OZK Stock Analysis: Bank Ozk | NASDAQ

Banks - Regional | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 5.723m USD | 12M Return: 3.7% | US06417N1037 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Retail Banking, Commercial Banking, Wealth Management, Commercial Lending
Total Rating 33
Safety 70
Buy Signal -1.02
Banks - Regional
Industry Rotation: -16.3
Market Cap: 5.72B
Avg Turnover: 52.7M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility32.3%
VaR 5th Pctl5.27%
VaR vs Median-0.90%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.10
Rel. Str. IBD37.4
Rel. Str. Peer Group6.8
Character TTM
Beta0.833
Beta Downside0.753
Hurst Exponent0.478
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD29.23%
CAGR/Max DD0.42
CAGR/Mean DD1.26
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of OZK over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-06": 1.16, "2021-09": 1, "2021-12": 1.17, "2022-03": 1.02, "2022-06": 1.1, "2022-09": 1.08, "2022-12": 1.34, "2023-03": 1.41, "2023-06": 1.47, "2023-09": 1.49, "2023-12": 1.57, "2024-03": 1.51, "2024-06": 1.52, "2024-09": 1.55, "2024-12": 1.56, "2025-03": 1.47, "2025-06": 1.58, "2025-09": 1.59, "2025-12": 1.53, "2026-03": 1.44, "2026-06": 1.49,
EPS CAGR: 1.65%
EPS Trend: 65.2%
Last SUE: 0.52
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of OZK over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-06: 289.815, 2021-09: 286.394, 2021-12: 307.948, 2022-03: 292.012, 2022-06: 305.967, 2022-09: 350.548, 2022-12: 424.326, 2023-03: 476.528, 2023-06: 540.433, 2023-09: 591.24, 2023-12: 650.36, 2024-03: 666.137, 2024-06: 696.618, 2024-09: 715.657, 2024-12: 695.577, 2025-03: 670.462, 2025-06: 699.633, 2025-09: 731.109, 2025-12: 704.611, 2026-03: 661.547, 2026-06: 672.894,
Rev. CAGR: 9.82%
Rev. Trend: 81.1%
Last SUE: 0.62
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.6 years of data

Jan +3.8% 18
Feb -0.2% 21
Mar -7.9% 48
Apr +0.7% 10
May -3.1% 33
Jun +1.7% 20
Jul +0.5% 10
Aug -0.3% 13
Sep -2.9% 19
Oct +0.3% 13
Nov +5.0% 52
Dec -0.1% 2

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: OZK Bank Ozk

Bank OZK (NASDAQ: OZK) is a full-service, Arkansas state-chartered bank headquartered in Little Rock, founded in 1903 and rebranded from Bank of the Ozarks in 2018. The company offers a comprehensive suite of retail and commercial banking products, including deposit accounts, trust and wealth management, treasury management, and a diverse loan portfolio spanning real estate, consumer, small business, commercial and industrial, agricultural, and government-guaranteed lending. It also provides specialty financing such as business aviation, subscription, and structured/lender financing.

As a GICS-classified Regional Bank, OZK operates within a sector that focuses on local deposit gathering and relationship-based lending, typically regulated by the Federal Reserve and FDIC. Regional banks generally derive revenue from the net interest spread between loans and deposits, supplemented by fee-based services like treasury management and wealth management. OZK is listed as a mid-cap stock with a U.S. IPO dating to 1997.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Office CRE exposure pressures credit quality and reserves
  • Net interest margin compresses amid Fed rate cuts
  • Specialty lending growth in aviation and structured finance
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 4.0
Net Income: 691.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.02 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 98.04% < 20% (prev -1.09k%; Δ 1.18k% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 865.7m > Net Income 691.3m
Net Debt (-886.1m) to EBITDA (1.03b): -0.86 < 3
Current Ratio: 8.75 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (109.7m) vs 12m ago -3.58% < -2%
Gross Margin: 56.04% > 18% (prev 54.48%; Δ 1.55% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 6.66% > 50% (prev 6.71%; Δ -0.05% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.87 > 6 (EBIT TTM 896.1m / Interest Expense TTM 1.03b)
Altman Z'' 1.11
A: 0.07 (Total Current Assets 3.07b - Total Current Liabilities 350.6m) / Total Assets 41.7b
B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 4.54b / Total Assets 41.7b)
C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 896.1m / Avg Total Assets 41.6b)
D: 0.18 (Book Value of Equity 6.28b / Total Liabilities 35.4b)
Altman-Z'' = 1.11 = BB
Beneish M -3.08
DSRI: 0.96 (Receivables 175.4m/182.9m, Revenue 2.77b/2.78b)
GMI: 0.97 (GM 54.48% / 56.04%)
AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.90 / AQ_t-1 0.90)
SGI: 1.00 (Revenue 2.77b / 2.78b)
TATA: -0.00 (NI 691.3m - CFO 865.7m) / TA 41.7b)
Beneish M = -3.08 (Cap -4..+1) = AA
What is the price of OZK shares?

As of August 20, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 49.48 with a total of 1,363,401 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -5.10%, over one month by -3.79%, over three months by +6.22% and over the past year by +3.71%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 48.20 (which is 2.6% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).

Is OZK a buy, sell or hold?

Bank Ozk has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.11. Therefore, it is recommended to hold OZK.

  • StrongBuy: 1
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 6
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the OZK price?
Analysts Target Price 54.7 10.5%
Bank Ozk (OZK) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 18 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 5.72b (5.72b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Trailing = 8.6617
P/E Forward = 7.2202
P/S = 3.6871
P/B = 0.9637
P/EG = 2.7611
Revenue TTM = 2.77b USD
EBIT TTM = 896.1m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.03b USD
Long Term Debt = 463.9m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 734k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 668.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -886.1m USD (calculated: Debt 668.2m - CCE 1.55b)
Enterprise Value = 4.84b USD (5.72b + Debt 668.2m - CCE 1.55b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.87 (Ebit TTM 896.1m / Interest Expense TTM 1.03b)
EV/FCF = 6.34x (Enterprise Value 4.84b / FCF TTM 762.4m)
FCF Yield = 15.76% (FCF TTM 762.4m / Enterprise Value 4.84b)
FCF Margin = 27.52% (FCF TTM 762.4m / Revenue TTM 2.77b)
Net Margin = 24.95% (Net Income TTM 691.3m / Revenue TTM 2.77b)
Gross Margin = 56.04% ((Revenue TTM 2.77b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 57.13% (prev 56.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.12 (Enterprise Value 4.84b / Total Assets 41.7b)
 Interest Expense / Debt = 154.4% (Interest Expense 1.03b / Debt 668.2m)
 Taxrate = 22.87% (204.9m / 896.1m)
NOPAT = 691.2m (EBIT 896.1m * (1 - 22.87%))
Current Ratio = 8.75 (Total Current Assets 3.07b / Total Current Liabilities 350.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.11 (Debt 668.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.86 (Net Debt -886.1m / EBITDA 1.03b)
Debt / FCF = -1.16 (Net Debt -886.1m / FCF TTM 762.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.16b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.66% (Net Income 691.3m / Total Assets 41.7b)
RoE = 11.21% (Net Income TTM 691.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.16b)
RoCE = 13.52% (EBIT 896.1m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.16b + L.T.Debt 463.9m))
RoIC = 1.66% (NOPAT 691.2m / Invested Capital 41.6b)
WACC = 7.98% (E(5.72b)/V(6.39b) * Re(8.91%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.91% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -82.56 | Cagr: -1.65%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.67% ; FCFF base≈757.2m ; Y1≈771.3m ; Y5≈840.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 127.7 (EV 13.0b - Net Debt -886.1m = Equity 13.9b / Shares 109.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 1.74% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 65.19 | EPS CAGR: 1.65% | SUE: 0.52 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 81.07 | Revenue CAGR: 9.82% | SUE: 0.62 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.43 | Chg30d=-5.55% | Revisions=-73% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.79 | Chg30d=-2.82% | Revisions=-55% | GrowthEPS=-6.3% | GrowthRev=+0.1%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.10 | Chg30d=-4.01% | Revisions=-46% | GrowthEPS=+5.3% | GrowthRev=+4.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -69% (up=3, down=23)