Overview Dividends

(PAYX) Paychex - Ratings and Ratios

Exchange: NASDAQ • Country: United States • Currency: USD • Type: Common Stock • ISIN: US7043261079

Payroll, Human Resources, Benefits, Insurance, Retirement Services

PAYX EPS (Earnings per Share)

EPS Growth (3Y CAGR): 5.39%
EPS Trend (3Y Correlation): 53.7%

PAYX Revenue

Revenue Growth (3Y CAGR): 6.31%
Revenue Trend (3Y Correlation): 70.6%

Description: PAYX Paychex

Paychex Inc (NASDAQ:PAYX) is a leading provider of integrated human capital management (HCM) solutions, offering a comprehensive suite of services including payroll processing, benefits administration, human resources, and insurance services to small and medium-sized businesses in the US, Europe, and India.

The companys diverse range of services includes payroll processing, payroll tax administration, employee payment services, and regulatory compliance services, as well as HR solutions such as integrated HCM technology and HR advisory services. Additionally, Paychex offers retirement services administration, cloud-based HR administration software, and insurance services including property and casualty coverage and health and benefits coverage.

From a financial perspective, Paychex has demonstrated strong performance, with a return on equity (ROE) of 41.38%, indicating efficient use of shareholder capital. The companys price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 31.88 and forward P/E ratio of 27.03 suggest a relatively high valuation, but one that is justified by its consistent earnings growth. Key performance indicators (KPIs) such as revenue growth rate, client retention rate, and average revenue per user (ARPU) are likely to be closely monitored by investors.

To further evaluate Paychexs investment potential, it would be useful to examine its revenue diversification, client acquisition costs, and operating margins. The companys market capitalization of $53.04 billion and its position as a leader in the human capital management industry suggest a high level of stability and competitive advantage. As a Trading Analyst, it is essential to continue monitoring Paychexs financial performance and industry trends to identify potential trading opportunities.

PAYX Stock Overview

Market Cap in USD	49,861m
Sub-Industry	Human Resource & Employment Services
IPO / Inception	1990-03-26

PAYX Stock Ratings

Growth Rating	69.7%
Fundamental	82.2%
Dividend Rating	73.3%
Return 12m vs S&P 500	-6.75%
Analyst Rating	2.83 of 5

PAYX Dividends

Dividend Yield 12m	2.93%
Yield on Cost 5y	6.19%
Annual Growth 5y	9.08%
Payout Consistency	98.1%
Payout Ratio	82.7%

PAYX Growth Ratios

Growth Correlation 3m	-83.9%
Growth Correlation 12m	56.5%
Growth Correlation 5y	85.9%
CAGR 5y	15.91%
CAGR/Max DD 5y	0.68
Sharpe Ratio 12m	0.39
Alpha	-1.56
Beta	0.547
Volatility	24.53%
Current Volume	1681.4k
Average Volume 20d	2066.3k
Stop Loss	134.5 (-3%)
Signal	-0.36

Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 5.0

Net Income (1.66b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 334.3m TTM)

FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -5.94pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp)

NWC/Revenue 35.18% (prev 36.80%; Δ -1.62pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp)

CFO/TA 0.12 (>3.0%) and CFO 1.96b > Net Income 1.66b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%)

Net Debt (3.39b) to EBITDA (2.49b) ratio: 1.36 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5)

Current Ratio 1.28 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active)

Outstanding Shares last Quarter (362.3m) change vs 12m ago 0.14% (target <= -2.0% for YES)

Gross Margin 72.35% (prev 71.97%; Δ 0.38pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0)

Asset Turnover 41.35% (prev 50.84%; Δ -9.48pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0)

Interest Coverage Ratio 21.64 (EBITDA TTM 2.49b / Interest Expense TTM 105.4m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3)

Altman Z'' 2.55

(A) 0.12 = (Total Current Assets 8.92b - Total Current Liabilities 6.96b) / Total Assets 16.56b

(B) 0.14 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 2.28b / Total Assets 16.56b

(D) 0.18 = Book Value of Equity 2.23b / Total Liabilities 12.44b

Total Rating: 2.55 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D)

ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 82.19

1. Piotroski 5.0pt = 0.0

2. FCF Yield 3.33% = 1.67

3. FCF Margin 31.78% = 7.50

4. Debt/Equity 1.20 = 1.82

5. Debt/Ebitda 1.99 = 0.01

6. ROIC - WACC 22.26% = 12.50

7. RoE 41.38% = 2.50

8. Rev. Trend 70.55% = 3.53

9. Rev. CAGR 6.31% = 0.79

10. EPS Trend 53.68% = 1.34

11. EPS CAGR 5.39% = 0.54

What is the price of PAYX shares?

As of August 30, 2025, the stock is trading at USD 138.72 with a total of 1,681,427 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.22%, over one month by -5.16%, over three months by -10.97% and over the past year by +9.74%.

Is Paychex a good stock to buy?

Yes, based on ValueRay´s Fundamental Analyses, Paychex (NASDAQ:PAYX) is currently (August 2025) a good stock to buy. It has a ValueRay Fundamental Rating of 82.19 and therefor a positive outlook according to the companies health.
Based on momentum, paid dividends and discounted-cash-flow analyses, the fair value of PAYX is around 136.06 USD . This means that PAYX is currently overvalued and has a potential downside of -1.92%.

Is PAYX a buy, sell or hold?

Paychex has received a consensus analysts rating of 2.83. Therefor, it is recommend to hold PAYX.

Strong Buy: 1
Buy: 0
Hold: 13
Sell: 3
Strong Sell: 1

What are the forecasts/targets for the PAYX price?

Issuer	Target	Up/Down from current
Wallstreet Target Price	147.3	6.2%
Analysts Target Price	145.2	4.6%
ValueRay Target Price	150.2	8.3%

Last update: 2025-08-23 04:46

PAYX Fundamental Data Overview

Market Cap USD = 49.86b (49.86b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
CCE Cash And Equivalents = 1.66b USD (Cash And Short Term Investments, last quarter)
P/E Trailing = 30.2205
P/E Forward = 25.3807
P/S = 8.949
P/B = 12.1198
P/EG = 2.4549
Beta = 0.906
Revenue TTM = 5.57b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.28b USD
EBITDA TTM = 2.49b USD
Long Term Debt = 4.55b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 418.4m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 4.97b USD (Calculated: Short Term 418.4m + Long Term 4.55b)
Net Debt = 3.39b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 53.17b USD (49.86b + Debt 4.97b - CCE 1.66b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 21.64 (Ebit TTM 2.28b / Interest Expense TTM 105.4m)
FCF Yield = 3.33% (FCF TTM 1.77b / Enterprise Value 53.17b)
FCF Margin = 31.78% (FCF TTM 1.77b / Revenue TTM 5.57b)
Net Margin = 29.74% (Net Income TTM 1.66b / Revenue TTM 5.57b)
Gross Margin = 72.35% ((Revenue TTM 5.57b - Cost of Revenue TTM 1.54b) / Revenue TTM)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 23.87 (Enterprise Value 53.17b / Book Value Of Equity 2.23b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.28% (Interest Expense 63.7m / Debt 4.97b)
Taxrate = 23.83% (from yearly Income Tax Expense: 518.6m / 2.18b)
NOPAT = 1.74b (EBIT 2.28b * (1 - 23.83%))
Current Ratio = 1.28 (Total Current Assets 8.92b / Total Current Liabilities 6.96b)
Debt / Equity = 1.20 (Debt 4.97b / last Quarter total Stockholder Equity 4.13b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.99 (Net Debt 3.39b / EBITDA 2.49b)
Debt / FCF = 2.80 (Debt 4.97b / FCF TTM 1.77b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 4.01b (last 4 quarters mean)
RoA = 10.01% (Net Income 1.66b, Total Assets 16.56b )
RoE = 41.38% (Net Income TTM 1.66b / Total Stockholder Equity 4.01b)
RoCE = 26.67% (Ebit 2.28b / (Equity 4.01b + L.T.Debt 4.55b))
RoIC = 29.65% (NOPAT 1.74b / Invested Capital 5.86b)
WACC = 7.39% (E(49.86b)/V(54.83b) * Re(8.03%)) + (D(4.97b)/V(54.83b) * Rd(1.28%) * (1-Tc(0.24)))
Shares Correlation 5-Years: -56.40 | Cagr: -0.06%
Discount Rate = 8.03% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + ERP 8.05%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 79.24% ; FCFE base≈1.75b ; Y1≈1.88b ; Y5≈2.28b
Fair Price DCF = 110.4 (DCF Value 39.78b / Shares Outstanding 360.2m; 5y FCF grow 7.78% → 3.0% )
Revenue Correlation: 70.55 | Revenue CAGR: 6.31%
Rev Growth-of-Growth: 0.85
EPS Correlation: 53.68 | EPS CAGR: 5.39%
EPS Growth-of-Growth: -2.40

Additional Sources for PAYX Stock

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