POET Stock Analysis: POET Technologies | NASDAQ

Photonic Integrated Circuits, Optical Engines, Optical Transceivers, Light Sources

Total Rating 8

Safety 33

Buy Signal -0.77

Semiconductors
Industry Rotation: -6.3

Market Cap: 1.21B
Avg Turnover: 59.8M

Risk 3d forecast

Volatility107%

VaR 5^th Pctl14.7%

VaR vs Median-14.3%

Choppyness69.3%

Reward TTM

Sharpe Ratio0.35

Rel. Str. IBD7.3

Rel. Str. Peer Group9.3

Character TTM

Beta3.956

Beta Downside3.322

Hurst Exponent0.432

Drawdowns 3y

Max DD74.25%

CAGR/Max DD0.34

CAGR/Mean DD0.68

EPS (Earnings per Share)

Last SUE: 0.10
Qual. Beats: 0

Revenue

Rev. CAGR: 57.73%
Rev. Trend: 38.1%

Last SUE: -0.48
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution

High Debt/EBITDA With Thin Interest Coverage

High Debt While Negative Cash Flow

Interest Coverage Ratio Critical

Beneish M-Score Likely Earnings Manipulation

Below Avwap Earnings

Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan +19.4% 6

Feb +6.0% 27

Mar -5.3% 35

Apr +6.6% 19

May -2.3% 17

Jun +5.0% 34

Jul -2.9% 31

Aug -5.1% 32

Sep -0.5% 5

Oct -6.2% 25

Nov -0.3% 2

Dec +7.7% 19

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: POET POET Technologies

POET Technologies Inc. is a Canadian-headquartered semiconductor company that designs, develops, manufactures, and sells photonic integrated packaging solutions based on its proprietary POET Optical Interposer platform. The technology enables the integration of electronic and photonic devices onto a single chip using wafer-level semiconductor manufacturing techniques. The company was formerly known as Opel Technologies Inc. before adopting its current name in June 2013, and it is listed on NASDAQ under the ticker POET.

The companys product portfolio includes photonic integrated circuits, optical engines, optical transceiver modules, and light source products. It serves a diverse set of end markets, including data center AI infrastructure, telecommunications (including 5G networks such as PON and GPON), edge computing for machine-to-machine communications, and sensing applications such as LIDAR, Optical Coherence Tomography for medical devices, and virtual reality systems. POET has a strategic collaboration with Lumilens Inc. focused on developing wafer-level photonic integration for AI optical networks.

POET operates globally, with commercial reach spanning North and South America, Europe, Malaysia, Singapore, China, and other parts of Asia. Photonic integration is a sub-segment of the broader semiconductor industry that uses light-based signal transmission instead of purely electrical signals, which is increasingly relevant to data center and AI workloads that demand high bandwidth and energy efficiency. Wafer-level semiconductor manufacturing refers to processing multiple chips simultaneously on a single wafer, a standard approach used to scale production and reduce per-unit costs in the chip industry.

Headlines to Watch Out For

AI data center demand drives optical interposer order growth
Strategic Lumilens partnership accelerates AI photonic integration roadmap
Capital raises and dilution risk persist as R&D spending outpaces revenue

Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0

Net Income: -75.7m TTM > 0 and > 6% of Revenue
FCF/TA: -0.05 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA 38.41 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: 44.8k% < 20% (prev 7.55k%; Δ 37.2k% < -1%)
CFO/TA -0.04 > 3% & CFO -35.3m > Net Income -75.7m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 24.46 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (162.4m) vs 12m ago 100.3% < -2%
Gross Margin: -120.7% > 18% (prev -311.4%; Δ 190.7% > 0.5%)
Asset Turnover: 0.35% > 50% (prev 0.52%; Δ -0.17% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: -433.6 > 6 (EBIT TTM -84.4m / Interest Expense TTM 195k)

Altman Z'' 10.00

A: 0.87 (Total Current Assets 799.5m - Total Current Liabilities 32.7m) / Total Assets 881.8m
B: -0.36 (Retained Earnings -320.8m / Total Assets 881.8m)
C: -0.17 (EBIT TTM -84.4m / Avg Total Assets 485.7m)
D: 24.71 (Book Value of Equity 847.5m / Total Liabilities 34.3m)
Altman-Z'' = 29.30 = AAA

Beneish M 1.00

DSRI: 0.10 (Receivables 390k/1.50m, Revenue 1.71m/468k)
GMI: 1.00 (fallback, negative margins)
AQI: 9.13 (AQ_t 0.07 / AQ_t-1 0.01)
SGI: 3.66 (Revenue 1.71m / 468k)
TATA: -0.05 (NI -75.7m - CFO -35.3m) / TA 881.8m)
Beneish M = 2.96 (Cap -4..+1) = D

What is the price of POET shares?

As of October 16, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 5.84 with a total of 12,105,394 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by -21.29%, over one month by -21.40%, over three months by -33.71% and over the past year by -35.47%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 5.30 (which is 9.2% or 1.2 ATR below the current price).

Is POET a buy, sell or hold?

POET Technologies has no consensus analysts rating.

What are the forecasts/targets for the POET price?

Analysts Target Price	14.8	152.6%

POET Technologies (POET) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 12 October 2026

Market Cap USD = 1.21b (1.21b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/S = 704.174
P/B = 1.6683
Revenue TTM = 1.71m USD
EBIT TTM = -84.4m USD
EBITDA TTM = -80.7m USD
Long Term Debt = 1.61m USD (estimated: total debt 7.80m - short term 6.19m)
Short Term Debt = 6.19m USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 9.80m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) + Leases 2.00m
Net Debt = -786.5m USD (calculated: Debt 9.80m - CCE 796.3m)
Enterprise Value = 419.7m USD (1.21b + Debt 9.80m - CCE 796.3m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -433.6 (Ebit TTM -84.4m / Interest Expense TTM 195k)
EV/FCF = -10.38x (Enterprise Value 419.7m / FCF TTM -40.4m)
FCF Yield = -9.63% (FCF TTM -40.4m / Enterprise Value 419.7m)
FCF Margin = -2.36k% (FCF TTM -40.4m / Revenue TTM 1.71m)
Net Margin = -4.42k% (Net Income TTM -75.7m / Revenue TTM 1.71m)
Gross Margin = -120.7% ((Revenue TTM 1.71m - Cost of Revenue TTM 3.78m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = -80.19% (prev -90.25%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.48 (Enterprise Value 419.7m / Total Assets 881.8m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 1.99% (Interest Expense 195k / Debt 9.80m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -66.7m (EBIT -84.4m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 24.46 (Total Current Assets 799.5m / Total Current Liabilities 32.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 9.80m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 847.5m)
Debt / EBITDA = 9.75 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -786.5m / EBITDA -80.7m)
Debt / FCF = 19.46 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -786.5m / FCF TTM -40.4m)
Total Stockholder Equity = 386.6m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -15.59% (Net Income -75.7m / Total Assets 881.8m)
RoE = -19.59% (Net Income TTM -75.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 386.6m)
RoCE = -21.75% (EBIT -84.4m / Capital Employed (Equity 386.6m + L.T.Debt 1.61m))
RoIC = -7.80% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -66.7m / Invested Capital 855.2m)
WACC = 19.75% (E(1.21b)/V(1.22b) * Re(19.90%) + D(9.80m)/V(1.22b) * Rd(1.99%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 19.90% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.) -> capped to 13.17%
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 91.40 | Cagr: 74.24%
[DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -40.4m)
EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.10 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: 38.10 | Revenue CAGR: 57.73% | SUE: -0.48 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.05 | Chg30d=+16.67% | Revisions=+25% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-0.23 | Chg30d=+4.17% | Revisions=+25% | GrowthEPS=+42.8% | GrowthRev=+211.2%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.17 | Chg30d=+0.00% | Revisions=-25% | GrowthEPS=+26.1% | GrowthRev=+2864.5%