PCVX Stock Analysis: Vaxcyte | NASDAQ

Biotechnology | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 10.337m USD | 12M Return: 53.2% | US92243G1085 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Pneumococcal, Streptococcal, Periodontal, Shigella
Total Rating 36
Safety 61
Buy Signal -0.04
Biotechnology
Industry Rotation: +8.9
Market Cap: 10.3B
Avg Turnover: 144M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility51.8%
VaR 5th Pctl8.39%
VaR vs Median-1.76%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.96
Rel. Str. IBD84.1
Rel. Str. Peer Group61.3 pctl
Character TTM
Beta1.152
Beta Downside1.172
Hurst Exponent0.491
Choppyness55.1%
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD76.22%
CAGR/Max DD0.13
CAGR/Mean DD0.26

Warnings

No concerns identified

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 6.3 years of data

Jan +4.9% 10
Feb -2.0% 9
Mar -8.2% 34
Apr -3.6% 29
May -0.6% 9
Jun +3.8% 18
Jul -0.0% 2
Aug +3.3% 17
Sep -1.2% 2
Oct -2.9% 10
Nov +0.7% 9
Dec -0.1% 9

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: PCVX Vaxcyte

Vaxcyte, Inc. (PCVX) is a clinical-stage biotechnology company headquartered in San Carlos, California, that develops conjugate and novel protein vaccines targeting bacterial infectious diseases. Its pipeline is led by VAX-24, a 24-valent carrier-sparing pneumococcal conjugate vaccine (PCV) in development for preventing invasive pneumococcal disease (IPD) in infants, alongside VAX-31, a 31-valent PCV aimed at both adults and children. Additional earlier-stage candidates include VAX-A1 (Group A Streptococcus), VAX-PG (periodontitis), VAX-GI (Shigella-related dysentery), and VAX-XL, a third-generation PCV. The company was originally incorporated in 2013 as SutroVax, rebranded to Vaxcyte in May 2020, and completed its IPO on NASDAQ in June 2020.

As a clinical-stage biotech, Vaxcyte generates no commercial product revenue and is funded primarily through equity markets and development partnerships, with its valuation reflecting pipeline and clinical-milestone expectations rather than current sales. The company operates within the competitive pneumococcal vaccine space, where established products such as Pfizers Prevnar franchise and Mercks Vaxneuvance already address the IPD market, positioning Vaxcytes broader-valent candidates as potential next-generation challengers if approved.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • VAX-24 Phase 3 infant trial readout approaches
  • Pfizer Prevnar 20 competition pressures pneumococcal market share
  • Cash burn widens as clinical pipeline expands
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM)
FCF/TA: -0.32 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -13.68 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.32 > 3% & CFO -962.0m > Net Income -1.15b
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 7.66 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (148.9m) vs 12m ago 9.33% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.0%; Δ 0.0% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 3.53
A: 0.66 (Total Current Assets 2.26b - Total Current Liabilities 295.7m) / Total Assets 2.99b
B: -1.02 (Retained Earnings -3.06b / Total Assets 2.99b)
C: -0.40 (EBIT TTM -1.23b / Avg Total Assets 3.08b)
D: 4.98 (Book Value of Equity 2.49b / Total Liabilities 499.9m)
Altman-Z'' = 3.53 = A
What is the price of PCVX shares?

As of November 07, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 63.89 with a total of 1,840,628 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.00%, over one month by -4.21%, over three months by +8.49% and over the past year by +53.18%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 59.50 (which is 6.9% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is PCVX a buy, sell or hold?

Vaxcyte has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.73. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PCVX.

  • StrongBuy: 9
  • Buy: 1
  • Hold: 1
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the PCVX price?
Analysts Target Price 117.3 83.6%
Vaxcyte (PCVX) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 06 November 2026
Market Cap USD = 10.3b (10.3b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/B = 3.4737
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -1.23b USD
EBITDA TTM = -1.21b USD
Long Term Debt = 204.2m USD (estimated: total debt 221.8m - short term 17.6m)
Short Term Debt = 17.6m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 337.3m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 115.4m
Net Debt = -1.93b USD (calculated: Debt 337.3m - CCE 2.26b)
Enterprise Value = 8.41b USD (10.3b + Debt 337.3m - CCE 2.26b)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -1.23b / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = -8.70x (Enterprise Value 8.41b / FCF TTM -966.2m)
FCF Yield = -11.49% (FCF TTM -966.2m / Enterprise Value 8.41b)
 FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
 Net Margin = unknown
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 0.0) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.81 (Enterprise Value 8.41b / Total Assets 2.99b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 337.3m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -972.6m (EBIT -1.23b * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 7.66 (Total Current Assets 2.26b / Total Current Liabilities 295.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.14 (Debt 337.3m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.49b)
 Debt / EBITDA = 1.60 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -1.93b / EBITDA -1.21b)
 Debt / FCF = 1.99 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -1.93b / FCF TTM -966.2m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 2.73b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -37.28% (Net Income -1.15b / Total Assets 2.99b)
RoE = -42.04% (Net Income TTM -1.15b / Total Stockholder Equity 2.73b)
RoCE = -41.93% (EBIT -1.23b / Capital Employed (Equity 2.73b + L.T.Debt 204.2m))
 RoIC = -35.88% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -972.6m / Invested Capital 2.71b)
 WACC = 9.21% (E(10.3b)/V(10.7b) * Re(9.51%) + D(337.3m)/V(10.7b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 9.51% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 95.06 | Cagr: 11.21%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -966.2m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -0.61 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: N/A | # QB: 0
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-8.14 | Chg30d=+0.70% | Revisions=+0% | GrowthEPS=-44.6% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-7.12 | Chg30d=+1.36% | Revisions=+17% | GrowthEPS=+12.6% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: +12% (up=3, down=2)