(PAL) Proficient Auto Logistics - Overview
Stock: Vehicle Transport, Logistics, Finished Vehicle Delivery
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 57.1% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -9.15% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.65 |
| Alpha | -4.85 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Beta | 1.837 |
| Beta Downside | 1.547 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 71.64% |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.25 |
Description: PAL Proficient Auto Logistics January 01, 2026
Proficient Auto Logistics, Inc. (NASDAQ: PAL) is a Jacksonville-based carrier that moves finished vehicles from factories, ports and rail yards to dealerships and other end-users across North America. The firm operates roughly 1,145 transport units-including 845 owned trucks and trailers-and serves traditional OEMs, electric-vehicle manufacturers, auctions, rental and leasing firms. It was incorporated in 2023, rebranded from AH Acquisition Corp. in October 2023, and trades under the “Cargo Ground Transportation” sub-industry.
Key operating metrics that analysts typically watch for a nascent auto-logistics player include fleet utilization (often 80-90 % for mature peers) and average revenue per mile (ARPM), which for comparable firms has hovered around $2.30-$2.60 in 2024. PAL’s exposure to the electric-vehicle (EV) segment could be a growth catalyst, as EV production is projected to rise 30 % YoY through 2026, increasing demand for specialized, temperature-controlled transport. Conversely, the business is sensitive to macro-level freight-rate volatility and diesel-fuel price swings, both of which can erode margins if not hedged.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of PAL’s valuation assumptions and scenario analysis, you may find the free tools on ValueRay useful for extending your research.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 4.0
| Net Income: -11.0m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 2.50 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 2.14% < 20% (prev 2.52%; Δ -0.38% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 > 3% & CFO 28.6m > Net Income -11.0m |
| Net Debt (74.3m) to EBITDA (30.1m): 2.47 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 1.14 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (27.8m) vs 12m ago 4.91% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 16.80% > 18% (prev 0.23%; Δ 1657 % > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 82.99% > 50% (prev 111.7%; Δ -28.67% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: -1.02 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 30.1m / Interest Expense TTM 7.05m) |
Altman Z'' -0.19
| A: 0.02 (Total Current Assets 72.7m - Total Current Liabilities 63.7m) / Total Assets 510.3m |
| B: -0.03 (Retained Earnings -16.8m / Total Assets 510.3m) |
| C: -0.01 (EBIT TTM -7.18m / Avg Total Assets 504.3m) |
| D: -0.10 (Book Value of Equity -16.5m / Total Liabilities 171.9m) |
| Altman-Z'' Score: -0.19 = B |
Beneish M -2.37
| DSRI: 1.65 (Receivables 48.4m/38.9m, Revenue 418.5m/556.3m) |
| GMI: 1.39 (GM 16.80% / 23.34%) |
| AQI: 1.04 (AQ_t 0.60 / AQ_t-1 0.58) |
| SGI: 0.75 (Revenue 418.5m / 556.3m) |
| TATA: -0.08 (NI -11.0m - CFO 28.6m) / TA 510.3m) |
| Beneish M-Score: -2.37 (Cap -4..+1) = BBB |
What is the price of PAL shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.97%, over one month by +2.04%, over three months by +50.36% and over the past year by +29.22%.
Is PAL a buy, sell or hold?
- StrongBuy: 2
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 0
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PAL price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 12.3 | 17.7% |
| Analysts Target Price | 12.3 | 17.7% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 11.3 | 7.4% |
PAL Fundamental Data Overview February 03, 2026
P/S = 0.6703
P/B = 0.8274
P/EG = 1.5597
Revenue TTM = 418.5m USD
EBIT TTM = -7.18m USD
EBITDA TTM = 30.1m USD
Long Term Debt = 57.8m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 23.1m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 88.8m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 74.3m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 354.8m USD (280.5m + Debt 88.8m - CCE 14.5m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -1.02 (Ebit TTM -7.18m / Interest Expense TTM 7.05m)
EV/FCF = 14.16x (Enterprise Value 354.8m / FCF TTM 25.1m)
FCF Yield = 7.06% (FCF TTM 25.1m / Enterprise Value 354.8m)
FCF Margin = 5.99% (FCF TTM 25.1m / Revenue TTM 418.5m)
Net Margin = -2.63% (Net Income TTM -11.0m / Revenue TTM 418.5m)
Gross Margin = 16.80% ((Revenue TTM 418.5m - Cost of Revenue TTM 348.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 30.71% (prev 9.37%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.70 (Enterprise Value 354.8m / Total Assets 510.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.89% (Interest Expense 1.68m / Debt 88.8m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US default 21%)
NOPAT = -5.68m (EBIT -7.18m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 1.14 (Total Current Assets 72.7m / Total Current Liabilities 63.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.26 (Debt 88.8m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 338.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.47 (Net Debt 74.3m / EBITDA 30.1m)
Debt / FCF = 2.96 (Net Debt 74.3m / FCF TTM 25.1m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 338.0m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -2.18% (Net Income -11.0m / Total Assets 510.3m)
RoE = -3.26% (Net Income TTM -11.0m / Total Stockholder Equity 338.0m)
RoCE = -1.82% (EBIT -7.18m / Capital Employed (Equity 338.0m + L.T.Debt 57.8m))
RoIC = -1.35% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -5.68m / Invested Capital 420.7m)
WACC = 9.99% (E(280.5m)/V(369.3m) * Re(12.68%) + D(88.8m)/V(369.3m) * Rd(1.89%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 12.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 63.81%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 75.07% ; FCFF base≈19.8m ; Y1≈24.5m ; Y5≈41.7m
Fair Price DCF = 15.31 (EV 500.3m - Net Debt 74.3m = Equity 426.0m / Shares 27.8m; r=9.99% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: -48.30 | EPS CAGR: 5.83% | SUE: -2.03 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 53.87 | Revenue CAGR: 61.93% | SUE: 0.06 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.08 | Chg30d=+0.000 | Revisions Net=-2 | Analysts=3
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.53 | Chg30d=+0.003 | Revisions Net=+1 | Growth EPS=+125.8% | Growth Revenue=+8.1%