(PECO) Phillips Edison - Ratings and Ratios
Retail Properties, Grocery Anchored, Neighborhood Centers, Mixed Tenants
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 4.49% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 6.55% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 39.33% |
| Payout Consistency | 100.0% |
| Payout Ratio | 80.2% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 17.2% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 27.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -1.59% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.51 |
| Alpha | -15.80 |
| CAGR/Max DD | 0.38 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.355 |
| Beta | 0.452 |
| Beta Downside | 0.424 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 17.39% |
| Mean DD | 6.61% |
| Median DD | 6.77% |
Description: PECO Phillips Edison November 06, 2025
Phillips Edison & Co. (NASDAQ: PECO) is a leading owner-operator of grocery-anchored neighborhood shopping centers, managing 328 properties-including 303 wholly-owned sites totaling 34 million sq ft-across 31 U.S. states as of September 30 2025.
The portfolio is anchored by major grocers such as Kroger, Publix, Albertsons and Ahold Delhaize, providing a stable, necessity-driven tenant base that supports high occupancy (≈96.5% Q3 2025) and relatively low lease turnover.
Recent financial metrics show PECO delivering an 8% year-over-year increase in funds-from-operations (FFO) and maintaining a dividend yield near 6.2%, while its net leverage remains modest at roughly 5.2 × EBITDA, underscoring balance-sheet resilience amid rising interest rates.
Key sector drivers include the inelastic demand for grocery retail, the ability of grocery tenants to pass inflation to consumers, and the continued relevance of physical “last-mile” locations in an omni-channel shopping environment.
For a deeper dive into PECO’s valuation metrics and peer comparison, the ValueRay platform offers a concise, data-rich overview you may find useful.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 3.0
| Net Income (86.2m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 49.4m TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.04 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA -1.15pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -2.33% (prev -9.03%; Δ 6.71pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.06 (>3.0%) and CFO 336.1m > Net Income 86.2m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (2.50b) to EBITDA (451.8m) ratio: 5.53 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.90 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (144.7m) change vs 12m ago 5.95% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 75.11% (prev 71.22%; Δ 3.89pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 16.13% (prev 12.99%; Δ 3.14pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 1.87 (EBITDA TTM 451.8m / Interest Expense TTM 106.9m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -1.16
| (A) -0.00 = (Total Current Assets 163.8m - Total Current Liabilities 183.0m) / Total Assets 5.26b |
| (B) -0.26 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -1.39b / Total Assets 5.26b |
| (C) 0.04 = EBIT TTM 200.2m / Avg Total Assets 5.11b |
| (D) -0.52 = Book Value of Equity -1.38b / Total Liabilities 2.68b |
| Total Rating: -1.16 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 63.19
| 1. Piotroski 3.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 2.73% |
| 3. FCF Margin 24.40% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 1.10 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 5.53 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -1.15)% |
| 7. RoE 3.75% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 79.11% |
| 9. EPS Trend 69.85% |
What is the price of PECO shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +0.49%, over one month by +1.30%, over three months by -0.62% and over the past year by -7.38%.
Is PECO a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 1
- Hold: 6
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the PECO price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 39.3 | 12.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 39.3 | 12.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 38.4 | 9.6% |
PECO Fundamental Data Overview December 03, 2025
P/E Trailing = 53.3939
P/E Forward = 68.0272
P/S = 6.8627
P/B = 1.9606
Beta = 0.515
Revenue TTM = 823.6m USD
EBIT TTM = 200.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = 451.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.38b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 3.00m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 2.50b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 2.50b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 7.37b USD (4.88b + Debt 2.50b - CCE 20.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 1.87 (Ebit TTM 200.2m / Interest Expense TTM 106.9m)
FCF Yield = 2.73% (FCF TTM 200.9m / Enterprise Value 7.37b)
FCF Margin = 24.40% (FCF TTM 200.9m / Revenue TTM 823.6m)
Net Margin = 10.46% (Net Income TTM 86.2m / Revenue TTM 823.6m)
Gross Margin = 75.11% ((Revenue TTM 823.6m - Cost of Revenue TTM 205.0m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 82.20% (prev 71.53%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 1.40 (Enterprise Value 7.37b / Total Assets 5.26b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.14% (Interest Expense 28.5m / Debt 2.50b)
Taxrate = 1.21% (380.0k / 31.5m)
NOPAT = 197.8m (EBIT 200.2m * (1 - 1.21%))
Current Ratio = 0.90 (Total Current Assets 163.8m / Total Current Liabilities 183.0m)
Debt / Equity = 1.10 (Debt 2.50b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 2.28b)
Debt / EBITDA = 5.53 (Net Debt 2.50b / EBITDA 451.8m)
Debt / FCF = 12.43 (Net Debt 2.50b / FCF TTM 200.9m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 2.30b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 1.64% (Net Income 86.2m / Total Assets 5.26b)
RoE = 3.75% (Net Income TTM 86.2m / Total Stockholder Equity 2.30b)
RoCE = 4.28% (EBIT 200.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 2.30b + L.T.Debt 2.38b))
RoIC = 4.31% (NOPAT 197.8m / Invested Capital 4.59b)
WACC = 5.46% (E(4.88b)/V(7.39b) * Re(7.68%) + D(2.50b)/V(7.39b) * Rd(1.14%) * (1-Tc(0.01)))
Discount Rate = 7.68% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: 33.33 | Cagr: 8.45%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 78.72% ; FCFE base≈219.0m ; Y1≈225.7m ; Y5≈254.3m
Fair Price DCF = 35.57 (DCF Value 4.47b / Shares Outstanding 125.8m; 5y FCF grow 3.07% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 69.85 | EPS CAGR: 42.26% | SUE: 1.10 | # QB: 1
Revenue Correlation: 79.11 | Revenue CAGR: 22.62% | SUE: 4.0 | # QB: 1
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=0.16 | Chg30d=+0.025 | Revisions Net=+2 | Analysts=2
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=0.67 | Chg30d=+0.141 | Revisions Net=+2 | Growth EPS=+9.9% | Growth Revenue=+5.3%
Additional Sources for PECO Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle