA 3.88b)
Debt / FCF = 5.25 (Net Debt 8.20b / FCF TTM 1.56b)
Total Stockholder Equity = -1.21b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 15.26% (Net Income 2.48b / Total Assets 16.28b)
RoE = -204.7% (negative equity) (Net Income TTM 2.48b / Total Stockholder Equity -1.21b)
RoCE = 78.58% (EBIT 3.38b / Capital Employed (Equity -1.21b + L.T.Debt 5.52b))
RoIC = 61.21% (NOPAT 2.66b / Invested Capital 4.35b)
WACC = 6.05% (E(77.58b)/V(85.98b) * Re(6.65%) + D(8.40b)/V(85.98b) * Rd(0.71%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 0.01%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 77.12% ; FCFE base≈1.72b ; Y1≈1.59b ; Y5≈1.45b
Fair Price DCF = 30.80 (DCF Value 26.06b / Shares Outstanding 846.0m; 5y FCF grow -9.30% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 68.26 | EPS CAGR: 16.39% | SUE: 1.00 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 83.26 | Revenue CAGR: 9.74% | SUE: 0.24 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for ORLY Stock

News: Wall Street Journal | Benzinga | Yahoo Finance
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle