(POWW) Ammo - Ratings and Ratios
Marketplace, Ammunition, Firearms, Accessories
EPS (Earnings per Share)
Revenue
| Risk via 10d forecast | |
|---|---|
| Volatility | 66.7% |
| Value at Risk 5%th | 95.9% |
| Relative Tail Risk | -12.64% |
| Reward TTM | |
|---|---|
| Sharpe Ratio | 0.84 |
| Alpha | 17.47 |
| Character TTM | |
|---|---|
| Hurst Exponent | 0.350 |
| Beta | 0.981 |
| Beta Downside | 0.557 |
| Drawdowns 3y | |
|---|---|
| Max DD | 67.62% |
| Mean DD | 34.44% |
| Median DD | 32.78% |
Description: POWW Ammo November 14, 2025
Outdoor Holding Company (NASDAQ: POWW), formerly AMMO, Inc., operates the GunBroker.com auction platform, the largest online marketplace for lawful firearms, ammunition, and related accessories in the United States, and generates ancillary revenue through banner advertising. The firm is headquartered in Atlanta, Georgia, and is classified under the GICS sub-industry “Leisure Products.”
Key metrics and sector drivers to note: (1) GunBroker processes roughly $1.2 billion in gross merchandise volume (GMV) annually, representing about 15 % of the U.S. online firearms market, according to industry estimates (2024). (2) The e-commerce sector’s average annual growth rate of 12 % (2022-2024) and rising consumer preference for digital auctions provide a tailwind for POWW’s platform-based model. (3) Regulatory risk remains material; the Bureau of Alcohol, Tobacco, Firearms and Explosives (ATF) has signaled potential tightening of online sales rules, which could impact GMV growth assumptions.
For a deeper, data-driven assessment of POWW’s valuation dynamics, you may find it worthwhile to explore the company’s profile on ValueRay, where additional financial ratios and scenario analyses are publicly available.
POWW Stock Overview
| Market Cap in USD | 213m |
| Sub-Industry | Leisure Products |
| IPO / Inception | 2016-01-07 |
| Return 12m vs S&P 500 | 21.5% |
| Analyst Rating | 4.0 of 5 |
POWW Dividends
Currently no dividends paidPOWW Growth Ratios
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| CAGR 3y | -6.04% |
| CAGR/Max DD Calmar Ratio | -0.09 |
| CAGR/Mean DD Pain Ratio | -0.18 |
| Current Volume | 456k |
| Average Volume | 388k |
Piotroski VR‑10 (Strict, 0-10) 1.0
| Net Income (-108.7m TTM) > 0 and > 6% of Revenue (6% = 652.2k TTM) |
| FCFTA -0.00 (>2.0%) and ΔFCFTA 0.70pp (YES ≥ +1.0pp, WARN ≥ +0.5pp) |
| NWC/Revenue 511.2% (prev 65.64%; Δ 445.6pp) (YES ≤20% & Δ≤-1pp; WARN ≤25% & Δ≤0 oder ≤40% & Δ≤-3pp) |
| CFO/TA -0.01 (>3.0%) and CFO -3.67m > Net Income -108.7m (YES >=105%, WARN >=100%) |
| NO Net Debt/EBITDA fails (EBITDA <= 0) |
| Current Ratio 3.44 (target 1.5–3.0; WARN 1.2–<1.5 or >3.0–5.0; CFO/TA gate active) |
| Outstanding Shares last Quarter (117.7m) change vs 12m ago -0.89% (target <= -2.0% for YES) |
| Gross Margin -914.2% (prev 31.68%; Δ -945.9pp) >=18% & Δ>=+0.5pp (WARN >=15% & Δ>=0) |
| Asset Turnover 3.40% (prev 32.56%; Δ -29.16pp) >=50% & Δ>=+2pp (WARN >=35% & Δ>=0) |
| Interest Coverage Ratio -7.18 (EBITDA TTM -3.15m / Interest Expense TTM 1.90m) >= 6 (WARN >= 3) |
Altman Z'' -7.81
| (A) 0.21 = (Total Current Assets 78.3m - Total Current Liabilities 22.7m) / Total Assets 270.3m |
| (B) -0.78 = Retained Earnings (Balance) -210.4m / Total Assets 270.3m |
| (C) -0.04 = EBIT TTM -13.7m / Avg Total Assets 319.6m |
| (D) -6.03 = Book Value of Equity -210.3m / Total Liabilities 34.9m |
| Total Rating: -7.81 = (6.56 * A) + (3.26 * B) + (6.72 * C) + (1.05 * D) |
ValueRay F-Score (Strict, 0-100) 27.36
| 1. Piotroski 1.0pt |
| 2. FCF Yield -0.49% |
| 3. FCF Margin -7.16% |
| 4. Debt/Equity 0.05 |
| 5. Debt/Ebitda 17.29 |
| 6. ROIC - WACC (= -11.84)% |
| 7. RoE -44.39% |
| 8. Rev. Trend -44.61% |
| 9. EPS Trend 52.75% |
What is the price of POWW shares?
Over the past week, the price has changed by -3.91%, over one month by +14.67%, over three months by +21.99% and over the past year by +36.51%.
Is POWW a buy, sell or hold?
- Strong Buy: 1
- Buy: 0
- Hold: 1
- Sell: 0
- Strong Sell: 0
What are the forecasts/targets for the POWW price?
| Issuer | Target | Up/Down from current |
|---|---|---|
| Wallstreet Target Price | 2.4 | 38.4% |
| Analysts Target Price | 2.4 | 38.4% |
| ValueRay Target Price | 1.8 | 6.4% |
POWW Fundamental Data Overview November 17, 2025
P/E Forward = 9.7656
P/S = 4.5579
P/B = 0.893
Beta = 1.223
Revenue TTM = 10.9m USD
EBIT TTM = -13.7m USD
EBITDA TTM = -3.15m USD
Long Term Debt = 9.71m USD (from longTermDebt, last quarter)
Short Term Debt = 671.1k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 11.2m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter)
Net Debt = -54.5m USD (from netDebt column, last quarter)
Enterprise Value = 158.1m USD (212.5m + Debt 11.2m - CCE 65.7m)
Interest Coverage Ratio = -7.18 (Ebit TTM -13.7m / Interest Expense TTM 1.90m)
FCF Yield = -0.49% (FCF TTM -778.0k / Enterprise Value 158.1m)
FCF Margin = -7.16% (FCF TTM -778.0k / Revenue TTM 10.9m)
Net Margin = -1000.0% (Net Income TTM -108.7m / Revenue TTM 10.9m)
Gross Margin = -914.2% ((Revenue TTM 10.9m - Cost of Revenue TTM 110.2m) / Revenue TTM)
Gross Margin QoQ = 18.78% (prev -37.85%)
Tobins Q-Ratio = 0.58 (Enterprise Value 158.1m / Total Assets 270.3m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 8.31% (Interest Expense 929.6k / Debt 11.2m)
Taxrate = 53.29% (748.6k / 1.40m)
NOPAT = -6.38m (EBIT -13.7m * (1 - 53.29%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 3.44 (Total Current Assets 78.3m / Total Current Liabilities 22.7m)
Debt / Equity = 0.05 (Debt 11.2m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 235.4m)
Debt / EBITDA = 17.29 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -54.5m / EBITDA -3.15m)
Debt / FCF = 70.02 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -54.5m / FCF TTM -778.0k)
Total Stockholder Equity = 244.9m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -40.22% (Net Income -108.7m / Total Assets 270.3m)
RoE = -44.39% (Net Income TTM -108.7m / Total Stockholder Equity 244.9m)
RoCE = -5.36% (EBIT -13.7m / Capital Employed (Equity 244.9m + L.T.Debt 9.71m))
RoIC = -2.50% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -6.38m / Invested Capital 255.7m)
WACC = 9.34% (E(212.5m)/V(223.7m) * Re(9.63%) + D(11.2m)/V(223.7m) * Rd(8.31%) * (1-Tc(0.53)))
Discount Rate = 9.63% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares Correlation 3-Years: -33.33 | Cagr: -0.32%
Fair Price DCF = unknown (Cash Flow -778.0k)
EPS Correlation: 52.75 | EPS CAGR: 39.39% | SUE: 0.83 | # QB: 0
Revenue Correlation: -44.61 | Revenue CAGR: -34.71% | SUE: 0.01 | # QB: 0
Additional Sources for POWW Stock
Tweets: X | Stocktwits
Fund Manager Positions: Dataroma | Stockcircle