PCAR Stock Analysis: PACCAR | NASDAQ
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 65.559m USD | 12M Return: 37.2% | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis
Avg Turnover: 377M
EPS Trend: -77.5%
Qual. Beats: 0
Rev. Trend: -81.0%
Qual. Beats: 0
Warnings
No concerns identified
Tailwinds
No distinct edge detected
Seasonality 10.5 years of data
How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.
PACCAR Inc is a global manufacturer of light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks headquartered in Bellevue, Washington, operating across the U.S., Canada, Australia, Mexico, Europe, Central and South America, and other international markets. The company runs three segments: Truck, Parts, and Financial Services. PACCAR is one of the worlds largest producers of heavy-duty trucks, competing in a cyclical industry closely tied to freight demand and broader economic activity.
The Truck segment designs, manufactures, and distributes trucks sold under the Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF nameplates through a network of independent dealers, and also produces diesel engine products. The Parts segment distributes aftermarket parts for trucks and related commercial vehicles, providing the more stable, recurring revenue stream that is characteristic of aftermarket operations within the heavy-equipment sector.
The Financial Services segment operates full-service leasing under the PacLease trade name and offers financing and leasing products to dealers, commercial trucking companies of all sizes, and independent owner-operators. The company also manufactures and markets industrial winches under the Braden, Carco, and Gearmatic nameplates. Founded in 1905 and listed on NASDAQ since 1986, PACCAR is classified within the GICS Construction Machinery & Heavy Transportation Equipment sub-industry.
- Class 8 truck orders decline amid weak North American freight demand
- Aftermarket parts revenue and margins remain resilient through cycle
- DAF faces Euro 7 and EPA 2027 emission compliance costs
- Financial Services income pressured by Fed rate cuts
| Net Income: 2.48b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue |
| FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.98 > 1.0 |
| NWC/Revenue: 83.50% < 20% (prev 66.09%; Δ 17.42% < -1%) |
| CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 4.48b > Net Income 2.48b |
| Net Debt (6.23b) to EBITDA (3.82b): 1.63 < 3 |
| Current Ratio: 3.11 > 1.5 & < 3 |
| Outstanding Shares: last quarter (527.4m) vs 12m ago 0.09% < -2% |
| Gross Margin: 15.11% > 18% (prev 19.03%; Δ -3.92% > 0.5%) |
| Asset Turnover: 63.14% > 50% (prev 75.74%; Δ -12.60% > 0%) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 38.53 > 6 (EBIT TTM 3.00b / Interest Expense TTM 77.8m) |
| A: 0.52 (Total Current Assets 33.5b - Total Current Liabilities 10.8b) / Total Assets 43.6b |
| B: 0.44 (Retained Earnings 19.1b / Total Assets 43.6b) |
| C: 0.07 (EBIT TTM 3.00b / Avg Total Assets 43.1b) |
| D: 0.83 (Book Value of Equity 19.8b / Total Liabilities 23.8b) |
| Altman-Z'' = 6.20 = AAA |
| DSRI: 1.18 (Receivables 21.6b/21.8b, Revenue 27.2b/32.4b) |
| GMI: 1.26 (GM 19.03% / 15.11%) |
| AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.08) |
| SGI: 0.84 (Revenue 27.2b / 32.4b) |
| TATA: -0.05 (NI 2.48b - CFO 4.48b) / TA 43.6b) |
| Beneish M = -2.73 (Cap -4..+1) = A |
As of July 21, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 124.33 with a total of 2,247,161 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.06%, over one month by +3.50%, over three months by -2.80% and over the past year by +37.20%.
Current recommended Stop Loss: 119.90 (which is 3.6% or 1.4 ATR below the current price).
PACCAR has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.58. Therefore, it is recommended to hold PCAR.
- StrongBuy: 5
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 13
- Sell: 0
- StrongSell: 0
| Analysts Target Price | 127.3 | 2.3% |
P/E Trailing = 26.5043
P/E Forward = 21.0084
P/S = 2.36
P/B = 3.3184
P/EG = 1.2567
Revenue TTM = 27.2b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.00b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.82b USD
Long Term Debt = 10.2b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.76b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.1b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 142.6m
Net Debt = 6.23b USD (calculated: Debt 15.1b - CCE 8.86b)
Enterprise Value = 71.8b USD (65.6b + Debt 15.1b - CCE 8.86b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 38.53 (Ebit TTM 3.00b / Interest Expense TTM 77.8m)
EV/FCF = 21.96x (Enterprise Value 71.8b / FCF TTM 3.27b)
FCF Yield = 4.55% (FCF TTM 3.27b / Enterprise Value 71.8b)
FCF Margin = 12.00% (FCF TTM 3.27b / Revenue TTM 27.2b)
Net Margin = 9.09% (Net Income TTM 2.48b / Revenue TTM 27.2b)
Gross Margin = 15.11% ((Revenue TTM 27.2b - Cost of Revenue TTM 23.1b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.12% (prev 13.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.65 (Enterprise Value 71.8b / Total Assets 43.6b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.52% (Interest Expense 77.8m / Debt 15.1b)
Taxrate = 16.37% (484.8m / 2.96b)
NOPAT = 2.51b (EBIT 3.00b * (1 - 16.37%))
Current Ratio = 3.11 (Total Current Assets 33.5b / Total Current Liabilities 10.8b)
Debt / Equity = 0.76 (Debt 15.1b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 19.8b)
Debt / EBITDA = 1.63 (Net Debt 6.23b / EBITDA 3.82b)
Debt / FCF = 1.91 (Net Debt 6.23b / FCF TTM 3.27b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 19.3b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.74% (Net Income 2.48b / Total Assets 43.6b)
RoE = 12.81% (Net Income TTM 2.48b / Total Stockholder Equity 19.3b)
RoCE = 10.15% (EBIT 3.00b / Capital Employed (Equity 19.3b + L.T.Debt 10.2b))
RoIC = 6.93% (NOPAT 2.51b / Invested Capital 36.2b)
WACC = 7.72% (E(65.6b)/V(80.6b) * Re(9.40%) + D(15.1b)/V(80.6b) * Rd(0.52%) * (1-Tc(0.16)))
Discount Rate = 9.40% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 85.39 | Cagr: 0.15%
[DCF] Terminal Value 77.97% ; FCFF base≈2.91b ; Y1≈3.33b ; Y5≈4.90b
[DCF] Fair Price = 128.4 (EV 73.8b - Net Debt 6.23b = Equity 67.6b / Shares 526.3m; r=8.35% [WACC [floored]]; 5y FCF grow 15.0% → 2.50% )
EPS Correlation: -77.55 | EPS CAGR: -20.90% | SUE: -0.04 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -81.04 | Revenue CAGR: -7.76% | SUE: -0.26 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.35 | Chg30d=-0.44% | Revisions=-40% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.53 | Chg30d=+0.73% | Revisions=-25% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.69 | Chg30d=+0.35% | Revisions=-40% | GrowthEPS=+26.2% | GrowthRev=+7.9%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.76 | Chg30d=+0.74% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+18.8% | GrowthRev=+8.5%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -50% (up=1, down=6)