(PCAR) PACCAR - Ratings and Ratios
Trucks, Parts, Leasing, Winches
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.87% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 8.98% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 20.47% |
| Payout Consistency | 87.6% |
| Payout Ratio | 25.8% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 24.9% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 34.6% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.40% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.14 |
| Alpha | -7.89 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.83 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.417 |
| Beta | 0.828 |
| Beta Downside | 0.751 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.75% |
| Mean DD | 10.27% |
| Median DD | 8.68% |
Description: PCAR PACCAR December 02, 2025
PACCAR Inc. (NASDAQ:PCAR) designs, manufactures and distributes a full line of light-, medium- and heavy-duty commercial trucks across North America, Europe, South America and Australia. The business is organized into three operating segments: Truck (Kenworth, Peterbilt, DAF), Parts (after-market components) and Financial Services (PacLease leasing, dealer financing and direct truck loans).
In FY 2023 the company generated ≈ $28.5 billion of revenue, with the Truck segment contributing roughly 78 % and delivering about 140 k units sold worldwide. The Parts segment delivered an operating margin of ~ 13 %, reflecting the high-margin nature of aftermarket sales, while Financial Services contributed ~ 5 % of total earnings but offers a stable cash-flow stream that is less cyclical than truck production.
Key economic drivers for PACCAR include freight-transport demand (linked to U.S. GDP growth and e-commerce volumes), diesel-fuel price trends, and the pace of electrification in heavy-truck fleets. A recent sector-wide shift toward electric power-trains could affect PACCAR’s capital allocation, as the company has announced a target of 20 % of new truck sales to be zero-emission by 2030.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore PCAR’s metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (2.69b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.77b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.81pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 29.30% (prev 63.93%; Δ -34.63pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.72b > Net Income 2.69b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (9.55b) to EBITDA (4.21b) ratio: 2.27 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 2.42 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (526.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.06% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 17.42% (prev 20.68%; Δ -3.25pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 67.51% (prev 80.48%; Δ -12.97pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.18 (EBITDA TTM 4.21b / Interest Expense TTM 411.5m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 4.01
| (A) 0.20 = (Total Current Assets 14.73b - Total Current Liabilities 6.07b) / Total Assets 44.20b |
| (B) 0.43 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 19.05b / Total Assets 44.20b |
| (C) 0.08 = EBIT TTM 3.37b / Avg Total Assets 43.74b |
| (D) 0.77 = Book Value of Equity 19.01b / Total Liabilities 24.83b |
| Total Rating: 4.01 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 61.56
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.82% |
| 3. FCF Margin 10.82% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.82 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 2.27 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 0.60)% |
| 7. RoE 14.58% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 22.39% |
| 9. EPS Trend 3.17% |
What is the price of PCAR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -1.14%, over one month by +14.95%, over three months by +10.31% and over the past year by +7.83%.
Is PCAR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the PCAR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 108.7 | -2.6% |
| Analysts Target Price | 108.7 | -2.6% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 134.4 | 20.5% |
PCAR Fundamental Data Overview December 12, 2025
P/E Trailing = 22.251
P/E Forward = 18.6916
P/S = 2.0182
P/B = 2.9532
P/EG = 15.3753
Beta = 1.017
Revenue TTM = 29.53b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.37b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.21b USD
Long Term Debt = 10.77b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.08b USD (from shortLongTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.85b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.55b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 66.20b USD (59.60b + Debt 15.85b - CCE 9.25b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.18 (Ebit TTM 3.37b / Interest Expense TTM 411.5m)
FCF Yield = 4.82% (FCF TTM 3.19b / Enterprise Value 66.20b)
FCF Margin = 10.82% (FCF TTM 3.19b / Revenue TTM 29.53b)
Net Margin = 9.11% (Net Income TTM 2.69b / Revenue TTM 29.53b)
Gross Margin = 17.42% ((Revenue TTM 29.53b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.18% (prev 16.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.50 (Enterprise Value 66.20b / Total Assets 44.20b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.20% (Interest Expense 31.8m / Debt 15.85b)
Taxrate = 20.66% (153.6m / 743.6m)
NOPAT = 2.67b (EBIT 3.37b * (1 - 20.66%))
Current Ratio = 2.42 (Total Current Assets 14.73b / Total Current Liabilities 6.07b)
Debt / Equity = 0.82 (Debt 15.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 19.37b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.27 (Net Debt 9.55b / EBITDA 4.21b)
Debt / FCF = 2.99 (Net Debt 9.55b / FCF TTM 3.19b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.46b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.09% (Net Income 2.69b / Total Assets 44.20b)
RoE = 14.58% (Net Income TTM 2.69b / Total Stockholder Equity 18.46b)
RoCE = 11.51% (EBIT 3.37b / Capital Employed (Equity 18.46b + L.T.Debt 10.77b))
RoIC = 7.79% (NOPAT 2.67b / Invested Capital 34.30b)
WACC = 7.19% (E(59.60b)/V(75.45b) * Re(9.06%) + D(15.85b)/V(75.45b) * Rd(0.20%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.06% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.11%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.21% ; FCFE base≈3.03b ; Y1≈3.73b ; Y5≈6.37b
Fair Price DCF = 170.9 (DCF Value 89.73b / Shares Outstanding 525.2m; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 3.17 | EPS CAGR: 3.62% | SUE: -0.26 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 22.39 | Revenue CAGR: -0.06% | SUE: 1.47 | # QB: 8
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.19 | Chg30d=-0.019 | Revisions Net=-3 | Analysts=6
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.49 | Chg30d=-0.285 | Revisions Net=-9 | Growth EPS=+22.5% | Growth Revenue=+4.4%
Additional Sources for PCAR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle