(OXLC) Oxford Lane Capital - Ratings and Ratios
Collateralized-Loan-Obligations, Income-Fund
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 26.99% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 32.64% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -4.34% |
| Payout Consistency | 91.5% |
| Payout Ratio | 83.1% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 33.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 52.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -4.90% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -1.03 |
| Alpha | -37.94 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.09 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.432 |
| Beta | 0.765 |
| Beta Downside | 1.001 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 37.99% |
| Mean DD | 8.43% |
| Median DD | 5.53% |
Description: OXLC Oxford Lane Capital November 12, 2025
Oxford Lane Capital Corp. (NASDAQ: OXLC) is a closed-ended investment fund launched on June 9 2010 and managed by Oxford Lane Management LLC. The fund’s mandate is to invest in fixed-income securities, principally through securitization vehicles that hold senior secured loans to below-investment-grade or unrated companies.
Key quantitative indicators (as of the most recent filing) include a net asset value (NAV) of roughly $10.2 billion, a distribution yield of about 8.5 % and an average weighted portfolio maturity of 4.2 years, reflecting a focus on short-to-intermediate term credit exposure.
The performance of OXLC is closely tied to macro-economic drivers such as the U.S. term structure of interest rates and high-yield credit spreads. A flattening yield curve or widening spreads typically compresses the fund’s net interest margin, while a steepening curve can enhance returns on its senior secured loan holdings.
Sector-specific factors also matter: the fund’s exposure to the leveraged-loan market means that corporate debt issuance trends, default rates, and recovery assumptions in the high-yield space materially affect cash flow and risk-adjusted returns.
For a deeper, data-driven analysis of OXLC’s valuation and risk profile, you may find ValueRay’s interactive dashboards useful for exploring scenario-based outcomes.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.5
| Net Income (189.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 48.6m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.57 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 17.93pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 6.06% (prev 14.63%; Δ -8.57pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.57 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.52b > Net Income 189.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (469.0m) to EBITDA (271.2m) ratio: 1.73 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 485.3 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (87.0m) change vs 12m ago 115.2% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 81.67% (prev 84.80%; Δ -3.12pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 39.08% (prev 24.99%; Δ 14.09pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.0 (EBITDA TTM 271.2m / Interest Expense TTM 16.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -2.16
| (A) 0.02 = (Total Current Assets 49.2m - Total Current Liabilities 101.4k) / Total Assets 2.65b |
| (B) -0.34 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -911.7m / Total Assets 2.65b |
| (C) 0.01 = EBIT TTM 16.4m / Avg Total Assets 2.07b |
| (D) -1.16 = Book Value of Equity -910.8m / Total Liabilities 785.4m |
| Total Rating: -2.16 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 58.90
| 1. Piotroski 5.50pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 83.21% |
| 3. FCF Margin data missing |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.26 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 1.73 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -6.55)% |
| 7. RoE 11.47% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 97.62% |
| 9. EPS Trend 6.33% |
What is the price of OXLC shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +5.83%, over one month by +0.55%, over three months by -11.67% and over the past year by -25.76%.
Is OXLC a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 2
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the OXLC price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 18 | 19.5% |
| Analysts Target Price | 18 | 19.5% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 17.3 | 14.9% |
OXLC Fundamental Data Overview November 26, 2025
P/E Trailing = 31.6818
P/S = 2.774
P/B = 0.6857
Beta = 0.704
Revenue TTM = 810.8m USD
EBIT TTM = 16.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = 271.2m USD
Long Term Debt = 481.6m USD (estimated: total debt 488.1m - short term 6.45m)
Short Term Debt = 6.45m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 488.1m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 469.0m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 1.82b USD (1.35b + Debt 488.1m - CCE 19.1m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.0 (Ebit TTM 16.4m / Interest Expense TTM 16.4m)
FCF Yield = 83.21% (FCF TTM 1.52b / Enterprise Value 1.82b)
FCF Margin = 187.0% (FCF TTM 1.52b / Revenue TTM 810.8m)
Net Margin = 23.34% (Net Income TTM 189.2m / Revenue TTM 810.8m)
Gross Margin = 81.67% ((Revenue TTM 810.8m - Cost of Revenue TTM 148.6m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 69.55% (prev 100.0%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.69 (Enterprise Value 1.82b / Total Assets 2.65b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 3.37% (Interest Expense 16.4m / Debt 488.1m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = 13.0m (EBIT 16.4m * (1 - 21.00%))
Current Ratio = 485.3 (out of range, set to none) (Total Current Assets 49.2m / Total Current Liabilities 101.4k)
Debt / Equity = 0.26 (Debt 488.1m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 1.86b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.73 (Net Debt 469.0m / EBITDA 271.2m)
Debt / FCF = 0.31 (Net Debt 469.0m / FCF TTM 1.52b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 1.65b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 7.14% (Net Income 189.2m / Total Assets 2.65b)
RoE = 11.47% (Net Income TTM 189.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 1.65b)
RoCE = 0.77% (EBIT 16.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 1.65b + L.T.Debt 481.6m))
RoIC = 0.64% (NOPAT 13.0m / Invested Capital 2.02b)
WACC = 7.19% (E(1.35b)/V(1.84b) * Re(8.83%) + D(488.1m)/V(1.84b) * Rd(3.37%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 8.83% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 46.70%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.93% ; FCFE base≈1.15b ; Y1≈1.41b ; Y5≈2.41b
Fair Price DCF = 364.2 (DCF Value 35.36b / Shares Outstanding 97.1m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 6.33 | EPS CAGR: 32.06% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 97.62 | Revenue CAGR: 81.60% | SUE: 0.40 | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-03-31): EPS=4.79 | Chg30d=-0.510 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+19.8% | Growth Revenue=+19.6%
EPS next Year (2027-03-31): EPS=5.25 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-1 | Growth EPS=+9.6% | Growth Revenue=+12.6%
Additional Sources for OXLC Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle