OZK Stock Analysis: Bank Ozk | NASDAQ
Banks - Regional | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 5.606m USD | 12M Return: 9.4% | US06417N1037 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 57.7M
EPS Trend: 65.2%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: 66.8%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 11.6 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
Bank OZK (NASDAQ: OZK) is a full-service, Arkansas state-chartered bank headquartered in Little Rock, founded in 1903 and rebranded from Bank of the Ozarks in 2018. The company offers a comprehensive suite of retail and commercial banking products, including deposit accounts, trust and wealth management, treasury management, and a diverse loan portfolio spanning real estate, consumer, small business, commercial and industrial, agricultural, and government-guaranteed lending. It also provides specialty financing such as business aviation, subscription, and structured/lender financing.
As a GICS-classified Regional Bank, OZK operates within a sector that focuses on local deposit gathering and relationship-based lending, typically regulated by the Federal Reserve and FDIC. Regional banks generally derive revenue from the net interest spread between loans and deposits, supplemented by fee-based services like treasury management and wealth management. OZK is listed as a mid-cap stock with a U.S. IPO dating to 1997.
- Office CRE exposure pressures credit quality and reserves
- Net interest margin compresses amid Fed rate cuts
- Specialty lending growth in aviation and structured finance
| Net Income: 691.3m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.02 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 0.02 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: -30.88% < 20% (prev -1.09k%; Δ 1.05k% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.02 > 3% & CFO 865.7m > Net Income 691.3m |
| Net Debt (-740.1m) to EBITDA (1.08b): -0.69 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 0.80 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (109.7m) vs 12m ago -3.58% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 50.93% > 18% (prev 54.48%; Δ -3.56% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 5.97% > 50% (prev 6.71%; Δ -0.74% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 0.92 > 6 (EBIT TTM 950.9m / Interest Expense TTM 1.03b) |
| A: -0.02 (Total Current Assets 3.07b - Total Current Liabilities 3.83b) / Total Assets 41.7b |
| B: 0.11 (Retained Earnings 4.54b / Total Assets 41.7b) |
| C: 0.02 (EBIT TTM 950.9m / Avg Total Assets 41.6b) |
| D: 0.18 (Book Value of Equity 6.28b / Total Liabilities 35.4b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 0.57 = B |
| DSRI: 1.07 (Receivables 175.4m/182.9m, Revenue 2.48b/2.78b) |
| GMI: 1.07 (GM 54.48% / 50.93%) |
| AQI: 1.00 (AQ_t 0.90 / AQ_t-1 0.90) |
| SGI: 0.89 (Revenue 2.48b / 2.78b) |
| TATA: -0.00 (NI 691.3m - CFO 865.7m) / TA 41.7b) |
| Beneish M = -2.98 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of August 13, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 52.14 with a total of 593,841 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.05%, over one month by +3.08%, over three months by +11.36% and over the past year by +9.44%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 50.90 (which is 2.4% or 1.3 ATR below the current price).
Bank Ozk has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.11. Therefore, it is recommended to hold OZK.
- StrongBuy: 1
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 1
| Analysts Target Price | 54.2 | 4% |
P/E Trailing = 8.4835
P/E Forward = 7.2202
P/S = 3.6112
P/B = 0.9441
P/EG = 2.7611
Revenue TTM = 2.48b USD
EBIT TTM = 950.9m USD
EBITDA TTM = 1.08b USD
Long Term Debt = 463.6m USD (from longTermDebt, last fiscal year)
Short Term Debt = 350.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, two quarters ago)
Debt = 814.2m USD (corrected: LT Debt 463.6m + ST Debt 350.6m)
Net Debt = -740.1m USD (calculated: Debt 814.2m - CCE 1.55b)
Enterprise Value = 4.87b USD (5.61b + Debt 814.2m - CCE 1.55b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 0.92 (Ebit TTM 950.9m / Interest Expense TTM 1.03b)
EV/FCF = 6.38x (Enterprise Value 4.87b / FCF TTM 762.4m)
FCF Yield = 15.67% (FCF TTM 762.4m / Enterprise Value 4.87b)
FCF Margin = 30.72% (FCF TTM 762.4m / Revenue TTM 2.48b)
Net Margin = 27.86% (Net Income TTM 691.3m / Revenue TTM 2.48b)
Gross Margin = 50.93% ((Revenue TTM 2.48b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.22b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 24.96% (prev 56.86%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.12 (Enterprise Value 4.87b / Total Assets 41.7b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 126.7% (Interest Expense 1.03b / Debt 814.2m)
Taxrate = 22.87% (204.9m / 896.1m)
NOPAT = 733.5m (EBIT 950.9m * (1 - 22.87%))
Current Ratio = 0.80 (Total Current Assets 3.07b / Total Current Liabilities 3.83b)
Debt / Equity = 0.13 (Debt 814.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 6.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = -0.69 (Net Debt -740.1m / EBITDA 1.08b)
Debt / FCF = -0.97 (Net Debt -740.1m / FCF TTM 762.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 6.16b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.66% (Net Income 691.3m / Total Assets 41.7b)
RoE = 11.21% (Net Income TTM 691.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 6.16b)
RoCE = 14.35% (EBIT 950.9m / Capital Employed (Equity 6.16b + L.T.Debt 463.6m))
RoIC = 1.94% (NOPAT 733.5m / Invested Capital 37.7b)
WACC = 7.77% (E(5.61b)/V(6.42b) * Re(8.90%) + (debt cost/tax rate unavailable))
Discount Rate = 8.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: -82.56 | Cagr: -1.65%
[DCF] Terminal Value 75.67% ; FCFF base≈757.2m ; Y1≈771.3m ; Y5≈840.9m
[DCF] Fair Price = 126.4 (EV 13.0b - Net Debt -740.1m = Equity 13.8b / Shares 109.0m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 1.74% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: 65.19 | EPS CAGR: 1.65% | SUE: 0.52 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 66.79 | Revenue CAGR: 7.98% | SUE: -0.14 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.43 | Chg30d=-4.97% | Revisions=-67% | Analysts=8
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.80 | Chg30d=-2.24% | Revisions=-70% | GrowthEPS=-6.1% | GrowthRev=+0.3%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.11 | Chg30d=-4.81% | Revisions=-42% | GrowthEPS=+5.3% | GrowthRev=+4.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -72% (up=2, down=20)