ORRF Stock Analysis: Orrstown Financial | NASDAQ

Banks - Regional | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 820m USD | 12M Return: 24.5% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Commercial Banking, Commercial Loans, Mortgage Lending, Wealth Management
Total Rating 41
Safety 71
Buy Signal -0.11
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: +3.8
Market Cap: 820M
Avg Turnover: 6.33M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility31.0%
VaR 5th Pctl4.30%
VaR vs Median-12.1%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.79
Rel. Str. IBD60.9
Rel. Str. Peer Group31.3
Character TTM
Beta0.630
Beta Downside0.517
Hurst Exponent0.456
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD35.92%
CAGR/Max DD0.90
CAGR/Mean DD3.06
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of ORRF over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 0.79, "2021-09": 0.63, "2021-12": 0.58, "2022-03": 0.77, "2022-06": 0.83, "2022-09": 0.75, "2022-12": 0.91, "2023-03": 0.87, "2023-06": 0.94, "2023-09": 0.87, "2023-12": 0.83, "2024-03": 0.88, "2024-06": 0.83, "2024-09": 1.11, "2024-12": 0.87, "2025-03": 1, "2025-06": 1.04, "2025-09": 1.13, "2025-12": 1.11, "2026-03": 1.12,
EPS CAGR: 9.04%
EPS Trend: 91.6%
Last SUE: 1.06
Qual. Beats: 1
Revenue Revenue of ORRF over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 30.001, 2021-09: 29.548, 2021-12: 30.872, 2022-03: 30.959, 2022-06: 32.226, 2022-09: 33.148, 2022-12: 37.986, 2023-03: 40.057, 2023-06: 43.751, 2023-09: 44.302, 2023-12: 46.187, 2024-03: 48.929, 2024-06: 50.112, 2024-09: 94.589, 2024-12: 90.457, 2025-03: 86.466, 2025-06: 87.133, 2025-09: 89.612, 2025-12: 90.652, 2026-03: 89.941,
Rev. CAGR: 43.99%
Rev. Trend: 96.4%
Last SUE: 0.79
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 10.5 years of data

Jan -0.7% 14
Feb -1.4% 27
Mar -3.9% 40
Apr +0.6% 11
May -0.1% 0
Jun +5.0% 46
Jul +2.4% 33
Aug -0.7% 6
Sep -3.0% 26
Oct +1.1% 9
Nov +2.5% 25
Dec -0.1% 8

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: ORRF Orrstown Financial

Orrstown Financial Services, Inc. (NASDAQ: ORRF) is the holding company for Orrstown Bank, a regional bank headquartered in Harrisburg, Pennsylvania, founded in 1919. The company operates as a community-oriented financial institution providing commercial banking and financial advisory services to retail, commercial, non-profit, and government clients across the United States.

Its core business activities include accepting a full suite of deposit products-checking, savings, time, demand, money market, and certificates of deposit-and originating a diversified loan portfolio spanning commercial real estate, equipment, construction, working capital, industrial, consumer, residential mortgage, agricultural, acquisition and development, municipal, and installment loans. This broad loan mix is typical of regional banks, which tend to serve as primary lenders within their local markets and rely on relationship-based banking rather than the national scale of money-center banks.

In addition to traditional banking, Orrstown offers wealth management and fiduciary services-including trust, estate, and investment advisory work-under the Orrstown Financial Advisors brand, along with retail brokerage delivered through a third-party broker/dealer arrangement. The combination of community banking and wealth management is a common dual-engine strategy among U.S. regional banks, where fee-based advisory income helps diversify revenue beyond net interest income.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Net interest margin compresses as Fed cuts rates
  • Commercial real estate loan portfolio raises credit concerns
  • Wealth management fee income growth offsets margin pressure
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 3.0
Net Income: 84.6m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.02 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 34.07% < 20% (prev -1.35k%; Δ 1.39k% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 89.3m > Net Income 84.6m
Net Debt (-732.8m) to EBITDA (120.7m): -6.07 < 3
Current Ratio: 1.14 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (19.4m) vs 12m ago 0.42% < -2%
Gross Margin: 71.06% > 18% (prev 62.58%; Δ 8.49% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 6.49% > 50% (prev 5.91%; Δ 0.58% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 1.05 > 6 (EBIT TTM 107.5m / Interest Expense TTM 102.5m)
Altman Z'' 0.52
A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 1.02b - Total Current Liabilities 895.4m) / Total Assets 5.58b
B: 0.04 (Retained Earnings 202.7m / Total Assets 5.58b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 107.5m / Avg Total Assets 5.51b)
D: 0.12 (Book Value of Equity 603.2m / Total Liabilities 4.97b)
Altman-Z'' = 0.52 = B
Beneish M -3.17
DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 21.2m/19.9m, Revenue 357.3m/321.6m)
GMI: 0.88 (GM 62.58% / 71.06%)
AQI: 0.87 (AQ_t 0.81 / AQ_t-1 0.93)
SGI: 1.11 (Revenue 357.3m / 321.6m)
TATA: -0.00 (NI 84.6m - CFO 89.3m) / TA 5.58b)
Beneish M = -3.17 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of ORRF shares?

As of July 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 40.39 with a total of 99,394 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -0.83%, over one month by +6.74%, over three months by +9.42% and over the past year by +24.49%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 39.10 (which is 3.2% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is ORRF a buy, sell or hold?

Orrstown Financial has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.40. Therefore, it is recommended to buy ORRF.

  • StrongBuy: 2
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the ORRF price?
Analysts Target Price 41.8 3.4%
Orrstown Financial (ORRF) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 03 July 2026
Market Cap USD = 819.7m (819.7m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 9.5469
P/E Forward = 8.8889
P/S = 3.2099
P/B = 1.358
Revenue TTM = 357.3m USD
EBIT TTM = 107.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = 120.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 244.0m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 19.3m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 263.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -732.8m USD (calculated: Debt 263.2m - CCE 996.0m)
Enterprise Value = 86.9m USD (819.7m + Debt 263.2m - CCE 996.0m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.05 (Ebit TTM 107.5m / Interest Expense TTM 102.5m)
EV/FCF = 1.00x (Enterprise Value 86.9m / FCF TTM 87.0m)
FCF Yield = 100.1% (FCF TTM 87.0m / Enterprise Value 86.9m)
FCF Margin = 24.34% (FCF TTM 87.0m / Revenue TTM 357.3m)
Net Margin = 23.68% (Net Income TTM 84.6m / Revenue TTM 357.3m)
Gross Margin = 71.06% ((Revenue TTM 357.3m - Cost of Revenue TTM 103.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 71.41% (prev 71.62%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.02 (Enterprise Value 86.9m / Total Assets 5.58b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 38.96% (Interest Expense 102.5m / Debt 263.2m)
Taxrate = 21.20% (22.8m / 107.4m)
NOPAT = 84.7m (EBIT 107.5m * (1 - 21.20%))
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 1.02b / Total Current Liabilities 895.4m)
Debt / Equity = 0.44 (Debt 263.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 603.2m)
Debt / EBITDA = -6.07 (Net Debt -732.8m / EBITDA 120.7m)
Debt / FCF = -8.43 (Net Debt -732.8m / FCF TTM 87.0m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 578.8m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.54% (Net Income 84.6m / Total Assets 5.58b)
RoE = 14.62% (Net Income TTM 84.6m / Total Stockholder Equity 578.8m)
RoCE = 13.06% (EBIT 107.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 578.8m + L.T.Debt 244.0m))
RoIC = 1.52% (NOPAT 84.7m / Invested Capital 5.56b)
WACC = 13.67% (E(819.7m)/V(1.08b) * Re(8.20%) + D(263.2m)/V(1.08b) * Rd(38.96%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.20% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 77.78 | Cagr: 31.85%
[DCF] Terminal Value 62.73% ; FCFF base≈63.9m ; Y1≈73.3m ; Y5≈107.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 79.63 (EV 831.8m - Net Debt -732.8m = Equity 1.56b / Shares 19.6m; r=13.67% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 91.65 | EPS CAGR: 9.04% | SUE: 1.06 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 96.36 | Revenue CAGR: 43.99% | SUE: 0.79 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.03 | Chg30d=-0.48% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=4
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.06 | Chg30d=+0.47% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=4
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=4.23 | Chg30d=+0.71% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-1.1% | GrowthRev=+1.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=4.29 | Chg30d=+0.29% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+1.4% | GrowthRev=+3.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +29% (up=3, down=1)