OTTR Stock Analysis: Otter Tail | NASDAQ
Conglomerates | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 3.672m USD | 12M Return: 20.4% | US6896481032 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 19.5M
EPS Trend: -59.8%
Qual. Beats: 2
Rev. Trend: -18.7%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
Seasonality 11.7 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Otter Tail Corporation (NASDAQ: OTTR) is a diversified holding company headquartered in Fergus Falls, Minnesota, operating through three segments: Electric, Manufacturing, and Plastics. The Electric segment is the core business, generating, transmitting, and distributing electricity across Minnesota, North Dakota, and South Dakota, and participating in the Midcontinent Independent System Operator (MISO) wholesale markets. Electricity is produced from a mix of coal, fuel oil, solar, wind, and natural gas, serving residential, commercial, and industrial customers. As a regulated electric utility, this segment benefits from predictable rate-based revenue, though earnings remain sensitive to fuel costs, regulatory outcomes, and MISO market prices.
The Manufacturing segment provides metal fabrication and thermoformed plastic products, with facilities in Georgia, Illinois, and Minnesota serving agricultural, construction, industrial, and recreational vehicle end markets. The Plastics segment produces PVC pipes for municipal water, wastewater, drainage, and other applications, with distribution through independent sales representatives and in-house sales staff. Despite its diversified operations, Otter Tail is classified under the GICS Electric Utilities sub-industry, reflecting the dominant role of its regulated utility business in driving overall financial performance.
- MISO capacity auction results boost electric segment revenue
- Minnesota rate case approval drives electric margin growth
- Federal infrastructure spending lifts PVC pipe demand
| Net Income: 215.9m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -8.73 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 25.61% < 20% (prev 35.91%; Δ -10.29% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.09 > 3% & CFO 382.9m > Net Income 215.9m |
| Net Debt (879.9m) to EBITDA (387.3m): 2.27 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.71 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (42.1m) vs 12m ago -0.04% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 43.97% > 18% (prev 43.23%; Δ 0.74% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 33.60% > 50% (prev 34.83%; Δ -1.23% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 5.35 > 6 (EBIT TTM 267.3m / Interest Expense TTM 50.0m) |
| A: 0.08 (Total Current Assets 837.4m - Total Current Liabilities 490.6m) / Total Assets 4.29b |
| B: 0.29 (Retained Earnings 1.23b / Total Assets 4.29b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 267.3m / Avg Total Assets 4.03b) |
| D: 0.78 (Book Value of Equity 1.88b / Total Liabilities 2.42b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 2.73 = A |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 199.0m/180.8m, Revenue 1.35b/1.31b) |
| GMI: 0.98 (GM 43.23% / 43.97%) |
| AQI: 0.83 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.09) |
| SGI: 1.03 (Revenue 1.35b / 1.31b) |
| TATA: -0.04 (NI 215.9m - CFO 382.9m) / TA 4.29b) |
| Beneish M = -3.07 (Cap -4..+1) = AA |
As of October 17, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 90.13 with a total of 152,268 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.05%, over one month by +1.24%, over three months by -2.75% and over the past year by +20.44%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 87.90 (which is 2.5% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
Otter Tail has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.00. Therefore, it is recommended to hold OTTR.
- StrongBuy: 0
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 4
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 90.5 | 0.4% |
P/E Trailing = 19.0545
P/E Forward = 16.1031
P/S = 2.7923
P/B = 1.9948
P/EG = 2.014
Revenue TTM = 1.35b USD
EBIT TTM = 267.3m USD
EBITDA TTM = 387.3m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.13b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 133.8m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 1.29b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 20.4m
Net Debt = 879.9m USD (calculated: Debt 1.29b - CCE 407.2m)
Enterprise Value = 4.55b USD (3.67b + Debt 1.29b - CCE 407.2m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 5.35 (Ebit TTM 267.3m / Interest Expense TTM 50.0m)
EV/FCF = -21.05x (Enterprise Value 4.55b / FCF TTM -216.2m)
FCF Yield = -4.75% (FCF TTM -216.2m / Enterprise Value 4.55b)
FCF Margin = -15.97% (FCF TTM -216.2m / Revenue TTM 1.35b)
Net Margin = 15.95% (Net Income TTM 215.9m / Revenue TTM 1.35b)
Gross Margin = 43.97% ((Revenue TTM 1.35b - Cost of Revenue TTM 758.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 64.59% (prev 40.76%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.06 (Enterprise Value 4.55b / Total Assets 4.29b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.88% (Interest Expense 50.0m / Debt 1.29b)
Taxrate = 2.93% (6.37m / 217.3m)
NOPAT = 259.4m (EBIT 267.3m * (1 - 2.93%))
Current Ratio = 1.71 (Total Current Assets 837.4m / Total Current Liabilities 490.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.69 (Debt 1.29b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.88b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.27 (Net Debt 879.9m / EBITDA 387.3m)
Debt / FCF = -4.07 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt 879.9m / FCF TTM -216.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.88b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.36% (Net Income 215.9m / Total Assets 4.29b)
RoE = 11.48% (Net Income TTM 215.9m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.88b)
RoCE = 8.87% (EBIT 267.3m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.88b + L.T.Debt 1.13b))
RoIC = 6.71% (NOPAT 259.4m / Invested Capital 3.87b)
WACC = 5.73% (E(3.67b)/V(4.96b) * Re(6.42%) + D(1.29b)/V(4.96b) * Rd(3.88%) * (1-Tc(0.03)))
Discount Rate = 6.42% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -1.53 | Cagr: 0.07%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -216.2m)
EPS Correlation: -59.80 | EPS CAGR: -2.99% | SUE: 1.22 | # QB: 2
Revenue Correlation: -18.74 | Revenue CAGR: -0.30% | SUE: 0.52 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.54 | Chg30d=+3.52% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=2
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=6.08 | Chg30d=+4.11% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-7.2% | GrowthRev=+1.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=5.33 | Chg30d=+0.13% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=-12.3% | GrowthRev=+2.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50% (up=3, down=0)