(OTLY) Oatly - Ratings and Ratios
Oatmilk, Oatgurts, Frozen Desserts, Cooking Cream, ReadyToDrink
OTLY EPS (Earnings per Share)
OTLY Revenue
Description: OTLY Oatly
Oatly Group AB is a leading plant-based dairy company offering a diverse range of oat-based products globally, including oatmilk, oat yogurts, frozen desserts, and cooking products. The companys product portfolio caters to various consumer preferences, with options such as original, low-fat, and flavored oatmilk, as well as barista edition oatmilk and oat-based yogurts.
From a business perspective, Oatly operates in a competitive market within the packaged foods industry, specifically in the rapidly growing plant-based segment. The companys global presence spans across multiple regions, including Europe, Asia Pacific, and the Americas, with distribution through retail and e-commerce channels. Key performance indicators (KPIs) to monitor Oatlys success include revenue growth rate, gross margin, and customer acquisition costs. Notably, the companys ability to maintain a strong brand identity and expand its product offerings will be crucial in driving future growth.
To further analyze Oatlys financial health, key metrics to examine include its operating cash flow, capital expenditure, and return on assets (ROA). Given the companys negative return on equity (ROE) of -96.47%, it is essential to assess the drivers behind this loss, such as research and development expenses, marketing spend, and operational costs. Additionally, monitoring Oatlys cash burn rate and runway will provide insights into its financial sustainability.
From a valuation perspective, Oatlys market capitalization stands at $355.25 million. Although the company does not have a reported P/E ratio, analyzing its enterprise value-to-EBITDA (EV/EBITDA) ratio and comparing it to industry peers can provide a more comprehensive understanding of its valuation. As Oatly continues to grow and expand its product offerings, closely monitoring its financial performance, operational efficiency, and market trends will be vital in determining its future success.
OTLY Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 544m |
| Sub-Industry | Packaged Foods & Meats |
| IPO / Inception | 2021-05-20 |
OTLY Stock Ratings
| Growth Rating | -50.8% |
| Fundamental | 20.5% |
| Dividend Rating | - |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | -16.4% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.13 of 5 |
OTLY Dividends
Currently no dividends paidOTLY Growth Ratios
| Growth Correlation 3m | 90.5% |
| Growth Correlation 12m | -14.4% |
| Growth Correlation 5y | -94.9% |
| CAGR 5y | -33.29% |
| CAGR/Max DD 3y | -0.38 |
| CAGR/Mean DD 3y | -0.50 |
| Sharpe Ratio 12m | 0.66 |
| Alpha | -16.58 |
| Beta | 0.708 |
| Volatility | 61.40% |
| Current Volume | 80.9k |
| Average Volume 20d | 108.5k |
| Stop Loss | 16.8 (-6.4%) |
| Signal | 0.76 |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (-194.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 49.7m TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.19 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.80pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -33.84% (prev -21.43%; Δ -12.42pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO -43.4m > Net Income -194.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 0.49 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (30.1m) change vs 12m ago 0.83% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 30.62% (prev 24.36%; Δ 6.26pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 95.47% (prev 85.11%; Δ 10.37pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -4.72 (EBITDA TTM -28.4m / Interest Expense TTM 13.6m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -10.06
| (A) -0.35 = (Total Current Assets 271.5m - Total Current Liabilities 551.8m) / Total Assets 803.1m |
| (B) -1.63 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.31b / Total Assets 803.1m |
| warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.63 — check mapping/units |
| (C) -0.07 = EBIT TTM -64.2m / Avg Total Assets 867.5m |
| (D) -1.86 = Book Value of Equity -1.31b / Total Liabilities 706.3m |
| Total Rating: -10.06 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 20.52
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0 |
| 2. FCF Yield -16.81% = -5.0 |
| 3. FCF Margin -18.79% = -7.05 |
| 4. Debt/Equity 4.71 = -2.46 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda -15.86 = -2.50 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC -16.87% = -12.50 |
| 7. RoE -141.1% = -2.50 |
| 8. Rev. Trend 75.52% = 3.78 |
| 9. Rev. CAGR 4.83% = 0.60 |
| 10. EPS Trend 6.02% = 0.15 |
| 11. EPS CAGR 0.0% = 0.0 |
What is the price of OTLY shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +2.40%, over one month by +5.09%, over three months by +37.86% and over the past year by -1.16%.
Is Oatly a good stock to buy?
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of OTLY is around 14.63 USD . This means that OTLY is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -18.5%.
Is OTLY a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 3
- Buy: 3
- Hold: 2
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the OTLY price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 20.3 | 13.3% |
| Analysts Target Price | 20.3 | 13.3% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 15.9 | -11.3% |
Last update: 2025-09-15 04:42
OTLY Fundamental Data Overview
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 67.9m USD (Cash only, last quarter)
P/S = 0.6569
P/B = 5.7022
Beta = 1.969
Revenue TTM = 828.2m USD
EBIT TTM = -64.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -28.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 115.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 333.9m USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 449.6m USD (Calculated: Short Term 333.9m + Long Term 115.7m)
Net Debt = 381.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 925.8m USD (544.1m + Debt 449.6m - CCE 67.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -4.72 (Ebit TTM -64.2m / Interest Expense TTM 13.6m)
FCF Yield = -16.81% (FCF TTM -155.6m / Enterprise Value 925.8m)
FCF Margin = -18.79% (FCF TTM -155.6m / Revenue TTM 828.2m)
Net Margin = -23.44% (Net Income TTM -194.1m / Revenue TTM 828.2m)
Gross Margin = 30.62% ((Revenue TTM 828.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 574.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = -0.71 (set to none) (Enterprise Value 925.8m / Book Value Of Equity -1.31b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.02% (Interest Expense 13.6m / Debt 449.6m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default)
NOPAT = -64.2m (EBIT -64.2m, no tax applied on loss)
Current Ratio = 0.49 (Total Current Assets 271.5m / Total Current Liabilities 551.8m)
Debt / Equity = 4.71 (Debt 449.6m / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 95.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = -15.86 (Net Debt 381.7m / EBITDA -28.4m)
Debt / FCF = -2.89 (Debt 449.6m / FCF TTM -155.6m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 137.6m (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = -24.18% (Net Income -194.1m, Total Assets 803.1m )
RoE = -141.1% (Net Income TTM -194.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 137.6m)
RoCE = -25.34% (Ebit -64.2m / (Equity 137.6m + L.T.Debt 115.7m))
RoIC = -11.07% (NOPAT -64.2m / Invested Capital 579.9m)
WACC = 5.80% (E(544.1m)/V(993.7m) * Re(8.62%)) + (D(449.6m)/V(993.7m) * Rd(3.02%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 48.48 | Cagr: 0.14%
Discount Rate = 8.62% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -155.6m)
Revenue Correlation: 75.52 | Revenue CAGR: 4.83%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: -0.31
EPS Correlation: 6.02 | EPS CAGR: 0.0%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -19.03
Additional Sources for OTLY Stock
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Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle