PCVX Stock Analysis: Vaxcyte | NASDAQ

Biotechnology | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 8.763m USD | 12M Return: 93.5% | US92243G1085 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Pneumococcal Vaccines, Strep Vaccines, Periodontitis Vaccines, Shigellosis Vaccines
Total Rating 33
Safety 42
Buy Signal -0.43
Biotechnology
Industry Rotation: -16.6
Market Cap: 8.76B
Avg Turnover: 51.5M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility45.8%
VaR 5th Pctl7.70%
VaR vs Median2.15%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio1.57
Rel. Str. IBD83.2
Rel. Str. Peer Group49.8
Character TTM
Beta0.951
Beta Downside0.928
Hurst Exponent0.527
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD76.22%
CAGR/Max DD0.09
CAGR/Mean DD0.21

Warnings

Choppy

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 6.1 years of data

Jan +4.9% 10
Feb -2.0% 9
Mar -8.2% 33
Apr -3.6% 28
May -0.6% 9
Jun +3.8% 18
Jul -0.0% 2
Aug +5.4% 11
Sep +1.8% 10
Oct -2.9% 10
Nov +0.7% 9
Dec -0.1% 9

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: PCVX Vaxcyte

Vaxcyte, Inc. (NASDAQ: PCVX) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company developing conjugate and novel protein vaccines aimed at preventing or treating bacterial infectious diseases. The company is headquartered in San Carlos, California, was incorporated in 2013, and rebranded from SutroVax, Inc. in May 2020 ahead of its June 2020 IPO.

Its lead candidate, VAX-24, is a 24-valent carrier-sparing pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) being developed to prevent invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in infants. The pipeline extends across VAX-31 (a 31-valent PCV for adults and children), VAX-A1 (Group A Streptococcus), VAX-PG (periodontitis-associated pathogen), VAX-GI (Shigella-related dysentery, preclinical), and VAX-XL, a next-generation PCV.

As a clinical-stage biotech, Vaxcyte generates no commercial product revenue and depends on capital markets and R&D funding to advance its pipeline, with future revenue dependent on regulatory approval and successful commercialization. Conjugate vaccines, the companys core technology, link polysaccharide antigens to carrier proteins to elicit stronger and longer-lasting immune responses than polysaccharide vaccines alone.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • VAX-24 Phase 3 infant data readout looms as key catalyst
  • Competition intensifies against Pfizer Prevnar franchise
  • Cash burn pressures clinical-stage balance sheet
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM)
FCF/TA: -0.28 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -12.31 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.28 > 3% & CFO -881.2m > Net Income -1.06b
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 5.72 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (144.5m) vs 12m ago 6.22% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.0% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 5.00
A: 0.41 (Total Current Assets 1.55b - Total Current Liabilities 271.3m) / Total Assets 3.14b
B: -0.88 (Retained Earnings -2.76b / Total Assets 3.14b)
C: -0.36 (EBIT TTM -1.17b / Avg Total Assets 3.22b)
D: 7.25 (Book Value of Equity 2.76b / Total Liabilities 380.2m)
Altman-Z'' = 5.00 = AAA
What is the price of PCVX shares?

As of August 08, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 58.07 with a total of 1,296,252 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +7.38%, over one month by -4.29%, over three months by +12.80% and over the past year by +93.50%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 54.20 (which is 6.7% or 1.5 ATR below the current price).

Is PCVX a buy, sell or hold?

Vaxcyte has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.90. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PCVX.

  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the PCVX price?
Analysts Target Price 109 87.7%
Vaxcyte (PCVX) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 08 August 2026
Market Cap USD = 8.76b (8.76b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/B = 2.6065
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -1.17b USD
EBITDA TTM = -1.14b USD
Long Term Debt = 108.9m USD (estimated: total debt 115.4m - short term 6.51m)
Short Term Debt = 6.51m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 115.4m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 116.3m already included)
Net Debt = -1.37b USD (calculated: Debt 115.4m - CCE 1.49b)
Enterprise Value = 7.39b USD (8.76b + Debt 115.4m - CCE 1.49b)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -1.17b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = -8.27x (Enterprise Value 7.39b / FCF TTM -894.1m)
FCF Yield = -12.10% (FCF TTM -894.1m / Enterprise Value 7.39b)
 FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
 Net Margin = unknown
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 0.0) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.36 (Enterprise Value 7.39b / Total Assets 3.14b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 115.4m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -920.6m (EBIT -1.17b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 5.72 (Total Current Assets 1.55b / Total Current Liabilities 271.3m)
Debt / Equity = 0.04 (Debt 115.4m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.76b)
 Debt / EBITDA = 1.20 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -1.37b / EBITDA -1.14b)
 Debt / FCF = 1.53 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -1.37b / FCF TTM -894.1m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 2.83b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -33.03% (Net Income -1.06b / Total Assets 3.14b)
RoE = -37.57% (Net Income TTM -1.06b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.83b)
RoCE = -39.61% (EBIT -1.17b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.83b + L.T.Debt 108.9m))
 RoIC = -32.04% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -920.6m / Invested Capital 2.87b)
 WACC = 9.21% (E(8.76b)/V(8.88b) * Re(9.33%) + D(115.4m)/V(8.88b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.33% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 94.82 | Cagr: 12.13%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -894.1m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -2.29 | # QB: -4
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-1.99 | Chg30d=+7.87% | Revisions=+0% | Analysts=5
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-7.93 | Chg30d=+6.49% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-40.9% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-7.39 | Chg30d=+0.37% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=+6.8% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +0% (up=0, down=0)