(PCAR) PACCAR - Overview

Sector: Industrials | Industry: Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery | Exchange: NASDAQ (USA) | Market Cap: 58.060m USD | Total Return: 18.8% in 12m

Commercial Trucks, Diesel Engines, Aftermarket Parts, Vehicle Financing
Total Rating 43
Safety 82
Buy Signal -0.05
Farm & Heavy Construction Machinery
Industry Rotation: -6.1
Market Cap: 58.1B
Avg Turnover: 306M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility28.9%
VaR 5th Pctl4.44%
VaR vs Median-6.68%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.63
Rel. Str. IBD38.7
Rel. Str. Peer Group48.1
Character TTM
Beta1.042
Beta Downside1.161
Hurst Exponent0.556
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD27.75%
CAGR/Max DD0.72
CAGR/Mean DD1.91
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of PCAR over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-03": 0.9, "2021-06": 0.94, "2021-09": 0.72, "2021-12": 0.98, "2022-03": 1.15, "2022-06": 1.38, "2022-09": 1.47, "2022-12": 1.76, "2023-03": 1.4, "2023-06": 2.33, "2023-09": 2.34, "2023-12": 2.7, "2024-03": 2.27, "2024-06": 2.13, "2024-09": 1.85, "2024-12": 1.66, "2025-03": 1.46, "2025-06": 1.37, "2025-09": 1.12, "2025-12": 1.06, "2026-03": 1.15,
EPS CAGR: -18.40%
EPS Trend: -75.2%
Last SUE: -0.30
Qual. Beats: 0
Revenue Revenue of PCAR over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-03: 5845.5, 2021-06: 5843.9, 2021-09: 5146.8, 2021-12: 6686.1, 2022-03: 6472.6, 2022-06: 7158.7, 2022-09: 7058.9, 2022-12: 8129.5, 2023-03: 8473.3, 2023-06: 8881.1, 2023-09: 8709.6, 2023-12: 9076.6, 2024-03: 8744.3, 2024-06: 8772.1, 2024-09: 8239.9, 2024-12: 7907.5, 2025-03: 7441.7, 2025-06: 7510.5, 2025-09: 6671.8, 2025-12: 6820.8, 2026-03: 6234.3,
Rev. CAGR: -7.76%
Rev. Trend: -81.0%
Last SUE: -0.26
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Below Avwap Earnings

Tailwinds

Confidence

Description: PCAR PACCAR

PACCAR Inc is a global manufacturer of light, medium, and heavy-duty commercial trucks, operating primarily through its Kenworth, Peterbilt, and DAF brands. The company maintains an integrated business model consisting of vehicle manufacturing, aftermarket parts distribution, and a captive financial services division that provides leasing and retail credit to owner-operators and fleet customers.

The heavy-duty truck industry is highly cyclical and closely correlated with global freight volumes and industrial production levels. Unlike some competitors, PACCAR utilizes a network of independent dealers for distribution, which reduces direct capital requirements for retail infrastructure while maintaining broad market reach across North America, Europe, and South America.

For a detailed breakdown of the companys valuation metrics and historical performance, consider reviewing the latest data on ValueRay.

In addition to its core trucking operations, PACCAR manufactures proprietary diesel engines and industrial winches under the Braden, Carco, and Gearmatic nameplates. The company’s Parts segment serves as a high-margin stabilizer for the business, generating recurring revenue through the maintenance and repair cycles of its global installed vehicle base.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Class 8 truck replacement cycles drive North American and European manufacturing volume
  • High-margin aftermarket parts sales provide recurring revenue during cyclical freight downturns
  • Stricter emissions standards accelerate research and development costs for zero-emission powertrains
  • Interest rate fluctuations impact financing profitability and dealer inventory carrying costs
  • Global freight demand volatility correlates directly with new truck order intake rates
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict) 6.0
Net Income: 2.48b TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: 0.08 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 1.98 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 83.50% < 20% (prev 66.09%; Δ 17.42% < -1%)
CFO/TA 0.10 > 3% & CFO 4.48b > Net Income 2.48b
Net Debt (9.30b) to EBITDA (3.38b): 2.75 < 3
Current Ratio: 3.11 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (527.4m) vs 12m ago 0.09% < -2%
Gross Margin: 15.11% > 18% (prev 0.19%; Δ 1.49k% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 63.14% > 50% (prev 75.74%; Δ -12.60% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: 28.21 > 6 (EBITDA TTM 3.38b / Interest Expense TTM 77.8m)
Altman Z'' 6.05
A: 0.52 (Total Current Assets 33.50b - Total Current Liabilities 10.76b) / Total Assets 43.55b
B: 0.44 (Retained Earnings 19.13b / Total Assets 43.55b)
C: 0.05 (EBIT TTM 2.19b / Avg Total Assets 43.14b)
D: 0.81 (Book Value of Equity 19.33b / Total Liabilities 23.80b)
Altman-Z'' = 6.05 = AAA
Beneish M -2.77
DSRI: 1.18 (Receivables 21.60b/21.82b, Revenue 27.24b/32.36b)
GMI: 1.26 (GM 15.11% / 19.03%)
AQI: 1.06 (AQ_t 0.08 / AQ_t-1 0.08)
SGI: 0.84 (Revenue 27.24b / 32.36b)
TATA: -0.05 (NI 2.48b - CFO 4.48b) / TA 43.55b)
Beneish M = -2.77 (Cap -4..+1) = A
What is the price of PCAR shares? As of May 22, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 109.34 with a total of 3,175,785 shares traded.
Over the past week, the price has changed by -2.90%, over one month by -13.08%, over three months by -12.99% and over the past year by +18.84%.
Is PCAR a buy, sell or hold? PACCAR has received a consensus analysts rating of 3.43. Therefor, it is recommend to hold PCAR.
  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 2
  • Hold: 12
  • Sell: 1
  • StrongSell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the PCAR price?
Analysts Target Price 126.1 15.3%
PACCAR (PCAR) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 18 May 2026
P/E Trailing = 23.4723
P/E Forward = 19.5695
P/S = 2.09
P/B = 3.045
P/EG = 1.169
Revenue TTM = 27.24b USD
EBIT TTM = 2.19b USD
EBITDA TTM = 3.38b USD
Long Term Debt = 10.19b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 4.76b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 14.95b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.30b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 64.15b USD (58.06b + Debt 14.95b - CCE 8.86b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 28.21 (Ebit TTM 2.19b / Interest Expense TTM 77.8m)
EV/FCF = 19.62x (Enterprise Value 64.15b / FCF TTM 3.27b)
FCF Yield = 5.10% (FCF TTM 3.27b / Enterprise Value 64.15b)
FCF Margin = 12.00% (FCF TTM 3.27b / Revenue TTM 27.24b)
Net Margin = 9.09% (Net Income TTM 2.48b / Revenue TTM 27.24b)
Gross Margin = 15.11% ((Revenue TTM 27.24b - Cost of Revenue TTM 23.12b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 13.12% (prev 13.83%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.47 (Enterprise Value 64.15b / Total Assets 43.55b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.14% (Interest Expense 21.3m / Debt 14.95b)
Taxrate = 29.46% (171.0m / 580.4m)
NOPAT = 1.55b (EBIT 2.19b * (1 - 29.46%))
Current Ratio = 3.11 (Total Current Assets 33.50b / Total Current Liabilities 10.76b)
Debt / Equity = 0.76 (Debt 14.95b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 19.76b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.75 (Net Debt 9.30b / EBITDA 3.38b)
Debt / FCF = 2.84 (Net Debt 9.30b / FCF TTM 3.27b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 19.33b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 5.74% (Net Income 2.48b / Total Assets 43.55b)
RoE = 12.81% (Net Income TTM 2.48b / Total Stockholder Equity 19.33b)
RoCE = 7.43% (EBIT 2.19b / Capital Employed (Equity 19.33b + L.T.Debt 10.19b))
RoIC = 4.43% (NOPAT 1.55b / Invested Capital 34.93b)
WACC = 7.70% (E(58.06b)/V(73.01b) * Re(9.65%) + D(14.95b)/V(73.01b) * Rd(0.14%) * (1-Tc(0.29)))
Discount Rate = 9.65% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 79.57 | Cagr: 0.15%
[DCF] Terminal Value 81.90% ; FCFF base≈2.91b ; Y1≈3.40b ; Y5≈5.13b
[DCF] Fair Price = 162.6 (EV 94.85b - Net Debt 9.30b = Equity 85.55b / Shares 526.3m; r=7.70% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 18.05% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: -75.19 | EPS CAGR: -18.40% | SUE: -0.30 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -81.04 | Revenue CAGR: -7.76% | SUE: -0.26 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-06-30): EPS=1.36 | Chg30d=+2.25% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=10
EPS next Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=1.52 | Chg30d=+2.68% | Revisions=+50% | Analysts=9
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.67 | Chg30d=+0.11% | Revisions=+14% | GrowthEPS=+25.8% | GrowthRev=+7.7%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=6.72 | Chg30d=-0.66% | Revisions=+14% | GrowthEPS=+18.3% | GrowthRev=+8.3%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +50%