Overview Dividends

(OTLY) Oatly - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: Sweden • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US67421J2078

Oatmilk, Oatgurt, Frozen Dessert, Cooking Cream, Ready Drink

OTLY EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): -83.46%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): -39.5%

OTLY Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 4.83%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 75.5%

Description: OTLY Oatly October 26, 2025

Oatly Group AB (NASDAQ:OTLY) is a Swedish-based oat-milk company that markets a broad portfolio of plant-based dairy alternatives-including original, low-fat, full-fat, chocolate, unsweetened, Super Basic, Barista-edition, oat-based yogurts (Oatgurts), frozen desserts, cooking creams, crème fraîche, whipping cream, custard, spreads, and ready-to-go drinks-through both retail and e-commerce channels across Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Asia-Pacific, Latin America, the United States, Canada, Mainland China, Hong Kong, and Taiwan. The firm, founded in 1994 and formerly known as Havre Global AB, rebranded to Oatly Group AB in March 2021 and operates under the Packaged Foods & Meats GICS sub-industry.

Key recent metrics: FY 2023 reported net sales of approximately $1.0 billion, with a gross margin around 30% after a temporary dip due to higher commodity and logistics costs; the company’s “Barista” line now accounts for roughly 25% of total volume, driven by strong café adoption. Macro-level drivers include accelerating consumer shift toward plant-based proteins (global market CAGR ≈ 11% 2022-2027) and rising input-price volatility for oats and packaging, which together shape Oatly’s pricing power and cost structure.

For a deeper, data-rich assessment of Oatly’s valuation dynamics, consider exploring the analytical tools and benchmark comparisons available on ValueRay.

OTLY Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	473m
Sub-Industry	Packaged Foods & Meats
IPO / Inception	2021-05-20

OTLY Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	-37.1%
Fundamental	24.1%
Dividend Rating	-
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-13.2%
Analyst Rating	4.13 of 5

OTLY Dividends

Currently no dividends paid

OTLY Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	-72.3%
Growth Correlation 12m	46.6%
Growth Correlation 5y	-94%
CAGR 5y	-32.57%
CAGR/Max DD 3y (Calmar Ratio)	-0.37
CAGR/Mean DD 3y (Pain Ratio)	-0.56
Sharpe Ratio 12m	-0.38
Alpha	-38.34
Beta	1.948
Volatility	66.41%
Current Volume	72k
Average Volume 20d	111.9k
Stop Loss	14.1 (-7.2%)
Signal	-0.20

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0

Net Income (-194.1m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 49.7m TTM)

FCFTA -0.09 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 10.71pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue -33.84% (prev -21.43%; Δ -12.42pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA -0.05 (>3.0%) and CFO -43.4m > Net Income -194.1m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0)

Current Ratio 0.49 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (30.1m) change vs 12m ago 0.83% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 30.62% (prev 24.36%; Δ 6.26pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 95.47% (prev 85.11%; Δ 10.37pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio -2.14 (EBITDA TTM -82.4m / Interest Expense TTM 61.0m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' -10.90

(A) -0.35 = (Total Current Assets 271.5m - Total Current Liabilities 551.8m) / Total Assets 803.1m

(B) -1.63 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.31b / Total Assets 803.1m

warn (B) unusual magnitude: -1.63 — check mapping/units

(D) -2.17 = Book Value of Equity -1.53b / Total Liabilities 706.3m

Total Rating: -10.90 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 24.13

1. Piotroski 3.0pt = -2.0

2. FCF Yield -8.34% = -4.17

3. FCF Margin -9.04% = -3.39

4. Debt/Equity 5.16 = -2.50

5. Debt/Ebitda -5.15 = -2.50

6. ROIC - WACC (= -31.53)% = -12.50

7. RoE -141.1% = -2.50

8. Rev. Trend 75.52% = 5.66

9. EPS Trend -39.53% = -1.98

What is the price of OTLY shares?

As of November 09, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 15.19 with a total of 72,008 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.80%, over one month by +2.98%, over three months by -7.72% and over the past year by -0.98%.

Is Oatly a good stock to buy?

No, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Oatly (NASDAQ:OTLY) is currently (November 2025) a stock to sell. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 24.13 and therefor a negative outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of OTLY is around 10.66 USD . This means that OTLY is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -29.82%.

Is OTLY a buy, sell or hold?

Oatly has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.13. Therefore, it is recommended to buy OTLY.

Strong Buy: 3
Buy: 3
Hold: 2
Sell: 0
Strong Sell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the OTLY price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	20.5	35%
Analysts Target Price	20.5	35%
ValueRay Target Price	11.9	-21.9%

OTLY Fundamental Data Overview October 30, 2025

Market Cap USD = 473.5m (473.5m USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 0.5717
P/B = 4.9334
Beta = 1.948
Revenue TTM = 828.2m USD
EBIT TTM = -130.5m USD
EBITDA TTM = -82.4m USD
Long Term Debt = 115.7m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 347.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 492.6m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 424.7m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 898.1m USD (473.5m + Debt 492.6m - CCE 67.9m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -2.14 (Ebit TTM -130.5m / Interest Expense TTM 61.0m)
FCF Yield = -8.34% (FCF TTM -74.9m / Enterprise Value 898.1m)
FCF Margin = -9.04% (FCF TTM -74.9m / Revenue TTM 828.2m)
Net Margin = -23.44% (Net Income TTM -194.1m / Revenue TTM 828.2m)
Gross Margin = 30.62% ((Revenue TTM 828.2m - Cost of Revenue TTM 574.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 32.46% (prev 31.55%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.12 (Enterprise Value 898.1m / Total Assets 803.1m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.33% (Interest Expense 16.4m / Debt 492.6m)
Taxrate = -3.54% (negative due to tax credits) (1.91m / -54.0m)
NOPAT = -135.1m (EBIT -130.5m * (1 - -3.54%)) [loss with tax shield] [negative tax rate / tax credits]
Current Ratio = 0.49 (Total Current Assets 271.5m / Total Current Liabilities 551.8m)
Debt / Equity = 5.16 (Debt 492.6m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 95.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = -5.15 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 424.7m / EBITDA -82.4m)
Debt / FCF = -5.67 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 424.7m / FCF TTM -74.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 137.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -24.18% (Net Income -194.1m / Total Assets 803.1m)
RoE = -141.1% (Net Income TTM -194.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 137.6m)
RoCE = -51.52% (EBIT -130.5m / Capital Employed (Equity 137.6m + L.T.Debt 115.7m))
RoIC = -23.30% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -135.1m / Invested Capital 579.9m)
WACC = 8.22% (E(473.5m)/V(966.1m) * Re(13.19%) + D(492.6m)/V(966.1m) * Rd(3.33%) * (1-Tc(-0.04)))
Discount Rate = 13.19% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.55%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -74.9m)
EPS Correlation: -39.53 | EPS CAGR: -83.46% | SUE: -4.0 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 75.52 | Revenue CAGR: 4.83% | SUE: 0.39 | # QB: 0

Additional Sources for OTLY Stock

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