OXLC Stock Analysis: Oxford Lane Capital | NASDAQ
Asset Management | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 862m USD | 12M Return: -22.8% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 7.43M
Warnings
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (OXLC) is a U.S.-domiciled closed-end fund launched and managed by Oxford Lane Management LLC. The fund invests primarily in securitization vehicles that hold senior secured loans issued by below investment grade or unrated borrowers, and was formed on June 9, 2010.
As a closed-end fund, OXLC issues a fixed number of shares that trade on an exchange, and its market price can move independently of the underlying net asset value. Its focus on securitization vehicles tied to below investment grade senior loans places it in the CLO (collateralized loan obligation) equity segment of the asset management industry, where returns are driven largely by the credit performance and cash distributions of the underlying leveraged loan portfolios.
- Leveraged loan default rates pressure CLO equity distributions
- Higher interest rates boost floating-rate CLO asset income
- Distribution coverage ratio drives dividend sustainability and market sentiment
| Net Income: -585.1m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.38 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 62.81 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 18.02% < 20% (prev 60.11%; Δ -42.09% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.38 > 3% & CFO 696.2m > Net Income -585.1m |
| Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio: 3.71 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (97.2m) vs 12m ago 123.1% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 68.26% > 18% (prev 73.27%; Δ -5.01% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 16.78% > 50% (prev 15.07%; Δ 1.72% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -9.74 > 6 (EBIT TTM -530.6m / Interest Expense TTM 54.5m) |
| A: 0.04 (Total Current Assets 96.7m - Total Current Liabilities 26.1m) / Total Assets 1.83b |
| B: -0.92 (Retained Earnings -1.68b / Total Assets 1.83b) |
| C: -0.23 (EBIT TTM -530.6m / Avg Total Assets 2.34b) |
| D: 1.29 (Book Value of Equity 1.03b / Total Liabilities 799.5m) |
| Altman-Z'' = -2.91 = D |
As of August 06, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 9.19 with a total of 855,554 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.76%, over one month by +6.34%, over three months by -3.71% and over the past year by -22.77%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 8.80 (which is 4.2% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).
Oxford Lane Capital has received a consensus analysts rating of 5.00. Therefore, it is recommended to buy OXLC.
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 13.5 | 46.9% |
P/S = 1.858
P/B = 0.8287
Revenue TTM = 391.9m USD
EBIT TTM = -530.6m USD
EBITDA TTM = -530.6m USD
Long Term Debt = unknown (none)
Short Term Debt = 6.45m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 489.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 392.7m USD (calculated: Debt 489.4m - CCE 96.7m)
Enterprise Value = 1.25b USD (862.2m + Debt 489.4m - CCE 96.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -9.74 (Ebit TTM -530.6m / Interest Expense TTM 54.5m)
EV/FCF = 1.80x (Enterprise Value 1.25b / FCF TTM 696.2m)
FCF Yield = 55.48% (FCF TTM 696.2m / Enterprise Value 1.25b)
FCF Margin = 177.7% (FCF TTM 696.2m / Revenue TTM 391.9m)
Net Margin = -149.3% (Net Income TTM -585.1m / Revenue TTM 391.9m)
Gross Margin = 68.26% ((Revenue TTM 391.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 124.4m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 66.48% (prev 69.57%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.69 (Enterprise Value 1.25b / Total Assets 1.83b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 11.13% (Interest Expense 54.5m / Debt 489.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -419.2m (EBIT -530.6m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.71 (Total Current Assets 96.7m / Total Current Liabilities 26.1m)
Debt / Equity = 0.47 (Debt 489.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.03b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.74 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt 392.7m / EBITDA -530.6m)
Debt / FCF = 0.56 (Net Debt 392.7m / FCF TTM 696.2m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.61b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -25.05% (Net Income -585.1m / Total Assets 1.83b)
RoE = -36.24% (Net Income TTM -585.1m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.61b)
RoCE = -29.41% (EBIT -530.6m / Capital Employed (Total Assets 1.83b - Current Liab 26.1m))
RoIC = -23.49% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -419.2m / Invested Capital 1.78b)
WACC = 8.62% (E(862.2m)/V(1.35b) * Re(8.52%) + D(489.4m)/V(1.35b) * Rd(11.13%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.52% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 93.12 | Cagr: 92.71%
[DCF] Terminal Value 74.49% ; FCFF base≈696.2m ; Y1≈699.1m ; Y5≈740.5m
[DCF] Fair Price = 108.8 (EV 11.0b - Net Debt 392.7m = Equity 10.6b / Shares 97.6m; r=8.62% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 0.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -70.08 | EPS CAGR: -16.85% | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 85.48 | Revenue CAGR: 18.69% | SUE: 0.16 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.00 | Chg30d=-6.54% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2027-03-31): EPS=4.15 | Chg30d=-6.74% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=-9.4% | GrowthRev=-4.5%
EPS next Year (2028-03-31): EPS=5.15 | Chg30d=N/A | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+24.1% | GrowthRev=+28.0%