PPTA Stock Analysis: Perpetua Resources | NASDAQ

Other Precious Metals & Mining | NASDAQ, USA | Market Cap: 2.543m USD | 12M Return: -13.8% | CA7142661031 | Charts, Fundamentals & Technical Analysis

Gold, Silver, Antimony, Mining
Total Rating 19
Safety 53
Buy Signal -1.93
Other Precious Metals & Mining
Industry Rotation: -22.6
Market Cap: 2.54B
Avg Turnover: 20.6M
Risk 3d forecast
Volatility75.0%
VaR 5th Pctl12.0%
VaR vs Median-2.89%
Reward TTM
Sharpe Ratio0.11
Rel. Str. IBD16.6
Rel. Str. Peer Group43.3
Character TTM
Beta1.206
Beta Downside0.723
Hurst Exponent0.549
Drawdowns 3y
Max DD54.59%
CAGR/Max DD1.42
CAGR/Mean DD5.16
EPS (Earnings per Share) EPS (Earnings per Share) of PPTA over the last years for every Quarter: "2021-09": -0.11, "2021-12": -0.2, "2022-03": -0.1, "2022-06": -0.1, "2022-09": -0.09, "2022-12": -0.17, "2023-03": -0.07, "2023-06": -0.12, "2023-09": -0.04, "2023-12": -0.06, "2024-03": -0.05, "2024-06": -0.06, "2024-09": -0.05, "2024-12": -0.06, "2025-03": -0.12, "2025-06": -0.08, "2025-09": -0.24, "2025-12": -0.61, "2026-03": -0.39, "2026-06": -0.78,
Last SUE: -1.38
Qual. Beats: -4
Revenue Revenue of PPTA over the last years for every Quarter: 2021-09: 0, 2021-12: 0, 2022-03: 0, 2022-06: 0, 2022-09: 0, 2022-12: 0, 2023-03: 0, 2023-06: 0, 2023-09: 0, 2023-12: 0, 2024-03: 0, 2024-06: 0, 2024-09: 0, 2024-12: 1.31253, 2025-03: 0, 2025-06: 0, 2025-09: 0, 2025-12: 0, 2026-03: 0, 2026-06: 0,
Last SUE: 0.00
Qual. Beats: 0

Warnings

Strong Share Dilution
Choppy
Below Avwap Earnings
Below Sma 200d

Tailwinds

No distinct edge detected

Seasonality 11.7 years of data

Jan -0.4% 7
Feb +1.7% 10
Mar +7.2% 12
Apr +8.7% 8
May -2.2% 28
Jun -7.7% 24
Jul +8.2% 20
Aug +5.0% 19
Sep -2.8% 27
Oct +0.3% 5
Nov -4.2% 27
Dec +0.6% 13

How good or bad each month usually is (without trend). The score below shows how much you can trust it: 0 = pure chance, >40 gets interesting and >55 is strong.

Description: PPTA Perpetua Resources

Perpetua Resources Corp. (NASDAQ: PPTA) is a U.S.-based, development-stage mining company focused on acquiring and exploring mineral properties, with a particular emphasis on gold, silver, and antimony deposits. Its principal asset is the wholly owned Stibnite Gold project in Valley County, Idaho, one of the largest known gold reserves in the United States with historical significance as a past-producing antimony and gold mine. The company was founded in 2009 as Midas Gold Corp. and rebranded to its current name in February 2021.

Operating within the Materials sector and the Diversified Metals & Mining sub-industry, Perpetua has yet to commence commercial production, meaning it is pre-revenue and typically reliant on capital markets to fund permitting, construction, and ongoing exploration. Antimony, one of its key target minerals alongside gold, is classified as a critical mineral by the U.S. government due to its strategic applications in defense systems, semiconductors, and flame retardants, which can influence project permitting and funding considerations for domestic developers.

Headlines to Watch Out For
  • Stibnite Gold Project receives final federal permit approval
  • Antimony designated critical mineral boosts project economics
  • Gold price strength supports development-stage miner valuations
Piotroski VR-10 (Strict) 0.0
Net Income: error (cannot be calculated; needs Net Income TTM and Revenue TTM)
FCF/TA: -0.31 > 0.02 and ΔFCF/TA -23.63 > 1.0
NWC/Revenue: error (cannot be calculated; needs Current Assets/Liabilities and Revenue current+prev)
CFO/TA -0.23 > 3% & CFO -179.4m > Net Income -232.3m
Net Debt/EBITDA: error (EBITDA <= 0)
Current Ratio: 12.34 > 1.5 & < 3
Outstanding Shares: last quarter (125.1m) vs 12m ago 63.57% < -2%
Gross Margin: error (current vs previous; cannot be calculated due to missing/invalid data or negative margin)
Asset Turnover: 0.0% > 50% (prev 0.25%; Δ -0.25% > 0%)
Interest Coverage Ratio: error (cannot be calculated; needs correct EBIT TTM and Interest Expense TTM)
Altman Z'' 10.00
A: 0.71 (Total Current Assets 599.4m - Total Current Liabilities 48.6m) / Total Assets 773.5m
B: -1.09 (Retained Earnings -841.7m / Total Assets 773.5m)
C: -0.37 (EBIT TTM -239.2m / Avg Total Assets 645.8m)
D: 13.41 (Book Value of Equity 719.9m / Total Liabilities 53.7m)
Altman-Z'' = 12.71 = AAA
What is the price of PPTA shares?

As of October 10, 2026, the stock is trading at USD 20.64 with a total of 775,153 shares traded. Over the past week, the price has changed by +1.28%, over one month by -16.64%, over three months by +4.24% and over the past year by -13.78%.

Current recommended Stop Loss: 18.80 (which is 8.9% or 1.7 ATR below the current price).

Is PPTA a buy, sell or hold?

Perpetua Resources has received a consensus analysts rating of 4.63. Therefore, it is recommended to buy PPTA.

  • StrongBuy: 5
  • Buy: 3
  • Hold: 0
  • Sell: 0
  • StrongSell: 0

What are the forecasts/targets for the PPTA price?
Analysts Target Price 36.9 78.8%
Perpetua Resources (PPTA) - Fundamental Data Overview as of 07 October 2026
Market Cap USD = 2.54b (2.54b USD * 1.0 USD.USD)
P/E Forward = 1000.0
P/B = 4.0526
Revenue TTM = 0.0 USD
EBIT TTM = -239.2m USD
EBITDA TTM = -238.8m USD
Long Term Debt = 2.77m USD (estimated: total debt 3.65m - short term 875k)
Short Term Debt = 875k USD (from shortTermDebt, last quarter)
Debt = 3.65m USD (from shortLongTermDebtTotal, last quarter) (leases 3.65m already included)
Net Debt = -570.6m USD (calculated: Debt 3.65m - CCE 574.2m)
Enterprise Value = 1.97b USD (2.54b + Debt 3.65m - CCE 574.2m)
 Interest Coverage Ratio = unknown (Ebit TTM -239.2m / Interest Expense TTM 0.0)
 EV/FCF = -8.29x (Enterprise Value 1.97b / FCF TTM -238.0m)
FCF Yield = -12.06% (FCF TTM -238.0m / Enterprise Value 1.97b)
 FCF Margin = unknown (Revenue TTM is 0 or missing)
 Net Margin = unknown
 Gross Margin = unknown ((Revenue TTM 0.0 - Cost of Revenue TTM 403k) / Revenue TTM)
 Tobins Q-Ratio = 2.55 (Enterprise Value 1.97b / Total Assets 773.5m)
Interest Expense / Debt = 0.0% (Interest Expense 0.0 / Debt 3.65m)
Taxrate = 21.0% (US federal default 21%)
NOPAT = -188.9m (EBIT -239.2m * (1 - 21.00%)) [loss with tax shield]
Current Ratio = 12.34 (Total Current Assets 599.4m / Total Current Liabilities 48.6m)
Debt / Equity = 0.01 (Debt 3.65m / totalStockholderEquity, last quarter 719.9m)
 Debt / EBITDA = 2.39 (negative EBITDA) (Net Debt -570.6m / EBITDA -238.8m)
 Debt / FCF = 2.40 (negative FCF - burning cash) (Net Debt -570.6m / FCF TTM -238.0m)
 Total Stockholder Equity = 732.3m (last 4 quarters mean from totalStockholderEquity)
RoA = -35.98% (Net Income -232.3m / Total Assets 773.5m)
RoE = -31.72% (Net Income TTM -232.3m / Total Stockholder Equity 732.3m)
RoCE = -32.54% (EBIT -239.2m / Capital Employed (Equity 732.3m + L.T.Debt 2.77m))
 RoIC = -26.03% (negative operating profit) (NOPAT -188.9m / Invested Capital 725.8m)
 WACC = 10.21% (E(2.54b)/V(2.55b) * Re(10.22%) + D(3.65m)/V(2.55b) * Rd(0.0%) * (1-Tc(0.21)))
Discount Rate = 10.22% (= CAPM, Blume Beta Adj.)
Shares (quarterly) Correlation: 88.01 | Cagr: 34.58%
 [DCF] Fair Price = unknown (Cash Flow -238.0m)
 EPS Correlation: N/A | EPS CAGR: N/A | SUE: -1.38 | # QB: -4
Revenue Correlation: N/A | Revenue CAGR: N/A | SUE: 0.0 | # QB: 0
EPS current Quarter (2026-09-30): EPS=-0.89 | Chg30d=-223.64% | Revisions=-17% | Analysts=1
EPS current Year (2026-12-31): EPS=-1.13 | Chg30d=-1561.76% | Revisions=-57% | GrowthEPS=-11.1% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
EPS next Year (2027-12-31): EPS=-0.18 | Chg30d=+16.68% | Revisions=+50% | GrowthEPS=+91.7% | GrowthRev=+0.0%
[Analyst] Revisions Ratio: -15% (up=4, down=6)