(PCAR) PACCAR - Ratings and Ratios
Trucks, Parts, Leasing, Winches
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 2.59% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 5.63% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | -1.07% |
| Payout Consistency | 88.9% |
| Payout Ratio | 46.8% |
| Risk via 5d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 25.8% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 35.7% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -15.85% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.48 |
| Alpha | 0.36 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.84 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.346 |
| Beta | 0.853 |
| Beta Downside | 0.746 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 27.75% |
| Mean DD | 10.31% |
| Median DD | 8.68% |
Description: PCAR PACCAR December 02, 2025
PACCAR Inc. (NASDAQ:PCAR) designs, manufactures and distributes a full line of light-, medium- and heavy-duty commercial trucks across North America, Europe, South America and Australia. The business is organized into three operating segments: Truck (Kenworth, Peterbilt, DAF), Parts (after-market components) and Financial Services (PacLease leasing, dealer financing and direct truck loans).
In FY 2023 the company generated ≈ $28.5 billion of revenue, with the Truck segment contributing roughly 78 % and delivering about 140 k units sold worldwide. The Parts segment delivered an operating margin of ~ 13 %, reflecting the high-margin nature of aftermarket sales, while Financial Services contributed ~ 5 % of total earnings but offers a stable cash-flow stream that is less cyclical than truck production.
Key economic drivers for PACCAR include freight-transport demand (linked to U.S. GDP growth and e-commerce volumes), diesel-fuel price trends, and the pace of electrification in heavy-truck fleets. A recent sector-wide shift toward electric power-trains could affect PACCAR’s capital allocation, as the company has announced a target of 20 % of new truck sales to be zero-emission by 2030.
For a deeper quantitative view, you might explore PCAR’s metrics on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| YES: Net Income (2.69b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 1.77b TTM) |
| WARN: FCFTA 0.07 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.81pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NO: NWC/Revenue 79.88% (prev 63.93%; Δ 15.95pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| YES: CFO/TA 0.11 (>3.0%) and CFO 4.72b > Net Income 2.69b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| YES: Net Debt (9.55b) to EBITDA (4.21b) ratio: 2.27 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| WARN: Current Ratio 3.12 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| NO: Outstanding Shares last Quarter (526.8m) change vs 12m ago 0.06% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin: 1742 % (prev 20.68%; Δ 1721 %) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5% |
| Asset Turnover: 67.51% (prev 80.48%; Δ -12.97%) >=50% & Δ>=+2% |
| Interest Coverage Ratio: 8.18 (EBITDA TTM 4.21b / Interest Expense TTM 411.5m) >= 6 |
Altman Z'' (< 1.1 .. > 2.6) 6.23
| A: 0.53 (Total Current Assets 34.74b - Total Current Liabilities 11.15b) / Total Assets 44.20b |
| B: 0.43 (Retained Earnings 19.05b / Total Assets 44.20b) |
| C: 0.08 (EBIT TTM 3.37b / Avg Total Assets 43.74b) |
| D: 0.77 (Book Value of Equity 19.01b / Total Liabilities 24.83b) |
| Total Rating: 6.23= AAA |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 61.30
| 1. Piotroski: 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield: 4.54% |
| 3. FCF Margin: 10.82% |
| 4. Debt/Equity: 0.82 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda: 2.27 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC: 0.50% |
| 7. RoE: 14.58% |
| 8. Revenue Trend: 22.39% |
| 9. EPS Trend: 3.17% |
What is the price of PCAR shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.58%, over one month by +9.26%, over three months by +25.43% and over the past year by +14.87%.
Is PCAR a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 5
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 12
- Sell: 1
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the PCAR price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 116.1 | -5.8% |
| Analysts Target Price | 116.1 | -5.8% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 147.5 | 19.6% |
PCAR Fundamental Data Overview January 20, 2026
P/E Forward = 20.8333
P/S = 2.1583
P/B = 3.2908
P/EG = 17.1329
Revenue TTM = 29.53b USD
EBIT TTM = 3.37b USD
EBITDA TTM = 4.21b USD
Long Term Debt = 10.77b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 5.08b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 15.85b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 9.55b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 70.34b USD (63.74b + Debt 15.85b - CCE 9.25b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.18 (Ebit TTM 3.37b / Interest Expense TTM 411.5m)
EV/FCF = 22.02x (Enterprise Value 70.34b / FCF TTM 3.19b)
FCF Yield = 4.54% (FCF TTM 3.19b / Enterprise Value 70.34b)
FCF Margin = 10.82% (FCF TTM 3.19b / Revenue TTM 29.53b)
Net Margin = 9.11% (Net Income TTM 2.69b / Revenue TTM 29.53b)
Gross Margin = 17.42% ((Revenue TTM 29.53b - Cost of Revenue TTM 24.39b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 16.18% (prev 16.99%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.59 (Enterprise Value 70.34b / Total Assets 44.20b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.20% (Interest Expense 31.8m / Debt 15.85b)
Taxrate = 20.66% (153.6m / 743.6m)
NOPAT = 2.67b (EBIT 3.37b * (1 - 20.66%))
Current Ratio = 3.12 (Total Current Assets 34.74b / Total Current Liabilities 11.15b)
Debt / Equity = 0.82 (Debt 15.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 19.37b)
Debt / EBITDA = 2.27 (Net Debt 9.55b / EBITDA 4.21b)
Debt / FCF = 2.99 (Net Debt 9.55b / FCF TTM 3.19b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.46b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.15% (Net Income 2.69b / Total Assets 44.20b)
RoE = 14.58% (Net Income TTM 2.69b / Total Stockholder Equity 18.46b)
RoCE = 11.51% (EBIT 3.37b / Capital Employed (Equity 18.46b + L.T.Debt 10.77b))
RoIC = 7.79% (NOPAT 2.67b / Invested Capital 34.30b)
WACC = 7.29% (E(63.74b)/V(79.59b) * Re(9.06%) + D(15.85b)/V(79.59b) * Rd(0.20%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.06% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 100.0 | Cagr: 0.11%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 83.62% ; FCFF base≈3.03b ; Y1≈3.73b ; Y5≈6.36b
Fair Price DCF = 220.7 (EV 125.48b - Net Debt 9.55b = Equity 115.93b / Shares 525.2m; r=7.29% [WACC]; 5y FCF grow 25.0% → 2.90% )
EPS Correlation: 3.17 | EPS CAGR: 3.62% | SUE: -0.26 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 22.39 | Revenue CAGR: -0.06% | SUE: 1.47 | # QB: 8
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.17 | Chg30d=-0.021 | Revisions Net=+1 | Analysts=5
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=5.58 | Chg30d=+0.089 | Revisions Net=+0 | Growth EPS=+24.0% | Growth Revenue=+4.5%
Additional Sources for PCAR Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle