(PEP) PepsiCo - Ratings and Ratios
Soda, Chips, , Dairy, Gatorade, Quaker
Dividends
| Dividend Yield | 3.73% |
| Yield on Cost 5y | 4.55% |
| Yield CAGR 5y | 7.28% |
| Payout Consistency | 94.2% |
| Payout Ratio | 71.6% |
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 19.3% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 30.0% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -5.52% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | -0.07 |
| Alpha | -7.75 |
| CAGR/Max DD | -0.09 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.463 |
| Beta | 0.152 |
| Beta Downside | 0.044 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 30.32% |
| Mean DD | 12.80% |
| Median DD | 12.34% |
Description: PEP PepsiCo December 01, 2025
PepsiCo, Inc. (NASDAQ:PEP) manufactures, markets, distributes, and sells a broad portfolio of beverages and convenient foods through seven geographic segments, ranging from Frito-Lay North America to Asia-Pacific and China. Its brands span salty snacks (Lay’s, Doritos, Cheetos), cereals and grains (Quaker, Rice-A-Roni), carbonated and non-carbonated drinks (Pepsi, Mountain Dew, Gatorade, Aquafina, Bubly), and emerging categories such as ready-to-drink teas, coffees, and even alcoholic beverages under the Hard MTN Dew label. Distribution is handled via a mix of direct-store-delivery, warehouse, and independent bottler networks, complemented by growing e-commerce channels.
Key recent metrics: 2023 net revenue reached $86 billion, with a 5-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of ~4 % in comparable-currency sales; the company generated a free cash flow conversion of ~85 % of net income, supporting a 2.8 % dividend yield and a 65-year dividend-growth streak. Primary economic drivers include commodity price volatility (corn, wheat, aluminum) that pressures snack margins, and shifting consumer preferences toward “better-for-you” products, prompting PepsiCo to accelerate its portfolio-reformulation and launch of low-sugar, plant-based, and functional beverages. Emerging-market exposure-particularly in Latin America and South-Asia-offers upside as per-capita disposable income rises, while inflation-sensitive pricing remains a near-term risk.
For a deeper quantitative view of PepsiCo’s valuation metrics and scenario analysis, you might explore the detailed dashboards on ValueRay.
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 6.0
| Net Income (6.65b TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 5.83b TTM) |
| FCFTA 0.11 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 5.02pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue -2.86% (prev -3.77%; Δ 0.91pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA 0.14 (>3.0%) and CFO 14.70b > Net Income 6.65b (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| Net Debt (42.72b) to EBITDA (13.58b) ratio: 3.15 <= 3.0 (WARN <= 3.5) |
| Current Ratio 0.91 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (1.37b) change vs 12m ago -0.44% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin 54.01% (prev 54.93%; Δ -0.92pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 93.85% (prev 91.45%; Δ 2.40pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio 8.94 (EBITDA TTM 13.58b / Interest Expense TTM 1.05b) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' 3.33
| (A) -0.03 = (Total Current Assets 28.72b - Total Current Liabilities 31.50b) / Total Assets 106.56b |
| (B) 0.68 = Retained Earnings (Balance) 72.20b / Total Assets 106.56b |
| (C) 0.09 = EBIT TTM 9.37b / Avg Total Assets 103.54b |
| (D) 0.65 = Book Value of Equity 56.62b / Total Liabilities 87.02b |
| Total Rating: 3.33 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 68.50
| 1. Piotroski 6.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield 4.90% |
| 3. FCF Margin 12.28% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 2.62 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 3.15 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= 5.60)% |
| 7. RoE 35.83% |
| 8. Rev. Trend 28.76% |
| 9. EPS Trend 49.31% |
What is the price of PEP shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by +3.88%, over one month by +5.36%, over three months by +5.99% and over the past year by -1.40%.
Is PEP a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 4
- Buy: 2
- Hold: 16
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 1
What are the forecasts/targets for the PEP price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 153.9 | 2.2% |
| Analysts Target Price | 153.9 | 2.2% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 155.8 | 3.4% |
PEP Fundamental Data Overview December 06, 2025
P/E Trailing = 27.9297
P/E Forward = 17.2712
P/S = 2.1775
P/B = 10.4419
P/EG = 5.4846
Beta = 0.423
Revenue TTM = 97.17b USD
EBIT TTM = 9.37b USD
EBITDA TTM = 13.58b USD
Long Term Debt = 44.11b USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 6.74b USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 50.85b USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = 42.72b USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 243.32b USD (201.13b + Debt 50.85b - CCE 8.66b)
Interest Coverage Ratio = 8.94 (Ebit TTM 9.37b / Interest Expense TTM 1.05b)
FCF Yield = 4.90% (FCF TTM 11.93b / Enterprise Value 243.32b)
FCF Margin = 12.28% (FCF TTM 11.93b / Revenue TTM 97.17b)
Net Margin = 6.85% (Net Income TTM 6.65b / Revenue TTM 97.17b)
Gross Margin = 54.01% ((Revenue TTM 97.17b - Cost of Revenue TTM 44.69b) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 53.57% (prev 54.66%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.28 (Enterprise Value 243.32b / Total Assets 106.56b)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.52% (Interest Expense 264.0m / Debt 50.85b)
Taxrate = 21.40% (713.0m / 3.33b)
NOPAT = 7.36b (EBIT 9.37b * (1 - 21.40%))
Current Ratio = 0.91 (Total Current Assets 28.72b / Total Current Liabilities 31.50b)
Debt / Equity = 2.62 (Debt 50.85b / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 19.39b)
Debt / EBITDA = 3.15 (Net Debt 42.72b / EBITDA 13.58b)
Debt / FCF = 3.58 (Net Debt 42.72b / FCF TTM 11.93b)
Total Stockholder Equity = 18.57b (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = 6.24% (Net Income 6.65b / Total Assets 106.56b)
RoE = 35.83% (Net Income TTM 6.65b / Total Stockholder Equity 18.57b)
RoCE = 14.95% (EBIT 9.37b / Capital Employed (Equity 18.57b + L.T.Debt 44.11b))
RoIC = 10.94% (NOPAT 7.36b / Invested Capital 67.32b)
WACC = 5.33% (E(201.13b)/V(251.98b) * Re(6.58%) + D(50.85b)/V(251.98b) * Rd(0.52%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 6.58% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> floored to rf + 0.7*ERP = 8.05%
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -100.0 | Cagr: -0.33%
[DCF Debug] Terminal Value 80.03% ; FCFE base≈9.64b ; Y1≈10.94b ; Y5≈14.97b
Fair Price DCF = 189.5 (DCF Value 259.12b / Shares Outstanding 1.37b; 5y FCF grow 15.80% → 3.0% )
EPS Correlation: 49.31 | EPS CAGR: 11.35% | SUE: 0.63 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 28.76 | Revenue CAGR: -1.41% | SUE: 0.05 | # QB: 0
EPS next Quarter (2026-03-31): EPS=1.60 | Chg30d=+0.020 | Revisions Net=+3 | Analysts=14
EPS next Year (2026-12-31): EPS=8.55 | Chg30d=-0.014 | Revisions Net=+4 | Growth EPS=+5.4% | Growth Revenue=+3.3%
Additional Sources for PEP Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle